Zito predicted by Fangraphs to fall to earth


In case you didn't notice the Fangraphs headline on the main page, Mat Klaasen concludes that Zito's current success is not sustainable. Not enough strikeouts; low BABIP; amazingly high rate of stranded runners if they reach. Then there's my observation: Zito thrives when there's an extra day's rest between starts. When he's on a 5-day cycle repeatedly, his velocity goes down even more and he gets hit hard. Please join me in anti jinxing tonight, when he does have extra rest.