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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

Q and A With Henry Schulman

Hey all my blog did a Q and A with giants beat writer Henry Schulman.....anyway here are the results of the session.

 

"Jeremy from Kentfield, CA asks: Out of the four highest touted prospects in the Giants system (Bumgarner, Alderson, Posey, Villalona) who do you think is the most likely to "bust" and why and if you could pick one whom would it be?"

This is a great question. I don't think any will be a bust, but I'd have to answer Villalona. It is very difficult to look at a 16-year-old and say this is a "can't-miss guy." He has had weight issues, and there was some fear he'd eat his way out of the game, but I think he's controlled that. Still, the others you mentioned are further advanced with more easily predictable career paths.

"Henry from Tiburon CA asks: "Don't you think it's in the Organization's best interest to trade Winn and the rest of his 8.5 million contract to give substantial playing time to Nate Schierholtz? I'm under the belief that Nate, can put up better power production than Winn which we surely need and will be about eight million dollars less. He can also come close to matching Winn in all other phases of the game and figures to play a prominent roll in our future?"

It might be in the best interest of the future to let Nate play, but the Giants think they can win in '09. The only problem with your scenario is, it's hard to imagine anyone taking Winn's entire salary, so the Giants would have to eat some. I also don't think you can say Nate can match Winn in all other phases of the game. That is an unknown. Nate will get his opportunities.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks: "Do you think it's in the Giants best interest to put Henry Sosa in the bullpen for good due to the fact that he has lingering injuries and lacks the stamina and efficency to be as successful as he could be as a starter at the major league level?"

I really haven't spent enough time talking to Giants people about Sosa to answer this knowledgeably.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks "Who do you think has the inside track to win the starting second base job this spring and whom would you award it to?"

I would say Frandsen has the inside track because of his offensive potential and the Giants' possible desire to send Burriss to the minors to get more seasoning. I'd give it to Frandsen, but only if he earns it in spring training.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks " Don't you think Emmanuel Burris would be better suited playing second base full time where his range would be a plus, his arm wouldn't be exposed and the offensive expectations at second base is substantially lower. The way I see it he would be a plus defender there as opposed to being a defensively at ss?"

I think Burriss surprised the brass with his range and arm at short, but yes, I think second base is a better fit.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks " Were there any members of the oganization or the club as a whole that were split on the selection of Buster Posey as opposed to Justin Smoak. I personally prefer Smoak because at his absolute ceiling he would be reminiscent of Mark Teixeira whereas Buster Posey seems to have an offensive upside of Jason Kendall in his prime and though he may posses great physical tools is still very new to catching?"

Nobody told me, privately or otherwise, about any rift on the pick. But I do know the Giants view Villalona as their first baseman of the future while being very thin at catcher. It is easier to find a good first baseman on the market than a catcher. I think Posey's power potential -- and that includes gap power -- exceeds Kendall's.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks "Right now do you think this team as currently built can/will win the West?" 

I think it can, but only if the pitching performs as well as it should on paper, Aaron Rowand has a consistent season and Pablo Sandoval becomes a middle-order threat at the plate. I don't like making predictions on who "will" win because there are so many unknown variables.

Henry from Tiburon CA asks "Being someone whom is interested in working in baseball when I get older, what does your job entail? How did you get to where you were today? Do you travel with the team occassionaly? Any interesting stories?

I need to correct you on one point. I don't work "in baseball." I work "in newspapers." There is a vast difference. I believe you mentioned you would like to be a GM someday. That is a very different career track. I am a reporter, not a talent evaluator. My background is in writing and reporting. I got a poli sci degree from Cal and worked my way up through the news ranks as a reporter and business writer before starting my baseball career in 1988 with the Oakland Tribune, eventually landing with the Chronicle 10 years later. I do not travel with the team, although I (we) used to. Nor do I stay in their hotel. I have many interesting stories, but they will be in my book someday. :-)

Michael from Greenbrae CA asks "Supposing Noah Lowry is fully recovered by Spring Training and he outperforms Sanchez for the 5th spot in the rotation what do you do with Sanchez? Many people have said that Sanchez would be better served coming out of the bullpen permanently, do you agree with that? Would you trade Sanchez mid-way through the spring if it is apparent Lowry is back to his old form from his 15 win season? With Bumgarner or Alderson dominating the minors maybe it would be a good time to trade Sanchez, as the spot that the Big Unit fills this year could very well be filled by Bumgarner or Alderson next year."

