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Madison Bumgarner: 12th starter (at best)




MadBum has, to date, faced 980 batters, with a FIP of 3.12. Sounds impressive, but Dave Cameron pointed out that he plays at AT&T, which suppresses homers, making his FIP look better than it should be. Apparently, 3.15 just isn't that impressive.

Well, here's a list of all of the pitchers with a FIP of 3.27 or better in their first 980 BFs as a starter, out of all MLB pitchers who debuted in the last 60 years, together with the year and their age when they reached that point:

 


Year Age FIP




Dwight Gooden 1985 21 2.16
Bill Singer 1968 24 2.8
Orel Hershiser 1985 27 2.82
Vida Blue 1971 22 2.92
Rick Reuschel 1973 24 2.94
Bill Gullickson 1981 22 2.95
Roy Oswalt 2002 25 2.99
Tim Belcher 1989 28 3.03
Mark Prior 2003 23 3.04
Fernando Valenzuela 1982 22 3.05
Bob Veale 1964 29 3.12
Shane Reynolds 1995 27 3.14
Don Sutton 1967 22 3.14
Grant Jackson 1969 27 3.14
Alejandro Pena 1984 25 3.14
Hideo Nomo 1996 28 3.15
Ed Halicki 1975 25 3.18
Jose DeLeon 1984 24 3.19
Gary Peters 1964 27 3.20
Ron Guidry 1978 28 3.20
Tim Lincecum 2008 24 3.22
Jeff Fassero 1994 31 3.24
Mike Cuellar 1966 29 3.27
Bob Moose 1969 22 3.27
Don Wilson 1968 23 3.27

 

Disclaimer: in this post, I am using the basic Tom Tango formula for FIP, one that doesn't adjust for ballparks etc. That's simply because I don't have that sort of information in my database. As a result, my FIP differs from, say, Fangraphs FIP by +/- 0.1: I think that's a pretty decent approximation. Every Giants pitcher with a decent SS I checked differed by less than 0.05.

Disclaimer 2: Age is calculated by deducting the year of birth from the year in which the 980 BF point was reached. Look, I'm lazy.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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