In defense of the 25 man
OK, this is wierd. I am going to make a defense of the Sabean De-Boch-able that is the April 2009 25 man roster. Also - the original thread hit 1200 comments and is busted like a Dravecky Wing.
Consider that I am highly critical of Sabean's (and a lesser extent, Boch's) decisions WHEN THERE IS EVIDENCE that they are wrong. That means, if a decision is a scouting or coaching decision, I have no choice but to shrug and hope they know what they are doing. I also do not care, nor take as evidence, anything said to or by the media that is not independently verifiable. Finally, I am totally ignoring spring stats, as they are utterly meaningless.
In order of MCC outrage:
6th and 7th Relievers: What ever. It's a shit sandwich and we all have to take a bite.
Burriss over Frandsen. Well, I think it's clear that 1 should start and the other should start in AAA. THIS POINT IS KEY. Because if you have both on the ML roster, then many of the shenanigans below don't make sense. They both need the reps. I cannot imagine the 2009 Manny out hitting the 2009 Kevvie but I suppose it could be close enough that Burriss' defense (and we certainly could use IF defense) is the deciding factor. So, "meh" but have little hard evidence other than Burriss projects to a .300 wOBA and Frandsen a .318 or so. It's certainly possible that defense closes this gap by a lot, and neither of these guys have reliable def. stats.
Bench - Other than the guys guarenteed to make the team:
Uribe: wOBA(avg proj) .300
Velez: wOBA (avg proj) .317
Torres: wOBA (avg proj) .313
Aurillia: wOBA (avg proj) .319
Uribe can play 3B/SS/2B. Aurillia can play 3B/1B. Velez "2B/LF". Torres: OF
None of these guys are prospects, and another year in AAA doesn't really do squat for them. I would have put Phelps or maybe even Bowker on the the team instead of Aurillia - but perhaps their 1B defense is really unacceptable poor. In any case, one will come up if Ishikawa commits suppuku with the bat. Note that if you cut Aurillia, you cannot get him back (no way he goes to AAA), and that leaves only Pablo and Uribe as 3B. You could take Guzman instead... but he can't play D and is probably well served with some glove/bat time at AAA.
Uribe also backs up SS/2B... but that leaves only 1 back up MI. Enter Velez. He's only going to play 2B if 2 of Burriss/Renteria/Uribe are down, and the other is playing 2B... There are also some (extra inning?) shenanigans where Aurillia is playing 1B, Pablo C, Uribe 3B, Burris/Rent/ SS and Velez is needed to play 2B.
So what it comes down to is Torres vs. Holm vs. X. I don't have a problem AT ALL with Sandoval playing C. He should play all the C his chunky lil' body can handle. He is only going to be a star at C, he will never be more than a solid regular at 1B/3B because his bat isn't that good and neither is his IF defense (this is just a guess, btw so please don't argue... the fact remains no matter how good a 3B he is, he will be a better Catcher, relative to his peers, if he can stick at the position).
The only "problem" with Pablo as Bengie's primary backup is that you can't give them both the same "off" day. You *can* PH for Bengie, and slide Pablo over (down?) anytime you want, because you have a couple other guys who can play 3B.
So really - would you rather have Holm on the bench than Torres? Keep in mind that Holm has about 1 whole season of PAs - TOTAL - in the last 3 years. And Velez isn't really a back up OF - he's the 3rd string 2B and pinch runner. Now, does Torres defense suck? I dunno. But I bet it's better than Holm's OF defense! Or Velez' for that matter. Would I rather have Bowker or Phelps than Torres? Sure. I suspect what is going on is that someone on GINTS BRASS decided to take the "statement" that "AT&T really has two centerfields" to heart, and refuses to play a mediocre corner OF in RF. So while Winn and Rowand can both play CF - the other is needed to play RF. Lewis is probably the worst of the 3, so he can sub at RF in a pinch if the other two are down... but then we need someone to play CF - and that has to be Torres.
Now - there are other solutions - mostly involving Frandsen, but if you start from the assumption that one of Burriss and Frandsen goes to AAA... the roster they came up with is not really that wacky.
Finally - I COMMEND Giants' brass for thinking a little outside the box here and not going with the obvious "back up catcher wasting 25th spot"
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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Comments
The “Kevin Frandsen should play every day in Fresno if he’s not starting” argument makes no sense to me. He’s not some kid who needs some paprika/oregano/garam masala/other seasoning. He’s 27 and, at this point, he is what he is. Spending time on the bench won’t hurt him. What’s more, I (and I know I’m not alone in this) always saw him as a backup/utility infielder in the long term.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 10:37 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think sending him down means they haven’t given up on him as a potential starter.
If Posey isn’t catching next year, Pablo will catch and that will create an opening. Frandsen could end up starting at 3B or 2B (if Burriss moves to SS and Edgar moves to 3B.)
I still think Frandsen is a utility guy and not a true “starter”.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 1, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
An infield of Frandsen, Burriss, and Renteria isn’t really that exciting of a prospect to me, I have to say.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m not all that excited about it either, but it could be what we see as soon as later this year if the Giants fall out of contention and deal Benjie.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 1, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
frandsen is 27 has been injured for 2 yrs straight, so the fact that he got beat out by a 23 yr just proves what everyone already knows but doesnt want to admit….
frandsen just isnt good enough, if the guy plays 1 month in AAA and hits .400 with 10 jacks then freakin recall him until he does Burriss is the future and he earned it.
by cazzuno on Apr 1, 2009 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Was Frandsen hurt in 2007? I don’t remember anything like that. He played in 109 games as a backup, so if he was hurt, it couldn’t have been for very long.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
didn’t he get hit with a pitch in the face and have his jaw wired shut for a few weeks? might have been 2006, but i seem to remember something like that.
by FPTV on Apr 1, 2009 6:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That sounds familiar. GRITTY.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 6:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yea something like that but he played toward the end.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 7:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
do you Yahoo?
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well
My main problem with all of this is based on the premise that signing Renteria was a stopgap to allow Burriss time to develop in AAA.
If he’s gonna be on the ML roster anyways, I would rather have forgone Renteria and gone w/ a Burriss/Frandsen MI w/ Uribe as the backup.
