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Around SBN: 2012 Budweiser Shootout Entry List Released

A little insider Giant info made public this morning by Fred Lewis..

During my morning commute I turned off the CD and switch to KNBR to hear the tail end of Fred Lewis speaking about the potential for Manny Ramirez being signed. Apparently, he has already had discussions with Bobby Evans concerning this and has been told that in case they do sign another left fielder (who, eh?) that Freddy will still be in the lineup daily, likely at right field.

This is another piece in the puzzle of the outfield that perchance has been put in place. My guess is that either one of Winn or Rowand are assured of being traded. My guess, considering their interest in retaining both Freddy and Nate long term is that Rowand is the likeliest to be traded. A Manny signing is more of an all-in proposition at this point with the collection of Cy Young winners on board. 

Going further, my _feeling_ is that the likeliest trading partner is the Yankees, moving Rowand to them as their CF, with Swisher in return for first base duty, along with perhaps some cash. Longer term, one can only presume that the outfield would be Manny, Lewis, and Nate from left to right, agreed?

 

MP3 of Fred's conversation is now up! -- Edited to add the interview

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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Display:

Lewis- RF
Winn- CF
Sandoval- 3b
Ramirez- RF
Renteria- SS
Molina- C
Swisher- 1b
Frandsen/Burriss/Velez- 2b
Pitcher

Sounds good to me.

Psycho killer, qu'est-ce que c'est?

by shikantaza on Jan 15, 2009 9:29 AM PST reply actions  

oops... Manny = LF

Psycho killer, qu'est-ce que c'est?

by shikantaza on Jan 15, 2009 9:30 AM PST up reply actions  

personally i would much prefer

Winn S
Edgar R
Lewis L
Manny R
Pablo S
Bengie R
Swisher S
Franny R

Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...

by Smoke on the Water on Jan 15, 2009 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

other than the Manny part...

I like this batting order.

Just kidding. If Scott goes, I could live with having Manny for two (with a benchmark one year option maybe ) . If the Swisher part of the rumor is true, Pandamonium™ stays at 3B all season ? Who else rotates in ? Frandsen ?

"Just take the ball and throw it where you want to. Throw strikes. Home plate don't move."-Leroy "Satchel" Paige

My adopted son Matt Downs . Utility Infielder with a Bat !

by nvsfg on Jan 15, 2009 11:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Swisher for Rowand makes no sense for the Yankees. The reason that Swisher or Nady is on the market in the first place is because the Yankees have too many outfielders. What good would trading Swisher do if they acquire another outfielder with an even worse contract?? And let’s not forget that Rowand has a no trade clause. I would prefer to move Rowand, but he’s not going anywhere. Winn would be the one to go. One year left on his deal at a decent price.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 5:41 AM PST up reply actions  

I dunno..

Do we want to split up Pablo and Bengie? That’d be like a double basepath clogging machine.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 12:42 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm aware Pablo is much faster than Bengie..

But still do you want your two slowest players to bat next to eachother?

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 3:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Who Would You Suggest We Surround With Them? Will Not His Speed Be Wasted Then?

I like Smoke’s lineup. Speed 1-3 and more speed 7-8 with power and below average speed in the middle 4-6.

by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Seriously, I admire you guys for the way you worry about down the road, and of course the Giants need to do this as well. However, as a fan I just want to sit myself in front of the tube on Opening Day and see the best possible team we can see for 2009, and that would mean Manny in left field. Why am I worried about 2012?? Why should any fan be??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 5:21 AM PST up reply actions  

So you would have been in favor of signing Tex for $400M over 10 years?

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 16, 2009 8:29 AM PST up reply actions  

not a penny over 395!!

I think you’re taking my comment to a bit of an extreme, aren’t you?? I’m just saying that I’m assuming the Giants’ will not spend any money they can’t afford to spend. I’m going to assume that the multi millionaires that own the Giants’ aren’t going to spend themselves into bankruptcy. If they spend a few more million or an extra year or two on a contract then fans think they can afford to, they probably have the money. Everyone fretted about the money the Giants’ would have after the Zito contract, yet here they are spending 9 million per year on Renteria, 8 million on Unit, and are discussing a 20 million per year player. The Zito contract was a mistake because Zito is no longer a good pitcher, but it certainly hasn’t financially broken the Giants.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 1:39 PM PST up reply actions  

But there is no doubt that Zito improved our team last year. He was still worth a few wins above replacement. So by your logic, we should be grateful for the contract, since it helped us in the short term, and shouldn’t worry about 2009 and beyond.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 16, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think that is what he was saying

I don’t think Mark was saying that the Zito contract was a good one — only that the Giants’ increased willingness to spend has made it a large hinderance but not a brick wall.

by sharksrog on Jan 16, 2009 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Not what I'm saying

Rex said that

as a fan I just want to sit myself in front of the tube on Opening Day and see the best possible team we can see for 2009, and that would mean Manny in left field. Why am I worried about 2012?? Why should any fan be??

And

I’m just saying that I’m assuming the Giants’ will not spend any money they can’t afford to spend. I’m going to assume that the multi millionaires that own the Giants’ aren’t going to spend themselves into bankruptcy. If they spend a few more million or an extra year or two on a contract then fans think they can afford to, they probably have the money.

In other words, he doesn’t worry about the long term as long as the short term is OK, and he trusts the Giants FO not to screw themselves with long term contracts. By that logic, the Zito signing was a decent one.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 16, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

No, Rex did not say that

I don’t see any way you can take my comments and twist them around so that I’m saying that the Zito contract was a good one. I said that it hasn’t stopped them from signing free agents, and spending quite a bit in the process at that, but it’s still a horrible contract. Good CAN come from it though, because perhaps the Giants’ have finally learned their lesson, as you can see from all the one year and two year contracts they are dealing out this offseason. Not only that, but the Zito contract proved that the Giants’ can and will compete with the big market teams for talent, if they deem them necessary to the team’s success. The only problem here was that they won the battle for the wrong player.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 7:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Again

I think you’re missing my point. You were saying that you trust the Giants to handle long term contracts, and that you don’t worry about the long term consequences of those contracts. I was just giving Zito as an example for a contract that was reasonable-ish in the short term, but is terrible because of its long term consequences.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 17, 2009 10:48 AM PST up reply actions  

I “miss your point” because your example of Zito is not the kind of example I’m talking about. How is the Zito contract reasonable in the short term when he’s stunk right from the beginning?? If he came in here and had a couple of good seasons before stinking it up your point would be a good one, but you simply cannot make a case that his contract has been reasonable so far, and will only be bad 2-3 years from now.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 4:46 PM PST up reply actions  

In his first year

He gave us 197 IP of 4.44 ERA (98 ERA+), and we paid him $10M. That’s pretty reasonable. The signing helped us in the year followed it. Sure, it was already a bad (though probably not terrible) contract the next year, and it’s going to be terrible in three, but in the extreme short term, it was a fine deal.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 18, 2009 9:46 AM PST up reply actions  

I sure hope those numbers don’t equal “reasonable” in any kind of reality I’m forced to participate in. Mark is right.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 18, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks

Thank you, Lyle. I KNEW there was a reason I like you so much. :)

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:06 PM PST up reply actions  

As he usually is

Mark was right, as he usually is.

Even at $10 million, a 98 ERA+ isn’t very good — unless you are saying that $10 million for a slightly-below-average pitcher is a fair deal. And while the Giants may have paid “only” $10 million to Barry Zito in 2007, his seven-year deal averaged $18 million per season

Or about $5000 per pitch. Whichever way you want to look at it.

I can see Barry’s dilemma now. Do I really want to make $5000 in the next five seconds, or should I just not throw this pitch?

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Even at $10 million, a 98 ERA+ isn’t very good — unless you are saying that $10 million for a slightly-below-average pitcher is a fair deal.

First of all, a 98 ERA+ is slightly above average for a starting pitcher. Second of all, 200 IP of league average ERA is a valuable thing to have. Using a WAR calculator, Zito was worth 2.3 wins above replacement in 2007 – or about $10.5M. It might not be a great deal, but it would be hard for me to see how it’s an unreasonable one.

And while the Giants may have paid "only" $10 million to Barry Zito in 2007, his seven-year deal averaged $18 million per season

Or about $5000 per pitch. Whichever way you want to look at it.

