Has Jonathan Sanchez Been the Same Pitcher?(FanGraphs)

more Sanchie stuff.....this time at FanGraphs....

last paragraph is this:
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Yet I don’t think Sanchez’s decreased BABIP is sustainable. I’m inclined to think while it’s interesting to look at a pitcher’s batted ball results by pitch type in order to examine past performance, it is probably not a good predictor of future results. So while Sanchez produced different results in ERA with different pitch selections, his decreased BABIP and strand rate, but consistent rate statistics and constant xFIP, suggest that he has been, more or less, the same pitcher since his first full season as a starter. Barring a dramatic turnaround in his high walk rate, expect an increase in Sanchez’s ERA in 2011, possibly by a full run.
--------------------------------------------------------------------
:(

over 1 year ago repeat_in_2011 3 comments 0 recs |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Read More: jonathan sanchez, fangraphs, babip

Comments

Barring a dramatic turnaround in his high walk rate, expect an increase in Sanchez’s ERA in 2011, possibly by a full run.

I hate this type of analysis. It doesn’t add shit to the conversation, and wouldn’t saying “Sanchezs past history suggests that his 2010 ERA will not be sustainable” be a better way to phrase it? And what’s the point of POSSIBLY BY A FULL RUN? That’s like doing a Batista analysis and saying “his HR’s should drop, possible by 52!”

Overplayed memes:
EASTCOAST BIAS
2002 WS CANCELED
Blue Jays want all our player that we don't utilize correctly

by say hey nation on Jan 19, 2011 11:52 AM PST reply actions

Ho and Hum. Redundant discussion of the same old shit

"It's too LATE to stop now!" - John Lee Hooker

by Rolfyboy on Jan 19, 2011 12:19 PM PST reply actions

I go to Fangraphs a lot. I love it. First, I dig some of the articles. Second (and more importantly), until baseball starts again the game graph on their homepage has been and will be Game 5 of the 2010 World Series. Renteria homerun for the win!

I feel prickishly demanding!

I couldn't be prouder of my recent adoptee - Tim Lincecum's dealer. He provides the secret fuel behind both Cy Youngs. Also, he taught Timmy the change-up.

by giantsfansince1981 on Jan 20, 2011 5:35 PM PST reply actions 1 recs