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POLL: Sanchez trade, The McCC View


OK, after 2500+ comments on the Sanchez-Alderson trade, it is clear that feelings are running high on this trade. But it is 2500+ comments, so it is hard to summarize quite where everyone is with it. Thus a poll. Yes, the poll forces you into a choice between two things; that's the point. Just pick the one that is closer to your view, even if only a little. I think I have done a fair job of distilling the two basic sides. (I have omitted the "middle" position of "I favor the trade, but wish it could have been more cheaply"-- nope, no alternative scenarios allowed. This is your sense of the trade as actually made.)

The sides are generally this:

  • Generally favor. Sure, Alderson was special, but There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect (TINSTAAPP), which has been absolute dogma on here for years, along with the warning that people tend to overvalue their own prospects. Look, you have to give up something good to get something good. This season has provided an unexpected but realistic chance at the postseason that can't be taken lightly.
  • Generally oppose. Alderson is more important to our future plans than Freddy Sanchez; Sanchez is better than the mess we have at 2b, but we need so much more than that, so this is kind of a pointless trade. Our chances at the postseason are technically realistic, sure, but our chances of winning the World Series with an offense that has 5 holes in it and Winnie-the-Pooh batting cleanup are very small, so losing a blue chip like Alderson is not worth it. (Again, I'm leaving out the 'would have loved to get Sanchez for Velez and Aurilia and a Cha Cha Bowl' alternative copout-- this isn't "What If Lee Had Won At Gettysburg.")

Poll
Which statement comes closer to reflecting your feelings?
I understand that Alderson is special, but TINSTAAPP, and we needed a decent-hitting 2b NOW; postseason in 2009 is realistic & worthwhile. Generally favor.
227 votes
I get that postseason chances aren't to be taken lightly, but Alderson is an exception to the TINSTAAPP rule and FSanchy can't cure our ills. Generally oppose.
131 votes

358 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

1 recs  |  Comment 88 comments

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I don’t think there are hardly any exceptions to TINSTAAPP but I’m still not all that happy.

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 9:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I’d replace the exception to TINSTAAPP with ‘poor use of prospect resources’ instead.

by xanthan on Jul 30, 2009 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

This is exactly it

I think Alderson was a good asset. I think he was worth significantly more, but Sabean’s natural tendency to favor vets cost us again, and I believe he was in job saving mode. I don’t want him as our GM long-term.

I also think the price paid compared to Felipe Lopez was frigging ridiculous.

Jonathan Sanchez. He's left-handed, like Barry Zito. His fastball breaks 80, unlike Zito.

by Aadik on Jul 30, 2009 9:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Freddie Sanchez>Felipe Lopez.

Both offensively and defensively.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Jul 30, 2009 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

damn right he is

by KrazyKrabMeat on Jul 30, 2009 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

not to mention the price paid compared to every other Bucs trade this season.

Tim is good enough for 2

by ktice on Jul 30, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

PUSH POLLING

Meet my new son: Sundrendy Windster, on the Curacao-SF express (via Arizona).

by EliminateMe on Jul 30, 2009 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

putsch polling, but, yeah.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which statement comes closest to reflecting your feelings?

[ ] The Mayor of 311 is doing an excellent job and should be re-elected.
[ ] The Mayor of 311 is doing a FABULOUS job and should be proclaimed Dictator-For-Live of 311.

Meet my new son: Sundrendy Windster, on the Curacao-SF express (via Arizona).

by EliminateMe on Jul 30, 2009 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Already focus grouped that; found it too subtle.

Stupid proletariat.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am sad that 210 people have been so abused in the past that they would vote for FSanchez. I’m also not suprised that the velocity-mongers have no regard for Alderson’s potential.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005. And winner of the 2012 NL Fireman of the Year Award!

by Lyle on Aug 1, 2009 8:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

risky assets still have present value, to get all financial

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

ACCOUNTANT!

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Economist

Don’t make me call you City Council Member of 311.

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

(shudder) My apologies. But it was just The Meme of the Week.

