I did not punish Lincecum for winning only 15 games, for I know all about the offense behind him. Plus, we all know wins can be affected by run support and bullpen performance. I will admit that Carpenter’s 17-4 record jumped off the page when I began my cramming. Lincecum was 15-7.

My first thought was that Carpenter must have enjoyed superior run support. Thus, I was stunned to see that their average support per nine innings virtually was identical. Carpenter’s was 5.84, Lincecum’s 5.83. In comparison, Cardinals hitters went ape crazy when Wainwright pitched. His average was 7.07.

does he really not see the fallacy in believing that means anything?

Lincecum had over 100 more K’s than Carpenter. To dismiss that stat because Carpenter “is not that kind of pitcher,” is flat out wrong. By that logic, why not vote for Noah Lowry for Cy Young? After all, you can’t penalize him for being hurt, he’s “not that kind of pitcher” who stays healthy.

I rec this analysis. By the numbers:

If you believe in Ks and fielding-independent stats, Timmy should win. But it is a close race in the sense that you can make an argument for any of the top 3 and Hank’s thought process and how he voted is probably what you’d expect from most baseball writers.

I always have strived not to fall into the homer trap. Although I have voted for my share of Giants, these awards, particularly Cy Young and Most Valuable Player, are remembered for the ages. I think them too important to vote blithely without proper care and analysis.

And this self righteous attitude is why I hate the BBWAA. Yet, I still get riled up when a Giant wins or loses.

I give Schulman a lot of credit for admitting it in advance knowing full well Giants fans are going to shit all over him for it. I think you guys are being way too harsh. This isn’t Terry Pendleton over Bonds.

Your own beat writer not voting for you when you are equal to or better than the guy he voted for is fucking lame.

I have already resigned myself to the fact that Lincecum will not win the Cy this year.

I thought the fact Hank stated that he knew wins were a bogus stat and then said “Oooh! Second half wins!!” was pretty funny.

I agree with Schulman.

I think a decent argument can be made for Lincecum or Carpenter and don’t have a problem with someone choosing either, so long as it’s for the right reasons. To be honest i’m not all that bothered this year given that Lincecum won it last year.

Schulman admitted he agonized over the decision, and as Hobbes2d said above, it’s not as if he picked Wainwright. I think Timmy had a slight edge over Carpenter, but if Carpenter wins, it’s not exactly a Thierry-Henry-handball-level travesty.

Pitchfork!

Still meh today

Oh please. Advanced metrics have the top three pitchers incredibly close in value. There’s nothing wrong with Schulman’s vote, even if I disagree with it.