Title
Last night was another game with nothing of interest:
- Jamey Wright is still a fifth starter.
- Eliezer Alfonzo is still hitting like someone that wants to collect a pension.
- The Giants can struggle to score runs, even at Coors Field.
- I'm with Ken Macha. We need to get a Dateline crew on that humidor. I get the feeling the scale at my local deli is regulated more closely.
- I don't really think the humidor is being used unfairly, but it'd be fun to blame the offensive woes on something other than a gaggle of mediocre players.
Which brings today's comment starter, though it's actually more of a roll call. Heck, I'll even put one of those newfangled polls in the comments section. The question is this: Are the playoffs are enough of a crapshoot that a mediocre team can win the World Series?
I've always been of that mind. Get in the playoffs, and let the microdynamics of baseball take over. Remember Noah Lowry's run in August last year? There could be two Giant pitchers who do that in October. Edgardo Alfonzo hit .359/.457/.538 last April. Lance Niekro could do better in a stretch of fifteen games. Anyone can. That's kind of the point.
This isn't to completely remove talent from the equation. A .600 team will beat a .500 more often than not, but not that much more often. Not often enough to stop trying to get in the playoffs, and not often enough to completely dismiss the chance of fluky success once a team is in.
I'm not really revealing the structure of the double helix for the first time; this stuff has all been hashed out on better sites than this. But I wanted to see where the denizens here stood on the issue. I'm not willing to part with Matt Cain or Jonathan Sanchez for a minor upgrade or rental, and it would be a terrible idea to trade players like Marcus Sanders, Travis Ishikawa, and Nate Schierholtz when their value has dropped so low. This isn't the season to completely mortgage the future.
However, as long as the Giants are just a couple of games back, I think it's silly to call for trading away Vizquel or Schmidt. I want in the playoffs, and I want the rest of the baseball-loving world to shake their head in disgust. "Eight RBI for Jason Ellison in Game Seven? Didn't see that coming...." Maybe it's irrational optimism, but I can't remember a time when following this team was rational. Like, the '60s, or something?
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Re: Title
3 Good starters, decent bench.
Also, we might be a .515 team with Alou and Bonds in the lineup.
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Vizcaino and Ellison are probably two of the most worthless players in all of baseball, and they're the most heavily used players on the bench.
Even with everyone healthy and Finley on the bench, I still wouldn't call it anything other than mediocre.
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Sweeney/Nierko both make decent PHs... just can't start.
Since we have 2 CFs and Ellison's defense has been a little shakey - I would dump him and call up Todd Linden.
Vizcaino is better than:
Shawon Duston
Charlie Hayes
Neifi Perez
Shinjo!
He's the backup MI for pete's sake.
I think the "when healthy" part is key. This team goes no where in the playoffs w/out Bonds+Alou.
Also, in my little world, we get someone who can hit to play first.
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If you were Todd Stottlemyre, I'd punch you for saying that.
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Between the bird and the cap "the ugly" is involved in two of my favorite dozen baseball memories.
by W8ingForATitle on Jul 6, 2006 5:06 PM PDT up reply actions
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Same goes for the playoffs. As Grant pointed out, anyone can get hot at any time and go on a run. The Giants usually are better in the second half of the year than the first half, but they've never had a team THIS old before... If they make it to the postseason, they've got a shot, but every time I watch a game, I just find it very difficult to imagine THIS team actually winning it all. The team has been the definition of mediocrity for an entire half, and mediocrity of this magnitude, I dunno. It's tough to imagine them even going on a big winning streak during the season, let alone making or getting results in the postseason...
IF we sneak into the playoffs
Other than that I don't see too many advantages IF we sneak in. I agree that anything can happen and point to Mark Lemke as Exhibit A. The Giants could certainly help their cause by adding a Craig Wilson to the mix, but the ifs, ands, and buts are too numerous to consider giving much in the way of trade...not that we have a hell of a lot to offer anyways.
I'd like the Giants to hang on to their tradeable pieces and see if they don't just prove me wrong, but I'd also like to see what a Schmidt and others would return in prospects before I make that statement conclusive.
Re: IF we sneak into the playoffs
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The part about the Padres was serious, though.
Re: IF we sneak into the playoffs
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You need more than 2 good starters...
by nostocksjustbonds on Jul 6, 2006 12:14 PM PDT reply actions
Re: You need more than 2 good starters...
Said another way, if you have two starters and plenty of offense/defense, you'd still have a puncher's chance of making some noise, even with a sub-standard bullpen.
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After getting swept by the Mets in the first round of the playoffs, folks like me will bitch about how being in the hunt in July and winning the wildcard was in fact a curse, as the team didn't do anything to make itself better in 2007 and future years (eg, trade for the young talent of which the farm system is bereft).
