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McCovey Chronicles Community Prospect List #4

Please do not rec these, we don't want to have them cluttering up the recommended fanposts.  Thanks

Ok, so Thomas Neal wins in dominating fasion.  Here is our list so far:

  1. Buster Posey
  2. Madison Bumgarner
  3. Thomas Neal

For #4, we have the following options:

Ehire Adrianza

Brandon Crawford

Tommy Joseph

Roger Kieschnick

Nick Noonan

Francisco Peguero

Rafael Rodriguez

Dan Runzler

Zack Wheeler

Hector Sanchez was removed by popular (enough) demand.  Each player should have a link to Baseball Cube in their first name and a link to First Inning in their last name.  Joseph and Wheeler don't because they have no college or professional experience.  The poll will close Friday at noon, unless it's another beat down, then it will be Thursday at noon.

Poll
Who is the Giants #4 prospect?
Ehire Adrianza
1 votes
Brandon Crawford
11 votes
Tommy Joseph
7 votes
Roger Kieschnick
12 votes
Nick Noonan
3 votes
Francisco Peguero
1 votes
Rafael Rodriguez
7 votes
Dan Runzler
27 votes
Zack Wheeler
185 votes

254 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

Comment 240 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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PLEASE REPLY TO THIS COMMENT WITH PEOPLE YOU THINK SHOULD BE ADDED TO THE NEXT POLL

If a name is already suggested, please rec the comment to add your vote for that player.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 11:01 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Part of me thinks that if Angel gets back to baseball he might be reinvigorated and extremely focused on succeeding.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

If anything can help an immature kid grow up in a hurry, this would have to be it.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:52 AM PST up reply actions  

looking on the bright side

And maybe he lost weight eating jail food…

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 5:50 AM PST up reply actions  

PLEASE!!!!

www.leaguelineup.com/lbucks24

by NuschlerFace on Dec 2, 2009 2:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Rec'd

Though I don’t plan on voting for him anytime soon.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 11:40 AM PST up reply actions  

LIES!

At least the rec part. You recced my comment, not Evan’s.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

WHY MUST MY EVERY MISTAKE BE POINTED OUT

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

You mean Angel “Charges Dropped by Family but not the Prosecutor and Visa Revoked” Villalona?

In Panda We Trust

by jbpeterson on Dec 2, 2009 8:29 PM PST up reply actions  

unless of course you have new info I haven’t seen about the guy?

In Panda We Trust

by jbpeterson on Dec 2, 2009 8:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Well obviously Brett Pill and Brock Bond! Dominant in Norwich! (OK, maybe not.) Pretty good in Norwich!

by taliesin on Dec 2, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

PLEASE REPLY TO THIS COMMENT WITH PEOPLE YOU THINK SHOULD BE REMOVED FROM THE NEXT POLL

If a name is already suggested, please rec the comment to add your vote for that player.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 11:02 AM PST reply actions  

Ehire. He has no votes (at this point) and, to me anyway, is an inferior prospect when compared to Crawford, whose top-10 status is questionable.

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 2:51 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

I still have Adrianza ahead of Crawford, but honestly I can’t see more than an eyelash of difference between them. Adrianza failed to hit at low A; Crawford, two and a half years older, failed to hit at AA. What’s the diff?

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 3:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Crawford at least had that stint at San Jose where he hit well. Ehire has never hit at any level (8 PA at AAA last year don’t count!). Crawford has about 100 points of SLG on Ehire.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 3:39 PM PST up reply actions  

And I do wonder if promoting Crawford last year was a mistake. We’ll see if he adjusts to AA next year, I guess.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

According the SJ Giants website, if Crawford performs well in spring training he might go to Fresno.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 3:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, because rushing our middle infield prospects has worked out so well in the past.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 3:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, I’m not against this if Crawford performs well enough to replace Renteria. (I know, I know…wishful thinking.)

If you can get 3:2 on a headline of "Giants Pitcher Assaults General Manager" at some point this year, take it.

by esseffgeez on Dec 2, 2009 4:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I believe that this is precisely Brian Sabean’s plan: Crawford will replace Renteria at SS in 2011.

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:36 AM PST up reply actions  

our middle infield prospects suspects

I wouldn’t call Burriss a prospect. And then there’s Bocock.

Lethargy
It has me

by dregarx on Dec 2, 2009 6:31 PM PST up reply actions  

He’ll be our starting SS by June.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 8:03 PM PST up reply actions  

I hate this organization.

Also, I’m reminded of one time early in the season when Bochy mentioned they were thinking of fast tracking Villalona. LOL them.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:02 PM PST up reply actions  

I seem to like Crawford more than most but it’s so like the Giants to promote a guy based on AFL stats and spring training while disregarding 3/4ths of a season of AA.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Goddamnit.

Brian Sabean, enemy of hitting prospects everywhere, strikes again.

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 6:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Brian Sabean, enemy of hitting prospects everywhere, strikes out again.

"Lisa, Vampires are make-believe, like elves, gremlins, and eskimos." - Homer Simpson
"Aren't we forgeting the true meaning of Christmas? You know, the birth of Santa?" - Bart Simpson
"Make crime pay. Become a Lawyer." - Will Rogers.

by Ramah71 on Dec 2, 2009 9:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Context on how little power Adrianza has

In their respective seasons at August:

Adrianza: .327 SLG
Burriss: .381

Granted, it’s not a fair comparison – Burriss was two and a half years older. But still…

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 3:44 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s not uncommon for 19 year olds to have no power, though. His line drive rates are decent; he’s not just dinking the ball into the ground every time like Burriss.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 3:58 PM PST up reply actions  

I guess. But I find it easier to believe that Crawford can cut down the strike out rate than that Adrianza can ever hit for any power. I have no reason for thinking this – call it a gut feeling.

They’re both flawed prospects, obviously.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I’d say historically 19 year olds increase power production much more frequently then 22 year olds with significant contact issues resolve them however.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 6:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Yes

This, exactly. Also, I fear that jcb9’s gut is too close to his other anatomical area which produces most of Goofus’ opinions.

