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I think in the winter, we should seriously consider trading Lincecum

Now before you get your panties in a bunch, hear me out. Try to push your personal feelings for Lincecum aside (we all love the guy). However, when one considers the large rebuild that it will take to get the Giants back into the playoffs, and when one looks at our assets, its easy to figure out that Lincecum would get us the most back in return. Of course, if we can keep him and accelerate this rebuild/re-tooling effort some other way, that's gravy.

However there are a few factors that I think come into play. First of which is the high volume of good prospects or ML talent we could get in return. Using recent deals over the past year as a template, I think its pretty reasonable to assume the Giants could get 4 or 5 good players in return for Lincecum. Second, one thing I think that needs to be taken into account is just how much we can reasonably expect Lincecum to improve further? He's already among the best pitchers in the league and very dominant. However, when one looks at baseball history, young pitchers who have taken the league by storm haven't tended to last very long. IE Mark Prior, Steve Avery, Kerry Wood, Dontrelle Willis, Frank Tanana, Mark Mulder, Dwight Gooden, Bret Saberhagen, Sid Fernandez, Ramon Martinez, Mark Fidrych and many others. Third, while I'm not trying to convey Lincecum will be any more injury prone than the next pitcher (as they are all at risk to them), it should be noted that with as many moving parts as his delivery has, he will have to remain in the best shape possible to continue to be as consistent as possible in repeating his delivery. He already has command issues now, if he isn't in fantastic shape in the future he likely will become even more wild.

So when taking this into account does anyone think we should at least listen to offers, if not seriously consider trading him? And no not for Alex Rios. But to Texas for say a package involving Chris Davis, Elvis Andrus, and 2 or 3 additional prospects. Or to Boston for Justin Masterson, Lars Anderson, Jed Lowrie and a bullpen arm. The time to "sell high" so to speak might be this winter. He would get us back a lot more than Matt Cain, and we would still have enough on the way to help with the loss of Lincecum, and we would likely get back plenty in the way of positional players that would off-set the loss of him anyway. Assuming Sabean could pull off such a move. He's done it before, but it was over a decade ago now. It would obviously takes big brass balls to pull off such a move, but it might be the kind of out of the box thinking that could get this team back to where it wants to be.

So please, I'm hoping to have a civil, insightful discussion about this, let the debate begin.

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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No...

Trade Matt Cain!

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
Waiting for the chicks to overflow from Omar Vizquel onto his daddy.

by WalrusMan on Jul 20, 2008 9:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

GM should listen to all offers

and be looking for a Colon for Sizemore/Phillips/Lee type deal

by wilriv21 on Jul 20, 2008 9:30 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

how the hell did Cleveland get away with that..

by i wish we were good on Jul 20, 2008 9:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Remember that...

Phillips was a phlop with Cleveland. He didn’t become valuable til he got to Cincy.

Disfrute Los Gigantes every day at www.leftymalo.com

by leftymalo on Jul 20, 2008 10:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Omar Minay was working for MLB as the GM of the Expos, and was essentially conducting a three year job interview. By trading for Colon, he seems like the guy ready to make the huge deal, and some owners respect that (like the Wilpons, for example).

by tyrannoman on Jul 21, 2008 6:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

I agree that a GM should listen to all offers. No player should be untouchable.

That said, I don’t think Tim Lincecum is the player to trade, barring a blow-the-doors-off and send us to heaven offer. It only makes sense to trade a super star caliber player if he is about to lose it. That seems unlikely with a 24-year-old who is still learning how best to utilize his vast talents.

If Bruce Bochy had been bright enough not to send Tim back for the seventh inning today (and perhaps if the Giants’ bullpen hadn’t been so horrible recently he would have), Tim would have been a blown third-strike call and a heads-down play by the gamer in center field from a six-inning shutout. And that was on a day when he was visibly coughing and lost a lot off his fastball as the game went on.

Tim’s change up was super today, and the Giants are finally getting smart enough not only to call it more, but to call it against right-handed hitters as well as lefties.

I’m not saying DON’T trade Tim. I’m merely saying that the chances of receiving an offer good enough to do so are slim. You rarely trade your best player.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

this
You rarely trade your best player.

It just takes so much get adequate value in return. It would have to be a Beckett for Hanley Ramirez and filler type trade.

Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on Jul 21, 2008 6:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Obviously. You’d be stupid to trade him just to trade him. You have to get good value. Hence is the point of this discussion, if you feel you can get good value do you trade him?

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

It’s just that getting good value for a player who has shown so much potential at the age of 24 will likely be difficult to do.

by sharksrog on Jul 21, 2008 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That’s assuming he keeps his value. Unless the league turns back into the deadball era before next year, I think its safe to say Lincecum can’t get much better than he already is.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he can get quite a bit better. His command and control are still extremely inconsistent.

by Evan on Jul 21, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jul 21, 2008 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I made a post about this

And the general consensus was that no one wanted to trade Lincecum. But from the Giants standpoint, they have to be looking into this. The Giants are least 3-4 years away from competitive, so Lincecum will have gone to “waste.” But I think Timmy would get more than Haren.

Bill Mueller? I expect at least A-Rod type numbers from my son, Conor Gillaspie

by Gamer101 on Jul 20, 2008 9:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Waste?

I really don’t see Tim’s going to waste the next three or four years. Rather, I think he will continue to learn how to harness his fabulous skills to greatest advantage.

The Giants could be VERY competitive as early as 2012, and I think Tim will be a huge piece of that competitiveness. Not to say that the Giants might not have a replacement ace in Matt Cain or Madison Bumgarner by then, but they have an ace right now, one whom many consider to be the NL’s best pitcher prior to the All-Star break.

I think if Tim had pitched better today, we wouldn’t be having this discussion. Fans are usually overly swayed by recent events. We didn’t hear this talk after Tim’s great effort a week ago today. Hearing it today is as ridiculous as hearing it then.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well its not exactly a secret that we will most likely have to trade one of our best pitchers if we ever want to have a good offense again. That savior won’t come from FA, where the market has been absolute shit of late, and there’s not much that would really sway anyone towards wanting to come play here as a FA anyway. AT&T is not a hitters park, and it seems highly unlikely that a great player will hit the market anytime soon, and if they did they likely wouldn’t sign with us. There are teams with deeper pockets and likely with brighter futures. Which makes having to trade our arms even more necessary and plausible. Combine that with the Giants inability to develop legitimate stud positional players, and this becomes an even bigger dilemma.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 11:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

and now that I've read your fanpost

I think in the winter, you are retarded.

by boonitez on Jul 20, 2008 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've got your civil, insightful discussion right here fella!

Photobucket

Omar...I'm done with you. Hello Darren Ford! Come to papa.

by PacBellBoozer on Jul 20, 2008 9:38 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

But that’s the opposite of civil, insightfu-

Oooooh…

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 20, 2008 10:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Billy Beane would do it

From a business standpoint, it makes tons of sense.