I agree Sanchez should not be whipsawed back and forth anymore, and I do believe the Giants will try to trade him in spring training if Lowry is heatlhy. But that is a big if. I'm a big believer in having six quality starters available, even if one is in the 'pen. Wouldn't shock me if the Giants decided to start Lowry in the 'pen as he builds up stamina and innings.

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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Henry from Tiburon CA asks

a lot of questions.

"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."

by i did my job on Feb 1, 2009 9:08 PM PST reply actions  

I got a dollar saying

Henry is Caincecum

proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..

by Azmanz on Feb 1, 2009 9:21 PM PST up reply actions  

My paying attention ratio is really down this week. I spent a full minute trying to figure out why somebody would ever give you a dollar to say that.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Feb 1, 2009 11:36 PM PST up reply actions  

It's a shame how people deface our national currency.

Instead of writing accusations of schizophrenia they should just be satisfied with snorting coke with it.

My dollar says “No one knows what you’re talking about.”

This just in...Bobby Estalella can apply oral suction to a deceased pack animal's penile extremity.

by victor frankenstein on Feb 2, 2009 7:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm betting that...

Henry is Hank Schulman’s other personality :^)

Adoptive parental unit of Kevin " 2007's Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.

"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
"Woo hoo" - Tim "The Kid" Lincecum

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Feb 2, 2009 7:45 AM PST up reply actions  

That's a pretty good guess too.

proud father of the newly acquired Brandon Crawford..

by Azmanz on Feb 2, 2009 11:26 AM PST up reply actions  

make me think that caincecum is Henry from Tiburon and Jeremy from Kentfield is just some asshole who shouted a question… or Jeremy from Kentfield is caincecum and Henry either destroyed Jeremy or possibly ate him for his sweet sweet center juices midinterview.

by Giant Voodoo on Feb 1, 2009 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

"The Henry and Henry show"

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Feb 1, 2009 11:02 PM PST up reply actions  

I CAN’T STOP THINKING ABOUT HENRY FROM TUBURON

by satyricrash on Feb 2, 2009 6:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Is your blog limited to people who live in southern Marin?

by lincysgiants on Feb 1, 2009 11:24 PM PST reply actions  

WHOOO SOUTHERN MARIN

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Feb 2, 2009 6:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Henry from Tiburon CA asks: “What does the word restraint mean?”

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Feb 2, 2009 5:48 AM PST reply actions  

This comment is full of win. I had to stop reading, and get up from my desk I was laughing so hard.

Bravo Lyle, Bravo !

"Just take the ball and throw it where you want to. Throw strikes. Home plate don't move."-Leroy "Satchel" Paige

My adopted son Matt Downs . Utility Infielder with a Bat !

by nvsfg on Feb 2, 2009 3:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Why doesn’t Schulman travel with the team anymore? No wonder Baggarly gets all the good scoops these days.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Feb 2, 2009 5:54 AM PST reply actions  

I was wondering that as well. I thought the Chron’s beat writer automatically travelled with the team. Are they just going to pick AP game stories for the road games this year. That would suck.

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Feb 2, 2009 10:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Maybe he travels to the road games, but not on the Giants plane? So he’s with the team, but not “with the team.”

By that I mean he doesn’t put out.

GROUGTHINK ALERT

by groug on Feb 2, 2009 12:22 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t think it’s just Henry. I believe that’s yet another cost-cutting measure of the print journalism industry. I imagine the days not far away when no print journalists are allowed to go on road trips anymore (and then the day when no print journalists, period).