I have no idea what you’re trying to say. My point is that the Zito deal is an example for a deal the Giants signed, and is terrible because of its long-term consequences. By showing how much Barry is going to make, you’re only proving my point.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 19, 2009 6:48 AM PST up reply actions  

OK

It seems we are indeed coming to the same conclusion. I think the point that most bothered me is when you quoted Barry’s salary at $10 million. That was technically correct for that one season, but it ignored spreading out Barry’s signing bonus and that his contract averages $18 million per season, with the Giants backloading it for salary management and perhaps present value considerations.

I believe Brian Sabean is back on track, but I can’t believe what fools the Giants were for signing Barry when any sabermetician who was even half-baked as well as some scouts would have told — and probably did — Peter Magowan, who likely made the signing decision, that he was making a big mistake.

Between Zito and Dave Roberts, two winters ago the Giants paid Mark Teixeiera or Manny
Ramirez money for players who didn’t come close to justifying their pay. The majority of us knew they were likely making big mistakes, but for some reason they didn’t consult us. :)

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

some consensus?

So we all agree that the Zito signing was insanity? (Why do I seem to remember being among the minority who were opposed to the concept that winter before he was signed?) But we disagree on whether or not we got $10million worth of pitching from Mr. Zito last year?

I’d say we got, perhaps, $4million worth last year from Barry. Maybe $5m, depending on your view of inflation. I’d rather take a flier on a Corriea-type pitcher in that spot and be flexible enough, budget-wise, to sign a Teixeira-type hitter.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 19, 2009 11:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Off the Mark

Mark (Rxmeister) is hardly ever wrong. In fact, if you have a baseball problem that ails you, Mark can give you the right prescription.

But probably the only mistake he has made in his life came when on another board he tried to defend the signing of Barry Zito. He actually made about as good an argument as could be made, but anyone looking at Fan Graphs could see that such arguments were on a very slippery slope.

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 5:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Here it comes - idiot math!

Barry was 10 wins 17 losses…woof.
if I cut that in half he was – if I round down – 5 and 8.

Yeah , that’s nicer.

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 16, 2009 5:40 PM PST up reply actions  

…then, Cain IZ SMARTZ

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Jan 17, 2009 2:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Manny and non-Manny rosters

We know that the Giants usually stick to 12 man positional rosters.

With Manny, we are looking at an outfield of Lewis, Nate, Rowand and Winn w/ Roberts being DFAd if one of the above are not traded. If Manny isn’t there, you probably don’t have the DFA here or you keep that 3rd catcher in the Majors. Otherwise, the other slots I think go to Guzman (surprise ST 3rd base choice), Edgar, Frandsen w/ Burriss as the sub (or vice versa), and Pablo at first (Ishikawa as sub). Bengie at catcher with Pablo available there. Frandsen is the backup 3rd baseman. Burriss is the backup SS.

That’s 5 outfielders, 7 infielders. 12. Considering this, a lineup with Manny (and no trade otherwise) has:

Winn S
Edgar R
Lewis L
Manny R
Bengie R
Pablo S
Guzman®
Franny R / Burriss S

(Rowand is intermixed with Winn/Lewis)

w/o Manny, you sadly see

Winn S
Edgar R
Pablo S
Bengie R
Lewis L
Rowand S
Guzman®
Franny R / Burriss S

Which ain’t bad either on second thought.

by pittsburghian on Jan 15, 2009 8:12 PM PST up reply actions  

How come you have Pablo in the number 3 slot without Manny, but with Manny in the lineup you have Pablo batting 6th? I like Lewis batting 5th either way. With an improved lineup I think Freddy could pick up a lot of RBIs in the middle of the order with that line drive swing of his

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 8:42 PM PST up reply actions  

It was said earlier by Bochy that Lewis bats 5th

And in Lewis’ interview, indicated that he’d bat third if Manny came to the team. I moved Pablo into the old before-Bengie slot as before when Lewis is 5th.

by pittsburghian on Jan 15, 2009 8:47 PM PST up reply actions  

How Do You See Guzman Beating Out Ishikawa?

In both AA and AAA last year Ishikawa had the better year and he played both more and more successfully in AAA then Guzman did? Guzman is going to have to shown something in AAA Fresno (not the VWL) before anyone actually responsible for making these decisions moves him ahead of Ishikawa.

Put Ishikawa back in the non Manny lineup and you have the lineup Bochy has discussed. The one change I would like to see in this lineup is to swap Lewis and Sandoval as Lewis’ speed is wasted hitting after Bengie. Not so much with Sandoval.

If we sign Manny I do not see us trading either Winn or Rowand but Roberts instead putting Lewis on the bench. The lineup I would then expect from Bochy would be Winn-S, Renteria-R, Sandoval-S, Ramirez-R, Molina-R, Rowand-R, Ishikawa-L, Frandsen-R.

In addition the Giants go almost exclusively with 13 position players and 12 pitchers not the other way around. I can only think of a handful of times for just a few games that they have gone with only 12 positon players and 13 pitchers. In the Non Manny Team the 5 man bench I would expect would be Holm-C, Phelps-1B, Velez-IF, Roberts-OF, Schierholtz-OF, with Burriss playing SS at Fresno. In the Manny team the 5 man bench I would expect would be Holm-C, Phelps-1B, Velez-IF, Lewis-OF, Schierholtz-OF, with Roberts traded and again Burriss playing SS at Fresno.

by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2009 9:27 PM PST up reply actions  

For the most part, Giants have hewed to youth since Bonds left

They mainly only acquired players who they thought were better than the player/prospect that they had who either was a question mark or just not that good.

Benching Lewis to play Rowand/Winn in the outfield would not fit that M.O. as Lewis was good in 2008, just not as good as Manny. In addition, sitting him AND Schierholtz on the bench would be a huge waste of talent for the season (though perhaps good for the World Series, should they be extremely lucky enough to make), as they both could be starters on a rebuilding team in transition, which the Giants are.

I think a signing of Manny would inevitably be followed by the Giants trading off Rowand or Winn, to save salary for 2009, with Winn more likely because he would be easier to trade with his one year contract and good stats, offensively and defensively. The Giants are already above where they thought they would be and signing Manny would only push them way beyond that. When the Giants were in a similar situation like that before, they traded off players later to bring the salary outlay back in line with previous budgeted target.

Adoptive parental unit of Kevin " 2007's Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.

"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
"Woo hoo" - Tim "The Kid" Lincecum

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jan 19, 2009 4:36 PM PST up reply actions  

25-Man Roster Composition

Thought SF carried 13 position players and a pitching staff of 12. Five starters and seven in the pen.

by wilriv21 on Jan 16, 2009 12:14 PM PST up reply actions  

I bet this is how they go, except for a couple trips to Colorado, Philly and Cincy where they might bring up an extra pitcher. They need to have a second true catcher (meaning that Sandoval isn’t the primary back-up) on the roster because A) it’s dumb to have your only back-up catcher somewhere else in the starting line-up and B) you wouldn’t be able to pinch-run for Bengie (this is actually important) if Pablo needs a night off or taken out of the game. Six IFs, five OFs, and two Cs.

by cornball on Jan 17, 2009 6:41 PM PST up reply actions  

it’s dumb to have your only back-up catcher somewhere else in the starting line-up

I need help understanding why this is so. The only reason I can think of is the risk of already having subbed the back-up catcher (Sandoval) out of the game. Perhaps you’d want to take him out of the game for defense, but since he switch hits, I don’t see the Giants pinch hitting for Pablo much.

As long as they have a back-up 3rd baseman (Frandsen? Jesus?), I don’t see why Pablo couldn’t be the back-up catcher. You just can’t rest both guys on the same day.

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 23, 2009 2:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I would feel very comfortable having Winn in center rather than Rowand. This was be a wicked good scenario, methinks

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 10:49 AM PST up reply actions  

I don’t even care if we get Swisher, that’s a good lineup.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 15, 2009 9:31 AM PST reply actions  

Wasn’t Lewis supposed to be moved to the 5th or 6th spot in the order?

by Norm Median on Jan 15, 2009 9:34 AM PST reply actions  

Don't Count On It.

He was told not to worry that they would get him regular playing time. The Giants view signing Manny as a longshot and they are not going to let any of their players start to worry about how it might effect them when it likely will not happen. They will deal with informing Lewis about his new lessor role only if he is actually going to have a lessor role. They are not going to deal with it now when they do not have to.

by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2009 9:32 PM PST up reply actions  

If we could trade Rowand for Swisher, why not just skip Manny and do that?

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 15, 2009 9:50 AM PST reply actions  

because it doesn't improve the lineup?