But I both don’t WANT this to happen, and I don’t think it SHOULD. The Giants fans need their heroes, and he’s at the top of the list right now.

He’s not just a freak. He’s OUR freak.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 20, 2008 9:39 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Billy Beane

Billy Beane would NOT trade Tim Lincecum. He has never traded a player as good as Tim.

Given Billy’s limited funs to work with, it might be possible he would trade Tim rather than lose him to free agency, but Tim is the Giants’ for five more seasons after this one.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 10:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

its true. the A’s just don’t have much fun. That’s why I am a Giants fan. They have way more funs.

Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on Jul 21, 2008 6:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haren

is close. Harden too maybe if he didnt have all the injury problems.

by sam23 on Jul 21, 2008 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I understand your points, but on the other hand, no.

by rotorueter on Jul 20, 2008 9:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I’ve been thinking about this too, and it seems like a good idea to at least see what other teams are willing to offer for him. If there’s any pattern in the farm system, it’s that the Giants can draft and develop pitchers. I’m not saying that any of them are necessarily the caliber of Lincecum, but a staff of pretty good pitchers along with a lineup with some actual hitters will keep you in contention, whereas having a stud pitcher in that rotation with a terrible-to-mediocre lineup will not, as we have seen with this year’s experiment.

Where do you think the players on this future Giants miracle team are going to come from, anyway? Free agency? Incredible drafting? Building a team is different than it used to be. You can’t do it all with homegrown talent. Players will shuffle about. The idea, though, is to favorably direct the inevitable movement of players from team to team. I’d say keep him one more season, let him become a true household name, then trade him for the queen’s gold, because at this point, to the rest of the league, he could be no more than a flash in the pan, and that’s the terrible truth. Holding onto a marquee player for too long will eventually handcuff the team in the long run. Look what happened with Barry Bonds.

Balanced teams win, and pitching needs to be traded to balance the team. It just sucks that our lord and savior happens to have the most trade value. Anyways, that’s just my thoughts.

"Just another ahahahaha... laugher."

by capnk on Jul 20, 2008 9:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Where?

Where will the incredible team of 2012 come from?

P—Tim Lincecum
Madison Bumgarner
Tim Alderson
Jonathan Sanchez
Noah Lowry/ Barry Zito/Kevin Correia/Henry Sosa/Daryl Maday

RP—Brian Wilson
Sergio Romo
Alex Hinshaw

C—Buster Posey
Pablo Sandoval

1B—Angel Villalona
John Bowker

2B—Nick Noonan
Kevin Frandsen

SS—Brandon Crawford
Manny Burriss

3B—Conor Gillaspie

OF— Rafael Rodriguez
Aaron Rowand
Wendell Fairley
Roger Kriesnick
Nate Schierholtz
Freddie Lewis

That assumes the Giants sign their first four draft choices, of course, but it doesn’t even include their 2009 first-round draft choice, which I believe would at this moment be #4 overall, any trades or any free agent signings.

Some think the Giants will be competitive before 2012, and they could be right in about 2011, but I believe if they are patient, the Giants have the potential to field a World Series-caliber team beginning in 2012.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think so. You really think all of those young players would be able to be productive enough to help field a WS caliber team? 2012 is the likely starting point of where we could contend for the division title (legitimately, probably sooner with this sad sack division though) but for a World Series? No way. That’s asking an awful lot of your 22 to 25 yr old regulars. Some would be even younger. And this of course is assuming that those guys all pan out.

Given the Giants track record we’d be lucky if 1/3 of those kids ever becomes a decent player, let alone some of them becoming good or star quality.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you can contend for a division title

you are contending for a WS. If you win the division and get into the playoffs, you are a WS contender.

Planning 5 years into the future, to build a powerhouse team is nice and fun. Many times, you become the Cleveland Indians. Who after years of patient rebuilding and sticking to the plan, are looking at rebuilding again.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 12:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Indians don’t have the payroll flexibility the Giants have, and they also haven’t really had much help from their minor league system since Sizemore, Hafner, Martinez and Peralta all came up around the same time.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 12:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, that's my point

They haven’t had much help from the farm because guys haven’t developed as expected.

Marte was once a top prospect, an elite prospect, with stardom projected in his future. Right now, just becoming a league average player seems unlikely for him. Jeremy Sowers was once considered a good prospect, not projected to be an ace, no, but most were projecting him to be 2-3 starter. Right now, he might be lucky to have an MLB career as a 5th starter.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 1:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m aware of that, that’s why you need to trade somebody like Lincecum and get guys who have just started their ML careers or who are almost if not already ML ready prospects. And with someone like Lincecum as a chip you likely will get at least 1 elite prospect. I mean honestly do you trust the Giants to be able to develop any of the positional talent we have right now? I’m pretty hesitant to have high expectations of them given our recent 2 decade run in that department.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ahh this is different then

trading Lincecum for another MLB proven young player is a different case.

The problem though is that a trade of an MLB proven good young player, Lincecum, for another MLB proven good young player is rare. A trade of players of such caliber is pretty rare. None of the recent starter trades fit into that category.

Contending teams trade prospects for a vet, Lincecum, who can help them win now, sacrificing some of the future for the present. When a team sells off proven MLB talent, like Lincecum, or Haren, in return for getting theoretically more talent in return, they also agree to take on more risk.

Contending teams aren’t going to trade away someone whom they need today. The DRays aren’t going to trade Evan Longoria / BJ Upton. That’s just opening up one hole to fill another hole.

It’s going to be very difficult to get a package of MLB ready talent that is worth Lincecum.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 1:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’s going to be very difficult to get a package of MLB ready talent that is worth Lincecum.

Don’t think that’s true at all. The Red Sox would have the depth to make such a trade. Brewers, Orioles, Braves, Yankees, Rays, Reds, and unfortunately a couple NL west teams would as well but we would never trade him within the division.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

brewers

likely be losing Sabathia and Sheets. But It’d be hard to take anything less than Braun and that aint gonna happen

by sam23 on Jul 21, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

whuh?

“If you can contend for a division title… you are contending for a WS. If you win the division and get into the playoffs, you are a WS contender.”

‘95-’07 there have been 13 WS. 26 clubs. Only 4 times has the division winner with the worst record gotten to the Series.

Fred Lewis can stand under my umbrella.

by S.F. Giangst on Jul 21, 2008 1:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And what of ohh, the WC teams?

The WC teams who got to the series and did actually win the series? They aren’t contenders?

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 1:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They aren't division winners

and fall outside the scope of your assertion, and it’s not implicit that they challenged for the division title on the way to earning the wild-card.