Mad props, b.t.w. I have an econ degree.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 9:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

TRUST ME I'M AN ACCOUNTANT

/deploys secret economics handshake

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

That’s it! Katie bar the door for this 79 win team is star crossed! And I am loving it.

by daveinexile on Jul 31, 2009 4:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

TINSTAAPPEFTLAMC

Can anyone decipher this?

Noonan. Nooooonan!

by Giant Fan in Singapore on Jul 30, 2009 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

…except for Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain?

Meet my new son: Sundrendy Windster, on the Curacao-SF express (via Arizona).

by EliminateMe on Jul 30, 2009 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

there’s no such thing as a pitching prospect, especially for the lowry admirers miserable chances?

there’s no such thing as a pitching prospect except for tim lincecum and matt cain

by Merope on Jul 30, 2009 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can’t select either option. I’d have been cool with the trade if I didn’t feel we overpaid. Thus, I’m disappointed in the move.

I'm thinking but nothing's happening.

by JRPhillips on Jul 30, 2009 9:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If there was a 1-5 scale, strongly agree through strongly oppose. I would be opposing, but nearer to the middle.

Chris Dominguez: Bringing dingerz back to The Bay (In a while)

by CB30 on Jul 30, 2009 9:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Pro tip... no, seriously, a professional tip on scale polling

Never pick an odd number for a scale if you want to find out anything, because lots of people will choose the middle option kind of automatically. By picking a 4-scale or a 6-scale, you force respondents to get to their side preference, even if only a slight preference.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

you would be surprised and alarmed at how many Industrial psychologists ignore this.

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not surprised, as I see it regularly. I am contemptuous, though.

That’s right, I said contemptuous. I am just sorry that the kids on this site might have seen that.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This actually makes a lot of sense, but I am close to the middle

Chris Dominguez: Bringing dingerz back to The Bay (In a while)

by CB30 on Jul 30, 2009 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Choose, damn you, choose!

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, I did

Chris Dominguez: Bringing dingerz back to The Bay (In a while)

by CB30 on Jul 30, 2009 10:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Counterargument

Wouldn’t the 4/6 scale potentially create false sentiments when there aren’t any? That is to say, a “slightly agree” or “slightly disagree” would be more trustworthy if the majority of respondents had “no opinion”ed themselves.

I didn’t study this stuff, but I’ve 10-keyed my fair share of survey instruments, and I’m feeling vaguely feisty today.

My son is Madison Bumgarner, the Spacebat of pitching prospects. My other son is a Porsche.

by multiphasic on Jul 30, 2009 10:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No.

But thanks for your feistiness.

Seriously, though, you raise two important issues. One is that surveyors must be careful not to introduce noise into the findings, and you’re right that offered responses can unintentionally taint respondents (heh, taint). I don’t know anyone in the business who would sacrifice the increased clarity/resolution of data by forcing people to pick a side even if only slightly. The thinking is that people really DO have preferences but that many people also have some habits that kick in and fuzz up those ideas. There are some people who simply can’t be convinced of anything because they talk themselves out of everything— “oh, but we can’t really be sure, because blah blah blah.” Forcing people into a choice gets past that phenomenon, which is more common than one would guess.

The other important issue you raise is that there is never, ever a time that “10-key” may be used as a verb. I accept your apology.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 10:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Based on work experience--

10-key isn’t something you do, it’s something that’s done to you.

But I apologize anyway.

My son is Madison Bumgarner, the Spacebat of pitching prospects. My other son is a Porsche.

by multiphasic on Jul 30, 2009 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's cool.

By the way, want an example of the decision-refusers? See wcw’s comment below. It is an archetype. I would pay big money to have wcw on a jury if I were a defendant in a civil case.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i refuse to scroll down that far

Daily Gameball and Joker at GIANTSBOARD.COM
Say Hey Say Willie, that Giant Kid is Great!

by merkin on Jul 30, 2009 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I voted for generally favor but I don’t know how special Alderson is.