Given that is not possible now, of the two players in question (Frandsen and Burriss) only one of them stands to really gain anything in Fresno. Frandsen is at the Shierholtz stage of his development – another few months in Fresno isn’t going to do him any good. A few months as an AAA short stop would certainly be a good thing for Burriss. If in June he’s maintaining a .400 OBP then sure, bring him up.
If you really think Burriss needs to make the team given his ST performance, then what still pisses me off is Uribe instead of Frandsen.
Right now we have a Renteria/Burriss/Sandoval infield w/ Uribe backing them up (with the occasional Velez). I would prefer to see Frandsen Backing up 2b/3b/SS (or with Burriss sliding to SS on off-days for Renteria) than Uribe.
That is really my main beef with this. I’m not so upset by the catcher thing, I think it will work out for the short term and we will see Holm up as soon as Velez or Torres returns to earth. I also am in favor of Sandoval retaining his perception as a catcher as that is truly where his value lies. I would just like to see Frandsen on the 25 man getting plenty of AB’s rotating between backing up 2b/3b/SS.
Frandsen can also play LF if needed, something Uribe can’t really do.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 10:45 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Renteria
projects to hit much better than Burriss/Frandsen/Uribe.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
double reverso april fools!
I post something serious… and the catch is, it’s actually serious!
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Enter Velez. He’s only going to play 2B if 2 of Burriss/Renteria/Uribe are down
Aurilia could still play 2B in an emergency. Holm >>> Velez, at least for the purposes of this team.
by Grant on Apr 1, 2009 10:48 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
eh, I would rather have Velez + Holm than Torres + Holm
But I am probably biased.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I pretty much agree. I don’t get the appeal of Torres at all.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess that is it for me
Torres is a 31 year old career MiL player who had a hot spring. I can pretty much guarantee he is going to be replacement level or worse at the ML level in 2009.
Velez has a known floor at this point, and still shows glimmers of a useful ceiling. We know how bad he can be, and that is pretty assuredly better than Torres will be. The argument that Torres is a better defender doesn’t really hold water because he would be approximately the 4th string CF on the team. Days when Rowand needs a break Winn or Lewis should be playing CF allowing Sheirholtz to play in right. I also highly doubt Bochy will be doing late game defensive substitutions for GAMER Rowand. Essentially, Torres should never see an inning in the field. (Velez either, for that matter).
So basically these two guys fill the role of Pinch Hitter / Runner. I like Velez in this role, and the fact that he can play both OF and 2B if needed (whereas Torres can only play OF) makes him a better fit IMO.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I should add that
Especially since the penciled in starting 2B over-performed expectation last year to put up a whopping 81 OPS+ while Velez struggled hugely and still came up with a 76 OPS+.
I know, I know – the defense, but still given the possibility of a Emmanual Burriss offensive implosion™, Having a guy who’s offensive floor is approximately Burriss’s ceiling @ the same position on the 25 man isn’t the worst thing in the world.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Torres for this team. He can hit a little — around .280/.365/.450 in AAA the last few years, which probably translates to around .250/.330/.400 in the majors. A good guy to have at the end of the bench to pinch-run, play the outfield in the late innings, and soak up 57 at-bats over the course of the season.
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't agree that we know Velez's floor.
I think he still has the potential to be end-of-career-Neifi-Perez bad.
I’m also not seeing the glimmers. Mostly I see a fast guy who doesn’t know how to play baseball.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 1, 2009 11:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with your hypothesis that “he whose head has gravitational pull” will ever replace Rowand in late innings, which would be the logical purpose for keeping Torres on the roster.
by out machine on Apr 1, 2009 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
the fact we don’t know Velez’s ceiling in one reason I’d like for him to develop his baseball smarts in AAA (away from my eyes and ears and burning rage).
Also, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Velez pinch run for Molina, Sandy to C and Velez in at Third.
co-dad of IshikaBOOM w/AfDC.
Ishikawa, let the boy hit against lefties.
by kennv on Apr 1, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
one ticket please!
Given Frandsen has a more polished over all game and they have both seen the about the same amount of Ab’s ( more than 550 less than 600) above "A" ball, and they are with in 2 weeks of age I still don’t get how Velez receives the nod.
From a medium term point of view it’s even clearer. IF Frandsen is viewed as a possible starter then Burriss should be getting the SS treatment Else there is nothing wrong with him starting his super utility career now in his age 27 season.
Russ Ortiz is not the Run Dingerz.exe we are looking for.
by daveinexile on Apr 2, 2009 7:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
His main appeal is he’s not Eugenio Velez.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 1, 2009 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I feel like someone should go make a list of other 31 year old career MiL players who had hot springs and subsequently did nothing. IT HAPPENS ALL THE TIME. IT RARELY LEADS TO A TRUE BREAKOUT.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.
by jponry on Apr 1, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
BUT THERE WAS THAT ONE GUY THAT ONE TIME
I THINK HE WAS ALSO A LATIN PLAYER.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
People like to use the example of Carlos Pena
As players who were cast onto the scrap heap and turned out to have a monster season.
Problem is, Pena came w/ a good pedegree (10th overall pick) and had already had 6 ML seasons w/ OPS+ over 100 prior to his huge OPS+ 172 season.
His story is more one of a total fuckup by the Tigers than some brilliant talent evaluation by the DRs.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, Pena is a totally different case than most of them. People ignore the fact that while he wasn’t great before his breakout, he was still pretty solid.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.
by jponry on Apr 1, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pedigree, one reason I’m a supporter of my million-dollar 21st round draftee.
co-dad of IshikaBOOM w/AfDC.
Ishikawa, let the boy hit against lefties.
by kennv on Apr 1, 2009 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is a speedy centerfield version of Rich Amaral the best we can hope for from Torres?
We're all basically Pedro Feliz.
by SF Pete on Apr 1, 2009 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought of this, too
Holm, who can only catch cannot be used as a PH.
I knew there was a reason but I didn’t think of it until a boring meeting after I posted.
Holm pinch hitting burns your back up catcher… which there is a distinct cost to using him as a PH. (likewise, if Pablo gets the day off – he really should not PH). One of these other bums PHing or PRunning has much less indirect cost.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 11:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is where I disagree
Holm is useless. He cannot be used as a pinch hitter. He cannot play any other position.
Velez and Torres are almost useless, but they are better hitters than pitchers. (Holm is too – but he cannot be used).