Fred Lewis can stand under my umbrella.

by S.F. Giangst on Jul 21, 2008 2:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How many times will a team 10 games out of the division win the WC? To be in

WC contention you have to be better than every other second place team in the league, which means you were probably close in your division.

by theblackpearl on Jul 21, 2008 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"If you can contend for a division title… you are contending for a WS"

Certainly not the case anymore. It used to be true in two division setup, but in a six division setup, with lack of parity, there are just too many opportunities for overmatched teams to sneak into the playoffs. Why do you think the A’s are conceeding the division right now? They were one good bat from making a run at the postseason, and certainly had the farm system to trade for someone like Matt Holiday. However, Billy Beane knows from experience how impossible the modern playoff wall can be to surmount.

by StickRat on Jul 21, 2008 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course I mean the old two division leagues (now three), and the now six divisions overall.

by StickRat on Jul 21, 2008 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m still not sure I get your point. If you win the WC, you have, at worst the 4th best record in your league, perhaps as good as second best. WC teams are definitely contenders for a WS title when the post-season begins.

I think the biggest stike against them is not that they’re the Wild Card team per se, but that they have to win all the way without any home field advantage along the way.

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Completely missing the point

If you can make the playoffs, you’re in contention to win the World Series. Seems like a Duh statement, so I’m a little mystified how it is that people are arguing this point. It’s all about making the playoffs and getting hot as you run through it.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Jul 21, 2008 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it’s really not a difficult concept. Recent examples of the Rockies and Cardinals should be more than enough to realize that playoff series aren’t necessarily won by the better team.

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jul 21, 2008 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Based

Based on your comment above, Hobbes, the Giants would have been lucky to get a third of a decent player with Tim Lincecum.

by sharksrog on Jul 21, 2008 1:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess it would depend on what types of players they go after.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

okay, a couple of points.

It’s not all that reasonable to expect a huge return for Lincecum. See recent trades for Sabathia and Santana as a gauge. While he might get cred for being under team control, he’s had one half-year of visible major league excellence. We can reasonably expect less from a trade involving Lincecum.

While this might be selling high, I agree with Hairball that we really need some heroes.

Also, Billy Beane would not sell this year. He would wait until at least the first year of arbitration to deal him.

Also, also, Tim Lincecum has never dealt with injury problems and it really doesn’t appear that he will add any excess body fat. He’s always been a skinny kid and with the excellent trainers in the ML I really think he won’t add body fat.

Give it a year before seriously considering dealing him. Selling high is the winter after next, not this next winter.

BROCK BOND LIKES HIS MARTINIS PUNCHED IN THE FACE, NOT STIRRED.

by SloIsLonelyForTheOrange on Jul 20, 2008 9:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It’s not all that reasonable to expect a huge return for Lincecum. See recent trades for Sabathia and Santana as a gauge. While he might get cred for being under team control, he’s had one half-year of visible major league excellence. We can reasonably expect less from a trade involving Lincecum.

Wrong in this regard on Sabathia and Santana. Both were in the last year of their deals. Santana re-signed with the Mets immediately, which was a precursor to any trade. The Yankees and Red Sox both were in contention to give up their very best prospects for possibly 1 year of Santana. The Mets I thought got off easy, but Gomez is very talented (albeit raw) and Mulvey is a solid prospect, Guerra was highly regarded at the time but has fallen off a bit this year, but is plenty young enough to improve.

Lincecum is going to be controllable for another 4 years, 2 of those years being non-arbitration eligible years, that makes him FAR more valuable than Santana and Sabathia for the cheap cost alone, plus the negotiating leverage to have 4 years to resign him before he can hit the FA market. Danny Haren brought so much value for Beane and Oakland because he was on a long-term deal at a very low price for a player of his talent level and production. Its pretty reasonable to think Lincecum would bring a similar haul to what Haren brought. If not more. The problem is there aren’t many teams with the type of depth to pull off such a move. But the ones that do have the upper minors prospects that would bring not only major talent, but help for the Giants very quickly.

I can see your point about waiting another season, as I’ve felt that way about both Cain and Lincecum, that there is time to wait on having to trade one of them, but I just wonder if maybe Lincecum might not get much better at this point, so this might be the highest his value will ever be.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 10:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tim doesn't have to get better

Tim doesn’t have to get better to be the Giants’ best pitcher since at least Marichal and Perry. All he has to do is continue pitching as he has this season.

And the Giants can control him for five more years after 2008, not “just” four.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’ve been saying for a while now that it might be prudent to trade not just Lincecum but Cain and maybe Sanchez as well.

With the bulk of the Giants good prospects in the low minors, it might be best to just lump all of our talent in AA or lower.

However, having been toying with this idea for a while, I think I am leaning toward keeping them at this point for the following reasons. 1) While they will become very expensive by the time the majority of the help in the minors arrives, the cheapness of those players would probably allow the Giants to keep at least two of the three pitchers. 2) You never know when a quicker than expected turn-around might happen. In that case, you’d want Lincecum, Cain and Sanchez 3) It would suck to trade away any of those guys 4) It would suck badly

Only 876 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on Jul 20, 2008 10:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

All 3 is absolutely insane. Trading just one is arguable, but trading more than that under the supposition that more than one of the guys we have in the low minors is going to work out just seems insane to me.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 20, 2008 10:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, I am now leaning away from it, so maybe I’m only half-crazy?

But if it were possible to get more than 10 good to great prospects for them, well, I can see the allure in it (which is a big “duh” because I’m obviously the only one in existence to even bring such a crazy idea up).

Only 875 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on Jul 21, 2008 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trade all three

I agree that the Giants should trade all three players. After all, they’ll have to pay those guys in four or five years, and what would be the fun in that. By trading them for the grandchildren of players not yet drafted, they can postpone such fiscal necessities for decades.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’s pretty likely in 4 or 5 years all 3 won’t be on the team. Injuries, bad performance or other factors will sort things out.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's even more likely that in 4 or 5 years

Bumgarner and Alderson won’t be on the team. Injuries, bad performance or other factors will sort things out.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 12:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree. Or we will have traded them for somebody good.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 12:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is this sharksrog's first sarcastic post?

I’ve never seen him make any others, at least. If so, I feel sort of honored.

Only 875 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on Jul 21, 2008 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

might could be

congrats

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Take a look at the Cleveland Indians

much beloved by stathead influenced fans. After years of patient rebuilding, what have they achieved?

The problem with planning years into the future, to want to lump all your talent together is, firstly, prospects don’t develope as expected. Some develope ahead of schedule. Some develope behind schedule. Inevitably, some of those precious prospects in the minors, especially the really young guys in the low minors, are going to bust. It’s unlikely that all 3 of Villalona, Bumgarner, Alderson will fulfil their expectations. Whereas your MLB guys like Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez have all at the very least turned into decent MLB regulars.