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Feb 2, 2009 3:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Great stuff, thanks for posting

My take on questions:

Biggest bust: I would have to say Alderson, though I think he’ll have some MLB career of some sort. Sure, young players are hard to evaluate, but Villalona at age 17 was above average playing against players 3-5 years older than he is, and way above average in hitting HR. And most of his competition either had 3-4 years of college or pro ball experience on him. Meanwhile, as nicely as Alderson did in Class A (and he did really well, I think he led in ERA), he barely struck out 7 batters per 9 IP, that’s good in the majors, not in the minors.

Trading Winn. I agree that right now it would probably take giving up money to trade Winn. However, a contender could lose an OF in spring training and need someone, Winn’s contract is actually OK for what he produces, I think we could easily trade him should that happens (and usually somebody is injured or non-productive). Still, if the team intends to compete in 2009, and they appear to be, I think they will keep things as is while giving the starting OF more days off to give Schierholtz regular play (Sorry Roberts). He’s the first line defense/backup if any of our OF get injured, if Lewis has hard time coming back from bunion surgery.

Agree on Frandsen and 2B.

About Burriss, while 2B is lower, SS is even much lower, so I’m not sure what that point is about. He could be plus offensively at either position, but plus defensively probably only at 2B, based on reports I’ve read.

About Posey v. Smoak, Villalona profiles the same as him, great power, good defense at 1B. However, the only plus defensive catcher in our system is Jackson Williams. Add to that Posey is considered plus at C and, in addition, when the job wears on him, could move to 2B or CF a la Biggio, that gives a lot of options, whereas Smoak could lead to a Cepeda/McCovey conundrum again.

I basically agree on the Giants winning the division. Obviously pitching has to come through, plus Rowand and Sandoval, and I would add Ishikawa and Schierholtz. Lots of “ifs” but at minimum, I think we will be competitive for the division, it will take some plus performances to take the division.

I agree, Lowry if healthy and productive is our 6th starter/long relief guy to mid-season then the Giants reassess who they can trade and who plays where (perhaps Sanchez sucks, you never know…)

Adoptive parental unit of Kevin " 2007's Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.

"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
"Woo hoo" - Tim "The Kid" Lincecum

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Feb 2, 2009 8:09 AM PST reply actions  

I’ve been wondering about the Noah Lowry/Jonathan Sanchez thing. Everything I’ve read says, “IF Lowry is healthy, THEN Sanchez is trade bait OR a bullpen arm.” You’re the first person I’ve seen mentioning Lowry as a long reliever, which is where I think he should be. I can’t imagine that Lowry is a better starter than Sanchez.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Feb 2, 2009 10:19 AM PST up reply actions  

I can imaging Lowry as a better starter than Sanchez

If only because it’s so easy to imagine Sanchez wilting under the workload.

VAE PVTO DEVS FIO

by Bhaakon on Feb 2, 2009 2:30 PM PST up reply actions  

But isn’t “wilting” higher up the scale than “not participating”?

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Feb 2, 2009 3:20 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree that Sanchez is likely to have a better season than Noah, but that’s not the original comment. The original comment was that it’s almost inconceivable for Noah to have a better season, but I think it’s easily conceivable.

VAE PVTO DEVS FIO

by Bhaakon on Feb 2, 2009 3:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually, I said I can’t imagine he’s a better starter than Sanchez, not that he can’t have a better season. Perhaps my imagination is simply limited, but I’m aware that it’s conceivable he could have a better season than Sanchez.

At this point, though, being as how Lowry didn’t even throw a pitch in all of the 2008 ML season, is it fair to say he’ll be all stretched out for the 162 game season but Sanchez won’t? Suppose Zito suffers a season ending injury at the beginning of ST and both Lowry and Sanchez are in the rotation for all of 2009. Who do you think will perform better, come September?

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Feb 2, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

I already answered that.
Sanchez is likely to have a better season than Noah

The question is “how likley?” Assuming Noah starts the year healthy, I don’t think it’s likely as some think/would like to think. Not because I expect Noah to have a great year or anything, but because I expect Sanchez’s workload increase to take a toll on his performance, particularly if he throws in the WBC.