Molina started 132 games last year. That leaves 30 for Sandoval. Pedro can probably put in another 100-110 at 3B. If either gets injured we still have Holm at AAA or even Posey (late in the season?).
Now, if you want to argue that Molina can’t catch 132 games in 2009 – fine – but we can always bring up Holm if Bengie fatigues. But he had 9 PH PAs last year. That’s “not a factor”
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Haha, typo nitpick
Apparently, even Pablo Sandoval is Pedro Feliz.
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips
Neglectful father of David Quinowski
by marcello on Apr 1, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you have Holm on the roster, and you still have Sandoval in the game, you can pinch hit with Holm and still slide Sandoval over. It will give you even more versatility to do such things in the game.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't really want Sandoval to play catcher
if he hadn’t practiced it at all in the previous months. This is the reason I’d hope Sandoval was still practicing catcher during the spring that way we could pinch hit with Holm, but now it’s even more crucial that Pablo should have been playing some catcher.
proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..
by Azmanz on Apr 1, 2009 5:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
It’s really not as bad as the outrage around these parts would lead you to think. Because, regardless of any of these moves:
THE. GIANTS. ARE. NOT. GOING. TO. COMPETE. IN. 2009.
Anyone who really thinks otherwise is either extremely optimistic (kudos to them), or utterly delusional. So, why not make these moves?
Velez stinks and we all know it. But you know what? A competent super-sub is very valuable on a championship-caliber team. Maybe, by the time we’re to that point, Velez has become a poor man’s Chone Figgans. Ok, maybe a destitute man’s version. Whatever.
Steve Holm is a journeyman catcher who is realistically never going to be an impact player. I love him too, but guys like this are meant to be jerked around and serve as emergency insurance. Don’t feel too bad for him, he still probably makes more money than you do. And if the Pablitio as a backup catcher thing fails, Holm is only a bus ride away. Plus, it gives us a chance to check out….
Torres. Again, unlikely to make any sort of long-term impact. But clearly, he raised a lot of eyebrows this Spring, and stranger things have happened than someone like him turning into bottled lightning. Maybe he’s the newest Jack Cust or Josh Hamilton. This at least buys us more time to find out.
There is at least a little something to be said for keeping both Richie and Uribe on the team for now. Experience counts for something, and we do have a mostly younger team this year, particularly the pitchers. Were I Sanchez/Cain/Lincecum/Wilson/etc., I’d feel more comfortable with Uribe behind me at short than Burriss, Frandsen, or (god forbid) Velez.
I hope it’s only a matter of time until Frandsen is part of the team for good. He could be a great utility guy, or he could surprise most of us and end up being some cross between Pedroia and Bill Mueller. But if the only thing we’re hurting by sending him down is his feelings, then great. Even if a longer look at Velez and Torres doesn’t pay any dividends, we’ve still got Frandsen.
Are they the moves I would have made? Hell no. I want Velez, Uribe, and Torres to have never been part of any Giants team. But is it worth freaking out about and changing my name to Duke Lacross? Nope.
Proud adopter of Jason Jarvis: let's see YOU pass an online music course without cheating!
by Gaahl on Apr 1, 2009 11:08 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
stranger things have happened than someone like him turning into bottled lightning.
Except they really don’t. Every example someone quotes like Jack Cust has a huge obvious discrepancy that makes it an invalid analogy. If Torres were hanging out in the minors w/ a career OPS of .946, Then maybe i would agree with you. – but his career MiL stats are replacement level, at best. This is not the case with any of these other guys people like to quote as examples.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
THE. GIANTS. ARE. NOT. GOING. TO. COMPETE. IN. 2009.
Wrong. We might compete. If I’m remembering correctly, we have something like a 15-20% chance of winning the West.
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips
Neglectful father of David Quinowski
by marcello on Apr 1, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My early nerd projections had us between 82-83 wins, which is pretty darned close to winning the NL West most likely.
by xanthan on Apr 1, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your early nerd projections
I too projected you to be a nerd early on
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 1, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Really? How many wins did you project for the Dodgers & DBacks?
Don't think, it could only hurt the ballclub.
by ResDog on Apr 1, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I haven’t done anything outside of the rotations for other NL West teams, but I’d guess that the Dodgers are division favorites. They should be around 85+ wins.
by xanthan on Apr 1, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
agreed
although I think it’s only 15-20% if you include wildcards.
This is actually kind of important – because STEVE HOLM is not responsible – in any scenario that does not have a crippled Molina – for any part of that %. Now you could argue that the same is true of Velez or Torres… but they are more likely to contribute via PH.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The fact that the Giants aren’t going to compete this year doesn’t make this fiasco any better, since they seem to be going out of their way to put all their young players in a position to either stagnate (Frandsen, Velez) or to fail (Pablo, Burriss).
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How is starting Frandsen full time at AAA causing him to stagnate? Velez – who cares. Pablo and Burriss… I think you have to gamble a bit if you are as mediocre as the giants. If they fail, they have options.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Frandsen
has nothing left to show at AAA. Burriss, on the other hand…
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he has
about 470 PAs at AAA. He played “none” in 2008.
Obviously, GINTS BRASS disagrees with you. Now, I am not going to generally ceed to the GB authority – but it’s far from PROVEN that Frandsen has nothing left to show in AAA.
Plus, defense matters. Is anyone going to argue that Frandsen is a better defensive 2B than Burriss?
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he has
~800 PAs between AAA and ML. As long as he’s healthy I don’t want to see him in AAA. Burriss, in ‘07 was OPSing .755 in Augusta, and has a career Minor League OPS of .684. It’d be nice to see him maintain a high OBP in AAA, while getting some seasoning with his SS Defense.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and is 27
and still projects to be a replacement level hitter.
And “as long as he’s healthy” seems kind of critical.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If a longer look at Velez /Torress does not pay dividends it still costs.
Even if a longer look at Velez and Torres doesn’t pay any dividends, we’ve still got Frandsen.
In this case it costs because it is another 2 names The Big Head can call instead of Nate for playing time. Love Nate, Hate Nate or just don’t give a rat’s hind quarters about Nate the franchise needs to play him an awful lot this season so they know how to proceed with the OF after this season.
The sooner that playing time is invested in Nate the longer the period the team his to plan according to what Nate’s skill level proves out to be in the MLB. The longer the team puts that of the worse they position is if he needs replacing and the less the returns the team gets on Nate if he proves worthwhile.