I figure that he was most likely offered to Washington for Willingham and they said no. I think Freddy Sanchez was the best we could get for Alderson. Seems that most of us thought Alderson was better than people in the industry did.

by I'm_a_Man on Jul 30, 2009 10:16 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It’s funny that I hadn’t really thought that maybe they offered Alderson around, and perhaps nobody bit. I guess part of my disappointment is I was hoping Bowker and Frandsen would find themselves in Pittsburgh with a fair shake to get regular playing time so we could see if they’re any good at the ML level.

I'm thinking but nothing's happening.

by JRPhillips on Jul 30, 2009 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

http://blogs.mercurynews.com/kawakami/2009/07/27/sabean-bullet-points-on-the-giants-garko-trade-theyre-not-finished/
He said that the Giants have identified one minor-leaguer who "we’re willing to trade" and that two teams are currently pondering whether they’re willing to give up what the Giants want for him.

by cakes on Jul 30, 2009 10:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So best guess: we offered Alderson to the Nats and Pirates, and the Pirates bit.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Jul 30, 2009 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is it. The Nats’ scout was apparently pretty much a regular at Defenders games the past couple of weeks, and he was there when I was watching Alderson.

"The knowledge of the game is inversely proportional to the price of the seat." ---Bill Veeck. •Now you can follow SFDugout.com on Twitter and Facebook!•

by BruteSentiment on Jul 30, 2009 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

what was the opportunity cost?

I don’t think Alderson was worth all that much in the market. Any evidence he was?

Also, I can’t vote here: I think Alderson was a good-but-not-can’t-miss prospect, a solid B. That’s probably worth more than the net present value of Sanchez (who is still worth something, since the market undervalues him, since the market undervalues defense), so the Pirates win, but not much more and fills an up-the-middle position of need, so the Giants win. That makes this a decent trade for both sides, but only in a vacuum.

No way to judge without knowing the alternatives. Was Victor Martinez available for Alderson and Barnes?

by wcw on Jul 30, 2009 10:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The "value" he provides the Giants is a team controlled cheep BOR guy for the years 2011 or 2012 and on. That gives the team greater flexibility in both retaining player that "hit the big time" and bring in a piece or two on those squads. It also makes carrying that Zito contract much cheaper. Cheaper in that is reduces the chances his option year kicks in and cheaper in having that contract force the Giants into a newer version of Barry and the Seven Dwarfs.

We traded a great shot at mitigating all those liabilities for a year and 2 months of 31 year old 2nd baseman. To make Sabean look smart Sanchez has to come over and have a Reign of Terror like Winn did when he arrived from the M’s. Otherwise we better darn well pray nothing goes wrong with Madison and that the Farm churns out another solid BOR guy that we are currently under estimating.

That’s it! Katie bar the door for this 79 win team is star crossed! And I am loving it.

by daveinexile on Jul 31, 2009 5:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think this is exactly the problem, and in the correct context.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005. And winner of the 2012 NL Fireman of the Year Award!

by Lyle on Aug 1, 2009 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

looking at value based upon BA prospect ranking

interesting article from hardball times"

I found a prospect’s value by finding his average production in his first six years and also the monetary savings that he gave his team. To find a prospect’s production, I used Win Shares Above Bench (WSAB) and divided by three to come up with Wins Above Bench (WAB). However, all things being equal, you’d rather have an all-star season now instead of an all-star season four years in the future. To account for this, I used an 8% discount rate and converted a prospect’s average WAB into a discounted WAB (DWAB). (discount rate is applied as sort of “interest” on future talent)

So basically, Alderson basically has an estimate value of 3.42 Win Shares Above Bench

Daily Gameball and Joker at GIANTSBOARD.COM
Say Hey Say Willie, that Giant Kid is Great!

by merkin on Jul 30, 2009 11:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Keith Law has Alderson as a back of the Top 100 prospect.

by Missing Barry on Jul 30, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Since no one asked

Eight million dollars aint exactly cheap.

El Presidente Larry Baer's epitaph
"Nothing important ever happened without me."

by ResDog on Jul 30, 2009 11:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

fangraphs says Sanchez's 2006-8 average value was $12m

That doesn’t make the trade a win, since Alderson’s NPV likely is higher, but Sanchez is hardly worthless.

by wcw on Jul 30, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on what you think of Sanchez’s 2008. Was it a fluke and his 3 year average is a better indicator of future performance, or is it a big red flag screaming, “I’M OLD!”?

by Missing Barry on Jul 30, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

2 uses of present value in one thread

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good poll. The results are surprising to me at this point. Though it is possible that a vitriolic sect of McCovenites has yet to cast their votes. The comments (at least yesterday) seemed overwhelmingly negative.