VAE PVTO DEVS FIO

by Bhaakon on Feb 2, 2009 4:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes you did answer that…

Ugh, I forgot about the WBC. That’s a very fair point, and I do think there’s a good chance Sanchez will start breaking down towards the end of the season.

Basically, if it were me I’d do what OGC suggested and put Lowry in the ’pen with Sanchez starting. Seems like it makes the most sense.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Feb 2, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Alderson is a bust after one pro season where he did very well?

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Feb 2, 2009 12:40 PM PST up reply actions  

My bad!

/soils self

/sends in report

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Feb 2, 2009 3:42 PM PST up reply actions  

The question is

Who’s going to bust. Alderson had some luck in the HR department last year, and his K rate just wasn’t great. I like him, but I don’t think he’s got star potential. But , I think he’s the most likely of the four to become a productive major leaguer, so I would actually say he’s the least likely to bust.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Feb 2, 2009 1:09 PM PST up reply actions  

I’d think you’d have to go with Buster as most likely to be a productive major leaguer. He’s more developed, plays a position of (traditionally) scarcity and by all accounts plays it very well, and isn’t a teenaged pitcher. All of which would seem to make him the safer bet.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Feb 2, 2009 3:20 PM PST up reply actions  

I’d say the pitchers would be most likely to bust simply because they’re pitchers. ARM troubles among the pitchers is much more likely than any of the four just being no good.

TINSTASPP

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Feb 2, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions  

IMO

The only thing that could keep Alderson from becoming at least an OK reliever is injury. It’s close, but I’ll take Alderson’s chances over Posey. What makes you say Posey is more developed?

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Feb 3, 2009 3:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Mostly age and accomplishment. He played at the highest level of college baseball and did it better than any other college player in the country.

But back to Alderson, that’s roughly akin to saying the only thing that can ruin my perfect outdoor summertime wedding in Indianapolis is rain. What Goofus says above is true, arm injuries to the pitchers is much more likely than any of them just not being good enough.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Feb 4, 2009 11:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Hopefully Posey is more Weiters than Clement

by wilriv21 on Feb 4, 2009 12:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Fixed
What Goofus says above is true

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Feb 4, 2009 4:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I'd say Buster Posey

1) He has Bust is his nickname. He’s even more cursed than Floppert.

2) Unreasonable expectations + unspectacular performance + big money = Bust
He could make the majors and perform reasonably well and still be considered a failure (see: Dunleavy, Mike).

VAE PVTO DEVS FIO

by Bhaakon on Feb 2, 2009 3:51 PM PST up reply actions  

  1. reminds me of my fellow Dirtbag, Weaver

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Feb 2, 2009 6:24 PM PST up reply actions  

umm that was supposed to be (#2)

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Feb 2, 2009 6:24 PM PST up reply actions  

my niece is attending CSULB

by wilriv21 on Feb 2, 2009 6:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Does she go to the games at Blair Field?

The “Weaver Show” was a think of beauty. Always pitched the Friday game of the 3-game series and twice he struck out the first 10 batters to start the game. Then in ’05, imagine an infield of Tulowitzki at SS and Longoria at 3rd. Definitely fun to watch.

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Feb 2, 2009 7:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Bowker was there too. And catcher Jennings. SF bought Schierholtz before he attended.

by wilriv21 on Feb 2, 2009 7:26 PM PST up reply actions  

… and BA, but I was just naming the notable ones. The funny thing about Bowker is I never saw him hit a homerun, though he did hit a few on the road. Blair is the anti-hitters park (for power).

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Feb 2, 2009 7:51 PM PST up reply actions  

“That’s way harsh, Cher.”

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Feb 3, 2009 6:13 AM PST up reply actions  

AnVil...

…is 18, not 16 and he answered the question as if he was asked it 2 years ago, which is probably the last time he thought about Villalona.

Bonds stands alone.

Proud adopted parent of future big league slugger Thomas Neal

by nostocksjustbonds on Feb 2, 2009 8:50 AM PST reply actions  

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