And all this is not touching on Frandsen.
Russ Ortiz is not the Run Dingerz.exe we are looking for.
by daveinexile on Apr 2, 2009 7:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again I say: This is why there’s a box.
Having the only backup catcher on the roster being a guy who’s already starting at another position is dumb to begin with. When the starting catcher is 34, fat, and the slowest man in baseball, it’s doubly dumb. When the backup in question is a good young prospect with a lot to learn about hitting in the big leagues and huge defensive issues at both positions, the whole thing moves beyond dumb into some Bocockian realm of wtf baseball malpractice.
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 11:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't know, this isn't really bothering me for some reason
So Pablo slides to C once a week and Aurilia or Uribe plays 3rd 2 days a week to give Pablo 1 day off. I don’t think it’s a big deal.
If the need to PR for Molina comes up, Pablo slides to C and Uribe/Aurilia comes in to play 3rd.
I’m just really not all that worried about it over the first month of the season.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
However
Doing this in an effort to carry BOTH Torres and Velez seems pointless. If it were instead in an effort to get someone like Guzman a spot on the bench I would be more supportive.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess it comes down to them thinking having a PH/PR who can play 2B/OF in a pinch like Velez is more important than an emergency catcher who can’t really do anything else like Holm. I don’t disagree.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 1, 2009 12:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I do
mostly because I think letting your 22 year old rookie, who also happens to be the ONLY bright spot in the lineup, concentrate on learning how to hit ML pitchers and defend 3b is enough without throwing all this other crap on him.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think Pablo puts much mental effort into “learning how to hit ML pitchers”.
I’m not really sure why you think he’ll be affected by where he plays on the field.
they throw the ball, he swings at it.
Fairley odd parent to Wendell
by WTF on Apr 1, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe I’m just a little wary because of the Ort/Bowk experience. But still, he may not put much thought into it, but that doesn’t mean he shouldn’t.
Also, I’d like him to become a little more nuanced than “they throw he swings”, and that will be harder to do if more of his practice time is taken up playing 2 positions in the field.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think Pablo puts much mental effort into "learning how to hit ML pitchers".
He should. That’s the point.
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, but
how do you know that? You don’t really have any idea how it will affect him. GINTS BRASS might not either – but at least they hang out with the guy every day…
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're right
I don’t KNOW that it will affect him. However if there’s even a 1% chance it might, it’s not worth it for 10 ABs of Pickoff Von Ironglove
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
the above is bad risk management
Need I bring up the game Velez won (nearly) single handedly last year? And I am not a big Velez backer.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
again
I just don’t see nearly a large enough improvement over Holm.
Just because Holm is the backup C doesn’t mean he gets dusted with magical “can never pinch hit” dust. If he goes out to PH, we’re in exactly the same situation we’re in now, except the risk is likely limited to 1-2 innings.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Wronghanded Affeldt doing it right
by Giant among Angels on Apr 1, 2009 7:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
WHY
do you know this? You have no evidence of it! Your only considerable point here is that Pablo has defensive issues at Catcher.
Bocock is not at all a comparible situation. For one – he was the starter. We are talking about the 23rd-25th positions on the roster.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bocock
started out as not even in discussion for the 25 man. Injuries and poor planning made him a starter.
This is just more evidence of poor planning, so it’s at least a little analogous.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
disagree again.
The planning failure was not having any reasonable backup to Vizquel, at ANY LEVEL in the organization.
How does this compare to “storing Holm at AAA”?
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
it's not directly analogous
but it’s comparable. It’s just poor planning.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They did have a reasonable backup. Every other organization in baseball would have started Ivan Ochoa, tolerated his .250/.310/.350 and his fine defense for a couple of months, and come out way ahead on the deal.
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is no good rationale for carrying 6 outfielders and only
one catcher, especially days after they sent away Paulino like he had the plague.
Apologies for being abrupt, but case closed.
Matt Cain's drinking buddy
by Buck Henry on Apr 1, 2009 11:14 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This
I think it is the combination of the two things that makes no sense. Carrying only 1.5 catchers in order to get someone who will really make an impact on the 25 man maybe – but so you can carry both Torres and Velez?
Risk/Reward balance is out of whack.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
hard to say
because both risk and reward are so small here… kind of like academia.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
again
I posted this in the other thread, but I can easily see a situation where not having Holm on the roster costs us a game. I can’t really see a situation where we win because we had a 6th bad OF instead.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
the only reasonable example
is the Pedro Feliz, C game.
BUT
1) we have the same problem if Pablo is out, Holm replaces Molina, Holm hurt.
2) “cost us the game” is an exaggeration; cost us 1/2 a game – at most since we were at best no more than .500 to win the game once Feliz→C Winn→3B Lowry→RF took effect.
Pinch hitting matters.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not just the Pedro Feliz game. Let’s say Pablo gets hurt. Now you can’t pinch run for Bengie. Don’t tell me it’s hard to imagine a situation where not having Torres/Velez on the basepaths instead of Bengie costs us a run or two.
1) That’s another injury that would have to happen, making it less likely.
2) They don’t count 1/2 games in the standings, but I’ll give that to you. I don’t see any way that over the course of a month (the longest period of time I see this as really sustainable) having Velez/Torres to PH instead of Holm adds 1/2 a win.
I’m not convinced that Torres/Velez are significant improvements on Holm with the bat (especially Torres)
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
a run or two
is 0.1 to 0.2 of a game. Further more, it’s highly unlikely to cost that much, because in the majority of cases, the run will score no matter how glacial the runner:
i.e.,
runner on third – hit (or bases loaded walk)
runner on second – double
runner on – triple or HR.
Pablo could come out for many non-injury related reasons – remember, he’s just the emergency catcher in your scenario.
Last year the Giants, pinch hitting:
273 PAs with a line of .239/.326/.355.
We are trading:
Molina + Sandoval + Uribe/Aurilla (back up 3B)
for
Molina + Holm + Sandoval + Uribe/Aurilla (less back up 3B)
Now, Sandoval plays 3B most of the time, and will get 20 days off anyway (no matter where he plays). So he cancels, and you are comparing the bat of Holm to Uribe/Aurilla (Guzman? Frandsen?)
