http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/matt-cains-pitch-selection-by-count/
See above - some interesting thoughts / notes,
- Cain almost never throws a LHH a slider, unless you have 2 strikes on you. If you're a lefty early on in an AB, you can think of Cain as a 3-pitch pitcher, which almost certainly makes the guesswork a little easier. Fascinatingly for me, the more strikes he gets on you, the more like he is to add to the repertoire - making a hitter's job even harder.
- As we would expect, the fastball % goes up with the no of balls in the count - its still the pitch he seems to have the most confidence in throwing for a strike
- If you have a 3-1 count, you can bet your life savings on Cain not throwing you a curveball. That's not necessary surprising, but Cain is willing to use it on a 3-0 count at a reasonable frequency (8%) - but not at 3-1.
All and all, its a really interesting picture of a very smart pitcher.