Baseball people are a superstitious bunch as evidenced by Aubrey Huff's latest wardrobe change that has seen the Giants go 8-2 since "The Best Athlete on the Team" and resident trailer park expert started sporting this:
So before you go all Carlos Zambrano on me, understand that I really, really like Buster Posey, as much as I've liked any Giants player since Aubrey Huff, however before that it was Will Clark. It's just that I know what's happened to some former players who have won Rookie of the Year and "I ain't have'n it!:" I don't want to see Posey win ROY and then proceed to fall off the face of the planet.
In case you were wondering here's a selection of guys who won ROY, just in the last 30 years: Joe Charboneau, Ron Kittle, Alvin Davis, Walt Weiss, Pat Listach, Bob Hamelin, Marty Cordova, Ben Grieve, Kazuhiro Sasaki, Angel Berroa, Bobby Crosby, Steve Howe, Steve Sax, Todd Worrell, Jerome Walton, Eric "The Creepiest Guy on the Face of the Planet" Karros, Todd Hollandsworth, Scott Williamson, Jason Jenninger, Dontrelle Willis and Jason Jennings.
Certainly, some of those guys went on to have nice careers, but all fell short of superstardom.
However the problem is confounded by the fact that these guys also won ROY: Ryan Braun, Hanley Ramirez, Albert Pujols, Scott Rolen, Jeff Bagwell, David Justice, Vince Coleman, Dwight Gooden, Dustin Pedroia, Justin Verlander, Evan Longoria, Ichiro, Derek Jeter, etc.
Still maybe it's just because I'm a Giants fan and expect all things baseball to be some sort of curse that works against the Giants after watching them not win a World Series in my 30+ years on this earth, but I really don't want Posey to win ROY. Of course Sandoval didn't win ROY, and still fell off the planet, so it may not save him.
So what do you guys think, is the ROY a curse or indicator of future success?
And also, is this a moot question since the other two frontrunners Heyward and Garcia both play for East Coast teams, which typically have a significant edge in awards voting?