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, you know where people pull their opinions from…

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 3, 2009 8:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Perhaps so. I really don’t know.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 3, 2009 8:51 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm curious, though

Can you think of anyone comprable to Adrianza – a 20 year old with as much minor league experience as he has – with a SLG as low as .313 who went on to be a successful Major Leaguer? I was thinking Rey Ordonez might fall into that category, but he was older when he entered the minors, and he had a higher SLG when he did.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Rafael Belliard had a .197 SLG when he was 19 (66 AB) and .250 when he was 20 (472 AB). So, at least Adrianza has more power than him, it seems!

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Unfortunately Belliard was terrible. It’s a good question, worthy of research. Adrianza’s slugging was actually .329 (or .327), though, not .313.

Another question: is it possible to be a good major-league player with no power at all? To this the answer is clearly yes. Ozzie Smith and Omar Vizquel and Brett Butler, to name a few, frequently kept their OPB higher than their slugging. If Adrianza’s going to be a contributor, that’s probably the way he’s going to do it.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 4:25 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s .313 if you count the Dominican Summer League (b-r does).

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Omar Vizquel’s career minor league slugging percent was .318. He slugged .295 as a 19 year old in A ball but then brought it up to .332 as a 20 year old. Link

Also, check out this old Cardinals SS. (Not Ozzie Smith)

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 4:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Can you think of anyone comprable to Adrianza – a 20 year old with as much minor league experience as he has – with a SLG as low as .313 who went on to be a successful Major Leaguer?

Omar Vizquel, Jason Bartlett, Yunel Escobar, Elvis Andrus, and Jhonny Peralta, all had SLG under .350 at some point in the minor league careers — Bartlett was a 22-year-old in A-ball when he did it, and Escobar was 23 in AA. When Rafael Furcal was Ehire’s age, he slugged .342 in Rookie ball. Edgar Renteria slugged .292 as an 18-year-old in A-ball.

Adrianza has some room to fill out, and he’s making solid contact with a decent idea of the strike zone. He was only 19 for most of the season, and he’s already a plus defender. I think he’s a pretty sweet prospect, and I have him ahead of Crawford on my top 30.

by Grant Brisbee on Dec 2, 2009 5:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t think all of these are fair comparisons. Andrus was in AA by the year he turned 20, 2 levels above Adrianza, and his slugging percentage (.361) is more than 40 points better than Adrianza’s. Bartlett slugged under .350 once in six seasons in the minors – his overall SLG was .417. And, to be fair to Adrianza, Bartlett was also older. Yunel Escobar was barely under .350 for one year (again, to be fair, older than Adrianza) – in his first year in the minors, he slugged .504, and in his third year he slugged .456.

Peralta and Vizquel are probably the best matches.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Adrianza's SLG by year, for the record

2006: .189 (155 PA)
2007: .325 (302 PA)
2008: .409 (76 PA)
2009: .327 (448 PA)

It’s possible he’ll develop into an acceptable hitter, but I don’t see any particular reason to believe he will.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:35 PM PST up reply actions  

and to clarify

I’m not trying not to believe! I’m just finding it hard to do so. For every Omar Vizquel, there are a hundred Mike Benjamins, y’know?

Of course, I’ve never seen the guy play, and all I have to go by are numbers, which can be deceptive at such a young age. So maybe (and hopefully) I’m wrong.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:38 PM PST up reply actions  

I wasn’t trying to find a perfect comparison — I just went through a list of current shortstops and picked the ones who didn’t have power at some point. Renteria would be my preferred comp in a best-case development case, actually.

by Grant Brisbee on Dec 2, 2009 7:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Can you think of anyone comparable to Crawford (22 y-o or older, in A+ or higher), who posted a 4.5:1 K/BB and went on to be a successful Major Leaguer?

I was promised lasagna.

by Cookyman on Dec 3, 2009 3:33 AM PST up reply actions  

I wouldn’t be surprised if Matt Williams had a K/BB rate approaching that when he was of a similar age and in the minors – I know that in his first three stints in the majors, his rates were 4.25, 5.13, and 5.14. Unfortunately, such records don’t seem to exist for the minor leagues in the 80s.

Of course, Williams also had a ton more power than Crawford.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 3, 2009 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/Players/W/Matt-Williams.shtml

21- AAA- 53/19
SF- 68/16

22- AAA- 56/13
SF-41/8

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 3, 2009 9:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Huh. I wonder why b-r doesn’t have that info.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 3, 2009 9:05 AM PST up reply actions  

Data quality issues with the source?

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 3, 2009 9:08 AM PST up reply actions  

So overall

Williams: 21/22 y-o, AAA: 3.4 K/BB.
Crawford: 22 y-o, A+/AA: 4.4 K/BB.

Williams was younger, at a higher level, and still posted a better K/BB.

When he returned to AAA the next year, his K/BB was 1.6. That’s a better comparison age/level wise, though he was repeating the level.

I was promised lasagna.

by Cookyman on Dec 3, 2009 9:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Hey, Glenallen Hill had a 6.08 ratio when he was 22!

Okay, maybe he’s not the best example. But if Crawford could post a .271 / .321 / .482 line, I’d be pretty thrilled.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 3, 2009 9:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Holly shit, as a 20 y-o Hill had 211 K’s in 540 PA’s.

Good call. My point: my list isn’t any longer than yours, and probably even shorter. Because of that, and because Adrianza is younger, and still has a better defensive reputation, I still like him better.

I was promised lasagna.

by Cookyman on Dec 3, 2009 11:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Bill Hall had a 4.59 K/BB as a 21 year old. He spent 89 games in A ball and then 41 in AA that year. The following season he was promoted to AAA and was 4.2.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 3, 2009 11:09 AM PST up reply actions  

His secondary numbers (LD%, K%, ISOP) look pretty similar to those that Burriss had . He’s obviously a lot younger so there’s hope he improves in future but I’m not all that confident, especially as I’ve not heard anything to suggest that he’s got more power to develop.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 3, 2009 7:04 AM PST up reply actions  

Burriss had a much higher GB% (58% to 48%) — and anecdotally the 6 or so games I saw him play in the Sally that year he virtually never hit anything other than weak groundballs to the opposite side, often for infield hits — and a slight but noticeably less LD% (11.6% to 13.2%) despite a 3.5+ year age advantage. I’d say there’s a noticeable difference there.