I am not saying that Tores/Velez is clearly SUPERIOR – I am just saying that it’s pretty close – when you consider that Holm will not be used to PH.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
As I see it, we’re trading Holm/Frandsen/Schierholtz at-bats for Molina/Uribe/Velez/Torres at-bats. I’m pretty sure that’s a net loss. It’s probably a net loss on defense too, depending on how much time Uribe and Torres spend in the field.
Then there’s the pinch-running issue. Then there’s the heavy workload you’re putting on your starting catcher. Then there’s the weird twist this throws into Sandoval’s efforts to learn the big leagues (and Frandsen’s) (and Schierholtz’s).
If it only lasts a couple of weeks, as I think it will, this isn’t a big deal. But the organization doesn’t do itself any favors by announcing a roster that’s obviously built to self-destruct.
by Evan on Apr 1, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
but you are assuming the conclusion
Shierholtz is on the team, and clearly better than Torres, so you can’t punish Bochy until he actually commits the crime.
Frandsen – is clearly a special case, they must want him to play full time. If he backs up at Fresno, well, Houston we may have a problem.
So it’s Holm for Molina/Uribe/Velez/Torres – and it’s hard to argue that – however you work that out- it’s any sort of big deal.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
In your situations…
runner on third – hit (or bases loaded walk)
runner on second – double
runner on – triple or HR.
Yes that is true with Molina/probably Sandoval. Sure Sandoval is no Molina, but he’s still slower than average. With a fast pinch runner that turns into this…
runner on second – single
runner on first – double (single goes first to third)
Those are the big things.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
they are quantifyable
but they are not big.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
in general
true.
When applied to a specific high-leverage situation, false.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly.
Situation: Tie Game, top of the 9th, 2 out, Molina on 2nd.
If there is a single and Molina gets to third then your result is only a 1.9% better chance of winning the game. Your Win Expectancy goes from 48% to 49.9%.
If there is a single and a faster runner is on 2nd, most likely scoring, then you’ve got 35.7% difference, from 48% to 83.7%.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK
I used this link as basis for estimation:
http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/base_out_and_run_frequency/
bottom of 9th tie game. 0 out, Giants up.
Pwin is about 65% (30% they score and win, 70% they have a 50% chance to win in 10th+).
Bengie singles.
Pwin is about 72%, assuming an average runner.
Bunted to 2nd
Pwin is about the same (bunting is not super smart here, but I guarantee it’s done by 100% of MLB managers)
So – what can happen with the next few batters? I am going to mostly ignore walks, since, after all ,this is the giants. The only time walks will matter is if the bases get loaded, then plus a few % win on an unintentional BB.
out – out => no runs – win 50% in 10+, this will occur roughly 44% of the time
xbh or out xbh – win 100, this will occur roughly 10 (I used the pathetic 2008 giants to estimate this, so it’s probably low).
out – 1b
and
1b – X are the most interesting cases for Sloth
out – 1B – this occurs roughly 12% of the time, and results in either 1st 3rd 2 outs or win.
Bengie on 3rd 2 outs is equivalent to Velez on 3rd 2 outs – so no delta.
We want a maximum effect, so lets say Bengie NEVER goes 2nd to home, and PR goes 75% of the time (probably more, but sometimes he’s out).
So the value of the PR in this situation is:
0.12 [ 0.75 – P(win 1,3 2 outs) ]
The last number we can look up, it’s 0.3, so PR contributes .04 of a win
1B – X this occures roughly 18% of the time, and results in 1st / 3rd 1 out or win.
As above, except P(win 1,3 1 out) is .66 so we get:
0.18 X [ 0.75 – 0.66] = 0.016 of a win.
Summing together, we get 0.056, or 5 100ths of a win, assuming you give the Giants no penalty in innings 10+ for removing Bengie from the line up ( assuridly a small effect, but one that favors not pinch running).
Estimations of this for the case where you don’t bunt, and instead can can a single driving PR to third and get a sac fly are left as an exercise for the reader, but I would be shocked if they added more that a few hundreths of a win. But remember – you cannot add 0.056 to whatever you get because it’s an “or”
And this situation doesn’t occur more than 10 times a season, so we are talking about 1/10th of a win FOR THE WHOLE SEASON.
AL 2008 used for approximations.
2nd to home rate: 0.2 – 0.4
1st to 3rd .15-.27
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
uuh
I think you’ve got some funny math going on there.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 5:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
so show my mistake...
it’s not that I don’t believe I made one, but it’s kind of asinine to point out an error in someones back-of-the-internet calculations without being specific.
And believe me, I know asinine.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 8:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rajai Davis hit a double with Bengie at 2nd and Bengie stopped at 3rd.
proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..
by Azmanz on Apr 1, 2009 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’d like to see the video of this!
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 7:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, it happened
line drive to left, Rajai just used his speed to barely get a double where Bengie couldn’t risk trying to score. I can’t find video though, it was 2 years ago
proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..
by Azmanz on Apr 1, 2009 8:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess you don’t know this joke.
Judgment Day is coming
comics | art | Nattowear
by Natto on Apr 1, 2009 9:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't have too many problems....
..with the 25 man roster. My main concern is the Frandsen over Uribe decision, and that’s frankly a little sentimentality on my part. I like Sandoval as a back up catcher. I think his value goes way up there. The caveat is, Bochy has to use him there. He’s never been afraid of a double switch, but getting the veterans a day off another story.
Keeping Torres I think is good thing. I value defense, he’s a guy who’s never been healthy and is in his prime. I think we steal a career year. Most importantly, I suspect Rowand is going to shit the bed and be benched by July.
"Don't trust anyone under the age of 30" - Brian Sabean
by Smotheredinhugs on Apr 1, 2009 11:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Torress as The Yabu of ’09?
Russ Ortiz is not the Run Dingerz.exe we are looking for.
by daveinexile on Apr 2, 2009 9:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Renteria the problem
I said it when they signed him and I still believe it, Renteria is an overrated, overpriced short term solution when we are supposed to be building for the future. I realize the pitching staff is ready to win now, but this guy is standing in the way of a Burriss/Frandsen middle infield that may be really good. How many times does Frandsen have to get screwed before he goes Cutler on us? He needs to play every day, I agree, but this guy never seems to catch a break. Renteria will be a bust, but since he’s making the big bucks he will be Zito in the every day lineup! (I hope I’m wrong!)
by SFGiantsD on Apr 1, 2009 12:22 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Yup. This whole thing makes the Renteria signing look even worse. Ideally, we’d have Franny at 2b and Manny at SS, and let them start getting ready to be a tandem for coming years.
