Sabean chat - some interesting tidbits

Why should he guarantee Frandsen the starting 2B job?  Shouldn't he earn it? They need to leave options open.  

"he has opened the possibilty of trading cain and/or lincecum"

He said they're "probably untouchable". He should never close a door completely or show his hand.  If the phone rings with interest in Cain, he wants to be able to say "Can I interest you in this nice shiny Lowry and some prospects?"

"he says that ort needs to develop power when the guys he's been putting at first never had power"

I think you'd have criticized Sabean no matter what he said on this subject and would have screamed bloddy murder if he said "We don't think power at first base is important.".  

"he refused to give any real props to the position prospects"

I disagree.  He's said nice things about Ort, Nate and KFrand.  Baring a FA aquisition, he's annointed Davis the starting CF next year.

1. The Giant Doughnut:  2007 SF Giants Offensive Output and Brian Sabean's Daily Breakfast
2. Barry Scary:  How to Build a Baseball Team with Exactly One Offensive Threat
3. "It sounds ridiculous, but really, I don't think we performed or competed or took the field like a last-place team." And Other Terrible Opines.
4. Suck
   

If that's how Sabean is evaluating our pitchers, then he is an idiot. Based on his W-L record, Matt Cain should be traded, but that would be just retarded.

Too bad he left out the most important part of the plan: revamping the minor league system to develop good young hitters (ie: not pop-less wonders or mindless hackers) along with (NOT in place of) the good young pitchers.

No matter what anyone says, the voices of fans do have an impact on front offices. We were given two pretty dramatic examples of that with the Giants this year.  So wanting to be one of those voices that has an impact just seems like responsible fandom to me.

You can not answer questions and still show that you have a basic understanding of the game you make a career of.

That said, I'm certainly looking forward to seeing how the team takes shape.

JESUS.  Please tell me you are joking/being sarcastic.  If not, there needs to be an IQ test to be allowed to post.  I don't think our forefathers realized how stupid people could be when they came up with that free speech idea.

Look, this is why people say statistics are misleading.  It's because too often people who use them have no idea what they're doing.  If you really think our lineup is better without Bonds you are WRONG.  There is nothing subjective about this.  Sorry for being so rude, but this is getting ridiculous.

1. Check the number.  Anyone do this?  What is the source?
2. What is the standard deviation of runs scored/game.  The SD in 116 games is always going to be smaller than 46 games, but lets say it's 0.5 rpg - then the difference is signficant.  What if it's 1.0 rpg?  There is a whole field devoted to determining the statistical significance of numbers like this, and the probability that the difference is true or random.

OK, so we do that and we are sure that the difference is actually significant:

3) We know how Bonds hit in the games he played.  How did his replacement hit (OBP, SLG)?  How did the rest of the team hit (OBP, SLG)? It might be true that the rest of the team ALSO hit better, but now not the runs are distributed poorly, but the hits were!  

This should leave you with a couple of hypotheses:

a) Barry made the rest of the Giants hit worse
b) Barry made the rest of the Giants less clutch
c) Hitting for power and getting on base does not help you score runs.
d) Giants were unlucky when Barry played

It's obvious to me that a,b, and c are ridiculous.  Anyone have any others?

And no, I am not going to do the statistics for anyone for <$100/hour.

Dr. Zenbitz, Ph D.