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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Draft Position Update (again)

Seattle              57     98     .368
Washington     58     98     .372
San Diego        61     95     .391
Pittsburgh         65     91     .417

.......................................

Baltimore            67     87     .435
Atlanta                 69     87     .442
Kansas City       70     86     .449
San Francisco   70     86     .449
Colorado             71     85     .455
Detroit                  71     83     .461
Cincinnati            72     83     .465

.........

Oakland                74     81     .477

With 6-7 games to go for most teams, this is where everyone sits. I draw the line after Pitt, since it is highly unlikely SF would match Pitt's record.  It is also highly unlikely that the Giants would match Oakland. Thus we are looking at a range between 5th and 11th.

Baltimore has been playing wretchedly, so the 5th spot also seems out of reach. With the Giants having played well lately, and Lincecum set to make two more starts, it seems likely the Giants will end up between 9 and 11.

 

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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Bummer. Let’s let Misch, Palmer, Threets, and Hennessey start the rest of the games – then we’d have a fighting chance.

your 2008 SF Giants: this isn’t totally insane, just really stupid

by Lyle on Sep 22, 2008 3:23 AM PDT reply actions  

nah

let’s sweep the dodgers.

"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."

by i did my job on Sep 22, 2008 8:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

this stuff is so unimportant. The Giants’ picked tenth in 2006 and got the best player in the draft. They picked tenth again in 2007 and might have pulled it off again, although it’s way too early to tell. This year they picked fifth and once again got the Silver Spikes winner. I finally climbed aboard the “fire Sabean” bandwagon early this year, and now I have stepped back off. They probably don’t keep stats on this, (although Xanthan might have something), and the jury is still way out, but there’s a chance that the Giants picked the best player in the draft three years in a row, despite the fact that they haven’t had great draft position. I don’t know how much Sabean had to do with this, but if he gets fired, there’s a possibility that the people who told him to draft Lincecum, Bumgarner and Posey go with him, and I would hate to see that happen.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on Sep 22, 2008 7:11 AM PDT reply actions  

Silver Spikes?

is that award for the 2nd best collegiate player?

Bonds stands alone.

Proud adopted parent of future big league slugger Thomas Neal

by nostocksjustbonds on Sep 22, 2008 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well not quite

David Price is way ahead of MadBum; Price broke into the majors in his first pro season. MadBum might be way younger, but Price is still a better prospect. And also Tim Beckham might be as good as Posey. But I agree with you that our last few first round picks have been really good ones. It’s pretty crazy that our system was bone dry 2 years ago and now it’s in the top 5. And also draft position might matter somewhat in this draft because this year’s draft class looks a little weak outside of Strasberg and that SS guy.

by boonitez on Sep 22, 2008 5:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Please review the top 15 of each of the last 10 or so drafts (or go as far back as you like), and note the the first 5 in those years. There is no question that one can find wonderful players later, but picks in the top 5 are consistently successful, and are the safest bets to be something. If you want a crack at the ‘safe’ and ‘high ceiling’ players, the higher the better.

So yes, draft position does matter. However I do not mind the lower draft position the giants are moving toward, since the recent winning has featured young players who will factor in the future: their success is worth it.

Adoptive Parent of Francisco Peguero. He can throw, he can run, he can hit(fastballs), and he's Dominican. What else do you need to know?

by haverecords on Sep 22, 2008 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not used to seeing Atlanta picking so early

The Braves traditionally favor regional players. Anyone think Donovan Tate?
It would be nice to draft as high as possible, but as we saw this year drafting early ain’t cheap. So perhaps a silver lining in drafting a little later but still within the top dozen is that we still get a good talent at a bit less than we spent this year. Of course we could also let it be known we are willing to shell out the big bucks for someone who drops, but I don’t think as many teams or players are going to take those bluffs anymore.

by baseballjunkie on Sep 22, 2008 7:18 AM PDT reply actions  

If i can't get a serving of Grant Green

I will be more than happy to take some have some Dustin Ackley

by caincecum on Sep 22, 2008 9:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Not with the 9th pick

I see the future, and it is Pablo

by CB30 on Sep 22, 2008 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

Compensation picks

If we were to sign a top tier free agent our pick needs to be in the top 10 to be protected does it not? This is why I’d like a top 10 pick, not because I particularly want a top tier free agent, but if we were to get one I would’t be happy about giving up a pick to do so.

Olma Rosario; liking the cut of your jib since 2008
Free Angel Joseph from US immigration!

by Mr Scruff on Sep 22, 2008 9:47 AM PDT reply actions  

Yup, we don’t need to worry about losing our first pick.

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Sep 22, 2008 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

SF does have a three year running track record

by wilriv21 on Sep 22, 2008 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have faith

I see the future, and it is Pablo

by CB30 on Sep 22, 2008 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

I greatfully have faith.

/ nods nods

Ivan Ochoa - Heir to the legacy of Rob Andrews & Rikkert Faneyte!

by daveinexile on Sep 24, 2008 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

yeah just imagine if they’d actually tried to draft people before 2006

"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."

by i did my job on Sep 23, 2008 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

Anyone else get the feeling we shouldn’t look up at the sky anytime in the next few years?

it's always noonan somewhere

by sectionop92 on Sep 24, 2008 12:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

Don’t forget that if we finish with the 10th worst record, we’ll actually get the No. 11 pick because the Nats didn’t sign Crow. They get compensation pick 9A or some such, essentially the 10th pick.

by Dan from NM on Sep 22, 2008 5:37 PM PDT reply actions  

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