Imagine if Sabes had traded Lincecum for Rios
Where would we be?
Alex Rios is currently hitting .284/.338/.404 with 4 HR's and 16/21 SB'sand an OPS+ of 99
Lincecum has 109.2 IP, 2.38 ERA, 2.79 FIP, 1.24 WHIP, 114 K's and a 2.65 K/BB and an ERA+ of 178
These two play different positions, so there would also be secondary impacts, namely Fred Lewis would NOT be getting at bats because our OF would've have been WInn-Rowand-Rios (great defensive OF btw). It can easily be argued (even with Rios superior defensive ability) that Lewis has outperformed Rios this year by a decent margin.
Lewis is hitting .281/.358/.460 with an OPS+ of 116, 6 HR's and 13/18 SB's
On top of the loss in production offensively, we'd need another pitcher to take Lincecum's place, that pitcher would likely be Pat Misch (and then Correia's missed innings would be taken by a combo of Brad Hennesey and Victor Santos.
On top of that, we'd have to have signed Rios to an extension (which TOR gave him at 7 years, 70 million). That's a good deal and I have no doubt Rios will outperform that contract, but it is still money we'd need to commit to now, whereas Lincecum still has 5-6 years left and we won't be spending that kind of money during thsoe 5-6 years and could instead use it to help extend him past those years.
As bad as this team is, we could be almost 7 wins worse had we done that trade, and perhaps that's me being nice (to get the official numbers I'd have to be at my laptop to calculate the difference in wins).
Yes, it's just the midway point and Lincecum will probably have a worse second half, and it wouldn't surprise me at all for Rios to finish with better numbers than Lewis, but nonetheless, it's CLEAR that this would have been a horrible trade for the Giants.
Just for even considering it, Sabean should be fired after this year. Good drafts and all, I think that has more to do with the people around him than Sabean, can't wait to see him go
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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177 comments
Comments
Wrong
Sabean would have been fired already.
The draft part was not all Brains anyway.
Adopted brother of the AnVil / GIANTSPACE™ returns!
by SoFa King Mike on Jun 30, 2008 10:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
nothing to kill or die for…
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jun 30, 2008 10:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
[Polite golf clap] Very, very funny.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Imagine if I had bought Microsoft stock in 1986 when I had the chance, but was poor.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 11:04 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Cut it out
We all had the chance to buy Google stock at IPO under $100/share, but how many of us did?
"[Greg] Vaughn is in a funk so deep, George Clinton wearing a miner's helmet couldn't find him."
- Jim Baker, ESPN.com, May 2002
by achiappanza on Jun 30, 2008 1:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All right then. Imagine if James McKinley hadn't gone to Buffalo. (sniff)
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
By "James," of course I mean "William." (sniff)
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If he hadn’t gone to Buffalo, America likely never becomes the World Power that it became. Teddy Roosevelt FTW!
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Roosevelt would have been elected in three years. But imagine if the press had found out about Elliott Roosevelt’s bastard child! Scandal!
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I doubt he would have been elected. He had more than a few enemies within his own party that would have most likely prevented him from winning the party’s nomination.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 4:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He was put on the McKinley ticket because of his (Roosevelt’s) insane popularity, and Henry Cabot Lodge convinced Roosevelt to take the offer because it was the quickest route to the presidency. Boss Platt didn’t care for Roosevelt at all, you’re right, but he could read the writing on the wall.
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 5:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The V.P. at the time was considered the "safest" place to put the young reformer. It was viewed as having little to no claim to use or administer power. Boy having things changed in 100 years.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 1, 2008 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Would the U.S.S. Maine still would have been sunk if MacKinley lived past Buffalo?
If you think so there still would have been a Spanish American War and there would have been a demonstration of power the Europeans could not have ignored.
If you think No. In a generation the Europeans would have come to bargain for our man power & natural rescores for WWI.
The other turning point is Wilson’s brake down. I am not sure we will ever know just how much that changed the whole League of Nations concept.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 1, 2008 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Somehow I missed this whole part of the thread
Yeah, as much as I like Teddy Roosevelt, I don’t see how he was so crucial to US history that the US doesn’t become the major world power without him.
It really was WWI where the US started to take prominence in the world. By that time Roosevelt was done, having been defeated as a third party candidate a few years prior.
As for Wilson, he was fighting against just about every major European leader in regards to his vision of the League of Nations. Perhaps he would have been able to push through more of what he wanted had he stayed healthy, but I am dubious.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Teddy biggest single significance was he was reformer. At lot the F.D.A laws were instigated and pasted on his watch. So was National Lands act. These are things parts of his own party still wants to undo 100 years later. He was not all sweetness and light but he much more a middle of the road kind of guy who had enough following in the general public that he could not be ignored and swept under the rug by the powers that be that did not like him. So the tried to "ice" him in the V.P slot hoping his following would dim with time.
Wilson was also fighting his would government to accept it. We have no way of knowing if he would have been more successful selling the concept or if the concept itself would have been much difernt with out the break down.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 1, 2008 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So how does creating the National Park System lead to American greatness?
