Over at the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog, the first predicted standings of the year are up. They're early -- RLYW acknowledges as much -- but they're still fun. They used projections from The Hardball Times to run 100 simulations. We'll just skip to the interesting parts:
|Average wins||Average losses||Runs scored||Runs allowed||% of div. titles in 100 simulations||% of wild-card berths in 100 simulations|
- This assumes that the Dodgers don't make any other moves, which won't be the case. They'll get another starter or two, and they will probably add Manny Ramirez.
- The Giants in these simulations allow fewer runs than any team in baseball. If there are Funjuns in these simulations, I would like to inquire about living in the simulations, Tron-style.
- I'd love to see the projections that allowed the Padres to tie for a division title. Jake Peavy with a 0.95 ERA? Adrian Gonzalez with 65 homers? It must have been something.
It's a weekend thread for the freaks who look at this site even when they aren't forced to be at work!