Secondly, say goodbye to your fanbase.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 12:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shapiro and Co failed to continue to develop talent once they got their cornerstone players up in Sizemore, Hafner, Martinez and Co. And they have really failed in attempting to put together a bullpen. Which has been their downfall, especially with having terribly shaky closers the past few years. They STILL haven’t found a legit leadoff man to allow Sizemore to move down in the lineup where he would be even more valuable.

And while Lincecum, Cain and Sanchez have produced so far there is nothing to guarantee they will continue to be good. Just look at how quickly Hafner dropped off.

As for the fan base it will stay, True fans will stick with the team, you may lose some of the fairweather types who only show up when the team is winning, but they’ll come back again once the team wins.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 12:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, that's my point

It’s all too easy to plan 5 years in advance. In reality, how likely is your 5 year plan to actually succeed. Take our example of the Indians. At the time of the trade, Brandon Phillips was a top prospect. He took (much) longer than expected to develope. They ended up losing him for nothing. Andy Marte was a top prospect when the Indians acquired him. He has completely, utterly failed to develope so far. So far, it looks like his best season was his first pro season.

All the reasons you make for why the Indians haven’t succeeded are precisely why planning 5 years in advance isn’t all milk and honey.

Are you seriously comparing guys in their early 20s with someone who’s over 30?

If there’s no guarantee that Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez will be good, then there’s no change at all that Bumgarner or Alderson or whatever young pitching prospect you trade for will be any good. Look at the attrition rate of young pitching prospects. Just look at how many of the Yankees highly hyped young pitching prospects have struggled this season.

“As for the fan base it will stay, True fans will stick with the team, you may lose some of the fairweather types who only show up when the team is winning, but they’ll come back again once the team wins.”

So you do concede that you will lose fans. Look at the annual attendance of the Indians before Shapiro was hired and broke the team up. They were regularly topping 3M in attendance. Look at their attendances during his tenure, from 1.7M-2.2M.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 1:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Before Shapiro was hired they were in the ALCS or World Series every year with HOF level players like Robby Alomar, Omar Vizquel, Albert Belle, Manny Ramirez, and other and many other good players like Carlos Baerga, Sandy Alomar Jr, Eddie Murray, David Justice, Travis Fryman, Matt Williams, Kenny Lofton, Jim Thome, Bartolo Colon, Charles Nagy, Jose Mesa etc.

After that started to fall apart they had to rebuild (similar to the position the Giants are now in) its not surprising attendance would fall under those circumstances. Winning = more attendance and attention.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You are right

Your are right that there is no guarantee that the Giants “Big Three” (Isn’t it nice to be able to say that? Let’s say it again: The Giants’ BIG THREE!) will continue to be good. There also is no guarantee they won’t. That’s what you have your scouts, coaches and administrators for.

I believe Tim Lincecum will continue to be super, that we haven’t yet seen quite the best from Matt Cain and that Jonathan Sanchez is a bit more a wild card, albeit one with a ceiling that is likely higher than Matt’s.

Your idea isn’t ridiculous. It’s just that at this point it is unfounded and premature. I’m all for thinking ahead, so I’m actually glad you brought the subject up. I too would keep my eyes and ears open.

It would just take a lot to get me to move any of those players now—and an almost impossible amount to move Tim. That’s how good I think he will be (and already has been this season, for that matter).

by sharksrog on Jul 21, 2008 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with your assessment about our Big 3, and yes its nice to say that….funny that we have Zito too, who was apart of the previous Big 3 haha.

But let’s say the rumors of the Brewers not having the financial ability to give Prince Fielder an extension are true and he is available this winter, for the Giants to get him my guess is the Brewers would almost certainly ask about Lincecum. And I wonder if a package centered around Cain would be enough to get a talent like Prince. Seeing as some other teams would almost certainly be heavily involved, some of those teams probably could offer more than a package of Cain and whatever else.

So would you trade Lincecum for Prince Fielder? Your getting back a proven young talent, one with considerable offensive production at a young age, and a player who wouldn’t be confined by the wall in RF, due to his massive power.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You’d also be getting a player with significant body type issues, old player skills and a significant performance dropoff so far this year. If Prince Fielder is actually a consistent 150+ OPS+ talent, sure, but if he’s actually more of a 120-130 guy? And completely limited to first base?

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jul 21, 2008 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Giants best OPS + is 112 with Rowand and that will probably be even lower by season’s end .

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know. But I don’t think it would be a good idea to overvalue Fielder due to our own dearth of hitting options at the expense of Lincecum. I’m just pointing out that Prince Fielder is hardly a slam dunk sure thing.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jul 21, 2008 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would do it for Fielder plus one of Gamel/Escobar

My Lincecum trade strategy- always ask just enough to make it pretty unrealistic, unless the other team is nuts, and then it’s a good deal for us.

*Of course, reserve the right to say “Hell no” if they bite.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Since a conversation has already sprung from your comment

I’ll just respond to this:

After years of patient rebuilding, what have they achieved?

No matter whether we trade any of our big three or not, we are rebuilding. It’s not a choice at this point. The major league team has come crumbling down. If we don’t rebuild, it will remain in shambles.

Whether or not you want to plan years into the future is irrelevant. Years into the future (whether two or more) is when the Giants will be good again.

Only 875 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on Jul 21, 2008 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think short of a Jay Bruce/Evan Longoria type return…I’d have to come down on hell no.

by shawngf on Jul 20, 2008 10:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No on Bruce

I would certainly trade Tim for Jay Bruce AND Evan Longoria, and would at least THINK about dealing him for Even. But I wouldn’t trade Tim straight up for Jay, as I don’t think Jay is going to hit for average.

500 homers? Yes. A batting average above .270? Probably not. Jay strikes out far too often, and he doesn’t walk enough. I see his teammate Adam Dunn as a bit of a hitting comp for Jay, except that Adam knows how to take a walk far better than Jay. Jay is much better in the field and a much bigger threat to steal.

I would trade Matt Cain for Jay in a second.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bruce won’t come close to 500 HR’s. Doesn’t have anywhere near that kind of power. He’s probably a 55 on the power scale.

I agree obviously a deal would have to include an elite prospect. Plus another 2 very good prospects at the least.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 11:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Probably not

The next few years of Timmeh are going to be an extremely good bargain in terms of the performance he gives vs. the money he costs. He gives a bad offense a chance to win games.

Replace Timmeh with… oh, the sixth best starter in the upper part of organization, at least until 2011. Add to the 25 man roster what he brings in return, at most two good everyday bats. Stir. You still get a .500 club in all likelihood and you get it at a much higher cost of payroll.

Trading Timmy works if you’ve got a .500 club with 4 or 5 everyday players who are legitimate and fairly dependable MLB hitters and you need to fill holes. At the moment however, the Giants lineup is mostly holes.

