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Adjusting Expectations

When the Giants signed Armando Benitez, I don't think there were a lot of folks hoping for a repeat of his 2004 season. He had a fantastic season, saving 47 out of 51 with an ERA of 1.29. That was a bit unexpected, though. The Giants were just looking for stability. Expensive, expensive stability.

It didn't work out. Even before the hamstring sproinged into submission, the fastball rarely cracked 90 MPH. There might have been concerns with having Benitez as a closer, but a limp fastball was never one of them. Then came the injury, and it was coupled with a foolish rush back to action. The fastball stayed away.

Benitez has always had his faults. He never really stopped walking people, even in his best years. He'll still allow home runs; he throws pretty straight fastballs, and people have a tendency to sit on straight fastballs. But in his pre-Giants years, Benitez made every opposing hitter the equivalent of Jose Vizcaino. Worse, even. For all of the talk about Benitez not having the joie de vivre to close, or whatever the hell it takes, he has one of the higher save success percentages in history. He was a good pitcher before he came to the Giants.

Worth 1/4 of 10% of one billion dollars1? It seemed like a lot at the time, and it seems ridiculous now. A closer that would never frustrate you? Those don't exist. But he was one of a small handful of closers that had maintained some level of consistency. There are fly-by-night closers that seem to have the career lifespan of a gnat. Danny Kolb. Rich Loiselle. Billy Taylor. Good for one, two, three, or so years, but eventually swept out the front door. Benitez was in a different class, and just barely on the outside of the top tier of closers. He wasn't the worst closer to overspend on.

After about 30 innings of 89-MPH flatness, though, I was pretty convinced the Giants got hoodwinked. Bamboozled. Possibly even hornswoggled. It doesn't matter what color sash a guy wears to the annual Proven Closer's Ball; if a guy can't pitch, he can't pitch.

That's what made the mysterious velocity increase of last month so interesting. Expectations had been adjusted, and now the team would be thrilled with a slightly above-average closer. If the fastball's back, that's not out of the question. But what spurred this overly wordy treatise on the State of Armando was one pitch. The velocity loss has been beaten to death, but rarely has anyone mentioned his splitter. Or, rather, the complete absence of anything other than a fastball to try and get people out. He used to have a nasty split-fingered fastball.

Last night, he threw a splitter for the second strike to Orlando Cabrera, and it was the best pitch he's thrown as a Giant. It broke Cabrera down, and did exactly what a splitter was supposed to do. The strikeout of Vlad was great, but more a case of a stubborn hitter guessing incorrectly. It was that one Punxsutawney Phil of a splitter that gave me hope that Benitez would just be overpaid, not overpaid and useless.

A slightly above-average closer. That's all I ask for. Right now, I have more confidence in Jeremy Accardo, but that's fine. That just means Accardo will be the one brought in with runners on base, and tight situations. I'm growing more comfortable in giving the two- or three-run leads to start an inning to Benitez. Expecting him to be an All-Star might be a little goofy, but there's no sense in dismissing him entirely. He's a bit of a clown, and not in the good way, but I'm guardedly optimistic.

1First rule of sports muckraking: Always make the salary seem outrageous.

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments

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Re: Adjusting Expectations
Armando is the greatest closer ever!  He is my favorite Giant!  We're gonna win the world series!
P!S!  There are no periods, only exclamation points, on my keyboard!  

by ilykeitlykedat on Jun 21, 2006 12:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
My name is Jon Miller and I approve this message.

by dangjackson on Jun 21, 2006 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
Benitez hasn't been scaring me this year the way I thought that he should. He's got problems but he's pitching better than he has in almost two years and he's got a way of staring down a hitter that makes him at least look like a closer.

His control's bad, but it's always been bad. He's giving up hits, but as long as nobody's on when he comes in he's getting out of it. He's scary, and Accardo's obviously the best closer on the club, and one or two other guys have better closer "stuff" than the both of them, but he hasn't been as scary as I was worried about.

In fact, he's been serviceable. Scary, annoying, frustrating serviceability. Far from the worst of our problems.

Coming to you by proxy

by howtheyscored on Jun 21, 2006 12:13 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not seeing it on TV....
And being in the upper deck didn't allow me to see the splitter you talk about.  But it seemed Vlad was just so over (or truely, under) powered by the offspeed stuff he threw to him.  Was a great at bat.
I take it back, I do blame F.P. Santangelo and Greg Papa.

by WalrusMan on Jun 21, 2006 12:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
Last night was the first time in Armando's time as a Giant where I didn't have struggle to figure out which of his mid-80's pitches were splitfingers and which were sliders. When they hang, they look exactly the same -- 85-87 with little if any movement. But the difference last night was pretty clear, the split was dropping, like the pitch you mention to Cabrera, and the sliders were running down and away hard, like the ones to Vlad (although, you're right, his overagressiveness certainly helped there).

I can't say I won't be nervous the next time he pitches, but at least now it will be mixed with some excitement and interest.

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f***ing amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on Jun 21, 2006 12:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

excitement and interest...
a nice change from the usual exhaustion and dread.
You look like I need a drink

by kenshin1 on Jun 21, 2006 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I recently upgraded him...
When Armando enters the game, I've gone from being convinced he's going to be shelled to hoping he doesn't get shelled.

The next step will be liking his chances of not getting shelled.

Baby steps.

Ironically clever comment.

by Goofus on Jun 21, 2006 1:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
1First rule of sports muckraking: Always make the salary seem outrageous.

I thought the first rule was blame Barry.

Ironically clever comment.

by Goofus on Jun 21, 2006 1:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
You got a good point there Goofus.  However, you did fail to mention that blame Barry was rule #1 in the unwritten rule book.  I know it seems silly for writers to have an unwritten rule book, but what can you do?
"San Diego, which of course in German means a whale's vagina" - Ron Burgundy

by W8ingForATitle on Jun 21, 2006 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
What were you saying about having confidence in Accardo?  Also, did you notice that on the ESPN.com recap, they mentioned something about the 2002 world series.  I think they cancelled the season in 2002, just like they did after that earthquake in 1989..... weird, huh?
Attempted murder? Now honestly, what is that? Do they give a Nobel prize for attempted chemistry? Do they?

by mbedard on Jun 21, 2006 4:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Adjusting Expectations
I'm pretty sure the player strike in 2002 cancelled the World Series.

By the way, optimism is one thing, but desperate flailing-for-hope-ism is another. Obviously.

If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear. -George Orwell

by StopBeingSoKate on Jun 21, 2006 9:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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