Young Studs for Old Bats: The Brian Sabean Porno Story

FREE KEVIN FRANDSEN!!!

by Uribe nee Gonzalez on Jul 30, 2009 1:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Heh. This post inspired me to actually cast a vote.

by Evan on Jul 30, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks. Yeah, this is what I was trying to see.

I wanted to see whether the negativity of the signal yesterday/today was really reflective of what the majority of us think. I suspected that the general sense was less negative than the comments were suggesting. With 184 votes, I think that’s probably the bulk of the regulars, semiregulars, and regular lurkers here.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I suspect the number of regular readers is three or four times that.

by Evan on Jul 30, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

To wit, the front page poll has 939 votes.

by Evan on Jul 30, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Silent Majority

/Nixon

Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.

by oldjacket on Jul 30, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was perhaps the most vitrolic, and I voted oppose.

Supporting San Francisco Dugout since 2005 and Manny Burriss since 2006, and bringing you all your California League needs since 2009.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 30, 2009 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A question for the Duchess of Vitriola

In broad terms, how would you plot a path for the Giants winning the World Series? Starting from where we are now to whatever you think we would need to be to pull that off. I’m not asking for specific names or trades or anything, but just generally.

We can’t JUST do it through drafting. We can’t just do it through developing 9 position players ourselves. Et cetera. You get my point. So how do we get there? (And no, I’m not saying FSanchy or Garko are the gold ticket to the WS for us.)

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

if we're talking this season

As a lot of people say, the pitching is there and ready to win a short series. The offense is lagging behind. Etc. I’m a little worried about the bullpen if the Giants make the playoffs. There seem to be defined roles; not in the sense of LHP v. LHH, but Affeldt when the game’s on the line or when the Giants have a slim lead versus using Valdez for mop-up. The arms they have turned to all year become even more important. What happens when one (or more) of those arms falters? I’m not asking the team to acquire any relief pitching, I’m just saying it’s something sitting in the back of my mind.

Maybe the stability of having Sanchez at second helps the team. World Series aren’t won by superstars all the time. It’s the guys who get hot and stay hot at the right times. Having the same guys in the lineup who can produce offensively is a big step up from a revolving door of mediocrity.

And yeah you’re right. Not even the Rays, the homegrown talent based rags to riches story, did it solely on drafting. They needed trades (Kazmir and Garza) and key FA signings (Iwamura) to get there. I don’t know that Sanchez or even Garko will be part of the Next Good Giants Team, at 2011 or 2012 or whatever date we’re predicting here. What we all want to see is consistency from guys who are worth a damn. No more Molina hitting cleanup. No more benching guys until they out of options. No more yo-yoing guys who might fit into this plan, ruining their chances to possibly develop, and then throwing them under the bus when they inevitably fail.

Supporting San Francisco Dugout since 2005 and Manny Burriss since 2006, and bringing you all your California League needs since 2009.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 30, 2009 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank you. Good points.

(Quick sidenote: I reject the notion that yo-yoing ruins chances of development, but that’s another discussion.)

That’s for reaching the WS this year. But what about reaching it in 2010-11, how would that change your answer?

There’s a reason I am asking, and I really would like an answer from everyone who had strong negative reactions to this trade: what’s your plan for getting to a WS. We can’t sit around waiting for 8 home grown stud position players and 3 home grown ace pitchers and 2 home grown acceptable starters and so on. It will never happen. We can’t sit around until the end of Lincecum’s and Cain’s contracts (or shouldn’t, anyway). And it is impossible to get good players by sending other team’s loaves of sourdough + Eugenio Velez. So what would you have us do?