It maybe makes sense if the trade is for younger veterans at positions we have no chance of filling internally for a long time (and there are no strong FA coming to market for 2009) and they are signed into medium length contracts… PLUS we break the bank going after FA at other weak spots where players will be available in ‘09. (Think for a start we’d desperately need a hitting 3B as part of the trade…)

Then maybe (MAYBE) the two you get in trade, plus the 1 or 2 FA (2B or SS?), plus Rowand, plus a year of Winn, plus a little good luck that Lewis doesn’t regress and Bowker isn’t a fluke and continues to develop… That at least STARTS to look like a reasonable outcome and a team that competes in a weak division until some of the prospect bats and arms in the system are ready in a couple of year’s time.

The problem is the size of the market. Where’s the trading partner for Timmeh? Who needs him and will part with 2 legit MLB bats (especially at a currently hard-to-fill power spot like 3B or C) to get him? There’s also the problem that management may not be willing to take on the inflated payroll to make the big picture work.

Flipping Timmeh for prospects on the other hand would probably be Sabes last significant act as GM. Further delaying the rebuild makes no sense at all, and there’s a sense that the Lynx at least sells tickets. (He probably pays his own salary just in terms of the extra crowd he draws.)

Fred Lewis can stand under my umbrella.

by S.F. Giangst on Jul 20, 2008 10:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Pays his salary?

Remember, Tim is making only $405,000 this season. He pays his salary many times over with the extra crowd he draws.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Where's the math?

Extra butts in the seats are people who go to a game they wouldn’t otherwise attend solely because Timmeh is pitching. That doesn’t include people who plan to go to a game and pick his starts over those of Barely Zero. Really, it’s a probably just a few hundred folks. 18-20 home starts with a plus-gate of $20-25k a start maybe.

Fred Lewis can stand under my umbrella.

by S.F. Giangst on Jul 20, 2008 11:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Before I even pretend to comment about this, I’ll say two things:

1) I’ve been on record saying that trading Cain would be tough to justify without an unlikely kind of return. I’d be a hypocrite to even begin to ague that Lincecum would be better to deal.

And 2) Quote:

First of which is the high volume of good prospects or ML talent we could get in return. Using recent deals over the past year as a template, I think its pretty reasonable to assume the Giants could get 4 or 5 good players in return for Lincecum.

What in the world trades are you talking about? I can’t think of any, much less a number of them. I can’t just take your word for it. A lot of people make blanket statements like this because they kind of remember the aura of something happening, when really it has no fact behind it. If you could show me an example of the kind of deal we could get for Lincecum, I’d be far more willing to accept this suggestion.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 20, 2008 10:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You really don’t think Lincecum wouldn’t bring back 3 to 4 top prospects if he was on the market?

Look at what the Mariners got for Erik Bedard. Adam Jones, a top prospect. Chris Tillman, a very highly regarded prospect who has gotten even better this year, and is now a top prospect, and a reliever who turned into an All-Star closer.

Just about any team would give up their top prospect for Lincecum, plus some other good pieces as well.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 10:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So bedard brought back one top prospect and two guys who happened to work out?

I’‘m just trying to get a little more out of you about what you mean than generic blanket statements. Saying “based on recent deals” and then not telling us what deals you mean is weak and makes it sound as though you’re not actually talking about any, but want us to think that you are. Saying 4 or 5 good players and then not telling us what kind of good players you mean does the same thing.

I never said that I DIDN’T think Lincecum could bring back anything. You somehow inferred that from my comment, but I never said anything resembling that. I was at no point in my comment arguing with you. I was just trying to get a few more specifics before I could honestly comment about your proposal. It’s very hard to argue with general statements, and your fanpost was one big general statement. The Bedard example is nice. That’s the kind of place I was hoping to guide this. It’s a good place for me to start thinking critically about this propsal.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 20, 2008 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well just about every marquee name that has been traded recently has brought back some good prospects:

Danny Haren got the A’s : Carlos Gonzalez (a top 50 prospect), Brett Anderson (a top 50 prospect), Chris Carter and Aaron Cunningham (both top 10 prospects for Arizona, solid prospects) Greg Smith (a top 15 prospect for AZ) and Dana Eveland, a young pitcher on the ML roster with talent.

Erik Bedard got the Orioles: Adam Jones (a top 50 prospect), Chris Tillman (a top 100 prospect, now top 50) George Sherill (a set up man, now AS closer) and 2 minor league arms.

Granted not a pitcher, but Mark Teixiera got the Rangers: Jared Saltamacchia (a top 50 prospect last year) Elvis Andrus (a top 50 prospect), Neftali Feliz (a top 100 prospect this year, last year no), Matt Harrison (the Braves #3 prospect, Andrus and Salty were 1, and 2) and Beau Jones (their 14th ranked prospect). And that’s for 1 1/2 years of Teixeira no less.

Both Johan Santana and CC Sabathia brought less, but the Twins got a top 50 prospect in Carlos Gomez, a top 50 prospect in Deolis Guerra and a top 5 prospect in Kevin Mulvey from the Mets. And the Indians got a top 50 prospect in LaPorta for a 6 month rental for Sabathia, plus a top 10 Brewers prospect in Rob Bryson, Zach Jackson a LHP, with 5th starter capability, and a PTBNL who likely will be a solid prospect, possibly 3B prospect Taylor Green.

Just to name a few recent trades…

by Hobbes2d on Jul 20, 2008 11:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just so you don’t think I’m totally ignoring this, I wanted to say thanks for the examples. Without looking at them a heck of a lot further yet, they seem like pretty good deals all around, but I’m still hesitant to say that I would accept giving up Lincecum….

I need to think on it more. But thanks.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 21, 2008 12:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Four or five

I think the Giants could get four or five good PROSPECTS for Tim. But unless one of them was super or at least two were EXTREMELY good, I wouldn’t consider it.

You don’t trade greatness for mediocrity or even goodness.

by sharksrog on Jul 20, 2008 11:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

YESSS!!!!

Ivan Ochoa - Heir to the legacy of Rob Andrews & Rikkert Faneyte!

by daveinexile on Jul 23, 2008 7:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

nah

Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.

by groug on Jul 20, 2008 10:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

no

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jul 20, 2008 10:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

win.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 12:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fucking hell.

Without killing anyone
We've won it 3 times

by ChrisHero on Jul 20, 2008 10:32 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No.

Proud adoptive parent of Tim Alderson.

by Anticon23 on Jul 20, 2008 10:53 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hell fucking no fucking way

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 20, 2008 11:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah… no.

Farewell, Ray. We'll miss your smile and your sugar.
comics | cartoons | Nattowear

by Natto on Jul 20, 2008 11:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No

Nyet, não, いいえ, nein, non, nr, 不, αριθ.

I just don’t want there to be any miscommunication.

by kaliber on Jul 21, 2008 12:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No

Unless Philly gives us Rollins, Howard, and Utley for him.

And that is not happening.

So No.