And the scouting reports usually do say there’s projection in his body to fill out some.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 7:35 AM PST up reply actions  

True, he did have a much higher GB% although i don’t know how much to read into that. The LD% is lower but not enough to really make much difference especially considering the likely inaccuracy of such measurements in the minors

The age difference is the big thing (isn’t it a 2.5 year difference though) if there’s projection there. Fair enough, i haven’t read much scouting info on him having more projection in his bat.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 3, 2009 9:50 AM PST up reply actions  

You’re right, I screwed up the age difference. I was just looking at their difference in age, not the age to league. For the record:

Burris was born in Jan. 85 and played in the Sally in his age 22 season, starting there at 22 yrs. 5 mos.

Adrianza was born in Aug. 89, and played in the Sally in his age 19 season, starting there at 19 yrs 8 mos.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 11:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Even at San Jose, Crawford had an absurdly high strikeout rate. His BABIP was .478! And if you give Crawford credit for San Jose, the age difference tilts further in Adrianza’s favor.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 3:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Interesting to note that in the Tools lists BA gave the Best IF Defense nod to Crawford over Adrianza (and Bocock for that matter, who was selected as best IF arm).

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 11:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Those rankings are always a bit weird. In the scouting reports, which I’m more inclined to trust, they seemed to like Adrianza’a defense more than Crawford’s.

I was promised lasagna.

by Cookyman on Dec 3, 2009 12:02 PM PST up reply actions  

if someone is getting 0 votes, that should be an indicator that it’s not their turn yet.

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 2, 2009 3:01 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Sort of, but the first 4 votes were all slam dunks, so it’s hard to accurately judge who should be removed for #5.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 3:58 PM PST up reply actions  

I like the current list for the next few picks.

Giant Dirtbags: John Bowker, Steve Hammond. MIA List: Todd Jennings, Brian Anderson
Jeremy Affeldt induces DP's

by Giant among Angels on Dec 2, 2009 7:35 PM PST up reply actions  

I went with Wheeler. He hasn’t thrown a pitch in pro ball yet but he’s a high enough draft pick and the Giants seem to know pitching pretty well.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 11:09 AM PST reply actions  

I was wondering if he was going to be unanimous but apparently someone already voted Crawford.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 11:12 AM PST up reply actions  

We have a couple secret Crawford voters. He got some votes last time.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:13 AM PST up reply actions  

Be interesting to see if Crawford goes 5. Personally, I think that’s a bit high.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 11:20 AM PST up reply actions  

IMO 5 is a Kieschnick/Joseph battle

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:21 AM PST up reply actions  

And you have?

Or is it against rules to discuss future votes?

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 11:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I’m deciding. I used the rationale that Neal has played and performed well to vote him over Wheeler. So I should probably stick to that. However, I see Neal and Wheeler as roughly equal talent wise and I imagine (hitting wise) that as a prospect Joseph is far higher than Kieschnick. but where does he play?

What good is a bat if he can’t play on the field? So for the reason of he “HAZ NO POSTION” I will probably rank Kieschnick higher than Joseph.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Exactly

I voted purely on the basis of the draft pedigree. None of the other guys are really elite prospects.

The next round of voting should be much more competitive.

by taliesin on Dec 2, 2009 12:26 PM PST up reply actions  

I like Wheeler too, but

He hasn’t thrown a pitch in pro ball

How can you get a decent evaluation of a guy when
He hasn’t thrown a pitch in pro ball

especially considering he was drafted out of high school, and not college, where it would be less important that
He hasn’t thrown a pitch in pro ball

Just in case you’ve forgotten,

He hasn’t thrown a pitch in pro ball

by quincy0191 on Dec 2, 2009 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

You basically just have to put your faith in the scouts.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 3:13 PM PST up reply actions  

I have a ton of faith in the scouts, especially the pitching scouts, and I’m sure Wheeler will at least be top 5 at this time next year. But RIGHT NOW, I don’t think you can really rank him. Talk about small sample size; we’ve got NO sample size.

by quincy0191 on Dec 2, 2009 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

So you’re not ranking him at all?

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

I look at it as he was drafted so high because of his upside and current abilities and that alone (well, also my faith in the orgs P scouts) gives him huge prospect status. Now it’s up to him to justify that status or we drop him down accordingly for next year.

Giant Dirtbags: John Bowker, Steve Hammond. MIA List: Todd Jennings, Brian Anderson
Jeremy Affeldt induces DP's

by Giant among Angels on Dec 2, 2009 7:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Neither has Stephen Strasburg, but I’d rank him atop the Giants’ list if we had him.

by Dan from NM on Dec 2, 2009 9:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Good point!

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:42 AM PST up reply actions  

I like Wheeler at #4, Kieschnick at #5.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:15 AM PST reply actions  

That’s how I see it, but I’m fighting this strong, somewhat irrational impulse to want to vote Joseph at 5.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 11:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I’m with you there.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:23 AM PST up reply actions  

I think Joseph may eventually be the better prospect, once he has more of a track record. But for now I’m down with Kieschnick.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:24 AM PST up reply actions  

Thats what I’m thinking.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:26 AM PST up reply actions  

I’m inclined to respect draft order and signing bonuses until players give us some reason to move them up or down. Noonan, Gillaspie, Fairloly, Willolliams, and Culolberson have not lived up to their high draft spots. Kieschnick and Crawford have, as I see it, held serve — they’ve done about as well as you would expect from third/fourth rounders; they’re definitely prospects; but they’re not dominating the way you need to in order to be a top prospect.