STEVE HOLM! refuses to be the odd man out.

by UnleashTheGore on Jan 15, 2009 9:53 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

False

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 15, 2009 10:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Mainly because this would allow Bochy to insert Nate into the everyday starting lineup, not to mention the probably upgrade at 1b with Swisher

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 10:51 AM PST up reply actions  

are you joking?

Rafael Rodriguez: Your number 8 organizational prospect before stepping a foot on American soil and has "looked just super so far," according to Felipe Alou...according to Baggs.

by BrianBokake on Jan 15, 2009 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

It is most likely Winn and not Rowand. I really doubt Sabean trading Rowand right after getting him, and i honestly believe Rowand is better than what last year showed. Winn did as he always does and I could see him going to the Yanks for Swisher (and maybe something else).

Manny LF
Rowand CF
Lewis RF
Schierholtz
Roberts

Not bad at all, hopefully Rowand can cover up Manny’s glove. or

Lewis LF
Rowand CF
Schierholtz RF
Roberts
Horwitz?

I’m really happy wih either lineup as long as Manny comes on for 2 years. If Sabes is willing to trade Rowand and his fat contract for Swish or something, please pull the trigger!

by Giant Voodoo on Jan 15, 2009 9:52 AM PST reply actions  

Somewhat related.. Richie may go to the Cubs / Scott Borass speaks

MLBtraderumors also spoke of the Cubs interest there. KNBR also had Scott Borass making his marketing dollar pitch on the air last night. If you put all this together and you can get some cash for the Swisher trade, you definitely have the recipe for getting the Giants to pull the trigger on Manny at the required 3 years they want.

Think about it. If they solve 1B with an extra CF, Rowand is as good as gone, and that extra longer term money takes away their concerns about a “longer” term contract with Manny, based on whatever gulf currently exists. I’m more of the thought now that a decent deal for Manny for both sides may keep Manny happy enough to get the expect production from him for 2+ years, and that would well be worth a 3 year deal on the balance.

by pittsburghian on Jan 15, 2009 9:52 AM PST reply actions  

Rowand is as good as gone

The more I think about it, the more I think Rowand is immovable. If he were a free agent, he wouldn’t get close to the 4/$48M remaining on his contract. Maybe 3/$24M, though that’s just a guess. The only way Rowand gets moved is for another bad contract. If that bad contract fills a need, say Paul Konerko, then maybe it’s a good idea. But that’s not going to happen. The offers would be Luis Castillo and a rhesus monkey, in which case we should just keep Rowand.

by Grant Brisbee on Jan 15, 2009 10:15 AM PST up reply actions  

Not only that

but you do kinda have to think ahead to 2010, when our OFs would be:

Manny
Lewis
Shierholtz

There no CF in there. This is the same Sabean still who signed Rowand to play CF when he had Winn and Roberts … so methinks that he is not going to go into 2010 (or even 2009) without a CENTER FIELDER.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 15, 2009 10:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Why not just resign Winn for a year? I wouldn’t mind that

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I doubt he’d sign a one year deal. More teams are starting to assess and value defense correctly, so he’s likely going to have a few offers at the end of the season.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 15, 2009 11:08 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree

I agree with you here, and if the Giants could somehow trade Aaron Rowand by eating some of his contract (something that in the past they have shown a huge reluctance to do) they would then be secure in offering Randy Winn arbitration after this season, ensuring either that they would get him for one more year or that they would get compensation if another team signed him.

by sharksrog on Jan 16, 2009 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

That would be a terrific move, Roger. I sure wish they’d try it.

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 18, 2009 2:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Oops!

Oops! This is where I had meant to insert my comment above.

I would say that I was in the right place but it must have been the right time — but I was clearly in the wrong place whether the time was right or not.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Say hello to your 2010 starting CF...

…Clay Timpner!

No? Antoan Richardson? Mike McBryde?

Okay, I got nothing.

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 15, 2009 1:54 PM PST up reply actions  

no, what we have is

an (approximately) league average CF signed for more than he’s worth. Give that up for nothing in return, then we have nothing. Then we’ll have to give up something ELSE just to get something marginally better than what we already have.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 2:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Doesn’t seem like a particularly vexing problem. You could probably extend Winn right now for less than the remaining cost of Rowand’s contract. You could try Fred Lewis in center. You could take Gary Matthews Jr off the Angels’ hands. You could put together a platoon of AAAA guys. Whatever.

If you get a chance to dump a terribly overpaid player, you don’t hand onto him just because you’re not certain who you’re going to find to take his place the year after next.

by Evan on Jan 15, 2009 2:19 PM PST up reply actions  

and who exactly

is going to take rowand without us paying a pretty big chunk

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Why would you worry about centerfield in 2010?? Even if there isn’t one on the roster, there’s 175 free agents every offseason. One of them will be able to play centerfield.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 5:45 AM PST up reply actions  

That’s some sound logic right there.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 16, 2009 8:30 AM PST up reply actions  

For this logic to be sound it presumes The Decider of Center Field Talent is both accurate and competent.

/ looks wistfully down the bench at Mr. Roberts & Rowand.

Ivan Ochoa - Heir to the legacy of Rob Andrews & Rikkert Faneyte!

Here comes Captain Obvious wearing his Atomic Wedgie!

by daveinexile on Jan 19, 2009 11:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Or Ralph Barbieri?

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 16, 2009 8:47 AM PST up reply actions  

fine, keep whining

who’s going to play second base in 2030??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 1:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Your'e right

We should trade Villalona, Bumgarner, Posey, and Alderson for Dan Uggla. I mean, they’re not going to be ready before 2010 – who knows what’s going to happen by then?? We need dingerz!

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 16, 2009 2:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Good one, you really got me.

C’mon. I want the team to be managed in a way that keeps them good for the reasonable future.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 16, 2009 2:38 PM PST up reply actions  

what evidence have you had this offseason that this team will be managed in any other way but responsibly?? I haven’t seen any move from the Giants that sabotages the future, and I rarely see a post from even a fan who wants us to trade kids like Posey, Bumgarner and Villalona. Signing free agents to short term deals is the quick fix way to go that doesn’t mortgage the future, and that’s what the team is doing. With regards to Manny, even a 3 year deal means he’ll be long gone by the time the kids are seeking the big bucks. This year the Giants’ owners would take a hit with the payroll, but next year his salary will be easily managed with Winn, Molina, Johnson and Roberts coming off of the books. The Giants’ shouldn’t have to replace any of those guys with more free agents with players like Nate, Posey, Sandoval, Bumgarner, and Alderson around.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 7:38 AM PST up reply actions  

what evidence have you had this offseason that this team will be managed in any other way but responsibly??

I’m actually reasonably sure that they will be managed responsibly. I hope that Sabean’s found the true religion when it comes to having a long term plan. But I was responding to your “who cares about 2010?” comment. I care a lot about 2010 because even though I really like what the Giants have done this off-season, I still see .500 team. Manny is really the only FA that can change that, but he’s no sure thing to come here. So, as we stand I still see 2010 as the main thing to think about in 2009.

I take it from your response that you didn’t. really mean that, though. In fact, it looks like we have zero disagreement when it comes to assessing where the Giants are and this off-season has gone.

I don’t agree that every fan takes the long view. Ralph Barbieri has openly said that he doesn’t care about anything beyond this season and that the Giants should ignore the future and give Manny whatever he wants, and I know there are plenty of people who feel the same. I think that you, me and Brian Sabean would all agree that Ralph is an idiot but he speaks for a lot of fans.

this is the longest comment I’ve ever, or probably will ever make.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 17, 2009 10:55 AM PST up reply actions  

I, for one, think that if you don’t have a 5-year plan, you don’t have a plan. And those who fail to plan…

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 18, 2009 2:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Very nicely done!

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 19, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

This might be my favorite post of all time

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 19, 2009 12:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks!

Thanks very much, guys. I had a blast writing it.

Mark and Mordy used to come out here every year to watch the Giants — back when they were good. I think we should woo them back out by offering another McCovey Chronicles event at McCovey’s Restaurant.

I have a feeling that no one meeting Mark and Mordy would be disappointed. Plus, after Mordy’s kids have been elected President, I don’t think the Secret Service will allow us to meet him.

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 5:38 PM PST up reply actions  

I rec’ed and I dont even know who Mordy is.

They say some players get out of bed hitting; Pablo Sandoval doesn't wait that long

by bgunn on Jan 19, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

I also wondered...