NO!

by Nellieball on Jul 21, 2008 12:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

And Feliz

Don’t forget Feliz

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 9:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

who?

;)

Proud new parent of Mr. Buster Posey... you know, if he signs and stuff.

by GiantsFanInExile on Jul 21, 2008 9:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How is Lincecum

comparable to “Mark Prior, Steve Avery, Kerry Wood, Dontrelle Willis, Frank Tanana, Mark Mulder, Dwight Gooden, Bret Saberhagen, Sid Fernandez, Ramon Martinez, Mark Fidrych and many others.”?

Have you done a mechanical analysis?

Why isn’t he comparable to Tim Hudson, Roy Oswalt, Pedro Martinez, Mark Buehrle, Juan Marichal also young players who took the league by storm?

And what is it with the love of overrated RS prospects? An OK pitching prospect, a SS prospectwho might not be able to stick at SS, and a 1b prospect who’s still very far away.

If you’re going to trade Lincecum, at least look at the farmsystem of the DRays, or the Brewers.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 12:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

All I’m saying is he’s comparable in terms of being very good almost immediately upon entering the league. My main point was to point out that historically these types of rising stars tend to flame out pretty early in their careers. For a multitude of reasons. Usually injury related.

Mechanical analysis isn’t really necessary since there are a myriad of factors that could cause a decline in one’s career.

You can compare him to Hudson, Oswalt, Pedro, Buehrle (not so good anymore), Peavy etc too. (I wouldn’t use Marichal since that was a completely different era altogether.) All but Pedro and Peavy kind of fell off from their early production. They still remained good or great pitchers, but they were slightly to a lot less effective than they were early on (in Buehrle’s case especially). Which is the point I’m trying to make. These kind of players who dominate early as essentially almost always already at their peak value and production level.

The Red Sox have a top system. That’s why there’s a lot of love for their prospects. Its one of the deepest and talented in all of baseball.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Buehrle's

career ERA+ is 122. It is 118 this year. It was 131 in 2007. Combine that with >200 IP, guaranteed. That is hardly, “not so good anymore”. He’s got to one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball.

But, regardless, let’s there’s nothing wrong with a player who is at peak production. Not when his peak production has him as one of the best pitchers in the league. Also, the guys I listed were just a small sample of very good pitchers who were good young. I could have tossed in other names, like Mussina, Clemens.

As for the RS system, Masterson is a decent pitching prospect, nothing more. Lowrie might not be able to stick at SS. The fact that the RS are continuing to persist with Julio Lugo makes it fairly probable that Lowrie is not a real SS, despite the propaganda coming from the RS. Lars Anderson is a decent hitting prospects, who is still far away. If you’re going to lust after RS prospects, at least make them give up Bucholz.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 21, 2008 1:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lowrie probably won’t stick at SS, but he can go to 3rd and 2B and instantly be better than anything the Giants have to offer at either position. I was merely just giving some examples of the types of prospects we could target. Buchholz would obviously probably be the top one, or Ellsbury. Or both. The RS have the depth to make a move and give up a lot in order to get a talent like Lincecum.

Honestly I completely forgot that Buerhle was that good last year. But again his first 3 seasons he was DAMN good. He’s mostly done a good job limiting his ERA but his other peripherals haven’t been as good, except for maybe 2005, the year seemingly the entire White Sox staff had a career year or came close. But he has remained a quality pitcher to be sure.

And yes there are guys like Moose, Clemens, Pedro but those guys are very rare, HOF level talents, and I think its a little unfair to compare anyone to those guys.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 2:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kinda out of the blue...

First off I hope that this post was not a knee-jerk reaction to how Lincecum pitched.
A 24 year old pitcher who is among the leaders in pretty much every statistical category being traded. Risky move either way.

Keeping Lincecum: further developing into an ace on the staff, injury, or major meltdown.
Trading Lincecum: They win the deal & we lose, They lose & we win, Both lose, or Both win.

Given that Lincecum hasn’t had an injuries (ever really citing the SI article) & the unreliability of the Giants’ farm system to develop talent since the mid-90’s, it appears more risky to trade Lincecum. Plus he is going to be under control for four more years, with two more before arbitration begins (but who’s to say that the Giants don’t attempt to lock him up ie. Cain and Lowry). Trying to trade any young players during this season and offseason, shouldn’t be tops on the to-do-list. Getting rid of the veterans with bad contracts should be numero uno, with deciding on how to deal with Sabean a close second.

by silentearth36 on Jul 21, 2008 1:10 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It’s not a knee jerk reaction, I’ve contemplated this since last off-season when he was being discussed during the Winter Meetings. Now just seemed as good a time as any to bring it up as he didn’t even have his good stuff today and still was able to limit Milwaukee to 2 runs thru 6 innings. Not really going to count the 7th since he had no business being out there, but that’s a whole other story haha.

I think you mean the Giants unreliability to develop POSITIONAL talent, they’ve done well developing pitchers. And because of that inability to develop positional talent combined with the numerous holes in the organizational depth chart at multiple positions, I think that makes more risky to keep Tim. Obviously you could try to trade somebody else like Cain, or Sanchez, but you’re going to get a lot less back in return.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 1:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha thats good to know

“Giants unreliability to develop POSITIONAL talent” – With the pitchers the Giants have developed, the larger name ones appear to be a product of themselves. Sanchez would be an exception to this. A lot of the Giants’ pitching has come from start drafting. There is no doubt that they are better with pitchers than positional players

by silentearth36 on Jul 21, 2008 1:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

people

stop wasting time with these stupid posts. sabean isnt going to trade cain or timmy like it or not thats what its going to be. There is one of these posts about every week. Would you trust sabean to even know what to ask for in a trade? this is the guy we build around

Rafael Rodriguez: Felipe loves him almost as much as Jim Brower

by BrianBokake on Jul 21, 2008 2:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Agree

I hate myself for even reading this fanpost. I knew it would make me angry. I don’t care how much pitching depth we have in the minors, it’s still the minors and nobody has proved anything yet. And how many years away are guys like Bumgarner, Sosa and Alderson, even if they all turn out to be studs?? Trading arguably the best pitcher in the league this year, who is only 24 years old, for unproven kids from other systems is monumentally dumb. Any trade package you could mention that would make it worth it to trade Lincecum would be something the other team wouldn’t make. Longoria and Kazmir??? You think Tampa’s doing that?? Max Scherzer and Justin Upton?? I don’t think so. Those are the kinds of packages offered that would even enable you to mention Lincecum’s name. Sometimes when I hear talk about firing Sabean, (which I normally have no problem with) I get nervous because I fear the new GM will be an idiot who will come in and do something like this.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on Jul 21, 2008 6:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

WOOT!

I’d clap if I could!

