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Major League Baseball is on the verge of returning, or on the verge of losing the 2020 season altogether, depending on how you want to look at it and who you want to trust.
On Wednesday, a flurry of reports came out about MLB and the Players Association, and things either look rosy or grim. We just can’t seem to agree on which. But history tells us it’s the latter.
Here’s what we do know: MLB owners — and commissioner Rob Manfred — have been on a long quest to ruin baseball for players and fans alike.
So far the negotiations between the league and the Players Association have essentially gone like this:
Players: “We’d like to be compensated a full day’s pay for every game we play.”
Owners: “How about you take a paycut?”
Players: “We’d like to be compensated a full day’s pay for every game we play.”
Owners: “We hear you, so we’ve upped our offer: How about you take that same paycut we previously mentioned?”
Players: “We’d like to be compensated a full day’s pay for every game we play.”
Owners: “Understood. Here’s a nicely wrapped gift box, open it up to find our new offer, which is that you take the same paycut we previously mentioned.”
And so with that freshly in the rear view mirror, Manfred and union chief Tony Clark met to try and work some things out.
Breaking: MLB commissioner Rob Manfred and players union chief Tony Clark had what’s being called a productive meeting face to face in Arizona. Meeting was called at Manfred’s request
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) June 17, 2020
Following the meeting, the league sent out another proposal. You’d be forgiven for expecting it to be yet another repackaged version of their previous proposals, but it sounds like MLB might actually be trending in the right direction.
Sources: The owners' latest offer to the PA is for 60 games, full pro-rata, starting July 19.
— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) June 17, 2020
That’s a good start, considering that Manfred had the right to impose a 48 or 50-game season with fully prorated salaries, but seemed hesitant to do so at the risk of angering the wallet-hugging owners.
But the thing with good starts is that they so very often don’t have good middles or endings. Upon further examination, it would seem that the league is offering up a little more pay as ... uhh ... hush money?
Source: MLB proposal includes:
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) June 17, 2020
•60 games in 70 days
•Season starting July 19th/20th
•Full Prorated Salary
•Expanded Playoffs in 2020 and 2021
•Waiving of any potential grievance
Ahh, an extra 10 or 12 games of pay in exchange for not filing a grievance that’s worth substantially more money than 12 games of pay.
Not so rosy anymore.
It’s still unclear exactly what the agreement is, since people are reporting things in a million directions. This all started when MLB Network’s Jon Heyman — who is quite a reputable reporter — stated that the sides were on the verge of an agreement.
Breaking: MLB and players union are closing in on an agreement to play the 2020 season, via players. Deal expected to be for prorated pay and include expanded playoffs.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) June 17, 2020
That was refuted by not only other reputable reporters, but by the union itself.
Source says no deal is close yet between MLB and MLBPA beccause the proposal was just sent by MLB. No agreement even in principle at this point.
— Evan Drellich (@EvanDrellich) June 17, 2020
Reports of an agreement are false.
— MLBPA Communications (@MLBPA_News) June 17, 2020
We’re still missing a lot of details, but reading between the lines might suggest that waiving the grievance is the biggest sticking point.
Source: It is "flatly and utterly false" that MLBPA has agreed to waive any grievance against MLB. Could happen as part of an agreement. There isn't an agreement.
— Bill Shaikin (@BillShaikin) June 17, 2020
It’s worth noting that the latest proposal doesn’t actually pay the players any more than past proposals, it just pays them more fairly for the amount of labor. Still, one would expect the players to counter with a proposal that has more games in it to try and get a larger amount of money.
Worth noting: MLB’s last offer to the players maxed out at $1.5 billion. The money over a 60-game season at full pro rata: $1.5 billion.
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) June 17, 2020
If there’s a deal to be done, it is going to be for more than 60 games. Union will counter higher. And somewhere in the middle is the season.
And so we move slightly forward, likely a little closer to an agreement, but almost surely still very far away.
Update: Manfred has released a statement that is . . . vaguely optimistic, I guess?
This ... is promising. pic.twitter.com/paSkycRZuQ
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) June 17, 2020