Fairley odd parent to Wendell

by WTF on Jan 19, 2009 1:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Mordecai

Mordy is Mark’s (Rxmeister’s) very good friend who was nice enough to send me a picture of his lovely family a way back.

Mordy occasionally posts here under the moniker of holiday. I hope he gets to see the post for himself. Perhaps it will bring him out of hibernation.

There is NO one I enjoy jousting with more than Mordy!

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 5:33 PM PST up reply actions  

I thought it was Mordy from Monsey??

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 21, 2009 9:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Right guy

You’ve got the right guy, Lyle. And indeed he DOES post here as Mordy from Monsey.

He hasn’t been around for a while, and now his buddy Mark (Rxmeister) seems to have gone on sabbatical, as well.

by sharksrog on Jan 23, 2009 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks so much

Thank you so very much. I really appreciate it.

I can’t wait for Mark and Mordy to weigh in. By the way, I said that Mordy posts under the screen name “Holiday.” That is true on another board, but here I think he posts as “Mordy from Monsey.”

Both Mark and Mordy are GREAT Giants fans from back in New York. And until recently when the Giants became a little discouraging, they really DID come out each summer to watch their favorite team.

Mark once even arrranged his Florida vacation while the Giants had a four-game series there. I’m waiting for those scouting reports when he visits his vacation home in the Dominican Republic!

by sharksrog on Jan 20, 2009 12:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I remember trading emails with a couple times with Mordy last year about a future trip out. Sounds like a nice guy.

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 23, 2009 2:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Great stuff

But it better all come true….

Aaron King is still my homeboy... iffy mechanics and all

Your 2009 Opening Day starter at second base*: Eugenio Velez
*For the Fresno Grizzlies

by baetown415 on Jan 20, 2009 1:21 AM PST up reply actions  

tl;dr

;-)

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 20, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions  

By getting rid of 4 years of obligation and the $48M in savings you get plenty in return.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 2:20 PM PST up reply actions  

and you’re completely delusional if you think we’ll get anywhere near $48M in savings.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions  

What Makes You Think The Trade Partner Will Take All $48M?

If they only take say $32M what would be the point of the trade then? Aaron Rowand is actually worth $32M for 4 years.

by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

You got to think entire roster. Let’s say they do not take the entire total but the $32M you mention that still is saving a lot of money. SF then could play Lewis or Schierholtz at minimum price and use the other monies to extend any players, take on new salary, sign FA or player development.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 2:47 PM PST up reply actions  

and where, pray tell, do we replace rowand’s production? league average or better CFs don’t grow on trees (and Fred Lewis isn’t one).

So let’s say your deal goes through, we get 32m/4yrs = 8m/yr off the books. Our 4th OF is downgraded from Schierholtz to Roberts, our CF position is a HUGE ? after this year, and we haven’t added anything to the team. As GRM said, a league avg CF is worth at least 8m/yr, so we’re gonna use all that money to replace production we already have. So in essence, all we’re doing is hurting ourselves this year for the ability to give another team a discount on Rowand’s contract. It’s moronic.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 3:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Fred Lewis..

I guess isn’t one because of defense? The average CF hit .267/.334/.426 last year where he hit .282/.351/.440. That’s about what the average RF hit too, .271/.344/.444. His defense would probably leave something to be desired in CF, but perhaps he has just about the same amount of value (compared to average at the position) in center and in left. Above average defense in left, below average production. Below average defense in center, above average production.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Well,

for one, I expect his offense to fall off a little (not a ton, probably to somewhere between the average RF/CF #s), and as was pointed out previously, the average LF is not very good defensively, so I think he’d be slightly above avg offensively in CF, but well below average defensively. I’m not willing to write off Rowand’s anti-career year defensively, just like I’m not prepared to expect another career defensive year from Winn

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

If

If I could get a good player or prospect for Aaron Rowand by eating “only” a third of his contract, I would do so in a flash.

by sharksrog on Jan 16, 2009 3:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree. Sabean didn’t intend for Rowand to be a short term fix, and he doesn’t tend to give up on guys until they REALLY tank (see Alfonzo, Edgardo). Winn is the guys smart teams would ask after, and the guy who doesn’t have the prohibitive contract. Even if Sabean wanted to trade Rowand, no team is going to offer something good for him when Winn could be had with little commitment and a much smaller salary.

I'm as tall as Mel - why can't I hit 500 home runs?

by Ott on Jan 15, 2009 11:04 AM PST up reply actions  

also

it is not unreasonable that Rowand has a bounce-back year – he is more than a little streaky. That would push his trade value up (better numbers, fewer years remaining)… it’s just not a good time to trade him (since Littlefield was fired).

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 15, 2009 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Would take a fungo bat or a bag of balls for Aaron Rowand in trade. It would free up cash and a 4 year oobligation. What I would like to see Sabean do is go out and find a real CF. One who is a defensive whiz , can get on base and run.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 11:55 AM PST up reply actions  

don’t tempt him with Juan Pierre please…

Fairley odd parent to Wendell

by WTF on Jan 15, 2009 12:04 PM PST up reply actions  

you know they don’t just give guys like that away right?

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 12:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Si

With the solid pitching staff a defensive whiz CF would be great. Since there are no inhouse prospects to fill this role SF would need to go outside to find a quality CF. Maybe the Angels will trade the seldom used Reggie Willits or the Cubs Felix Pie. Who doesn’t like pie? Was thinking a Raj Davis type – but one who can actually hit and get on base. There are others around that SF could inquire on.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 1:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh, you mean

a good defensive CF with a good Avg and OBP and speed.

Those totally grow on trees. We could probably get one for, like, Yabu, they’re so common.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 1:25 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah, I think that’s why we can’t even name a name of a player who fits that description. Who’s a Raj Davis type sitting out there on the trade or FA market that can hit and get on base??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 5:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Raj Davis from an alternate universe?

by Viliphied on Jan 16, 2009 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Dav Rajis?

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 16, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

you will not get a bag of balls

It will COST you millions to trade Rowand.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 15, 2009 12:54 PM PST up reply actions  

His numbers last year were like a lot of other years he’s had

Rafael Rodriguez: Your number 8 organizational prospect before stepping a foot on American soil and has "looked just super so far," according to Felipe Alou...according to Baggs.

by BrianBokake on Jan 15, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

except

his OPS+ was 10 points below his career average, his wOBA was 20 points below his career average, and most defensive metrics had it as one of the worst years in his career.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 1:29 PM PST up reply actions  

That’s almost entirely park effects.

by Evan on Jan 15, 2009 2:20 PM PST up reply actions  

don’t both of those stats account for park effects? I know OPS+ does

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes OPS+ does.

It uses the park adjusted league average OBP and SLG.

From a quick overview it doesn’t look like wOBA is park adjusted.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 4:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, you’re right.

Here’s what I mean, though. Rowand’s wOBA+, which like OPS+ is adjusted for park and league effects, from 2003-07 went like this:

101
113
97
101
116

Median is 101, weighted mean is 106 or so.

And in 2008, he was at 102. His year fits in perfectly, especially when you consider that a player’s early 30s are generally a step down from his late 20s.

by Evan on Jan 16, 2009 6:54 AM PST up reply actions  

Sadly

Sadly you’re pretty much right on the money here, Evan.

by sharksrog on Jan 16, 2009 3:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Rog, when the Giants’ signed Rowand, I remember you did a breakdown of his homeruns and concluded that almost all of the homeruns he hit in Philly in 2007 would have also been homeruns at ATT. His terrible slump the second half of the 2008 season was probably more mental or physical than it was that he is a crappy ballplayer. I’m as down on Rowand as the next guy, but I still think he’ll have a bounceback season in 2009. Let’s not forget we were all going to mlb.com just a few months ago and trying to get him voted on to the all star team. Now he’s a bum?? I doubt it.

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 7:51 AM PST up reply actions  

The allstar game is stupid

Rowand isn’t a bum, but he’s also closing in on 32, and had a pretty crappy year last season. Forgive me for not being optimistic.

by bondslegend on Jan 17, 2009 11:01 AM PST up reply actions  

We probably all expect him to bounce back

We just expect it to be to his career norm, not his crazy 2007 line.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 17, 2009 11:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Average year?

To be honest, I would be slightly surprised if Aaron bounced back to his career average. Take out 2004 and 2007, and he was pretty much AT his career average in 2008.

Taking out two seasons from a player with only six full campaigns isn’t fair, of course, but those two seasons are beginning to look like outliers. It wouldn’t seem Aaron is old enough for this to be the case, but is it possible he will never again approach his 2007 season?

