With the arbitration hearing Friday. I will guess that if there is no settlement, the player will prevail.  I don't think the Giants ever expected this to go all the way to a hearing and also expected the player to pick a more outrageous figure, Santana money for example.

The Giants should have picked a more defensible figure to offer Lincecum.  I would have suggested a salary above the $10 million that Ryan Howard had been awarded previously in arbitration.  Something like $10.750 million.  Howards credentials included a MVP and RoY.  Lincecums two Cy awards seemingly top those and should deserve more than the lower figure.  Is there some conspiracy theory involved with the team offer as low as it is?