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Jul 21, 2008 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Except Brian Wilson

Must be traded, good player be damned.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+ sanity

Rafael Rodriguez: Felipe loves him almost as much as Jim Brower

by BrianBokake on Jul 21, 2008 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Use your team history a bit.

The last time, I can think of, the Giants had two young talented guys that could play the same position the went and got this. For that. While I agree the GM better listen to huge offers. And I agree Tim or Matt in 10 years could not even be candidates to the Hall of Very Good candidates ( its baseball and crap happens) they both have the talent to be as legendary as Stretch and the Baby Bull. And the only way to avoid a This for That trade to avoid looking to move an elite type talent to "fill holes".

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on Jul 21, 2008 7:58 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Trading Linc

alright. I’ll bite. Any team that wants to Lincecum this winter, has to take Zito and his entire contract remaining.

Bonds stands alone.

Proud adopted parent of future big league slugger Thomas Neal

by nostocksjustbonds on Jul 21, 2008 8:42 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Here's the way I'd do it

Evan Longoria, Carl Crawford, and Reid Brignac for Lincecum and Barry Zito with entire contract obligation.

Yes, I would DEFINITELY do that. The Rays? Not so much.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d do Lincecum + Zito for just Longoria.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jul 21, 2008 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

or Lincecum for Longoria.

by Evan on Jul 21, 2008 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Me too.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jul 21, 2008 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d do Lincecum + Zito

Kinky! (Not there’s anything wrong with that.)

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 overlooking Barely Zero's right to block the deal

Frees up enough salary to go after a #2 or #3 SP and a MLB position player as F/A.

Fred Lewis can stand under my umbrella.

by S.F. Giangst on Jul 21, 2008 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lincecum is the kind of player you build around, especially when he’s cheap, as he is now. I think it’s easy to go too far in always planning for something on the “five-year” horizon.

Lincecum is pushing us toward a pennant every time he suits up for the Giants, and he’s ours for years to come. You keep a player like that unless you’re absolutely overwhelmed with an offer. Let’s not make it more complicated than it is.

by Dan from NM on Jul 21, 2008 9:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

it’s easy for a fan on a sportsboard to say to trade him, because he doesn’t have to live with the consequences. It’s basically a win-win, because when the team continues to flounder, or Tim starts to struggle, he can say that we should have traded him when his value was highest, and even if they do trade him and the package received turns out to be crap, he can say “well, that’s not who I would have traded him for if I were the GM.” A GM, whether it’s Sabean or a successor, is going to have to live with the consequences, and it’s just stupid to deal off your best player and hope you’re getting superior value. If it backfires, and there’s a good chance that trading off your best player WILL backfire, not only are you going to be fired, but you’ll be remembered as a fool for the rest of your baseball career.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on Jul 21, 2008 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is this the new HAY LETS GET A-ROD thread?

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 21, 2008 9:35 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think it's going to cycle among"Let's Trade Cain/Lincecum/Sanchez" threads.

Next week will be “Let’s Trade Sanchez NOW!1,” completing the three-week cycle. Then back to Cain, Lincecum, Sanchez in turn. A good way to remember: it’s in alphabetical order.

I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."

by Mayor of 311 on Jul 21, 2008 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Awww man… I was really hoping for some good “Let’s Trade Correia” threads, too.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 21, 2008 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Damn you broken jpeg auto-format! You don’t even make sense! Who in the world is going to autoformat an image???

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 21, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+ WILSON

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 21, 2008 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

this proposal

is just a symptom of the real issue. There is no logical way for the Giants to compete (i.e.,, have a good team, not an 82 win team) in the next few years. Even with the current “decent” outfield in place, the infield is a shambles. Even if we manage to patch the black holes with Bowkers and Burriss’ , the team is still not good, merely not awful.

Even sharkrog’s team of destiny ca. 2012 is probably not all that. Maybe wait to see if anyone can hit past A-ball before you anoint them a ML regular. And planning for 2012 does seem like a waste of Lincecaniuechez, at least from a $$ point of view.

Usually I am the first guy to play backseat GM and say “here is the plan for success”... but I got nuthin’. This team needs a couple of guys who can put up a .850-.900 OPS, and I don’t see us getting them. I don’t think traded the one edge we have (hot young starters) is going to do anything other than result in an 82 win team that scores slightly more runs.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN

by zenbitz on Jul 21, 2008 9:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

So zenbitz

What if you could hypthetically land two under-25 yr olds with your .850+ OPS for a package containing 1 of our young stud pitchers? Obviously, they’d have to be real MLB players, and not just hopefuls. Such a situation may not exist, but if it did, would you pull the trigger?

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

well...

maybe. The problem is, the team needs to ADD those two bats, not “add them while subtracting a 3rd best starter”. But maybe, depending on how I really thought Bumgarner and Alderson were projecting. Probably not Lincecum, though. He’s just too unique.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN

by zenbitz on Jul 21, 2008 10:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It should be pointed out that Sharks’ “team of destiny” includes no FA aquisitions. Even if all the guys he mentioned don’t pan out, the team would have payroll flexibility coming out its ass as Rowand and Zito would be the only pricey guys left on the team.

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you are right

Every way you cut it, the Giants prospects look bleak offensively. The sheer magnitude of the infield problems is daunting. Literally every infield position needs to be addressed. The way I have been looking at it is, we have to take the route with the best chance of getting a good offense while keeping the team balanced. With the pitching depth in the minors (yes, there’s no guarentee that any of it will pan out but there is no guarantee of anything, really) it is more likely that the Giants are able to replace the pitching in the majors than them being able to find those .900 OPS bats.

Of course it would suck. Of course it would be risky. Of course it has a decent shot at failing. But it might be the best course of action. Then again, maybe not. But I think it must be considered at least.

Like I said above, I am now leaning against trading any of the three. But I still think one, two and maybe all three (as crazy as it may be) should be considered.

Only 875 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on Jul 21, 2008 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Has anyone here said HELL NO yet?

Normally I completely disagree with almost every one of your posts.

This is no different.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Jul 21, 2008 9:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Someone get Damon Minor's agent on the phone stat!

by fanofvanlandingham on Jul 21, 2008 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, you could extract that from what delorean said
Hell fucking no fucking way

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 10:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Grant

is there anyway to recommend people do not read a post? Like a negative recommendation scale? This deserves one.
I want the time it took me to read this post back.

Someone get Damon Minor's agent on the phone stat!

by fanofvanlandingham on Jul 21, 2008 10:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

come now

you saw the title- did you really expect anything else?

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Jul 21, 2008 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly. Anyone who claims their time was wasted should be yelling at a mirror.

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 10:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

fair enough

i’m dumb.

Someone get Damon Minor's agent on the phone stat!

by fanofvanlandingham on Jul 21, 2008 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kinda like in “Snow White”?

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yah but a bit more blunt

Someone get Damon Minor's agent on the phone stat!

by fanofvanlandingham on Jul 21, 2008 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In the front.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Jul 21, 2008 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

zing!