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 2:15 PM PST up reply actions  

so a full 1/3 of his service time is an outlier? sorry, not buying it.

by Viliphied on Jan 17, 2009 7:15 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not selling

I’m not selling it, so it really doesn’t matter. :)

I understand your point and specifically said taking two seasons out of six full years wasn’t fair. But to me the chances of Aaron having even one more season such as 2004 and 2007 seem unlikely. Since he’s on a three-year pattern, maybe 2010! :)

Before I looked more deeply into the subject I too expected a bounce-back season from Aaron in 2009. But how is he going to have more than a modest bounce-back?

Well, he could cut down on his strikeouts, but over the past three seasons they have been getting clearly worse. He could hit more balls out of the park, but do you honestly think he’ll hit much more than 20 in a single season again?

He could get lucky — but his BABIP was .331 last season, or slightly higher than his .324 career mark.

Show me what makes you — or anyone — believe Aaron is likely to have a significant bounce-back. I want to believe, but thus far the facts just won’t let me.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 11:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah it doesn't look good

However, he did hit like in 2004 and 2007 for the first two months of 2008 (900+ OPS), then was absolutely horrible for most of the rest of the season, even below his other seasons.

A veteran player normally does not lose it all suddenly during a season, the change is evident from season to season. So the hope is that he injured something serious when he banged himself up the first week he was with us, that while he recovered quickly enough to play well, it eventually affected his stamina enough (or finally gave up) to cause him to hit so terribly after May.

And we have a recent example of this happening too. Not too long ago, pretty much the same comments were made about Randy Winn, about how lousy he was and he’ll only get worse because of his age, plus he was horribly overpaid, but he apparently had an injury that some said affected him all season (though he claimed it didn’t). But if you averaged out his good year with his bad, you get pretty much what we have seen from him, season in, season out..

I think Rowand’s going to bounce back with a better season in 2009, so selling him low would just cost us, I would rather wait until mid-season to try to get better value for him.

However, Swisher would be an obvious player to pair up with Rowand in trade. Rowand is a better CF than Swisher, whereas we could play Swisher at 1B. Both had horrible 2008 seasons, but good careers up to then. Swisher is cheaper but contract lengths are about equal, Swisher is younger, but Yankees can eat contracts like Rowand’s without getting indigestion.

I would rather have Cano, but that’s not going to happen and in any case Swisher would be pretty good too, trading a surplus item for something we don’t have a good hitting 1B, though I would worry about him and the park..

Adoptive parental unit of Kevin " 2007's Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.

"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
"Woo hoo" - Tim "The Kid" Lincecum

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jan 19, 2009 5:07 PM PST up reply actions  

How about?

How about Xavier Nady for Rowand, Norman? Xavier has been more than a serviceable first baseman when he has played there.

Randy Winn could play some version of center field in 2009, opening up right field for Nate Schierholtz (who is just FUMING that he hasn’t been considered for the hot corner, since as everyone at the McCovey Chronicles knows, Nate can play third base).

And after the 2009 season, the Giants could get a REAL center fielder to take over until
Rafael Rodriguez wows the world.

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 5:42 PM PST up reply actions  

rowand injury

   of course he was injured. fractured corneas in both eyes… it affected his pitch recognition, fly ball tracking, depth perception on cut off men, and well… finding the infield.

by giantdonkey on Jan 20, 2009 9:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Only one Bum

The Giants have only one Bum — and that is Mad Bum.

I wasn’t going to mlb.com to vote him onto the All-Star team a few months ago because I didn’t think he deserved it even then. He had hit for a nice average, but not for much power. And his vaunted defense was, well, unvaunted.

Maybe Aaron was suffering from the injury he suffered early in the season — but it certainly didn’t hold him back in April and May, when he hit .313 and .343, respectively. And that was on top of going 2-for-3 in March.

The last four months of the season Aaron hit only .225, .256, .258 and .217. During those last four months he hit only 6 homers (4 of them in August) and walked only 27 times.

The only month of the season in which Aaron didn’t strike out 20 or more times as May, when he fanned on “only” 18 occasions.

Aaron his only 6 homers at home after hitting 17 the previous season. At least half that drop was expected. But he also fell from 10 road homers to just 7.

The cutback in homers doesn’t bother me NEARLY as much as his increase in strikeouts. Aaron struck out once every 4.4 at bats last season, after striking out once every 5.1 in 2007 and once every 5.4 trips in 2006. That’s not a good trend, and it escalated considerably last season.

Unless Aaron cuts well back on his strikeouts, he is going to have a hard time building much more than a minor bounceback. Despite his disappointing average, his BABIP was actually ABOVE his career average.

Aaron hit homers on 9.6% of his fly balls, not far off his 10.0% career average. But his 31.7% fly ball percentage was well off his 37.5% rate in 2007 — although not really much below his career average of 32.8%.

Rowand’s 2004 season in which he hit 34.9% fly balls and homered on an amazing 17.6% of them, and his 2007 season in which he hit 37.5% fly balls, knocking 14.5% of those out of the park, are beginning to look like outliers. Aaron hit .310 and .309 in those two seasons, his only two .300 years. With those two exceptions, Aaron has never hit above his .271 of last season in either of his other two full seasons.

Aaron had a .749 OPS last season, compared to a .795 career mark. But his declining home run rate and his escalating strikeout rate have Bill James, CHONE and Marcel projecting him at only .777, .759 and .777, respectively.

That would be a little bounceback in 2009 — but not the big one the Giants need.

After May, Aaron was WELL below an average center fielder last season. If he had finished strongly, perhaps we could be more optimistic. But over the last four months he batted only about .240 — with very little power or ability to reach base.

Oh, and his fielding was below-average, as well — not exactly what one would expect from a Gold Glover the previous season.

Maybe Aaron just needed glasses, and he’ll be back in 2009 with contacts as a new man. Let’s hope so.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 2:13 PM PST up reply actions  

You Are Making Too Many Assumptions

It could just as easily be that 2004 and 2007 represent what a fully healthy Aaron Rowand can do and the other years represtent what a banged up Aaron Rowand can do. You just choose to ignore this possibility because frankly you want to.

by giantsrainman on Jan 17, 2009 2:31 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah, sharksrog, you want Rowand to suck!

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 17, 2009 2:35 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

even if rainman is right here, and it was injuries that have caused Rowand’s poorer seasons, what guarantee is there that he’ll be completely healthy throughout 2009?? The way he plays the game he’ll probably hurt himself again. Oh well, more playing time for Nate!!

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 4:52 PM PST up reply actions  

This Is True - But HIs History Say's About A 1/3 Shot At A Healthy Year

With 2008 being the likely downside I like the 1/3 shot at this upside.

by giantsrainman on Jan 17, 2009 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Here's why I don't buy it

I like the 1/3 shot at this upside too, but at that rate Aaron will have only one good season in his remaining four. Two if luck goes his way a bit.

Do you think his poor performance last season was due to his early injury? I thought about that, but he actually played his best ball of the season both before and even WHILE he was injured. I was surprised at how well he played through the injury.

It was actually later that he had his problems. After a very nice April and May, he was well below average the last four months of the season.

Was it his injury that caused him to chase balls out of the strike zone? Was it his injury that caused him to continually miss the cutoff man? Was it his injury that caused him to take poor routes to fly balls?

Aaron keeps swinging at more and more pitches outside the zone. In 2005, he swung at just over 1/4 of pitches outside the zone. Last year he swung at nearly 1/3 of them. His percentage has been steadily rising each year.

Aaron’s contact rate was only 74.7% last season, after falling no lower than 77.8% in any of the previous three campaigns.

Because his discipline has decreased, pitchers have thrown him fewer and fewer strikes over the past four seasons, not even throwing half their pitches in the zone the past two years.

Pitchers weren’t particularly scared of Aaron last season, throwing him over 60% first-pitch strikes, even as they threw him fewer fastballs (57.3%) than in any of the previous three seasons.

It certainly isn’t to the degree of Barry Zito after the 2006 season, but far too many of Aaron’s peripherals seem to be heading the wrong direction.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 11:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't rain on my parade

You actually make a good point, Rainman — although you somewhat destroy it while making it.

2004 and 2007 might indeed represent what Aaron Rowand can do when healthy. I hadn’t really thought about that. But if he as been injured four of the past six years, what makes us think he is more likely to be healthy as he ages?