Which leaves Joseph and Rodriguez, who will probably be my #5 and #6.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:28 AM PST up reply actions  

True, in one draft year.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Kieschnick and Crawford are a fair comparison, because they were drafted the same year. I’m not sure about comparing them to Joseph, though, who was drafted a different year and against a different talent pool.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Also

Position is an issue with Joseph. He may end up having nowhere to play but first base, whereas Kieschnick (and Crawford) is considered a good defender – at a non-premium position, but more of a premium one than 1B.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:35 AM PST up reply actions  

But like I said, I think Joseph may rank higher than Kieschnick next year. We’ll see. I’d already put him ahead of Crawford.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

But that was taken into account in their respective draft positions.

And he may have nowhere to play, but on the other hand, he may be a power-hitting catcher.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

I suppose so.

I guess I just have less faith in draft order. So much of it seems arbitrary and influenced by concerns like signability and money, rather than prospect status. A bunch of this year’s top 10 picks were hardly first round talents, Travis Ishikawa was seen as a comp/second round talent but we picked him in the 21st, etc.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

That is a variable, true. I assume the talent level is more or less the same from one year to the next.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:35 AM PST up reply actions  

We really think there’s a chance that Joseph won’t be able to play a slightly below average 1B. He was always portrayed as a baseball rat in pre-draft previews, so I really have to think he’ll work hard enough to play a Garko level first base if he moves there.

If he ends up being a young Paul Konerko with the bat, I think that we’ll be able to find a place to play him.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 11:52 AM PST up reply actions  

I think you (a) need a question mark at the end of your first sentence, (b) rxmeistered that reply.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Definitely correct on the first account. Your second point has me confused.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Makes me LOL every time

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Pure comedy gold… thx, finally get that meme.

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t remember writing that.

"All I know is right now, you comeback and do you dwell on that? I think you're man enough to take it, you're man enough to chew on it, to spit it out and you learn from it. ... I think winners let it go. I think losers dwell on it and talk about it all week and that screws you up for the next opportunity going forward." - Mike Singletary after the 49ers loss to the Vikings

by SFGuy on Dec 3, 2009 12:58 AM PST up reply actions  

Found a good one today as well, though not nearly as good as yours.

Giant Dirtbags: John Bowker, Steve Hammond. MIA List: Todd Jennings, Brian Anderson
Jeremy Affeldt induces DP's

by Giant among Angels on Dec 2, 2009 7:55 PM PST up reply actions  

lol

#1 threat to America: Pandas
Also, Tim Lincecum
Adopted Father: Tyler Graham
Official McPokeMaster
Registered Velezbian and supporter of Fredemption

by GrahamCrakalaka on Dec 2, 2009 7:58 PM PST up reply actions  

I totally got RX’D!

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 8:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Tiny font is tiny.

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:45 AM PST up reply actions  

GLUE!

I don't know about that, to the groin.

by howtheyscored on Dec 3, 2009 8:25 AM PST up reply actions  

I think I’m leaning towards Crawford over Kieschnick. Their strikeout and walk percentages were basically the same and Crawford is a SS and was playing at a higher level.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Dec 2, 2009 2:13 PM PST up reply actions  

I really like Joseph’s swing. Granted, that clip is with an aluminum bat, but the bat heads path to the ball looks great. His stride, though, looks a bit different. I really want to go with him at #5, but will probably go Kieschnick as well.

Giant Dirtbags: John Bowker, Steve Hammond. MIA List: Todd Jennings, Brian Anderson
Jeremy Affeldt induces DP's

by Giant among Angels on Dec 2, 2009 7:49 PM PST up reply actions  

I sort of think Villalona should be on there....

the whole innocent until proven guilty thing. Plus, it’d be nice to see where people would rank had him

by NeifiChicken on Dec 2, 2009 11:17 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

And I’m with you there, but I get the feeling that people just aren’t thinking about him at all, so we’re not going to get a true picture of where he would rank.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 11:24 AM PST up reply actions  

There’s also this, although I’m not sure what it means.

Anyways, if you want him added, just post his name above in the add section. If people agree, he’ll get recs (at least in theory), and added.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

it’s not an innocent or guilt thing for me — it’s a does he have a visa and is he still on a development curve (and for that matter, still an active member of the organization) thing.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 2, 2009 11:48 AM PST up reply actions  

This

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 2:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Totally agree, but I think he deserves to be on the list.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:08 PM PST up reply actions  

I dunno. The question marks around his future make it pretty impossible for me to have any idea where he belongs on the list.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Then don’t vote for him. I don’t plan on doing it, but I think that because he was such a highly-regarded prospect as of a few months ago, he deserved to be exposed to the voting instead of buried due to a lack of nominations.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:12 PM PST up reply actions  

But I’m not sure that not voting for him is the best answer either, is the thing. Like I said, “I dunno.”

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:13 PM PST up reply actions  

I think something along the lines of:
#Do not include on any lists
#Once list is made offer another, Villalona only poll that says “Given this list where would you place Angel if he was able to play bassball 1/1/2009?”
#Give him the ranking from the poll but as #a. If he plays again, he takes that spot and everyone gets bumbped one spot.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 12:15 PM PST up reply actions  

That’s a good idea.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Except for the spelling.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I seem to be the only person in the world who hates butter. So, does this mean I’m the only McCoven to hate Evan?

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes. By proxy, you hate Evan.

And America.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 12:19 PM PST up reply actions  

You and I have a lot in common, apparently!

Also, random Harrisonburg-related story: the last two times my wife has worn her JMU sweatshirt in public, she’s been hit on by random guys. Maybe there’s some sort of aphrodisiac property.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:21 PM PST up reply actions  

That’s pretty funny. I don’t think this works in Harrisonburg.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

If you’re the only one, I must be doing something wrong.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 12:20 PM PST up reply actions  

TWSS

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:47 AM PST up reply actions  

But aren’t you Pedro Feliz?

"It's too late now."

by ResDog on Dec 2, 2009 12:21 PM PST up reply actions  

I hate margarine. Who’s the Mccovey equivalent of margarine?

by Wonderful Terrific Monds on Dec 2, 2009 12:22 PM PST up reply actions  

The human craving for saturated fats is a relic of a hunter/gatherer society——we most desire the nutrients that are hardest to come by in nature.

