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Giants @ Padres, 7/2

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Beede (1-3, 6.45 ERA) vs. Strahm (3-6, 4.94 ERA)

Los Angeles Dofgers v San Diego Padres

Seems unlikely that we’ll see the Giants score in double digits three games in a row, but then again, if you’d asked me before last night if we’d ever see Hunter Renfroe in center field I would’ve said — uhh, probably not. Maybe in some weird late-inning defensive situation. And, well, yeah, that’s exactly what happened last night.

But tonight?

SS — Fernando Tatis Jr.
1B — Eric Hosmer
CF — Hunter Renfroe
RF — Franmil Reyes
LF — Josh Naylor
C — Francisco Mejia
2B — Ian Kinsler
SP — Matt Strahm
3B — Greg Garcia

That’s one way to work through the weird OF logjam the Padres seem to have and they seem committed to giving Josh Naylor a longer look, too.

Austin Slater’s strong return last night earned him another shot against a left-handed starting pitcher. Let’s see if he can avoid the quasi-curse of a lot of Giants outfielders who’ve come up and done something at first before struggling until they’re cut.

SS — Donovan Solano
1B — Brandon Belt
LF — Tyler Austin
C — Buster Posey
3B — Evan Longoria
CF — Kevin Pillar
RF — Austin Slater
2B — Joe Panik
SP — Tyler Beede

Matt Strahm’s Statcast data paints a promising portrait of success for the Giants: his hard hit rate is 39.6% (league average: 34.3%). The Giants had 20 hard hit balls in last night’s 13-2 win. Too, the xwOBAcon or expected weighted On Base Average on contact — which measures the expected value of offensive production based on the quality of the recorded batted ball data — is .407. That’s Peter Alonso/Freddie Freeman territory, just in terms of the expected results batters should have based on the kind of contact they make on his pitches.

Two things to keep an eye on tonight:

  • Can Tyler Beede work with Buster Posey (or vice versa)?
  • Can Kevin Pillar keep up this mini hot streak he’s on?