As for your saying that I choose to ignore the possiblity because frankly I want to, unless you can read my mind, that is an idiotic statement to make.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 11:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Maybe I was wrong

Perhaps I was wrong. Maybe you CAN read my mind. In that case your statement was not only idiotic but a lie.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 11:56 PM PST up reply actions  

This is what I should have said when rainman was making up that ridiculous “You only thought Sandoval had limited range at third base because he’s fat” bullshit.

Nicely played.

GROUGTHINK ALERT

by groug on Jan 18, 2009 3:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh man
You actually make a good point, Rainman — although you somewhat destroy it while making it.

The rare, yet extra painful sharksrog burn.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 18, 2009 10:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Honestly

I honestly meant that as a compliment to the Rainman, but as the wording developed, I realized I should buy him a yellow poncho.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I find

That you’re always better off using all of the data you have. I see no reason to ignore such a big chunk of Rowand’s career.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 17, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

You make a good point

You make a good point here, Cookyman, but let’s take a look at Aaron’s 2007 season.

. He hit 17 of his 27 homers in the friendly confines of his home park.

. He hit for a .348 BABIP in 2007, indicating some of his success may have been due to luck.

Aaron’s career batting average is .283. Does that make him more likely to hit .271 as he did last season, or .309 as he did in 2007?

As for Aaron being healthy in only 2004 and 2007, while he played in only 109 games in 2006, he played in 157 games in 2005, batting .270, and in 152 games last season, batting .271.

I would just LOVE for Aaron to have a bounce-back season — and stay there. Can you give me some logical reason for hope here?

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 12:06 AM PST up reply actions  

Don't get me wrong

I agree. I’m just saying that ignoring 2 full seasons just because they’re different from the other four isn’t a good idea. But you seem to understand that.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 18, 2009 9:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah

Yeah, Cookyman, your point was a good one. And even though I want Aaron Rowand to suck, I hope he breaks out with the four best years of his career, at which point the World Champion Giants will turn his position over to Rafael Rodriguez.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Um

Don’t you think it makes it more likely that he will hit .283? Otherwise, why even pay attention to what he did in the past.

This is “Marvin the brain damaged Monkey” prediction system.

I am reasonably certain that the fact that he sometimes hits .275 and sometimes hits .310 is a selective end points fluke due to seasons of finite length. I don’t think you should treat it as a discreet probablilty bag and put 2 .300 seasons and 3 .270 seasons in a bag and pull out one for 2009.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 18, 2009 10:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Yes

That’s what I was trying to say.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jan 18, 2009 11:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Don't

Don’t you hate it when someone else makes your point better than you did?

You probably don’t have that problem, but it plagues me continually. I had to hire the great, great, great, great grandson of Cyrano DeBergerac to woo my wife, only to find out he wasn’t so great after all. But my wife too pity on me and became my wife.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Also a good point

Also a good point, Zenbitz. But I’m worried about the escalating increase in Aaron’s strikeout rate.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 6:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I actually think he’ll come out and hit .301 next year.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 18, 2009 8:45 PM PST up reply actions  

I just don’t know any of these guys well enough to call them by their first name.

Fairley odd parent to Wendell

by WTF on Jan 19, 2009 1:28 PM PST up reply actions  

First name

My son is named Aaron, so it just came naturally to me.

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 5:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Statcorner has park adjusted wOBA, I think.

Aaron King is still my homeboy... iffy mechanics and all

by baetown415 on Jan 16, 2009 12:09 PM PST up reply actions  

The offers would be Luis Castillo and a rhesus monkey, in which case we should just keep Rowand.

I’m not so sure… I’d like to hear more about this rhesus monkey.

by neurofarm on Jan 15, 2009 12:41 PM PST up reply actions  

“I’d like to hear more about this rhesus monkey.”

+1

Does he wear diapers? Because I think that’s just adorable.

Haven't been to The Examined Life? No wonder your life feels so empty.
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on Jan 15, 2009 2:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Rhesus peace

/obscure Pearls Before Swine reference

Molina's gonna test his arm...

by Victorious Secret on Jan 15, 2009 5:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Angry Bob would approve.

New to McCovey Chronicles? Check out the McFAQs! McFAQ I & II
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by Natto on Jan 15, 2009 5:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Could the rhesus monkey play 3B? He’d definitely draw a lot of walks…

Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...

by Smoke on the Water on Jan 15, 2009 4:33 PM PST up reply actions  

No, but he could throw his poop at the fans. For strikes.

Disfrute Los Gigantes every day at www.leftymalo.com

by leftymalo on Jan 15, 2009 8:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Sign him!!!

Great for games at The Laterine.

Ivan Ochoa - Heir to the legacy of Rob Andrews & Rikkert Faneyte!

Here comes Captain Obvious wearing his Atomic Wedgie!

by daveinexile on Jan 19, 2009 11:05 AM PST up reply actions  

I gotta like Fred for being candid with us fans. Maybe at the expense of getting management mad at him for it.
Shulman a couple of days ago was real clear that Boras wants 4 yrs guaranteed, and there was a “Grand Canyon” of difference as Giants would not go that long. 4 yrs seems like a huge risk with Manny’s lousy D and varying enthusiasm.
Rowand for Swisher makes sense to me. Got Winn for center this year, see if Fred can handle it next, or somebody else. I forget what Swisher’s contract is.

adopter/sponsor of "Go, Antoan" Richardson

by foothillsfan on Jan 15, 2009 10:17 AM PST reply actions  

that's a fun interview, thanks

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 15, 2009 10:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Similar FLew story in today's Chron

Link

They say some players get out of bed hitting; Pablo Sandoval doesn't wait that long

by bgunn on Jan 15, 2009 10:46 AM PST reply actions  

i’ll be upset if they really do bat lewis behind molina.

"ever so cynical yet whimsical giants related signature"

by The Gene Hackman on Jan 15, 2009 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Really. I mean what was even the point of taking the bunion off if you’re gonna do that?

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 15, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

The're cold and insensitive.

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 15, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 15, 2009 2:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Wow that is bizzare

How did Icanhascheezburger get a pic of my left foot.

I am totally dead serious my foot looks exactly like that – down to the bunion, funny toes, and big veins.
Hmm… my pinky toe is slightly less squished however.

Oh ya Bunions. I’ve had one for 20 years. Hurt a little bit when I first got it. Now the only effect is that I wear out shoes a little faster.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 15, 2009 3:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Shoes? HA!

Really am wondering what Fred’s beef was…

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 15, 2009 6:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Bengie Molina's foot

Photobucket

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 7:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Cause/effect

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 17, 2009 9:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Could use a pedi…

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jan 17, 2009 10:22 AM PST up reply actions  

This is one typo away from being awkward.

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by Natto on Jan 18, 2009 6:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Since

But since Baron started taking mental steroids, she doesn’t make typos anymore. She simply imagines she is on steroids, and suddenly her words go farther, even though she isn’t typing them harder.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 7:01 PM PST up reply actions  

pft

My finger to keyboard coordination is off the charts. Steroids don’t do that! It was B12…

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jan 18, 2009 9:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Mentats fTW!

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 19, 2009 8:38 AM PST up reply actions  

I like to throw three down, Mentats, Psycho, and Buffout, and just go CRAZY!

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 19, 2009 11:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Watch out, man. That stuff is addictive.

by chilibean_3 on Jan 19, 2009 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

So they tell me

But that’s why I have my very own laboratory in my house.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 19, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't forget the

“Flax Seed Oil” (wink,wink)

"Just take the ball and throw it where you want to. Throw strikes. Home plate don't move."-Leroy "Satchel" Paige

My adopted son Matt Downs . Utility Infielder with a Bat !

by nvsfg on Jan 21, 2009 8:18 AM PST up reply actions  

wtf...over.

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 18, 2009 7:14 PM PST up reply actions  

ST results should take care of this

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 12:20 PM PST up reply actions  

There will be a whole bunch of angry people when Manny eventually signs with the Dodgers.

by Lars The Wanderer on Jan 15, 2009 11:19 AM PST reply actions  

Maybe so

But I won’t be one of them. I’d settle for Boras using the Giants to drive up Manny’s price, and the Dodgers signing another pricey outfielder just to try and stay in contention.

If that happens, I will consider it another good piece of collaboration between Sabean and Secret Agent Ned.