Beyond that, there’s a chance ER will bounce back and help us score more runs than we did last year. More runs are (almost) always better.
That said, I think folks forget that Renteria is really only with us for 2009 unless they exercise the ‘10 option. Even though I hate having to say this so early, there’s always next year.
Proud adopter of Jason Jarvis: let's see YOU pass an online music course without cheating!
by Gaahl on Apr 1, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He wasn’t really a great signing either.
Also, if Frandsen and Burriss are the starting combo for years, I may have to cry.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He’s getting paid market value. And, I think it’s pretty great that we won’t have another Bocock situation again.
by xanthan on Apr 1, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just don’t get starting Burriss unless it’s at short, and I don’t get signing a non-fantabulous SS if you’re just going to start Burriss anyway.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree, this is puzzling
But you could swap Frandsen for Burriss 1 for 1 and still have the “Holm Issue”
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
…maybe not a bad signing, but certainly vastly overpaid.
Why isn't Sabean held accountable for leading the Giants into many years of mediocrity???
by oldrips on Apr 1, 2009 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
not vastly
overpaid, relative to the way the market turned out? sure.
overpaid, relative to the way the market was when he was signed? meh maybe, but it’s a tough case to make.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
list of current giants
who project to outhit Renteria in 2009 (avg. of zips/chone)
Phelps
Lewis
Rowand
Winn
Shierholtz
So, 4 OFs and a guy with no position.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’d give Sandoval to out hit him easily. And probably Molina.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sandoval is very close by ZIPS/CHONE – close enough to call a tie. He wins out by the marcel based stuff, but I throw this out due to sample size.
Molina projects much worse than Renteria.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Projections for single players are virtually meaningless, are they not? It’s the group projections that actually mean anything.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
they give you an idea. It’s not likely that an individual will wildly deviate from their projections, but it happens.
In general the group projections will be more accurate because the people over performing their projections will be balanced out by the people who are under performing theirs.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What everyone forgets here is that the 25-man...
…is carved into stone tablets by rabbis raised in strict isolation and rendered deaf during a sacred ceremony passed down on scrolls made of human flesh and stored, along with the tablets, in Xanadu with an honor guard of evil pixies who will guarantee that, should any change every be made to it at any point during the course of eternity, all puppies everywhere will die.
Madison Bumgarner, the Spacebat. of pitching prospects.
by multiphasic on Apr 1, 2009 12:31 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Thanks, multiphasic. If Frandsen learns to play shortstop and third, and hits in AAA as well as PECOTA projects for Renteria (.280, .341, .382)—better than the Frandsen projections at every point—while Burris flops, Frandsen will replace Burris. If Torres and Velez prove to be a superfluity of inept fleetness, then they can depart, and maybe we will acquire a backup catcher who, unlike Holm, can throw out runners who try to steal. One of the pitchers will go to make room for Romo, I assume; and conceivably, another to make way for Lowry, though that looks progressively less likely. Things will change, as everyone knows. Those who are getting carpal tunnel syndrome by hand-wringing now are doing so to amuse themselves, I guess.
by campanari on Apr 1, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
24th and 25th spots on the 25 man
They aren’t supposed to play. That’s why a back bench of Holm, Aurilia and Torres is an okay way to go. One RH pinch hitter for the Left handed club, one speedy PR and defensive replacement (if Aurilia bats for Fred or Nate), and one back-up catcher. Between the three they get 4-5 innings a week.
Giving Bochy a back bench of Aurila, Uribe, Velez and Torres is going to be a double-switching nightmare. Boch thinks he has to over-manage to wring every drop of vet savvy from his gamers. Flexibility and interchangeability will mean we’ll see ridiculous subs early, often and dumber and dumber. It will start with a 3 run lead in the 3rd, and a Torres defensive sub for Nate. It will be Ishi out in the fourth inning to be replaced by Richie or Uribe. It will be Velez at 2nd, Center and Third in one game. There will no rhythm except for Rowand bashing his forehead into the wall and sailing throws miles wide from cut-off men. Just let the starting 8 get their at bats. Lets see Pablo, Travis, Nate and Fred swing against left-handers and play 5-6 days a week.
co-dad of IshikaBOOM w/AfDC.
Ishikawa, let the boy hit against lefties.
by kennv on Apr 1, 2009 12:57 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
logical
but obviously a tiny effect – assuming you are not just projecting your Bochy hate.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This catcher argument is stupid
The giants have three days off between 4/7-4/23. So realistically, Pablo will probably only get one start at catcher during that time, if that. And god forbid he has to catch a few innings at the end of ballgames.
We all know that AT LEAST one of these fringe roster guys is going to either get hurt and land on the DL, or suck real bad and be sent down by then.
Things happen in baseball…we will see Holm and Frandsen back in the bigs real soon. No reason to lose sleep over roster moves before the season even starts
by m34josh on Apr 1, 2009 1:07 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
"suck real bad"
in one month of the season. Shades of Ort/Davis.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
by Viliphied on Apr 1, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
26 Man Roster!
Today’s game has 1) relief pitchers designated for only one inning of work 2) relief pitchers used for the purpose of getting one type of hitter out (LOOGY) and 3) the five man starting rotation. Most (All?) ML teams need to carry 12 man pitching staffs to keep up with today’s game.
Bench players have to serve multiple positions in order to make the cut. There are a lot of older players who are getting squeezed out of baseball. They aren’t versatile enough to be used as a bench player, even though they can still hit enough to serve a purpose (Sheffield).
Isn’t it time MLB increases the roster size? Wouldn’t this be a huge chip for owners when the CBA expires?
Don't think, it could only hurt the ballclub.
by ResDog on Apr 1, 2009 1:43 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
A STEVE HOLM IN EVERY POT
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The principle reason for strarting the season with Hom in AAA is it gives him regular ABs during a time that he would not be playing (if he were in MLB). Next, a bench of Uribe, Aurilia (IFs), Velez (OF, sort of IF), Torres and Schierholtz (OFs) gives a deep and useful bench, during April, that allows Boch to pinch hit in the 5,6,7 innings and not have to “save” his PH for the 8,9 innings. It also allows him to inch run (either Velez or Torres) and substitute in the late innings for D (Uribe, Torres). So, he has bats (Schierholtz, Aurilia, Uribe), runners (Velez, Torres, and defense (Uribe, Torres).