I wonder if jcb9 is actually the next stage in human evolution.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:21 PM PST up reply actions  

In the future, everyone will be full of rage and obsessed with Kim Batiste.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 12:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Well. I don’t have any wisdom teeth in my lower jaw AND I have the ability to rapidly shake my eyeballs back and forth.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 12:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh, the wisdom teeth thing confirms it.

/bows before jcb9 and offers him the burnt carcass of Hokysmokesbw

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t have any wisdom teeth in my lower jaw either.

I was promised lasagna.

by Cookyman on Dec 3, 2009 3:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Freak bias

You two stay away from me!

Officially disinterested in any high school outfielders from the state of Mississippi.

by Lyle on Dec 3, 2009 6:48 AM PST up reply actions  

I don’t have any wisdom teeth at all! Not since the surgery.

I don't know about that, to the groin.

by howtheyscored on Dec 3, 2009 8:26 AM PST up reply actions  

I don’t have any!

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 3, 2009 8:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I imagine him as a huge floating brain with giant eyeballs that hovers around telepathing about Kim Batiste.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

What are you talking about!

I think something along the lines of:

  1. Do not include Villalona on any lists
  2. Once list is made, make another, Villalona only, poll that says "Given this list where would you place Angel if he was able to play baseball 1/1/2009?"
  3. Give him the ranking from the poll but as #a. If he plays again, he takes that spot and everyone gets bumped one spot.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 12:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Why should Angel not be included on any lists? Every prospect carries risk. With Angel, a significant part of that risk is legal.

Rightly or (probably) wrongly, it appears to me he will be available to play. Certainly there is risk that he won’t.

I agree it would also be intriguing to rank him as to where he would be if we knew for sure he could play in 2010. But we don’t — so that is just one more (not insubstantial) risk for him as a prospect.

by sharksrog on Dec 2, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

I’d have Angel on the list, too, but his legal risks (as you point out) just make his ranking so much lower as it seems the risks of him not playing next year at all seem pretty high right now. that could all change before spring training, but as of now, when we’re doing these rankings, it’s a big factor.

As for his ranking, I was going to downgrade him anyway as it seemed that he did not make much progress as a hitter in 2009 and got injured. He didn’t seem very mature either (I know he’s young, but the reports of his maturation in Augusta seemed very positive.) You add that to the risk and he’s not a top 10 guy and for me, not a top 30 guy.

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 2, 2009 2:59 PM PST up reply actions  

2010?

Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl

by Viliphied on Dec 2, 2009 2:06 PM PST up reply actions  

That works for me.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m fine with this too.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 12:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I am satisfied by this proposal.

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 2:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Angel

I’d be fine with doing this in addition to having him nominated and voted for as if he were just a non-legal-limbo prospect.

Step one vote for the Community list..
Step two say hey’s plan.

If your big fear is that some of us vote for Angel from the 5th spot on, which might screw up the results of battles between Ehire, Crawfork or Kieschnick since that group of voters would be “throwing away” their votes on Angel – well, I can see that.

But I think he should just get a spot on the list, and some of the voting stuff will be quirky anyways. Some have already started voting for a reliever, when many others in the community think its crazy to put a reliever in the top ten. Maybe Runzler is the exception. Some think it’s crazy to have a guy sans-visa as a prospect, but I bet Angel could start getting some votes.

co-dad w/AfDC of
Ishikawa, the Topps Rookie All Star Team's First baseman. Does he get a chance in 2010?

by kennv on Dec 2, 2009 9:11 PM PST up reply actions  

I’ve spent a lot of time badmouthing Villalona, but behind Kieschnick? No way. They were at the same level last year and Angel was three and a half years younger.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 12:13 PM PST up reply actions  

And Kieschnick out-OPS’d him by almost 200 points. I don’t know that 3 and a half years of age really makes up for that, especially if there really just wasn’t anything very good about Angel’s line at all.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

I’d say that the 3.5 years is more important than 200 points of OPS. Age relative to league continually proves to be a more important indicator of future success than league performance does, and thats’ a huge age differential for a lowish minor league. Not that I’m not high on Roger, but you do have to look at those years carefully before burying Angel as far as prospect potential goes. If he were to repeat A ball again for the next three seasons, is there any reason to believe he wouldn’t make up those 200 points and then some?

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 2, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s worth noting that Villalona only had a small sample last season. He had a pretty similar OPS (800 or so) to Kieshnick before he had a bad month and then got injured.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:40 PM PST up reply actions  

If you ignored the off-field issue Villalona would be a pretty clear number 5 prospect.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

I was going to go with Wheeler or Neal at #3. I voted for Neal in the last one, so I’m going with Wheeler.

I know you nerds know NOTHING about the real game of baseball, or any other athletic endeavor requiring teamwork under physical stress.
Mr. F! | comics | art | New Nattowear | Unofficial McImage Directory

by Natto on Dec 2, 2009 11:22 AM PST reply actions  

Definitely Wheeler here.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 11:22 AM PST reply actions  

I voted for Wheeler last time so…

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 11:34 AM PST reply actions  

I don’t think I can bring myself to vote for Wheeler here. I know that Runzler is only a relief prospect, but the guy is already pitching and already dealing, and Wheeler has never pitched outside of high school.

I think I am going to mull some more.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 11:38 AM PST reply actions  

MULL MORE!

I just can’t rank relievers in most Top-10 lists.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 11:42 AM PST up reply actions  

I had Sergio Romo at #10 last year. But that’s about as far as I’d go unless the guy seemed like a surefire Next Mariano Rivera.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Speaking of which

I just noticed that, the same year the Giants got Thomas Neal in the 36th round, they got Sergio Romo in the 22nd. Sweet! That makes up somewhat for that being the goddamned No Picks In The First Three Rounds And Our First Pick Was Ben Copeland year.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:44 AM PST up reply actions  

Next most interesting guys that year, though: Joe Martinez, Alex Hinshaw. Actually, I’m not sure if that’s when Hinshaw actually signed. We drafted him like three times.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 11:44 AM PST up reply actions  

BUT BILLY BEANE LICKS COPELAND!