I'm as tall as Mel - why can't I hit 500 home runs?

by Ott on Jan 15, 2009 11:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I totally agree

frankly im happy if we get manny for 2 years or just trade winn for swish + prospect/cash.Hell even if we stand pat im okay with Ish getting the nod.

by Giant Voodoo on Jan 15, 2009 11:37 AM PST up reply actions  

I can't stop thinking of Travis Ishikawa

Hope TI does not get lost in the mix this spring. Hope SF gives him a real opportunity to compete for the 1b job.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 11:57 AM PST up reply actions  

absolutely

I like being pleasantly suprised i.e. Fred Lewis and Pablo Sandoval. It is also one of the reasons im hot on Swisher. Swisher can easily play right or left for us and Ish can play 1b here and there.

by Giant Voodoo on Jan 15, 2009 1:26 PM PST up reply actions  

The only reason I'd be mad

is if Manny signed a completely reasonable contract with the dodgers.

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 12:00 PM PST up reply actions  

And even then

it’d be more that we failed at driving the price up than we failed to sign him

by Viliphied on Jan 15, 2009 12:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Not me

If he signs with LA, I’ll be relieved not to have to climb on the bandwagon and happy not to see a bunch of fake dreads at Mays Field. If he signs with us, I’ll just hold my nose and enjoy the dingerz.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 15, 2009 1:40 PM PST up reply actions  

♥Fred♥

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jan 15, 2009 12:01 PM PST reply actions  

I SAW HIM FIRST!!!

Haven't been to The Examined Life? No wonder your life feels so empty.
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on Jan 15, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I WILL CUT YOU

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jan 15, 2009 4:04 PM PST up reply actions  

...LIKE A BUNYON

They say some players get out of bed hitting; Pablo Sandoval doesn't wait that long

by bgunn on Jan 15, 2009 4:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey bitch this is me and jponry’s fight. He’s ours. Get your own!

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jan 15, 2009 4:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Everyone get your popcorn ready

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 8:44 PM PST up reply actions  

and a comfy chair

by timmeh on Jan 15, 2009 9:39 PM PST up reply actions  

hearts

Saying how happy he was that he can wear a shoe on his right foot again after the surgery and lengthy rehab, the noted clothes horse said, “Now I get to match my wardrobe better. I was wearing black Air Force Ones with black socks trying to match my outfits.”

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jan 15, 2009 8:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Lewis get to stompin’ in his Er Force Ones

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Jeremy Affeldt Ready To Make His Father Proud

by Giant among Angels on Jan 15, 2009 8:36 PM PST up reply actions  

best

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
PABLO SANDOVAL AM STEAL DEATH, DESTROYER OF WORLDS.

by jponry on Jan 15, 2009 10:25 PM PST up reply actions  

for the love of God, Rowand is not getting traded

as I have said on here before, show me a case where a team signed a player to a long term contract and then traded him within a year or so. The only case anybody has been able to think of is Carlos Delgado, and that was part of a full on fire sale. I think trading a guy that soon after signing him to a long term contract would be seen as an ethical breach and would lead every future free agent who negotiates with the Giants to ask “do you plan to actually honor my contract, or are you going to trade me as soon as your plans change?” followed by them insisting on an absolutely iron-clad no trade clause.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 12:41 PM PST reply actions  

Nick Swisher?

I’m not 100% sure on that one though.

New to McCovey Chronicles? Check out the McFAQs! McFAQ I & II
comics | art | Nattowear

by Natto on Jan 15, 2009 12:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Swisher is a different situation, because he was traded to the White Sox originally, he didn’t choose to sign with them as a free agent.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Seems like a whole bunch of yeah buts you got down there below. How bout the Red Sox signing Bronson Arroyo to a three year “hometown discount” contract and then trading him to the Reds before the ink was dried.

Get the hell out the way Bengie, Pablito's hit the show!

by Roger on Jan 15, 2009 5:14 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s true, that’s awful… But I lol every time someone brings it up.

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 11:49 PM PST up reply actions  

no

he was traded just before his original MLB contract expired (so, like, the exact opposite of this situation would be)

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Didn’t he sign a long-term deal with the Tigers? And then get traded after 1 year?

by Hobbes2d on Jan 15, 2009 1:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks. I’m at work and can’t look up baseball-reference. :(

by Hobbes2d on Jan 15, 2009 1:29 PM PST up reply actions  

he played one year in Detroit and then left as a free agent

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

The White Sox could use a CF and Aaron Rowand would be a good fit. Do not know if GM Williams is willing to take on such contract but if the Giants are willing to take some money back it could be a possibility.

by wilriv21 on Jan 15, 2009 1:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Edgar Renteria

December 19, 2004: Signed as a Free Agent with the Boston Red Sox.

December 8, 2005: Traded by the Boston Red Sox with cash to the Atlanta Braves for Andy Marte.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Jan 15, 2009 1:14 PM PST up reply actions  

that's a good one

but a bit of a different situation because it was a mutually beneficial divorce after the contract didn’t work out well for either side.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:17 PM PST up reply actions  

different situation

b/c rowands contract is working out so well here?

"ever so cynical yet whimsical giants related signature"

by The Gene Hackman on Jan 15, 2009 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

it’s working out great for Rowand

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Matt Morris

December 13, 2005: Signed as a Free Agent with the San Francisco Giants.

July 31, 2007: Traded by the San Francisco Giants to the Pittsburgh Pirates for a player to be named later and Rajai Davis. The Pittsburgh Pirates sent Stephen MacFarland (minors) (August 27, 2007) to the San Francisco Giants to complete the trade.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Jan 15, 2009 1:16 PM PST up reply actions  

yes, but Morris was halfway through a 3 year contract, which I think is a lot different than being 20% of the way through a 5 year contract.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Good job Pete!

Sergio Romo: striking out professional hitters since 2005.

by Lyle on Jan 16, 2009 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Also

How is it an ethical breach when you play like shit? If you play like crap there really is no onus on the team for trying to get rid of you. No matter how many years are left on your contract. And I really don’t think it would effect other people trying to sign here.

by Hobbes2d on Jan 15, 2009 1:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Corey Koskie

December 14, 2004: Signed as a Free Agent with the Toronto Blue Jays. (3 years, $17M)

January 6, 2006: Traded by the Toronto Blue Jays to the Milwaukee Brewers for Brian Wolfe.

We're all basically Pedro Feliz.

by SF Pete on Jan 15, 2009 1:30 PM PST up reply actions  

really, Corey Koskie?

the total value of that contract is barely more than 1 year of Rowand’s

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 1:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Mike Hampton

Traded 2 years into an 8-year contract (then flipped again two days later). Rockies had to eat a huge chunk of the contract, but still.

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 15, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Moises Alou

Another fire-sale situation, but traded by the Marlins one year after signing a five year deal.

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 15, 2009 2:22 PM PST up reply actions  

McGriff

Signed as FA with the Braves in 2005 and was traded two years later

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 15, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

they basically gave McGriff to the Devil Rays when they were an exapnsion team, and (if i remember right) that was at McGriff’s request.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 2:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Kevin Mitchell!

March 8, 1996: Signed as a Free Agent with the Boston Red Sox.

July 30, 1996: Traded by the Boston Red Sox to the Cincinnati Reds for Roberto Mejia and Brad Tweedie (minors).

My adopted Giant: "Raptor Jesus" Guzman

by Goofus on Jan 15, 2009 2:54 PM PST up reply actions  

He was playing on a 1 year contract. Although, in Kevin Mitchell’s world, one year is long term.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 2:58 PM PST up reply actions  

so, my point was that this would be frowned upon as unethical within in the industry, and that it is very rare that a player would sign a long term contract as a free agent and then be traded away so quickly.

On the 2nd point, so far, we have come up with:

Carlos Delgado and Moises Alou being traded as part of organizational fire sales
Mike Hampton being traded in one of the most complex 3 way trades you will ever see
Edgar Renteria being traded by the Red Sox in a mutually beneficial divorce
Corey Koskie being traded 1 year into a (relatively) modest 3 year contract
Fred McGriff being given away so that he could play for his hometown expansion team

I think this proves my point that this would be extremely rare quite nicely. It has only happened a few times and has always involved an extenuating circumstance.

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 4:39 PM PST up reply actions  

WHAT ABOUT JI

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 15, 2009 6:24 PM PST up reply actions  

he was traded after playing 3 years of a 6 year contract, I wouldn’t exactly call that immediately

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 8:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Nice to see that Bochy is ok with Ishikawa and Sandoval starting at the corners.

by Hobbes2d on Jan 15, 2009 1:00 PM PST reply actions  

How to get Manny Ramirez under contract for free for the foreseeable future...