That is great flexibility and lots of bench strength. I just don’t see how it hurts.
That said, it is true he will likely have to have Sandoval finish every game he starts, but given the days off in April + anticipated rainouts, I don’t thank that will be a problem.\
I would say this bench gives B more chance to win games late than to lose them late.
by allfrank on Apr 1, 2009 2:00 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Rainouts mean double headers.
Sandoval getting 18 innings, 9 at 3rd and 9 at C.
co-dad of IshikaBOOM w/AfDC.
Ishikawa, let the boy hit against lefties.
by kennv on Apr 1, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There Are Very Few Rainout Makeup Double Hitters
Off Days are used for all most all makeup games. This is a very small risk.
by giantsrainman on Apr 1, 2009 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Double headers are more likely toward the end of the season, when an off day isn’t convenient and they won’t play the team later in the year.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And Posey will be up by then.
proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..
by Azmanz on Apr 1, 2009 8:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
heck
have you seen the guy?
He could stand a little exercise! I would presume that he Catches the first game, then plays 3rd. Or more realistically, sits one game and one of the 3B scrubs play.
BUT WHAT IF ONE OF THE DUBBLE HEADERS HAS A HIGH LEVERAGE SITUATION IN THE 9THE WHERE YOU NEED A PINCH RUNNIER FOR MOLINA>1@!#!#!@@
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 4:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are doing a great job of responding to every stupid thing we all write. I especially like the mock-rage and formatting error in this one.
co-dad of IshikaBOOM w/AfDC.
Ishikawa, let the boy hit against lefties.
by kennv on Apr 1, 2009 8:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What is this obsession with making sure players who are never going to be anything more than backups anyway get to play every day? Steve Holm is a 29 year old minor league journeyman – he’s not going to be hurt in any way by not getting enough at bats and sitting on the bench.
Saying that sort of thing about Frandsen is silly, but saying it about Holm is just weird.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I believe the point was...
My interpretation of allfrank’s comment was that he assumes Holm would be coming up eventually, say in May, at which point he would play occasionally, but even if he were in the majors in April he wouldn’t play. If that’s right, you’d want to get him ABs in Fresno so that when he did play in San Francisco later on he’d be ready to hit.
by taliesin on Apr 1, 2009 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Somehow, many people manage to be backup catchers all year long without being sent down to AAA to get regular at bats first.
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 4:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The 2008 model Steve Holm, for instance.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 1, 2009 5:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who exactly do Velez and Torres pinch run for?
Other than Molina and Sandoval, I’m not convinced they’re better baserunners than anyone on the roster.
Replace Velez with Holm and your bench strength analysis is virtually unchanged; you just have 1 PR instead of 2.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 1, 2009 5:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
you can use Velez to PH
You cannot use Holm (or any backup C) for this.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 1, 2009 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure you can.
It just leaves you without a backup catcher if you do.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 1, 2009 5:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It leaves you with
Gasp – the same situation you are in w/o Holm on the bench.
So really the question is, Do you think Holm is a worse PH than either Velez or Torres?
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 5:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not having a backup catcher = perfectly fine, sane rational
Having a backup catcher and occasionally using him as a pinch hitter = OMWTFBBQ WHAT ARE U DOIN SABES!!!!
Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly
by jcb9 on Apr 1, 2009 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Having a backup catcher and using him to pinch hit when your emergency catcher is actually a catcher masquerading as a 3rd baseman
Totally Rational.
No less rational than having only 1 catcher with your emergency catcher actually being a catcher masquerading as a 3rd baseman.
Last year the Dodgers started 11 games w/ Russel Martin @ 3rd base and no real backup catcher.
Martin essentially did the exact opposite last year of what the Giants are proposing Sandoval do this year, Starting 149 games at catcher and 11 @ 3rd base.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 1, 2009 6:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly, which is a lot safer than what the Giants want to do. It was 11/160 for the Dodgers. If what we’re projecting is true, it’ll be 20/160 (that’s saying Pablo plays 160 games). That’s almost twice the time that the Giants would be without a true backup catcher. It would be interesting to ask true Dodger fans (if there really are any) if there were any problems that arose in Martin’s games. Of course, Martin isn’t anyone you’re pinch running for either.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 1, 2009 7:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd bet
that the roster doesn’t stay this way for the whole season.
just a wild guess.
Fairley odd parent to Wendell
by WTF on Apr 2, 2009 7:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
YAY
Sense!
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 8:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Note, I’m factoring that in, saying that they’re only taking this chance for 20 games, in April. And if they did this now, what prevents them from getting confident later in the season and reverting back to it when they sign an aging veteran presence to come to the team?
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 2, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
first you have demonstrate it’s bad.
second you have to demonstrate HOW bad
third you have to guess probabilities of them dropping it, then bringing it back…
I have better things to do.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
For your last point, if there are completely no problems at all during the time they try this, and if they are in the playoff race, then they may go out and get another bench player and demote Holm. If it worked before, we’ll just do it again.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 2, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wait
That’s almost twice the time that the Giants would be without a true backup catcher.
If Pablo starts at catcher for 20 games, Benjie might be resting on the bench, but he still shows up wearing a cup. He could play if he had to.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 2, 2009 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m hearing things that Pablo wouldn’t even have to catch this month since there are so many off days. So it would be Molina starting and Sandoval starting most of the month I’d say.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 2, 2009 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, the begining of the schedule hasa lot of well-timed breaks. I think we’ll pretty much only see Pablo behind the dish as a sub if they’ve PR’d for Benjie.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 2, 2009 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
you are the guys
trying to have it both ways.
If PH with Holm is fine, then leaving him in AAA is fine.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 8:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
my point exactly
Except my reasoning was the reverse: If leaving Holm in AAA is an acceptable solution, then occasionally using him as a PH certainly is.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 2, 2009 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Schroedinger's Bench
Likely either way is fine; we are, admittedly, talking about small probabilities.