It’s also worth noting that the market is whatever it is. If one Alderson brings one FSanchy, then that’s what it is. People around here might quibble that Sabean should have “gotten more,” but they don’t actually know what they’re talking about— it might be right or it might not. But there’s no way that 1 Alderson = 1 FSancy + 1 great MLB piece; hence, if Sabean missed something, he didn’t miss by much.

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A really long way of saying "beats the fuck outta me"

Outside of “let’s add a bat” I don’t know what moves should be made. Trades, FA signings? Those all depend on the market, and like you say, it is what it is (and I hate that phrase). I could say “acquire a bat” but from where? Who? And for what, in terms of players to trade or moneys to spend?

I used to sit around with the ex boyfriend and listen to him talk about this stuff. He talked money and contracts most of all.
The hot topic was salaries and who comes off the books and when. As I told him, until it’s happening or close to happening, we really don’t know what’s out there, which affects what the team can do. We can have X dollars freed up after Molina, Uribe, Roberts, et. al. are no longer being paid. Is that money to be earmarked for an impact signing?

Supporting San Francisco Dugout since 2005 and Manny Burriss since 2006, and bringing you all your California League needs since 2009.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 30, 2009 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mayor, I reject your notion of rejecting the idea that “we can’t just sit around.” Why would you posit a scenario and then refuse to consider an option?

Now, I don’t say that we should expect “8 homegrown stud positon players” to arrive. There is certainly a place for trades and for free-agent signings. But I believe the basis of any good, long-term successful team is drafting (and, thus, scouting).

That said, you are correct that – in our absence of actual inside information – the market is what it is, and this is apparently all that Alderson could be traded for in return. That is to say, his present value (which includes potential projected increase in value, of course) was not as high as some here might judge. I saw him as the next Tom Gordon-type of pitcher, so I placed a higher value on him than most, probably.

To your larger point, I don’t think the Giants will achieve critical mass until 2013. To do so will require us locking up Cain and Lincecum beyond those years, and that will be expensive. If we can get Neal, BCrawford, and Dominguez to the majors by then, I think we’d have a decent shot. Anybody else (Kieschnick, Villalona, whomever) would be gravy. I’m assuming Pucetas and/or Martinez become acceptable starters, and some pitcher currently in the minors also becomes an acceptable (but not elite) starter, like Clark or Tanner or Nicholson.

And trades will have to be made. Clearly. Of course, it’s impossible to predict which ones, specifically, at this point.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005. And winner of the 2012 NL Fireman of the Year Award!

by Lyle on Aug 1, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t really agree with either option so idk what to vote for. I think I still generally oppose but not because I think Alderson isn’t included in TINSTAAPP or because I don’t think Sanchez helps the team.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jul 30, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you generally oppose the deal, then vote 'generally oppose.'

How can that be confusing?

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’s not confusing, but I don’t agree with the rest of the “Generally oppose” option. I voted for it anyway though.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jul 30, 2009 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm curious-- why do you generally oppose this deal?

Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit... Maybe.

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 30, 2009 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I still think it was an overpay, even if Tim Alderson really is heading steadily downward on the prospect radar. I’m also still not pleased that we gave up Alderson and didn’t get any cash back. If you’re really letting a team dump salary on you, you shouldn’t be giving up a top 100 prospect in return, in my book. I’m also concerned with his knee.

I don’t think it was an awful trade or anything, but I would say that for now I’m more opposed to it than I am for it. And I really wanted the Giants to trade for Sanchez, I think I was the biggest person on here pushing it. But I’m not happy with the circumstances of how the trade ended up going down.

I would be interested in seeing what the Twins offer for him was, actually.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jul 30, 2009 5:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Liriano, Bonser, and Nathan

by Natto on Jul 30, 2009 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We traded a player who might be good someday for a player that is good now

Generally, that’s the right thing to do when you are in contention.

The Tim/Cain window is apparently now – and won’t be forever. Let’s not miss it.

I have no problem with this trade, and I think Alderson’s value has been grossly overestimated by the fanbase.

Alderson’s Value has now been accurately established: 1 Freddy Sanchez.

I am quite positive that this is the best Sabean could get for him, and as such he pulled the trigger.

by FairweatherFan on Jul 30, 2009 2:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

That presupposed that the Giants are in contention.