I just saw part of the video of Pablo at bat. We just need someone to go to a Dodgers store, get one of those Manny-Dreds and get Pablo to wear ’em. The only deficiency is what side of the plate he bats if you watch the video, as some of his home plate approaches look a bit like Manny. Just put him in left field and perhaps no one will know better.

If Happy Pete was willing to go a few years with the wrong name, I’m sure Pablo won’t mind us putting Ramirez on his jersey.

by pittsburghian on Jan 15, 2009 1:31 PM PST reply actions  

I'm not sure I get what you're saying...

Feliz had the wrong name?

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 4:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't You Rember When We Found Out He Was Actually 26 and not 23?

Post 9/11 Visa problem forced him to confess he had been using the identity of a younger cousin. I forget what first name he went under before but I do remember the incident.

by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2009 4:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Felix was the name if I recall.

(Topps card had him as Felix for a few years, as that is what the organization had him listed as)

by pittsburghian on Jan 15, 2009 5:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Rowand at WAR

Three days ago Xanthan posts 2009 WAR projections for the Giants hitters, and shows Rowand as the most productive hitter they have, followed by Renteria and Winn. Today Rowand, in this thread, is getting trashed, traded, and tricked out like a rhesus monkey. I know that Obama said that embittered provincials cling to their guns and Bibles, but I suppose he should have added free venting space on the McCovey chronicles.

by campanari on Jan 15, 2009 2:14 PM PST reply actions  

dude

You should know by now that “best projected hitter on the 2009 SF Giants” is damning with faint praise indeed.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 15, 2009 3:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Best hitter on the 2009 Giants?

you take that back buddy!

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 4:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Do..

WAR projections, let along any projections, really do anything to project a single hitter? I mean, what is the success rate to a single projection? I’m aware that they do well for multiple situations, say a projection for a team or league, but to say Rowand will be the most productive hitter is kind of misleading.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 4:07 PM PST up reply actions  

each individual projection has a sample size of 1

by FluLikeSymptoms on Jan 15, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

hey

you learned something from that stats class after all

Projections are designed to minimize the total difference between actual and predicted performance for a group of players, not to get any single player right.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 15, 2009 4:11 PM PST up reply actions  

I've never taken stats.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 5:27 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s better than regular math.

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jan 15, 2009 5:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I've been interested in it..

And I know there are some places that teach it with a baseball view, which would be interesting at least.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on Jan 15, 2009 8:37 PM PST up reply actions  

must have had you confused with someone else

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Jan 15, 2009 6:58 PM PST up reply actions  

You mean you've never knowingly taken stats.

And anyway, they weren’t considered stats at the time you took them.

Adoptive father to the All-Father. Does that make me the All-Grandfather?

by EliminateMe on Jan 16, 2009 12:47 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

No it isn't.

What the projection is saying is that he is MOST LIKELY to be their most productive hitter.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?

by zenbitz on Jan 16, 2009 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Position

Isn’t Wins Above Replacement sorted by position? If so, Rowand would be competing against lesser replacements than would Randy Winn in right field. As for Molina, he isn’t a good hitter — just a very clutch one.

by sharksrog on Jan 16, 2009 3:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Only True When You Ignore Defense.

Yes, lesser offensive replacements but better defensive replacements and thus the same overall.

by giantsrainman on Jan 16, 2009 3:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Manny's attitude

Has anyone thought about Manny’s attitude if he does not get the 4 year deal he thinks he deserves? If the market is not there for 4 or even 3 year guaranted deal for Manny, it seems less likely every day, I can guaranttee you that sooner rather than later, his attitude, performance and antics are going to fall off the table. He will only be happy and hence productive IF he gets what he thinks he deserves.

IMHO Any GM that gives Manny a guaranteed 4 year or even 3 deal is a fool.

Radical Racing

by Radical Racing on Jan 15, 2009 6:14 PM PST reply actions  

Exactly

There are two options here: overpay for 4 years, or put up with his sulking and pouting for 2 years

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 6:33 PM PST reply actions  

The above is supposed to be a response to Radical Racing

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 15, 2009 6:33 PM PST up reply actions  

why would he sulk and pout with the team that gives him the best offer that he gets? I would bet it’s more likely that Manny goes out there and tries to show what a mistake all the other teams made. Not to mention the fact that if he signs a two year deal he’ll want to get yet another contract after that one expires. He’d probably actually be worse with a guaranteed four year deal. What incentive would he have after he signs what probably would be the last deal of his career??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think Manny thinks that way

I just can’t see him going out there thinking, “well I didn’t get what I wanted, but you know what? Oh well, I did the best I could.”

Last year was a contract year, and look how he screwed around in Boston? He only quieted down once he got out of Boston, like he wanted.

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 17, 2009 5:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Tonight's MLB Hot Stove on MLB Network mentioned this

…They then did a side by side comparison of Lewis and Manny’s 09 stats……

Then interviewed Agent Ned over the phone
“We will do what we can do to get them back…….We will do whatever it takes to get him back…” but then says “The problem is the length and the amount..”
Then he would not go into detail when/if they will put their next offer out there.

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Jan 15, 2009 11:14 PM PST reply actions  

…They then did a side by side comparison of Lewis and Manny’s 09 stats……

Out of curiosity, what stats did they show? My guess is AVG, HR’s, RBI’s, and AVG w/ RISP.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jan 16, 2009 9:24 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, they showed the basic stats you mentioned

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Jan 16, 2009 12:35 PM PST up reply actions  

all that’s keeping them apart is the “length and the amount??” Isn’t that the thing keeping every single FA out there from every single team??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 16, 2009 1:47 PM PST up reply actions  

True. I was just relaying some footage(dialogue) from the MLB channel that not everyone gets on their tv provider.

Giant Dirtbags: Brian Anderson, Todd Jennings, Steve Hammond, John Bowker
Don't F with the Affeldt

by Giant among Angels on Jan 16, 2009 1:53 PM PST up reply actions  

It ain't you

 it’s Colletti. Brian Sabean trained him to talk about kicking tires and what to do “at the end of the day.” See what happens when he goes off message??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 7:59 AM PST up reply actions  

At the end of the day

As a Giants fan, I have found that kicking the tires often leaves a team at the end of the day hoping to find lightning in a bottle.

by sharksrog on Jan 17, 2009 2:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Be that as it may, you can rest assured that you have done your due diligence.

by Lars The Wanderer on Jan 17, 2009 2:19 PM PST up reply actions  

it’s so true about how the Giants’ try to find “lightning in a bottle.” Sabean made comments after last season about being able to find a power hitter because teams will be looking to trade arb eligible players. As we have seen, this didn’t happen. Now Neukom talks about how teams will be unloading players during the season, basically because of the economy. After this doesn’t happen either, what will be the next miracle they expect to happen which will make teams want to hand over their power hitters to the Giants??

Brian Sabean's dad- will make a few phone calls to help his son find a new job after next season

by rxmeister on Jan 17, 2009 5:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Sabean’s Jedi mind powers

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008

by Useful_Idiot on Jan 17, 2009 5:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Sabean made comments after last season about being able to find a power hitter because teams will be looking to trade arb eligible players. As we have seen, this didn’t happen. YET

by wilriv21 on Jan 17, 2009 5:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Possible

It is possible the economy will indeed force some teams to unload salary. But that would seem more likely to me over next winter or perhaps during the 2010 season.

The one good thing the owners have managed to do without colluding (to the best of my knowledge) is put more reasonable contracts in place for baseball’s middle class. In most cases the stars deserve their contracts as long as they produce. It is the second-tier and lower players who have been the most overpaid IMO.

The guys at the very top deserve lots, and the guys at the bottom deserve little above the minimum. It is the guys in the middle who have been getting too much.

The top stars might be compared to corporate presidents. The average player is more like middle management, much more easily replaced and thus far less valuable.

by sharksrog on Jan 19, 2009 9:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Even after

Even after I had done my due diligence, the playoffs were STILL a crapshoot.

by sharksrog on Jan 18, 2009 7:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Do your due. Do the Dew.

Sometimes it makes no difference or sense whatsoever.

Who has the fun?
Is it always the man with the gun?
- The Stranglers

by victor frankenstein on Jan 19, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Needs more Manny dereds

They say some players get out of bed hitting; Pablo Sandoval doesn't wait that long

by bgunn on Jan 19, 2009 12:47 PM PST up reply actions  

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