But here’s how I would look at it. If you have Holm on the bench, he is simultaneously both a PH and a backup catcher until you open the metaphorical box by putting him into the game. Say you get to the 8th inning without having needed to replace your catcher, and then use Holm to PH. You’re now without a backup catcher for 2 innings. That’s a smaller exposure than being without a backup catcher for 9 innings.
The same could be applied to Velez if he filled a position of need, but as a 6th outfielder/3rd 2B he does not.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 2, 2009 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you’re pinch hitting with Holm, then it’s already in the 8th or 9th probably, as you’ll have better options off the bench before. Perhaps it’s in extras. So you know that either Molina or Sandoval has lasted that long. So say it’s extras, you know the game probably won’t go that many more innings, you take the risk of PH with Holm and only having Sandoval and Molina out there. But you know it’s probably only a few more innings, and the risk of both players getting injured in that time isn’t very high. But if you’re without Holm the whole game, you’ve got at least 9 innings to not get hurt. It’s just the chances of things happening per inning, while they are probably pretty slim, add up every single time.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Kevin Frandsen should be with the big team.
by WalrusMan on Apr 2, 2009 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Holm PH 9 times last year.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 8:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, because Bochy was quite cautious about burning his backup catcher last year – which makes it all the more puzzling that he’d suddenly decide he doesn’t need one at all.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 2, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he HAS one
he just plays 3B most of the time.
I don’t see why this is such a big deal… unless you all are experts in 22 y.o. fatso baseball skills development. I claim to be an expert on many things – but that’s not one of them.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 2, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
To answer EliminateMe, in addition to Sando and Molina, I think Rowand is a candidate, in certain but not all, situations to be run for. But beyond pinch running, we have some guys who are semi platoon players. With the game on the line, bringing up Richie to face a LHP instead of Ishi or pinch hitting for Sando when he is facing his weaker side (I think it is against LHP also) may be good strategy and is more easily accomplished with a deeper bench
by allfrank on Apr 1, 2009 7:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently
… you haven’t seen Aurilia run plod.
Having Richie PH then Velez PR is a nice 1-2 punch if you’re clawing for a run late in the game.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 2, 2009 9:21 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair point.
Although I’d bet Aurilia is way less likely to be caught napping for a rally killing pickoff. (Anyone know where to find pickoff stats for baserunners?)
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 2, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm pretty sure Velez is over this
His propensity for being picked off seemed to stem from the implcation that he had to steal every time he was on base.
Once he came back up from fresno, he only got picked off once.
Pre Fresno: 5 CS in 127 PA’s.
Post Fresno: 1 CS in 165 PA’s.
by FairweatherFan on Apr 2, 2009 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope so.
That would be well worth giving up one of his nicknames for.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 2, 2009 11:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Aurilia is way less likely to score from second on a lot of shallow base hits.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 2, 2009 12:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I mostly agree with zenbitz
I’m not sure that Bochy’s fondness for pinch running will really work with this roster, though. I’m pretty sure that it won’t last past April.
I am disappointed that what I thought was a roster spot either Uribe or Aurilia turned into a pair of roster spots for Aurilia and Uribe.
I'm spent, just can't rosterbate anymore.
by oldjacket on Apr 1, 2009 6:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
If Guzman keeps raking in Fresno and shows some he can handle 1B, he’d be a logical replacement for Aurilia.
My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman
by Goofus on Apr 2, 2009 9:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You’re such a Jesus freak.
Anyway, my point is that
by EliminateMe on Apr 2, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
/ cues Doobie Bothers
R. Ortiz is not the Run Dingerz.exe we are looking for.
by daveinexile on Apr 2, 2009 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Speed
This team has speed, speed and more speed, except who will be able to use it with Bengie clogging up the bases. Velez, is super fast, Burriss almost the same, Lewis ain’t slow, Torres is faster than Velez, Rowand is average, Winn a bit above average,
Renteria average, Aurillia slow, Uribe ?, Ishikawa ?, Schierholtz above average,
surprisingly as this point in his career, Sandoval is still above average. All that being said, Frandsen has nothing to prove in the minors, he is a good hitter in the minors, Bowker needs more polish, but his upside with power is still significant.
by bradleybear on Apr 1, 2009 6:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We need a 26 man Roster
26 man roster would make more sense but baseball owners, despite all the big bucks they give out, are dirt cheap.
by bradleybear on Apr 1, 2009 7:11 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Just a thought
In Grant’s original 25 man roster post someone in there was blasting the 6 OF decision and was nervous about the use of Velez as a late inning defensive replacement (I think we all are). However, let’s say Holm was on the roster and Bochy pinch runs late in the game for Bengie. Isn’t Holm behind the plate just as scary a late inning defensive replacement as Velez? How many opposing managers would run wild on Giants in the 9th inning of a tight game? Didn’t Holm really stink at throwing out baserunners last year? I mean really stink? Who do you trust more in late innings behind the plate, Pablo or Holm? I know Pablo isn’t the greatest defensive catcher, but it’s not like Holm fills that void also.
I also love how so many people are freaking out about Pablo’s lack of innings behind the plate this spring. Kid’s caught a bunch his entire life and he’s 22. It’s not like it’s gonna take long to knock off the rust. Sometimes folks can analzye themselves into a frenzy. Yes it would have been ideal to get some innings for him with this year’s staff in spring training. But I believe he can’t do any more damage in the field behind the plate late in games that what he might do at third base!
I’m on board with zenbitz on this post. For the first month or so, Bengie can handle it just fine. In fact, he’s publicly stated how he absolutely hates not being in the lineup (I think in his blog last year). It’s a long season and at some point I’m sure Holm will be in SF to give some rest to Bengie when he’ll need it later on.
Out of the box, yes. Out of their minds, no. Bochy not dumb like people say Bochy dumb.
Plus, 6 OF ain’t so bad when one of your OF is Aaron Rowand. I know that spring stats are meaningless but in his case I don’t think they are! Gotta wonder how patient they’ll be if he enters May around the Mendoza line…. All I know is that if Zito emerges as a solid #4 starter his contract will suddenly look wonderful compared to Rowand’s (and by wonderful I mean a lesser level of suck).
Conor Gillaspie 2012
by Traylude on Apr 2, 2009 10:58 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
just because I am contrary
(and old… did I mention old?)
Bochy is dumb.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
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PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.
by zenbitz on Apr 3, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nah.
Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...
by rotorueter on Apr 3, 2009 6:38 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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