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:45 AM PST up reply actions  

eww

co-dad w/AfDC of
Ishikawa, the Topps Rookie All Star Team's First baseman. Does he get a chance in 2010?

by kennv on Dec 2, 2009 9:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Runzler was a starting pitcher his last year in college. Wheeler was a starting pitcher his last year in high school.

I know that’s an over-simplistic argument that perhaps ignores scouting, but Runzler has started games at a higher level than Wheeler, and has done well overall professionally (outside of the walks). That, coupled with his high marks in Baseball America, makes this a hard decision for me.

And that’s only if you totally ignore the fact that Keach put up decent numbers in San Jose.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 11:55 AM PST up reply actions  

he only started 10 out of 22 games in college

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I understand that, and I know that it is cherry-picking, but those are 10 more starts than Wheeler has made.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 11:57 AM PST up reply actions  

meh…its not like Wheeler wouldn’t start in College

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 11:58 AM PST up reply actions  

But he’s too young to even have gone to college. That, I think, is pretty significant.

I may very well go with Wheeler here, but I don’t think this should be the blowout that it currently is.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:02 PM PST up reply actions  

That is part of the prospect fun though! You get to project and go with your gut on who will be more valuable to the team, you don’t need to rational!

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 12:04 PM PST up reply actions  

I CAN RATIONAL IF I WANT

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 12:04 PM PST up reply actions  

And he wasn’t effective as a starter in those starts. I mean, I don’t see how the argument holds up when he didn’t perform as a starter, even if it was at a higher level.

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 2:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Runzler was a reliever in college before becoming a starter during his last season. He struggled in that role and THEN moved back to the bullpen where he flourished.

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 2, 2009 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Being a starter in your last year of college isn’t that big of a deal to me! Wheeler is a better pick across the board from a scouting standpoint. I’m not sure I can penalize Zachary for not being a starter in college when he never even played college ball.

Also, he probably won’t walk a billion people.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

We all know you can’t catch MLB pitchers until you prove you can catch MLB pitches

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Why can’t you penalize a player for something he hasn’t done? I’ve never played college ball, and I didn’t make the list either!

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, but you smell.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 1:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Also, because of Zach’s extreme lack of experience, we don’t know what kind of pitcher he is. With only two good pitches, his ceiling could be that of a reliever, anyway.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:55 PM PST up reply actions  

But he’s got a chance to be a starter which is more than we can say for Runzler.

by xanthan on Dec 2, 2009 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m trying to remember, was Merkin in our system as a starter in 2003? I know at one point he was ranked ahead of Cain but I can’t remember whether that was as a starter or a reliever.

If you can get 3:2 on a headline of "Giants Pitcher Assaults General Manager" at some point this year, take it.

by esseffgeez on Dec 2, 2009 3:54 PM PST up reply actions  

He was a starter then, yeah.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:01 PM PST up reply actions  

I can’t remember when that happened. It was after the trade, but pretty quickly after as I recall.

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, I think he came clean (name and age) before or around ’03 spring training.

If you can get 3:2 on a headline of "Giants Pitcher Assaults General Manager" at some point this year, take it.

by esseffgeez on Dec 2, 2009 4:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Merkin was a starter in Hagerstown in ‘03 and was the league’s most dominant pitcher. Cain was on that same team and had a fine half season but then was shut down for the second half with an ill-defined elbow injury. Actually Brad Hennessey, Clay Hensley, Scott Munter, Billy Sadler, and Eric Threets were on that staff, too. And the lineup featured Fred Lewis, Travis Ishikawa, and Brian Buscher — basically the bulk of the organization’s Top 10 list for the year.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 6:32 AM PST up reply actions  

That makes me nervous about this past years SJ team. Although the current crop is much stronger than the 2003 one.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 3, 2009 10:35 AM PST up reply actions  

This seems kind of silly though – his draft position was great, he reportedly has excellent stuff. Would you have been against ranking Madison Bumgarner high on our list two years ago?

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

It depends on who he was being compared to.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Alex Hinshaw

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 2, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I think you’re over-rating age/proximity to the majors. Yes Runzler is more experienced and nearer the majors but he plays a less valuable role and is way less talented. I don’t think Runzler is even that sure a bet, he’s risen very fast but he still has control issues and relievers are very volitile in terms of their production.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:37 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t know that Runzler is less talented. Both Wheeler and Runzler, reportedly, have two plus pitches and not much else. Its entirely possible that Wheeler was/is more highly regarded because of his “safer” body-type.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:46 PM PST up reply actions  

I think it’s pretty clear that he’s more talented, that’s why he was selected with the 6th overall pick and Runzler wasn’t selected until the 284th pick. It’s also why one is potentially a Matt Cain level pitcher and the other is potentially a Jeremy Affeldt level pitcher.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Then why even do these votes? We can just make our selections based on how they were drafted. It would save Marcello a lot of time.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Two reasons i guess, to encourage discussion about prospects and also because in some cases prospect comparisons aren’t clear cut.

When you’re comparing a pitcher with no experience and one with 133 innings experience with such a vastly different draft pedigree then the draft positioning should have a large effect on their prospect ranking.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 2:02 PM PST up reply actions  

draft position isn’t the only factor, just one of the factors. But when a guy hasn’t played pro ball or even college ball, it’s a bigger factor than for guys who have played a year or two in college or the minors.

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 2, 2009 2:03 PM PST up reply actions  

also

 depends on who’s drafing. the pirates had a different philosophy in the last ten years.

by giantdonkey on Dec 2, 2009 2:25 PM PST up reply actions  

I put a lot of weight on draft order, but let’s not go overboard. It’s clear that Runzler is very, very talented, more so than a great many players drafted ahead of him.

by Evan on Dec 2, 2009 2:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m not saying that Runzler isn’t talented or that draft position is the only determining factor. But we’re talking about a relief pitcher with control issues who was barely mentioned before last year and we’re comparing him to a top 10 draft pick.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 2:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Kieschnick’s K/BB ratio at San Jose last season was sad. When he was drafted, there was concern that his swing would need re-working. That concern hasn’t been gone away to my satisfaction yet.

