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BP SF Top 11 (free stuff)

anyway I didn't see this posted yet and thought it would be interesting to disect.  I think it's a pretty solid list but my only issues are that he has Villalona rated a notch to high in my opinion and putting Romo ahead of Kiesch and Wendell 

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Team Audit | DT Cards | PECOTA Cards | Depth Chart

 

Five-Star Prospects
1. Madison Bumgarner, LHP
2. Buster Posey, C
3. Angel Villalona1B
Four-Star Prospects
4. Tim Alderson, RHP
Three-Star Prospects
5. Rafael Rodriguez, RF
6. Conor Gillaspie, 3B
7. Nick Noonan, 2B
8. Travis Ishikawa1B
9. Henry Sosa, RHP
10. Sergio Romo, RHP
Two-Star Prospects
11. Roger Kieschnick, OF

Just Missed: Ehire Adrianza, SS; Wendell Fairley, OF; Joseph Martinez, RHP

Ranking Challenges: Bumgarner is an obvious number one, but Posey isn't all that far behind him. Some might flip-flop Villalona and Alderson at three and four, but I can't see either player ranked lower that those two slots. Where Rodriguez slots in is really a matter of your evaluation philosophy, but after that, it's anything goes for the remaining six—Adrianza was the only player close enough to almost make the list.

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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Looks good

How many other teams have 3 5-star prospects out of curiosity?

I see the future, and it is Pablo

by CB30 on Jan 26, 2009 9:53 PM PST reply actions  

2 so far...

The Marlins with
1. Cameron Maybin, CF
2. Michael Stanton, RF
3. Matt Dominguez, 3B

and Baltimore with
1. Matt Wieters, C
2. Chris Tillman, RHP
3. Brian Matusz, LHP

of course, most of the AL hasn’t been reviewed yet.

Other than the inexplicable Noonan-love, I like the list. Far more than that, I like having a list that doesn’t embarrass the franchise. Far more than that, I like being able to have hope for the future. Ahhh, 2009 shows the winds of change are a’blowin…

I got one word for you: "youneverknow"

by senorvegas on Jan 26, 2009 10:04 PM PST up reply actions  

You may disagree with the Noonan love, but since he’s ranked pretty similarly on most every list I’ve seen, I don’t think it’s fair to call in inexplicable.

Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly

by jcb9 on Jan 27, 2009 10:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Right Spot

I think Nick Noonan is ranked in about the right spot, but doesn’t his 98/23 K/BB ratio worry you?

by sharksrog on Jan 27, 2009 2:11 PM PST up reply actions  

The closer the bone the sweeter the meat

The Baltimore prospects could all contribute in 2009.

by wilriv21 on Jan 27, 2009 1:03 PM PST up reply actions  

I would rank Romo higher than Fairley and maybe also Kieschnick.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jan 27, 2009 8:29 AM PST reply actions  

well so did they

"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."

by i did my job on Jan 27, 2009 9:37 AM PST up reply actions  

I know, but the OP was saying he disagreed with them

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jan 27, 2009 1:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Jesus!

Where’s my son?

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 27, 2009 11:02 AM PST reply actions  

Not a bad list. My disagreements: RaRod is too young to be any kind of prospect on a list; and I’d rate Adrianza above Kieschnick.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 27, 2009 12:43 PM PST reply actions  

Villalona was one most lists when he was the same age, no?

Never has a poster been more correct in the history of the internet. Ever! - ResDog on yours truly

by jcb9 on Jan 27, 2009 12:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Villalona was further along: his swing was already very good, and power didn’t require much projection. Rodriguez may need to tinker with his swing a lot, and power involved more projection.

Adoptive Parent of Francisco Peguero. He can throw, he can run, he can hit(fastballs), and he's Dominican. What else do you need to know?

by haverecords on Jan 27, 2009 12:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Lists

Angel Villalona was 17 the first time he was on prospect lists, having been signed a little before his 17th birthday. Rodriguez was signed right on his 16th birthday and is still 16. Rafael would be in only his sophomore or junior year of high school now, preparing for his spring baseball season.

by sharksrog on Jan 27, 2009 2:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Just a question, yet a serious question – how can a position prospect be rated so highly when scouts question his bat?

by wilriv21 on Jan 27, 2009 2:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Cuz he is a prospect

He has tools galore, and the players all behind him don’t seem like they are going to be big-time major league contributors, but raf-rod has the potential to be a big-time contributor.

Why does Sabean always look constipated?

by TexasRanger on Jan 27, 2009 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Having tools don't make you a carpenter.

SFDugout.com is BACK! See the Top 50 Giants Prospects!

by BruteSentiment on Jan 27, 2009 3:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Rather

I’d rather be a hammer than a nail.

by sharksrog on Jan 27, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions  

“When you are a hammer all you look for is nails”

by wilriv21 on Jan 27, 2009 11:28 PM PST up reply actions  

i believe that's

when you’re a hammer, everything looks like nails to you.

small but subtle difference.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 6:25 AM PST up reply actions  

you a Paul Thorn fan, Vic?