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 30, 2009 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Today the Giants are in contention, no doubt about it.

Will they be in contention in a month? I’m not convinced they will be.

I am quite positive that this is the best Sabean could get for him

I really don’t know how you can say that.

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 30, 2009 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m quite positive that FWF is high.

by xanthan on Jul 30, 2009 5:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Out of the division race and in a 5 team or more race for the wild card isn’t contending the way in the division race with the potential consolation prize of the wild card birth is…

by Missing Barry on Jul 30, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Offense Doesn't Matter in Playoffs

Two separate studies by well respected analysts – Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times – studied success in the playoffs and both found that offense did not have any differentiating factor. Best run scoring. Best HR hitting. Didn’t matter. Offense had no factor in success, as defined by both studies.

What mattered in the playoffs was pitching and defense.

Obviously, you still need enough offense to make the playoffs. But as I showed in my “Hey Neukom” series earlier this year on my blog, even an offense that was at the bottom of the rankings could have a record capable of 90 wins if the pitching/defense was elite (using pthagorean rule). Thus far this season, it has been pretty close to that and thus we have been winning.

That is why I think people have been worried too much about the cleanup position, as long as we have been having enough good enough hitters up and down the lineup, we can win with our pitching and defense. I would love to get someone who could take that position, and perhaps Garko can, but that hasn’t prevented the team from staying in the wild card race.

Adoptive parental unit of Ehire Adrianza.
Godfather of Travis Ishikawa.

"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
"Woo hoo" - Tim "The Kid" Lincecum
"Let's go get them in 2009!" - The Kid
"He got his pitch; he did not miss it" - Cainer
"Kung Fu Panda don't get hurt" - Cainer

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jul 30, 2009 7:19 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You’re not helping your point at all by overstating it.

Offense matters. Always.

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 30, 2009 8:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Glad everyone’s calmed down a bit about this since yesterday. We gave up a prospect for a former batting champion who’s going to more than adequately fill our most glaring whole in the entire organization for the next year and a half. That’s a good thing!

Still pissed we didn’t sign Abreau, or Hudson, or Felipe Lopez - these guys were out there in the offseason and would have been such smarter moves. The fact that management was so far off in evaluating the talent they had on their “starting roster” for 2009, and being happy with the product they were going to put on the field is what astounds me most. The Fred Lewis/Ishikawa/Burriss experiment is what’s really disappointing – and being in management it’s easy to see their mistake. They didn’t want to spend the extra money for more training for these guys, and instead put them out there to sink or swim. Lewis was exposed last year as a middling player who probably wasn’t going to blow anyone away. But – if he’s your starting LF and you know you need to score X amount of runs from that position, and he’s only going to produce Y amount of runs - where are the extra runs coming from? The 2B was going to be a hole, the SS position was going to be a hole - Renteria’s resume is pretty straight forward, and they should have realized he was going to decline with age… so again, where were the runs going to come from? They were essentially relying on Sandoval, Molina, Winn, and Rowand for the entire offense. It just made no sense. These shortcomings are only being addressed because we are in the middle of a pennant race that they didn’t expect to be in - and as a fan - that sucks. We should be trying to WIN every year. The Giants just weren’t planning on winning this year, and their offseason moves, or lack thereof – prove this.

by zuma420 on Jul 30, 2009 7:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not impressed with that “former batting champion” title. Wasn’t that 3 years ago (too lazy to look it up, and too lazy to use personal pronouns, apparently)?

My fear is that FSanchez, now 31, is one of those players whose physical skills erode early. This current semi-DL stint is, I fear, the wave of the future.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005. And winner of the 2012 NL Fireman of the Year Award!

by Lyle on Aug 1, 2009 9:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

“Not impressed with that "former batting champion" title.”

This. I’m getting really sick of that. If you think it’s a good trade, or he’s a good ballplayer, then say it. Explain why he’s good. But don’t use that. I don’t hear a lot of “We’ve got Zito — he’s a Cy Young winner!” It’s basically the same thing. Even if you want to say “he hit .344 three years ago!”, that’s cool. But all the batting title means is that that he had a really good year three years ago, and Pujols or someone else didn’t happen to hit .345 that year. I don’t see how that helps win ballgames.