Roger has tools. But it doesn’t matter how good your hammer is if you can’t hit the nail with it. (Didn’t mean this as a double entendre.)

by sharksrog on Dec 2, 2009 2:02 PM PST up reply actions  

He needs some Bam Bam Meulens in his life.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 2:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Should’ve said you didn’t mean it as a double entendre before you said it. The damage has been done

Also known to haunt as theghostoftravisdenker and theaccidentalghostofsergioromo.

by theghostofjasonellison on Dec 2, 2009 2:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Or you could go the Capt. Hammer single entredre route — “the hammer is my penis.”

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 6:34 AM PST up reply actions  

toolsy

O, I always wondered what that meant. now I know it is related to evaluating lumber.

cheering for Adam Witter, who will hit bigleague dingers some day.
Still yelling "Go, Antoan"

by foothillsfan on Dec 3, 2009 10:08 AM PST up reply actions  

For me top 10 okay, but top 5 is a no.

Brian Wilson was one of the more valuable giants last year.

Please hit better, Randy Winn.

by oldjacket on Dec 2, 2009 1:35 PM PST up reply actions  

NEEDS MOAR ALLSPICE!

I don't know about that, to the groin.

by howtheyscored on Dec 2, 2009 11:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, but even if Runzler were to become Mariano Rivera, he’d add about 2-3 wins a year. That’s the absolute ceiling.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 12:31 PM PST up reply actions  

i voted for roger for the same reason i voted for neal for #3. he’s rerformed well at high A ball. my next choice would’ve been wheeler.

by giantdonkey on Dec 2, 2009 11:44 AM PST reply actions  

Wheeler

I voted him for at 3, though I have no problem with Neal at 3. Given his draft stock and trust in giants scouts when it comes to pitching and the scouting reports, Wheeler at 4 is fine, despite the lack of pro experience. He’s young enough where that’s not that much of a negative.

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 2, 2009 11:54 AM PST reply actions  

He’s obviously going to win this poll but am i the only one who thinks Wheeler is a bit under-rated on here? He was the 6th choice in the draft (noticeably higher than our previous HS pitchers Cain, Bumgarner and Alderson) and has a mid 90 fastball, with decent control and secondary pitches.

He’s obviously got no professional experience yet but he’s a stud pitching prospect. It seems that when other prospects joined such as Villalona, Bumgarner, Posey, etc there was a lot of excitement but Wheeler seems to get the “meh, he’s not got any professional experience” response.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:33 PM PST reply actions  

I think this board values experience and talent.

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 1:34 PM PST up reply actions  

I didn’t say anything about tires!

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 2, 2009 1:40 PM PST up reply actions  

But Posey, Bumgarner, Alderson, Villalona were all rated highly before they had any experience. Experience obviously matters and so you have adjust accordingly but it doesn’t matter as much as overall talent. Aside from Posey, Wheeler is probably the most talented prospect we’ve had in a while and it seems silly to downplay that because he doesn’t have professional experience.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 1:49 PM PST up reply actions  

I guess this is the comparison for me:

Stuff: Similar. Two plus pitches, and the rest is a work in progress

Body: Wheeler has a traditional pitcher’s body. Runzler is OMG LARDZ. Runzler is a lefty, if that matters.

Draft pedigree: Wheeler’s is very high, Runzler’s was meh.

Experience: Wheeler has not pitched at all. Runzler has had a good, if not voluminous, amount of success getting actual professional hitters out.

Whatever. I voted for Roger.

Merkin Valdez? Manuel Mateo? A rose by any other name...

by rotorueter on Dec 2, 2009 1:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Eh, I’ve seen plenty of touted arms showing up in the minors with much less than advertised stuff. Maybe that’s a relic of a scouting system that used to be less intensive, but I don’t think so.

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Aside from Posey, Wheeler is probably the most talented prospect we’ve had in a while

Bumgarner? Lincecum?

"Why not trade Bumgarner for some banger stud?" - sfgiants.com commenter or online porn ad? You be the judge!
Adopted Giant: the probably soon to be ditched but still awesome Fred Lewis

by jcb9 on Dec 2, 2009 2:00 PM PST up reply actions  

JACKS!

Proud adoptive daddy for the Big Unit, who is currently teaching Madison Bumgarner the art of being intimidating.

by Speedforthewin on Dec 2, 2009 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, i obviously forgot (somehow) Lincecum. I think Wheeler is a better prospect than Bumgarner was when he was drated as he carries less question marks than Bumgarner did.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 2:10 PM PST up reply actions  

I can’t find the prospect lists from past last year and I haven’t been on here long, but it’s probably not unreasonable for me to guess that Wheeler is “rated lower” simply because of the better competition at the top of the ledger in our system.

Start with Lincecum and Villalona in 2006. The previous year, the Giant’s first draft pick was in the 4th round. They had no elite minor league talent to speak of- Baseball America rounded out the top 5 with JSanch, Burriss (another new draftee), and BWilson.

Now 2007. With Lincecum already up and out of the minors, Bumgarner and Alderson’s only real competition was Villalona. Nate Schierholtz and Henry Sosa were the other “top 5 prospects” (per BA).

2008: There’s a big difference between Posey out of college and the other 3 guys. Bumgarner by this point was our first elite prospect in a long time who actually stuck around long enough to stay at the head of the rankings.

If you look at the crops, there is nothing even close to a Buster Posey, a Madison Bumgarner, or even a Thomas Neal at the head of the rankings. If Wheeler had been drafted in 2005, 2006, or 2007 he probably would have ended up the number one overall on the list as a #6 draftee in an extremely weak farm system. Number 4 on this list is equivalent to Number 1 on those other lists, and Number 2 on the 2007 list (behind Bumgarner).

