First it was Fielder, now it is Hart, and Braun’s name has been mentioned once or twice along the way. The Giants are looking for a #3 or #4 hitter to match with Aubrey Huff as they look to push to the playoffs for the first time since 2003. The Brewers are looking to deal a #3 or #4 hitter and gain pitching for the future as they retool and reload. Any Giant’s fan would clearly love to have any one of the Brewers three sluggers on the team, at the right price of course. Three of the Giants five starters have been linked to the Brewers at some point Sanchez, Bumgarner, and Cain could all potentially be dealt in some sort of package with prospect. So that leaves the question, what is the right price and at what point should the Giants walk away.
Well in my humble opinion Fielder and Braun are both going to be unreasonably expensive, Braun will cost to much in terms of talent and Fielder would not only cost pitching but also potentially 25 million a year to resign when he is a free agent at the end of 2011, and do we really want to be caught with a massive contract with a guy who could have a short career due to weight issues.
To me the only real target on the Brewers is Corey Hart and the question of how much he is worth has to have two parts to it. First off how much talent should the Giants sacrifice and also when Hart is a free agent at the end of 2011 how much is it going to be worth for the Giants to resign him. Hart is having a career year, which means that his trade value is at an all time high, the Brewers realize this, which makes a trade even more likely. You have to remember as well that players coming off of big years want big contracts and if he keeps it up through next season Corey will be no exception. The Giants have paid significant amounts of money for players that have gone on to have significant drops in production, Bary Zito being the prime example, so if Hart were to be a free agent at the end of this season and kept up his current production I would assume that he would get a deal in the 6 year 100 million range if not higher. Honestly I would not want to pay that after just one monster season but the good news is that the Giants will have Hart under contract for another season to see if this is a fluke. If I were Sabean I would want to talk to Hart’s agent and see what he is thinking in terms of contract before I do anything.
It is important to remember that Sabean is looking to get another contract himself, which makes a deal far more likely. Although Sabean has hit big in the draft with pitching an pulled the trigger on a great pickup of Aubrey Huff he has also given out many contracts to injury prone players past there prime. Yes I mean Renteria, DeRosa, and Rowand. In order to secure his job for next season and beyond he must secure a playoff spot for the Giants for the first time since 2003. Personally I think the best trade target for the Giants at this point would be Adam Dunn but assuming we go after Hart what is the most you would give up in terms of prospects? Personally I’d deal Jonathan Sanchez and Bowker plus a few prospects like Tommy Joseph who is expendable with Posey at catcher and a pitcher who the Brewers are interested in.