Or am I just reading you wrong and you are agreeing with me?
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am mostly agreeing with you and pointing out even is The T.R. administration had been maned by a compleate screw up the coarse of human events would porvided more “chances” for the U.S. to a recoginized power shortly there after.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 2, 2008 6:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
League of Nations would have adopted the DH. Buncha sissies.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jul 1, 2008 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
they were not the one that talked about “carrying a big stick” though. So i doubt your claims.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 1, 2008 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
UN is better cos they don’t do that.
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 1, 2008 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know, Baron. Most UN states aren't exactly known for doing their own hitting, either.
Generally, the U.S. has served as the DH.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jul 1, 2008 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The US is to the UN Security Council as is Bugs Bunny is to baseball. Everyone at the table looks over at the US delegate in session and says FIX IT DO EVERYTHING KTHXBAI
I laughed out loud when Russia was all Hey US fix this sign my resolution K we need you to me at Model UN one year. It was a retarded dead end resolution to solve some of the conflict in Chechnya and I’m like yo Russia this isn’t gonna do squat. But we were just playing pretend. I still got an award, so suck it.
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jul 3, 2008 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Spanish American War was started in 1898. McKinley was killed in 1901.
The reason why Roosevelt helped push the U.S. into prominence was because of his aggressiveness on the international stage. He pushed for naval superiority, and had battleships and destroyers sail around the world to display America’s new military strength. He also won the Nobel Peace Prize for mediating the peace to the end of the Russo-Japan war. He also arbitrated a dispute between France and Germany. He took over Panama and had the canal built. He took the Manifest Destiny/Monroe Doctrine to a whole new level. He was so aggressive that Taft and Wilson both tried to pretty much undo most of which he had accomplished in office. Especially where reforms and foreign policy were concerned.
As for Wilson, I don’t think his stroke had that big of an effect on the League of Nations. He faced stern opposition from Congress and I doubt that they would have agreed to it. FDR had to pretty much provoke the Japanese and hope that it would get them into the war, and it did. Of course that was risky given that there was no guarantee that Germany would declare war on the U.S. too.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I had forgotted the Over lap on the Spanish Americain War. Thank you.
As to Wilson ( unless someone has done some new non partisan work – which might have happened and I missed it) he did not always run his own adminstration. Mainly do to medical issues. To what extent and for how long has always been a nagging question to me.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 2, 2008 6:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Damn. McKinley/Teddy R really hit a raw nerve with you guys.
I’m glad to have accidentally provoked it. I curse myself for not having started it on its own fanpost, though.
Imagine if Sean Penn and Madonna had remained married.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jul 1, 2008 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There would have been plenty of lawsuits filed by the paparazzi.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
are you kidding? I love talking about history. Espcaily when its not sheepeople doing the bleeting!
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 2, 2008 6:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
DOOMSDAY!
Something could have happened!
yeah, well, the whole world stinks, francine -- so get used to it!
by satyricrash on Jun 30, 2008 11:06 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Yes, it’s just the midway point and Lincecum will probably have a worse second half…
Go…away…fat man.
Proud pappa of....STEVE HOLM!!
by UnleashTheGore on Jun 30, 2008 11:14 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm lost on the joke but...
I like your avatar
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Family Guy, I think.
Neglectful father of David Quinowski
by marcello on Jun 30, 2008 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i think you're fat man
kidding…family guys, yeah. Logically speaking, you’re probably right. My heart will refuse to allow this to creep into my head, though.
Proud pappa of....STEVE HOLM!!
by UnleashTheGore on Jun 30, 2008 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not going to do it and you can't make me.
LALALALALALALA I can’t hear you.
I am Cameron Wood and this is my son and business partner CW Culberson.
by camwoody on Jun 30, 2008 11:30 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Kawakami
Wasn’t Kawakami (amongst many other Bay Area media-heads) calling for the trade to go through? I wonder where they are with all that now, and I wonder what they’d say if the subject were brought up.
by sfgfan on Jun 30, 2008 11:32 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Kawakami was on that bandwagon a LONG TIME
Well past the point when people had made every single argument against it
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well come on...
He sacked up about it unambiguously…
Wrong. I was wrong.Even if Lincecum gets hurt in the next few years–which was part of what I was factoring–I was wrong.
"[Greg] Vaughn is in a funk so deep, George Clinton wearing a miner's helmet couldn't find him."
- Jim Baker, ESPN.com, May 2002
by achiappanza on Jun 30, 2008 11:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah on his blog
Not on the front page of the newspaper where his original column ran. Announcing mistakes on his blog is equivalent to how newspapers reports errors in their reporting: buried where most readers of the original piece won’t see it.
I’ll be impressed when the Morning Buzz (another sports column in Merc) makes fun of Kawakami there, they skewer a lot of people there for the misguided things they said or done.
Adoptive parental unit of Kevin "Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.
"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jul 1, 2008 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
him and about EVERYONE on KNBR.