World Series or bust... and I don't see this team winning the 2006 World Series unless there is a horrible gardening accident involving all the other NL playoff teams and the AL pennant winner.
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You put in pieces of CRAP like Felix Rodriguez and watch balls SHOOT over the fence.
by Stuttering John Tamargo on Jul 6, 2006 1:33 PM PDT reply actions
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We can make moves before the trading deadline, but the other teams might be making moves too, no?
Crapshoot this
Schmidt and Bonds would have to be dominant. I can't see trading any truly useful future talent just for a shot at this one.
If we can bundle up guys like Linden or Ortmeier,
IF the Giants make it.....
If the Giants are to MAKE the playoff's, they need to find another bat, somewhere; be it 1st, 2nd, OF, C, anywhere. The also need to have a healthy Bonds/Alou combo. The pitching seems to me to be playoff caliber. It's the offense that concerns me.
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That, or trade our valuable veteran free agents for major league ready talent to rebuild. I think just sitting on your hands here is the worse option and doesn't give us a very good shot of making it into the playoffs, nor of rebuilding for the future. Sabes needs to pick a direction and go with it, and not do just another meaningless Ricky Ledee deal.
Playoffs a Crapshoot?
As many of us have said before, yes, this team could get to the World Series. Many, many, many things would have to break just right for that to happen, including David Wright's left tibula. At this point, just winning our division seems unlikely. We are sorta/kinda reasonably situated to compete for the wild card, but again we have too many competitors to make that likely with the team as presently constituted.
So I think it comes down to this: is this the kind of team that you want to gamble on and go for broke with a big July trade to acquire that player that gets you into the playoffs, or a team that needs to plan for the future? In 2002, Sabean correctly saw that he had a good enough team and gambled on Kenny Lofton. That was a good decision. But senator, I knew the 2002 Giants, and these, sir, aren't the 2002 Giants.
Therefore, I believe we should have "DNR" put on our medical charts, and no heroic measures to revive our season should be taken. If we get in, we get in. Bully for us. But under no circumstances do we trade away our promising youngsters.
I would prefer we trade Jason Schmidt for 2 prospects before the deadline, assuming other teams are interested and have the kinds of players that would be worth the risk. The Yankees are desperate for pitching, as are the Cardinals, but I don't know that they have the prospects needed to make a good trade with us. Maybe the Tigers go for broke and offer Cameron Maybin or Brent Clevlen or Jeff Larish or Jordan Tata. I don't say trade just to be making a trade, but if we can get 2 prospects off of somebody's Top Ten list, go for it. Just losing Schmidt to FA next year would get us one draft pick, but I'd prefer to trade him for 2 prospects.
However, since MerriamWebster has already asked for a Giants team photo to place next to "mediocre" in their next dictionary, I foresee us hanging around .500 for quite some time. And I fear this false hope will cloud Brian Sabean's mind and cause him to not trade Schmidt. I believe that would be another lost opportunity.
by Lyle @ McCovey Chronicles on Jul 6, 2006 2:29 PM PDT reply actions
Re: Playoffs a Crapshoot?
How about a deal with the Reds?
Re: Title
I'd love to see a power hitting 1b/Bonds/Alou combo tear it up in the playoffs. Or see Schmidt/Morris/Lowry shutting down the opposition in a short series. But I don't see it happening. We all envision it. Want it. I know I do, but you have to get there first. I'd rather not stumble into the postseason having relied on a crap division. I know must of us will take what we can get at this point, but this a total set up for failure I'm sure we'd all like to avoid.
If there was a way to get John Smoltz (I know, the farm sucks, but he's one of my favorite pitchers ever) or a power bat at 1st, I'd be right there with you guys. But even THAT is a longshot. When you can't even get the pieces you need to contend, it doesn't bode well for any plans of a division title.
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I hear the Taliban are coming back strong. Maybe you should root for them, too.
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P.S. Jeter's clutch. Arod sucks. Mooooooooose! Ber-nie-Will-iams-clap-clap-clapclapclap.
by Punch Rockgroin on Jul 6, 2006 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Good start, but you need to swear a lot more
Re: Good start, but you need to swear a lot more
by Punch Rockgroin on Jul 6, 2006 3:29 PM PDT up reply actions
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by nostocksjustbonds on Jul 6, 2006 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions
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What am I thinking? We'll never get him. Especially with Atlanta "contending" now. sigh
by Punch Rockgroin on Jul 6, 2006 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions
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I don't think a mediocre team can win in the playoffs. The padres last year were a mediocre team (and if I remember correctly, were hot going in) and got demolished by the cards. I can see a mediocre team stealing a short series from someone, but not making or coming close to winning the world series. The fact of the matter is the AL is far superior right now, with the best NL team (Mets) being only maybe the 4th or 5th best team in MLB (behind the Tigers, both Sox' and maybe even the Yankees). No the Yankees suck, I take that back.