Someone get Damon Minor's agent on the phone stat!

by fanofvanlandingham on Jul 21, 2008 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

is there anyway to recommend people do not read a post?

The author was nice enough to do that with his title.

Don't think, it could only hurt the ballclub.

by ResDog on Jul 21, 2008 7:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mark Prior, Steve Avery, Kerry Wood ...

etc. etc. The only guy on that list that can touch Tim Lincecum’s ceiling is Dwight Gooden, and his downfall had more to do with lifestyle than injuries. There is an alternate list of guys: David Cone, Roger Clemens, Pedro Martinez, etc.

Fans wait a lifetime to see a player like Lincecum don their team’s uniform. The Giants know this. The kid is Giant. Will be for a long time. End of debate.

by StickRat on Jul 21, 2008 12:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The only guy on that list that can touch Tim Lincecum’s ceiling is Dwight Gooden

I’ll bet since Tim’s a little guy, he’s got a little munchkin house, which means pretty much anyone can touch his ceiling.

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Get serious...

We all know Timmy lives in the dugout!! You’ve seen him. He never leaves!!!

by StickRat on Jul 21, 2008 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This:
Fans wait a lifetime to see a player like Lincecum don their team’s uniform.

Is why being a Fan of the Billy Beene A’s would be perpetual heartbreak.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They haven’t really had a player like Lincecum come through recently. Chavez was supposed to be that, and Beane locked him up for a long time. I would have to believe that if/when they have a player of Lincecum’s caliber, they will sign him and keep him.

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jul 21, 2008 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tejada, Giambi?

Maybe not Lincecum’s caliber… jury is probably still out on that.

But certainly “face of franchise” marquee type players. Especially Giambi, jesus. 198 OPS + in 2001.

Then Beene just let him walk…

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And it was the right decision. Giambi wanted a full no-trade clause and so the deal was off. Its not like they just LET him walk. There was a substantial offer on the table to Giambi, he didn’t get everything he wanted so no deal.

They essentially let Tejada walk though and chose Chavez over him. Tejada was the face of the franchise IMO. And also was an MVP, and heart and soul of those A’s playoff teams. I understand the decision that was made being that Bobby Crosby was ML ready and they had Chavez at 3rd, but Tejada was easily their best player at that point in time and brought leadership and other certain intangibles that Chavez didn’t ever possess.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you think they knew his performance was enhanced and chose to cut bait?

Adoptive father of howtheyscored. The beatings will begin momentarily.

by Goofus on Jul 21, 2008 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There’s a chance of that but I doubt that’s the reason why they chose to go in a different direction.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 21, 2008 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sure Giambi wanted a full no trade

Because he didn’t want to become part of the Beene revolving door.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or maybe because everyone wants a full no trade clause?

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Jul 21, 2008 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sure

That Giambi had to see the writing on the wall at the time and might have been more stringent about wanting the clause as a result of that.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 4:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have this memory

I recall Giambi stating publicly that he wanted to be a Yankee. Then he pretended like he still wanted to be with the A’s, but we all knew he was pinstripe bound. Beane offered him a huge contract, Giambi turned it down, wanting more money. Beane upped the offer and Giambi insisted on a no-trade clause. If Beane said okay, Giambi would have asked for a cure for cancer be thrown in or he wouldn’t accept. And somehow we all forgot that Giambi really really wanted to go to New York.

Just saying.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Jul 21, 2008 4:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alright, fine

But my point is that Been doesn’t retain the right players. He has kept Crosby and Chavez, both of whom have turned out to be rather large disappointments.

Meanwhile, he has “let” guys like Tejada and Giambi go – both of whom went on to become stars with other teams.

If I were an A’s fan, that would really bug me.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 5:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

goddamn that Billy Beane

We could have a cure for cancer! Albeit in the hands of Jason Giambi… but still!

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN

by zenbitz on Jul 21, 2008 9:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let's put it this way

Both Giambi and Tejada were in their arbitration years when they made their first All Star teams.

by StickRat on Jul 21, 2008 5:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No. Listen to his nickname.

They nicknamed him “The Franchise” for a reason, and it wasn’t because they thought he’d do so much for the Franchise with what they got in exchange for trading him. This Kid is one of those players that you don’t trade. He’s this Generation’s version of a Sandy Koufax or a Juan Marichal. He’s one of those pitchers that’s so good, he can make even a shitty year somewhat entertaining (see: this year). He’s 24 years old, in his first full season, leading the lead in strikeouts, and among the league leaders in ERA and wins. If you were the Brooklyn Dodgers, you wouldn’t have traded Sandy Koufax, either. This is a player, like Bonds, that you just recoice to have the priveledge to root for.

by ololo3 on Jul 21, 2008 2:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Unfortunately

I think that train of thought is a fallacy.

Sometimes, shitty teams have to trade their best players because the net increase in talent helps the team.

And let’s not get too out of hand with the Timmy praise. He is good, but the jury is still out on his Sandy Koufax or Juan Marichal properties.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on Jul 21, 2008 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We should trade Lincecum

to OURSELVES. for BARRY ZITO!!

Or did I just BLOW YOUR MIND???

Billy Hayes: His job is better than yours.

by delorean on Jul 21, 2008 2:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Only if we pick up at least half of Zito’s salary. And even then I think we’d have to throw in a prospect to make it work.

by Evan on Jul 21, 2008 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know it’ll get us a better return, but I’m just not willing to give up that much in this deal.

Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.

by groug on Jul 21, 2008 3:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also, you really have to wonder whether we can trust Brian Sabean not to get ripped off in a trade like this.

by Evan on Jul 21, 2008 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

We should trad him to the Brewers

for Durham. We should also throw in a couple of prospects…how about Steve Hammond and Daryl Ford?

by jhiat00 on Jul 21, 2008 3:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

How about just Darryl Hammond?? He can do funny impressions for them and shit.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on Jul 21, 2008 7:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Next Winter? How 'bout now?

If Brian were to be bold, he’d trade Lincecum by the July deadline and get outlandish talent in return.

Timmy would be viewed as a World Series piece by the acquiring team—which would cough up its spleen and liver to get him.

But Brian hasn’t been bold since he traded Matt Williams in winter, 1996.

So we’re keeping Lince for a long time, and that’s fine with me.

by Moggeee on Jul 22, 2008 12:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Brian was bold

Brian was bold with the White Flag trade. And he was wise when he traded for Robb Nen and for Ellis Burks. I always thought it was considerate of Brian to trade for Ellis so he could be closer to his Chevrolet dealership on Van Ness.

by sharksrog on Jul 22, 2008 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree he hasn’t been bold since December of 96.

That trade took balls. He must have given them to John Hart in that trade.

by Hobbes2d on Jul 22, 2008 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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