There wasn’t a change in philosophy but rather an emergence of viable A/B+ prospects Wheeler has to compete with that have wicked track records to support their claims to fame.

Lethargy
It has me

by dregarx on Dec 2, 2009 7:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Really, most systems that have a Top 10 pick will see that pick at the #1 or 2 spots on their prospect lists the next year. It’s a rare — and really stocked system that can keep a Top 10 draft pick out of a top position on their prospect chart. I voted Neal #3 because of my long-held affection for him but Wheeler was more likely the correct call.

My Bucardo is better than yours.

A hot August weekday, before a small crowd, when the only thing at stake is the tissue-thin difference between a thing done well and a thing done ill. Insofar as the clutch hitter is not a sportswriter's myth, it is a vulgarity, like a writer who writes only for money.

by Roger on Dec 3, 2009 6:38 AM PST up reply actions  

For reference the other high school arms rated similar to Wheeler (Matzek, Turner and Miller) are all rated as the top prospect on their respective lists.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 3, 2009 6:55 AM PST up reply actions  

BA Top 10 Rankings of 2009 draft picks

So far…

Rockies-1
Nationals- 1, 3, 7
Braves-4
Marlins-3
Phillies-No 1st round pick
Cubs-2
Cincy- 3, 9
Houston- 2, 7
Brewers- 4, 6, 10
Pirates- 3 (Alderson- 7)
Rookies- 1, 7, 8, 10
St. Louis- 1, 10
SF- 3, 6

say hey nation is the Ralph Nader of McC.-Xanthan

by say hey nation on Dec 3, 2009 6:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I think the problem is pitching prospects bust all the time

So just because Cain, Lincecum and Bumgarner have done well in their pro careers so far doesnt mean we rank Wheeler as if he is going to be the next one of those guys.

Alot of promising pitching prospects bust, so the fact that wheeler doesnt have any experience out of high school, can yeah, cause people to vote for Thomas Neal or even give some votes to Roger Kieschnick after a good year in pro ball.

I dont really think rating a high schooler 4th in the whole system as under valuing him. Especially when the 3 guys above him are Posey, Bumgarner and Neal.

Its funny because fuck the dodgers

by kvdp12 on Dec 2, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t think ranking him 4th is undervaluing him, but I do think that ranking him much lower than that is.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
"AT LAST I AM A PARENTS." - Buster

by jponry on Dec 2, 2009 2:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah of course they bust and just because Wheeler’s a good prospect or we’ve had success doesn’t mean he’s going to be successful. But then all prospects carry an inherent risk and i don’t think it’s wise to over-play that risk in Wheeler.

I wasn’t saying that him ranking fourth is undervaluing him, it’s more a general point regarding comments about him. Posey and Bumgarner are better prospects (as they’re more proven) and whilst i’d choose him ahead of Neal i can understand why others wouldn’t. Ranking him lower than 4th would be and he should be far closer to Neal than he is any other prospect.

Proud parent of Waldis Joaquin!

by GiantFan on Dec 2, 2009 2:17 PM PST up reply actions  

OT

from the cbs sports link… the raiders billboard from the fans is awesome ! lol

by giantdonkey on Dec 2, 2009 2:30 PM PST reply actions  

/signs petition

"It's too late now."

by ResDog on Dec 2, 2009 2:38 PM PST up reply actions  

So

Based on the support for this, I think that’s how we’re going to handle the Villalona situation. We’ll have a poll at the end to place him somewhere on the list assuming the whole murder thing never happened. I’ll probably limit the options to something like #3 through #10 (NOTE: preliminary idea, subject to change due to popular request).

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 4:05 PM PST reply actions  

someone help please

  how is stoffel pronounced ? is it closer to awful or woefull. lol i like the guy, so i’m not suggesting these are close to his abilities.

by giantdonkey on Dec 2, 2009 4:13 PM PST reply actions  

I would guess: Staw – fol

Juan Carlos Perez, please start hitting.

by marcello on Dec 2, 2009 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I voted Kieschneik

but then I scrolled down and saw Wheeler. oops

I change my vote.

#1 threat to America: Pandas
Also, Tim Lincecum
Adopted Father: Tyler Graham
Official McPokeMaster
Registered Velezbian and supporter of Fredemption

by GrahamCrakalaka on Dec 2, 2009 6:39 PM PST reply actions  

I voted Wheeler

I trust Dick Tidrow.

Joe Martinez: You are cool.
When it's all said and done, America will be remembered for three things: The Bill of Rights, jazz, and baseball.

by cornball on Dec 2, 2009 6:45 PM PST reply actions  

How dare you!

Put my son back on that list this instant! He’s practically the only “bad-bodied” catching prospect left in the org nowm

Still the loving, adoptive father of Hector Sanchez. And who doesn't love switch-hitting catchers with power and patience?

by tedfordfan on Dec 2, 2009 6:59 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

I voted Wheeler at #3, so not much changing here at #4.

Lethargy
It has me

by dregarx on Dec 2, 2009 7:25 PM PST reply actions  

Wheeler

This is the right spot for Wheeler. I am hoping by mid-season that both the #3 and #4 guys are both doing so well that it makes the decision tougher. But for now I feel comfortable having Wheeler sitting in the 4 slot for now.

Giant Dirtbags: John Bowker, Steve Hammond. MIA List: Todd Jennings, Brian Anderson
Jeremy Affeldt induces DP's

by Giant among Angels on Dec 2, 2009 7:34 PM PST reply actions  

Wheeler

I go for Wheeler here because of his value in terms of the prospects we have. Where he went in the draft and the potential even though he has never thrown a pro pitch…his value in the Giants organization and to other organizations as trade value (not saying we should trade him but that he is valuable for such a transaction) he warrants such a high position.

In Panda We Trust

by jbpeterson on Dec 2, 2009 8:42 PM PST reply actions  

I've never seen him throw a baseball...

but all the pro evaluators LOVE him, so I’m trusting the guys who know more than me.

"…this thing which tells time."

by Cody_ransom on Dec 3, 2009 10:11 AM PST reply actions  

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