I'm spent, just can't rosterbate anymore.

by oldjacket on Jan 28, 2009 7:50 AM PST up reply actions  

sharksrog

Yes I would, if I truly could….

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 28, 2009 2:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think that's right.

Villalona’s birthday is 8/13/1990. His signing was reported around 8/15-8/18, 2006. His first appearance I know of on a major list was Baseball America’s 2007 list (published Jan. 2007), where he ranked #3 for the Giants.

SFDugout.com is BACK! See the Top 50 Giants Prospects!

by BruteSentiment on Jan 27, 2009 3:38 PM PST up reply actions  

You're absolutely correct

You are indeed correct that Angel was the Giants’ #3-ranked prospect for 2007 despite not yet playing in the US in 2006. I missed a year.

Angel probably had a bit more buzz about him back then than Rafael does now, but that Rafael is ranked “only” #5 is also a sign of how much stronger the Giants’ system is.

I think it is hard for us to even conceive of how difficult Angel’s transition to the US has been, but I must say that his 118/18 K/BB ratio last season was of considerable disappointment to me. I am beginning to see Angel as Adam Dunn without the walks.

by sharksrog on Jan 27, 2009 11:29 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t think who he is has come into focus yet. I think you have to give him a pass on his first full season at age 18. But in year 2, he clearly does need to start showing that he’s both ambitious enough and smart enough to start making adjustments in his game. Another 6/1 k/bb season would indeed go a long way toward characterizing him.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 6:24 AM PST up reply actions  

California League

Big V will be playing the 2009 season in the Cal League which is considered a hitters league. At the minimum expecting 25+ HRs with an improving BA. As long as there is progression in Big V’s numbers and defense it should be considered a success. We still need to remember that the kid is still acclimating and he may feel more comfortable in San Jose than he did in Augusta.

Big V will only be 18 years old and in the Cal League which is quite an accomplishment. We fans should not lose sight of this. As long as he progresses a level year season he still arrives in The City by age 21.

by wilriv21 on Jan 28, 2009 11:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Not only will he hit 25+ HRs, all of them will be longer than anything JT’s ever seen.

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 28, 2009 11:30 AM PST up reply actions  

Y'know...

It’s so amazing that he could scoop all those balls at 1B despite being legally blind.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 28, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

And that's impressive.

JT’s been in a lot of locker rooms in his day.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 28, 2009 3:43 PM PST up reply actions  

K/BB or HR, BA?

Which would you consider more significant? An improvement in AnVil’s K/BB ratio or an improvement in his home run rate and batting average?

by sharksrog on Jan 28, 2009 1:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Across the board. And that would also include defense. I am more patient about his progress than most because I believe the kid had too much to sort through in his first full season in a new country. He needed to learn a new culture and language. New eating habits. New position. Playing ball not for fun but rather as a profession. HE WAS ONLY 17 YEARS OLD playing with MEN.

This season we should allow the kid to continue to grow and learn the game. The power is obviously there and Big V could reasonably hit 30 HRs this season for San Jose. Would like to see his Ks to below 18% of PAs.

We need to remember he is only 18 years of age and improving. No need to rush the kid.

by wilriv21 on Jan 28, 2009 1:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Wil, I couldn't agree more

Ideally, I wouldn’t even rate Angel yet either, because it’s just too darn early to have much useful indication of how he’ll turn out. He could easily hit .255 with a 3/1 k/bb ratio for another year or even two years – and still turn things around in 2011 and make the bigs in 2012 or 2013. And that would be fine.

Now, if we’re going to rank him on a list, he’ll float up or down based on how each year turns out; but overall, I’m still giving him another 4 years of development. And I have hope he’ll develop faster than that.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 28, 2009 2:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Only 18? Wasn’t Andruw Jones hitting HRs in the World Series at like 13 or something? Patience my ass!!!!

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 3:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Which brings up the age old question – yes pun intended. Many people think Jones career began at tender age of 19 or 20 and is over at tender age of 32. Maybe he wasn’t a teenager at the beginning and now is 36?

by wilriv21 on Jan 28, 2009 4:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Lest it be lost, I really was just playing on the idea of the huge amount of fan expectations this poor kid is carrying.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 5:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Hitters league

but unfortunately studies also seem to show that sJ Muni is a K haven.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Is it the hitting background or the pitchers/hitters?

by wilriv21 on Jan 28, 2009 4:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Hitting background apparently. It seems to be consistent across seasons and personnel, and affects road and home teams alike.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 28, 2009 5:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Hats off to you for acknowledging your error. It takes a big man to admit you’re an idiot. (I must be huge since I admit that you’re an idiot on a regular basis.)
:-P

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 28, 2009 11:29 AM PST up reply actions  

More frequently

I expect I will have to be admitting I am an idiot even more frequently now that my age is higher than my IQ.

by sharksrog on Jan 28, 2009 1:05 PM PST up reply actions  

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