There is nothing more ridiculous than on-pace stats after a month of baseball. For this very reason, let’s look at on-pace stats after a month of baseball.
This isn’t meant to be predictive or instructive. It’s mostly just a way to laugh at some numbers. But it also helps you reconcile what you’re feeling about certain players. As in, if a player is on pace for 84 home runs, that would explain why you’re expecting him to hit a home run every time up. (No one is on pace for 84 home runs.)
The most important thing about this post is that Brandon Belt is ridiculous and should be treated as such.
On pace for: 32 HR, 78 RBI, zero steals in four attempts, hitting .286/.383/.488
Seriously, what was Posey thinking? Was that stolen base called for by Bochy? If so, what was he thinking?
I actually love sneak-attack steals. They’re the best. Never forget that Yadier Molina had more stolen bases in 2012 (12) than Mark Lemke had in his career. Mark Lemke was also never hit by a pitch in his career. Mark Lemke is also the inspiration for the name “Homestar Runner.” I think I want to write a book about Mark Lemke.
Back to Posey, remember that we’re looking for the first 30-homer player since Bonds left. Posey is ON PACE.
On pace for: 37 HR, 111 RBI, hitting .286/.336/.571
Morse is also on pace to make me look stupid. Very, very stupid. I am okay with this. If he kept this pace up, he would be the most surprising Giants acquisition since Aubrey Huff. Looking forward to the two-year deal in the offseason that bugs us for the next two years.
Those dingers, though. He’s been a treat to watch.
On pace for: 27 HR, 55 RBI, hitting .200/.310/.450
Pedro Feliz without the contact. I still have a bad feeling that in August, we’re going to be saying things like, “Remember when Brandon Hicks was hitting dingers early in the year? That was weird.”
On pace for: 41 HR, 83 RBI, 175 strikeouts, 37 walks, hitting .264/.312/.504
I’m a simple man. The only thing I want is for Brandon Belt to hit 41 homers and strike out 175 times without a lot of RBI and batting average, just for talk-radio fun. Please. Please please please. I’ve never wanted on-pace stats to be more real than right now.
On pace for: 9 HR, 27 RBI, hitting .175/.250/.283
The last person to get more than 500 at-bats with fewer than 30 RBI: Ryan Theriot in 2010. The last Giant to do it: Johnny LeMaster in 1983. Also, Sandoval is on pace to have the worst season of Johnny LeMaster’s career.
Repeat: Pablo Sandoval is on pace to have the worst season of Johnny LeMaster’s career.
I just died a little inside.
He’s on my fantasy team.
On pace for: 13 HR, 69 R, 69 RBI, 27 SB, hitting .318/.355/.450
Dang, that’s a good season. Also, I included the runs and RBI totals for slash-fic purposes. The most important stat isn't up there, though: He's also on pace for 597 at-bats. Remember that injury scare, where I mentioned that the Giants wouldn't be that much worse off with Gregor Blanco in center? That looks really stupid now. That was, like, two weeks ago.
On pace for: 9 HR, 41 RBI, 23 SB, hitting .256/.338/.380
I can't keep track if Pence is in the middle of a hot streak or a cold streak. Looks like he's cold now. It was fun while it lasted. At least he's still on pace for a bunch of rad pictures.
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
On pace for: 23 wins
Seems legit. I didn't include the other pitchers because there's no interesting way to write "Ryan Vogelsong has a 3.97 ERA. He's on pace for a 3.97 ERA." But Machi's 23 wins are worth mentioning, both because it highlights just how ridiculous the concept of "on pace" is after a month, and also because he's probably going to win the Cy Young.