Here's part 3 of my monthly look at the contributions in win values of the Giants position players and starting pitchers.
As many of you know, the win value stat represents the latest, and by far the best IMO method to evaluate players. Using the best available offensive stat (wOBA), defensive stat (UZR) and pitching stat (FIP), win values literally allows one to assess how many wins a player has been worth compared to an equivalent minor league replacement (think Willie Bloomquest). Additionally, since major league teams pay roughly 5 million/ win on the FA market, win values enables us to think of player value in monetary terms (which is ridiculously cool and intuitive). Since MGL generously allowed access of UZR to fangraphs win values are now updated continuously throughout the season. So how have the Giants done up to June 28th?
Disclaimer: UZR requires a large sample size (probably 1-2 seasons) before it is terribly accurate. 2 months of data still contains a tremendous amount of noise.
|
Player |
Defensive Runs Above Average (RAA) |
Offensive RAA |
Win Value Total |
Delta Win Value since May |
Monetary Value (in millions) |
PA |
|
Sandoval |
-2.3 |
+15 |
+2.1 |
+1.4 |
9.4 |
271 |
|
Rowand |
+.1 |
+7.6 |
+1.8 |
+1.1 |
8.1 |
251 |
|
Torres |
+2.9 |
+3.7 |
+.8 |
+.4 |
3.6 |
53 |
|
Winn |
+6.7 |
-5.7 |
+.8 |
-.1 |
3.5 |
288 |
|
Molina |
|
-7.6 |
+.6 |
+.2 |
2.8 |
266 |
|
Lewis |
+1.9 |
-2.0 |
+.6 |
+.1 |
1.9 |
220 |
|
Ishikawa |
+4.7 |
-2.0 |
+.4 |
+.3 |
1.8 |
150 |
|
Uribe |
-.9 |
-1.6 |
+.3 |
+.3 |
1.4 |
137 |
|
Nate Sch. |
+2.8 |
-1.2 |
+.3 |
+.8 |
1.3 |
111 |
|
Frandsen |
1.1 |
-5.2 |
-.3 |
NA |
-1.3 |
28 |
|
Renteria |
-3.6 |
-11.6 |
-.3 |
-.5 |
-1.4 |
266 |
|
Aurilia |
+2.5 |
-7.8 |
-.4 |
+.3 |
-1.7 |
104 |
|
Velez |
-1.5 |
-4.0 |
-.4 |
0 |
-2.0 |
39 |
|
Burriss |
-3.9 |
-13.0 |
-.9 |
-.8 |
-3.9 |
220 |
|
Pitcher |
|
|
|
|
|
IP |
|
Lincecum |
|
|
+4.3 |
+1.3 |
19.2 |
105 |
|
Cain |
|
|
+1.6 |
+.8 |
7.1 |
101 |
|
Johnson |
|
|
+1.0 |
+.5 |
4.5 |
82 |
|
Zito |
|
|
+.7 |
+.2 |
2.9 |
83 |
|
Sanchez |
|
|
+.5 |
0 |
2.4 |
65 |
Observations:
1.Tim Lincecum- To quote a reputable Giants source, "Tim Lincecum is good. It’s almost like he should get some sort of award. Something like: "Award for Guy Who Throws Good" or something." He has been unquestionably the best Giants' player this season by a margin of 2 wins. 2 wins is the difference between a league average player and a AAA scrub.
2. Panda Sandoval- Sandoval had an great month. I recently went into how unique a hitter he is at a none-mccovey chronicles site . I don't know if he can sustain his approach over the long haul but he performed brilliantly in June.
3. Aaron Rowand- Rowand sweats pure testosterone and eats grittiness for breakfast. I hate this contract and the thought process behind it but he has been pretty good (even his defense!) in 2009.
4. Edgar Renteria- Renteria is just killing us with his bat. -11.6 runs below average is positively Burris-esque. I like this contract and the thought process behind it but he has been pretty bad (even his defense!) in 2009.
5. Kevin Frandsen- I included Frandsen mainly to annoy his supporters. He hit poorly in his 28 PA stint in the majors this season but even Albert Pujols can hit poorly over so small a stretch