The point is, even if we swindle our way into the playoffs, I expect the result to be a lot more 2003 than 2002. Of course 2002 never happened - so let's make that: a lot more 1997 than 1989.
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As a good rule of thumb, reading just my posts will give you an inordinate amount of brilliant insight and save gobs of time when you're in a hurry.
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Omar/Winn/Durham/Bonds/Alou/Feliz has enough punch if (big if) they all stay in the lineup, I'd be ok with the Swiekro platoon at 1st and let's see what happens.
I don't want to give up guys like Sanchez, Hennessey, Wilson and Accardo for a guy like Casey.
I'm guessing that Sabean will be watching Alou and Durham closely the next couple of weeks to try to determine what he's going to get out of them for the rest of the season.
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Er... I very much disagree. I like Winn, but he is a sub .500 slugging player, as is Durham. Omar can get on base, but has no punch. Sweeney is, well, not all that good. Niekro is garbage.
Think about how much better this lineup would be:
- omar
- winn
- 1b who with +.345 obp and + .525 slug
- Bonds
- Alou
- Feliz
- Alfonzo
- Durham
One thing we are forgetting in this thread is that the Giants starting pitching is pretty damn good (not great, but good) and the bullpen will improve. Let's hope Worrell doesn't come back either. If we can consistently score a few more runs we could win the division and have a chance in the playoff crapshoot. Not a good chance, but as much as the '01 d-backs or '03 marlins.
by Poe on Jul 6, 2006 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions
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His defense is so lazy I'm pretty sure it comes with a bowl of beer nuts on its chest, a remote control just out of arms reach, and a TV playing some crap that's driving it crazy, but it's watching because sho ain't getting up to grab the remote.
Anyway, I'm a firm believer that the catcher is the one position player on the team whose defense should not be excused by his offense (yeah, a bit of a Piazza complex here, but also I just don't like passed balls and guys who get to third on pickoffs to center field when a National League team should always be capable of winning with 7 good hitters out of 8 positions).
Unfortunately with this team we don't have 7 good hitters out of 8 positions, so his decent hitting has quieted me some despite the fact that everything he does behind the plate makes me scream. But like I said, he'll have to hit this well for a LONG time to make me stop wishing we had somebody else back there.
by howtheyscored on Jul 6, 2006 7:28 PM PDT up reply actions
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If your first six guys can show the ability to either get on base and/or drive in runs, I'd say your offense has some punch. As I said before, I think this is a totally different offense with Alou in the mix.
Sure, I'd like to have that 1B hitting 3rd, but not at the expense of the future.
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Other than Winn at leadoff, and Vizquel batting behind him, and the pitchers spot in the nine hole, the lineup is a toss-up every single game. There is little rhythm and very few patterns other than one step forward, one step back, no sense of direction from game to game. The only sure thing is the starting rotation. Nobody in the bullpen has a set role--still experimenting with this and that--Mando healthy? Who knows? Who's the set up? Who's the closer? Who is situational? It changes every game.
The Giants are playing like a very tired team right now. At least thats what I've seen the last couple of weeks. And with Felipe, don't look for any type of let-up. He just grinds and grinds and grinds, either like every single inning of every single game is game 7 or conversley, he waits until 9 guys come to the plate before he decides the pitcher is in trouble. Like I said, there is no rhythm or pattern here. There hasn't been for years now.
What is this team going to look like once August hits? I am not overly optimistic. Unless, like cited above, Bonds and Alou get healthy, stay healthy and produce and clutch-up over a long series of games.
I am hopin for the lightning in the bottle, but I wouldn't bet much money on it.
by E Ticket on Jul 6, 2006 6:53 PM PDT up reply actions
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I think a good team can turn great for a few weeks. Or, a good team can turn awful for a few weeks, letting mediocre teams beat them. But for this Giants team, as currently constituted, to win the Serious would require spectacular collapses from three consecutive teams. True mediocrity will out.
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For some strange reason, I can't shake the idea that we need the Mayor in the lineup, if only for a day. A big game from him so he gets another start and then enjoys the two-week run of a lifetime....We need some moments of magic to warm our hearts if not save the season.
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That said, I agree with Grant. The Giants' starting pitching could carry them into the World Series if they can win the West-- which sure seems doable.
by tito on Jul 6, 2006 7:58 PM PDT reply actions
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1). Do you really think Sabean is going to get good prospects for veterans?
2)...
3) Profit.
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by howtheyscored on Jul 7, 2006 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions

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