He seems to be as important to the overall success of the team as is Timmeh...so what is wrong with Pablo? Or is nothing wrong? Is he coming out of his slump? Season to date: .286/.341/.437 OPS+ 103. His BABIP is down, but his LD% is unchanged. He is striking out a little more. He has shown a big change is in GO/AO, where he is now at 1.33, up from 1.09 last year. Usually ground balls are more likely to result in hits than are fly balls, so this is kind of hard to interpret. GDP counts as two outs, so that accounts for some of the increase in GO, but I think perhaps he is hitting weaker ground balls. Or is he that much slower? Bad luck? perhaps. Is it just that he can't handle the high hard one?Here is super slo mo of Pablo from the right side and here he is on the left side. Of course these are old, and not very helpful.
All other things being equal, an increase in ground balls, if they are pulled, usually means an over-anxious hitter. I wonder if Pablo is trying too hard, and trying to pull more. He seems to be a spray hitter with power, who does best when he hits to all fields, depending on the pitch and location. I would be interested in seeing where he is hitting the ball, for hits and for outs. Of course, it would have to be split into RH and LH. If he is pulling the ball more and making outs, that would be consistent with being over-anxious. What about the high cheese? Perhaps he is vulnerable to that pitch, but it seems to me that many of the ones he misses are out of the strike zone. I wonder if he is just pressing so much that he can't lay off it.
The more patient Pablo is, it seems to me, the better he does. If he can concentrate on hitting the opposite way, I think he can generate his usual stats. Of course, taking off 20 lbs might also help.
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