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on Aug 1, 2009 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm still pissed.

I’ve calmed down though. Alderson’s arm could fall off, and Sanchez could get hot and hit .400 in September to vault the Giants into the Wild Card. We now have a (most likely) average or above average 2B for 2010, something we didn’t have yesterday. It just seems too short-sighted, and lacking in creativity for me. It’s gonna be hard for me to maintain this frustration at the trade if Sanchez produces AT ALL – a lot of my anger is based on speculation and armchair quarterbacking…

I feel like Frandsen should have had 200 AB’s for evaluation this year, maybe he plays well enough for 2B to not be an issue. I see little or no wisdom in playing Downs instead of him, or in giving Burriss as long as he got over him, or in giving Uribe, Renteria and Aurilia as many chances to suck (OK, Uribe’s been a solid 5th IF) as they have. Sabean felt he had to trade Tim Alderson because 400 AB’s of Manny Burriss, Matt Downs, and Juan Uribe wasn’t cutting it at 2B. A lot of people could have told him so a long time ago.

I feel like there is NO WAY anyone else gives up nearly as much for Sanchez, and so this is another case of the Giants bidding against themselves. We all know how well that’s worked out with Zito and Renteria. Hell, you could even lump the overpayment to Bonds and the money that was given to a 60 year old Randy Johnson into that group. No way anyone pays that much for Sanchez, and probably no way anyone takes Sanchez without the Pirates eating part of the salary. Sure, there’s money coming off the books next year… but now your giving 8m of that to someone that would probably make 3 or 4 given todays market. It’s just bad business, all around.

Then I combine it with the Garko trade, and it gets scary: The Giants gave up 2 of their 3-5 best pitching prospects, and this is all they got? An injured, BABIP-dependent 2B on the wrong side of 30, and a so-so 1B who might not even be an upgrade (depending on your opinion of Ishikawa’s ability to continue to improve) going forward? I think the Giants organizational “surplus” of pitching, if one existed, is gone, and for what?

Which got me thinking… what else could the Giants have gotten for Alderson and Barnes? I’d much rather have Nick Johnson and take the chance that he extends. Pure speculation (why it’s hard to stay so enraged) but maybe the Indians would have taken Alderson and Barnes +2 for Lee, especially considering what they got for him… or could another top 5 prospect and a couple spare parts get Victor Martinez? What about Alexis Rios? Russell Branyan? If we’re going to injured guys, what would it take to nab Gary Sheffield to platoon against lefties? If we gave up these two guys, what more was it gonna take to get Willingham?

Irgh.

Brian Sabean figures that if he buys enough bottles, one of them is bound to have lightning in it.

by jasomack on Jul 30, 2009 10:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

coming around to this trade

was initially disappointed, but the Giants really had to make a move, not only because of the lack of production from their 2nd basemen thus far, but also because Renteria is playing with a bad wing. Getting Sanchez enables Uribe to spell Renteria down the stretch, and hopefully keep him relatively fresh for games that matter.

by hummbaby1989 on Jul 30, 2009 10:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Alderson Ain't no Jesse Foppert

Will Alderson pitch a no hitter, before Lincecum? Timmy, no Timmy, no not that Timmy, this Timmy. He was traded because he was just one too many Timmy.

by bradleybear on Jul 30, 2009 10:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tough call

I agree with about 50% of each statement (the bold sections):

“I understand that Alderson is special, but TINSTAAPP, and we needed a decent-hitting 2b NOW; postseason in 2009 is realistic & worthwhile. .

I get that postseason chances aren’t to be taken lightly, but Alderson is an exception to the TINSTAAPP rule and FSanchy can’t cure our ills."

My main issue is that both answers posit that Alderson great — either “special” or “an exception to the TINSTAAPP rule”. There’s no option for people who weren’t big Alderson fans, but valued his value. I guess the “Generally Oppose” has to carry he day for me, but the wording of the questions splits me right down the creamy middle.

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on Aug 1, 2009 2:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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