Proud pappa of....STEVE HOLM!!
by UnleashTheGore on Jun 30, 2008 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wheesy Barbieri was pretty bad
Personally, I feel glad to be a part of a fan base that trounced that possibility with our sheer vocal negativity, perfectly espoused by Chris whatever his name is out of New York- man, that guy was awesome!
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally Agree
I even emailed Razor and Mr. T (something I never do) and ripped them about their support for that trade. Never heard back from them. I also emailed Sabean about the deal and pleaded my case to him. Not saying there was any causal connection, but when a trade possibility becomes so public it is great to air one’s thoughts on the subject.
by out machine on Jun 30, 2008 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just for even considering it, Sabean should be fired after this year
Do we really know how much Sabean, considered making the Enchanter for Rios straight-up trade? The Giants didn’t actually make the trade after all. Sabean should be fired for even considering Cain for Juan Pierre.
Castillo hits doubles.
by kennv on Jun 30, 2008 11:35 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
i wonder if sabes didn’t openly ponder it for a few days just to stop all the pointless calls they were supposedly getting. by turning down the offer of rios for lincecum, he essentially let other teams know “if you can’t do any better than this, don’t even bother asking.” still, methinks there could have been a better way to get this message across than scaring the fanbase out of its wits for a week.
Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...
by Smoke on the Water on Jun 30, 2008 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I doubt it
Sabean could just easily say “We love these kids and will just have to be overwhelmed to even consider anything”. That way teams know they have to come with a high price and Sabean reaffirms the fan base AND most importantly lets these two know how much they are valued.
If we want them to stay with us beyond their mandatory time, we need them to know just how much we value them, you can’t be throwing them out in trade rumors, etc.
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marketing
I thought the Giants should have built their marketing campaign around their kids. Remember back in 1986 when the slogan was “You’re gonna like these kids?” Something along those lines.
My favorite Giants commercial - even better than Michael Tucker in the inner outfield and Marquis Grissom in the outer outfield so Barry Bonds could remain in his recliner near the left field line “saving power” - was when Ronnie Shell got up in full tails as the orchestra was warming up, tapped his baton on the podium and led the orchestra in a rousing rendition of “You’re gonna like these kids!”
it just doesn’t get any better than that. Humm baby!
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, it can be fun
following a bad team!
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
hate to correct you rog, but it was Jose Cruz Jr. “wheeling it big in the outer outfield:. I also loved the one where chubby host guy and Lou Seal are dancing. That still cracks me up. Still hate Lou, though.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
Actually, thanks for the correction, Tyrannoman. Marquis rang a bit bell, but I wasn’t really sure of the other one (although I had a pretty good idea who was saving energy in the Barcolounger on the left-field line). Thanks for pointing out I was a year late and had the wrong right fielder.
By the way, Jose Cruz is one in a long list of Giants players I think were overly criticized while he was a Giant. I never felt he got the credit he deserved - in part because people hate to see guys swing and miss at pitches out of the strike zone, which was indeed a Cruz weakness - and once he dropped that fly ball in the playoffs, it was all over for him.
In actuality, he wasn’t bad for the Giants—and was certainly better than Michael Tucker a year later. In reality though, the Giants’ best move would have been to exercise their option on Reggie Sanders after the 2002 season. While he had struggled late with the Giants in 2002, Reggie went on to post an OPS over .900 in 2003.
For quite a while Reggie was one of those every-other-year players. Naturally the Giants signed him right before an even-numbered down year and let him go right before an odd-numbered good year.
Many of the moves Brian Sabean has made since the end of the 2002 season have been quite baffling.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jose Cruz Jr.
I agree. Take a look at his OBP in 2003. He was valuable for the Giants.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree he was valueable, but I will o to my grave thinking he choked not once, but twice against the Marlins, costing the Giants’ the series. When he “slipped” and fell in game two and let in two runs on a “double”, then the blatent drop….arggghhhh. I don’t know that I could’ve watched him another year. I really don’t, and I don’t like to overreact. I just can’t get the image of Worrell pitching his ass off, diving for ground balls back up the middle, and Cruz Jr. dropping and easy fly ball. Clearly I’m not over it yet. I didn’t mind the strikouts so much, and for the regular season his defense was excellent…but that series….arrrrggghhhhh…..
by tyrannoman on Jul 2, 2008 8:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wise enough?
At the time I postulated that possibly Brian was floating the Tim rumor so that when the Giants struck out on the free agent market (which they ultimately didn’t, making a pretty good signing in Aaron Rowand), Brian could say, “The best move we made was in keeping our two young aces. They will make noticeable contributions in 2008 and will be the bedrocks of our future.”
I’m not sure he was wise enough to think that far ahead, but I was desperately hoping that was his motivation, rather than seriously considering trading Tim, which clearly would have been a huge mistake.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think that's plausible
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cain for Juan Pierre?
I never heard that one
“Everyone sees the merit of both sides of the argument,” Sabean said without mentioning Lincecum by name. “That’s what makes it a difficult decision. In this case, whether you make the trade or don’t make the trade, there’s relative upside and relative cost.”
-taken from below
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/12/06/SPPQTONRV.DTL
Apparently the Giants front office was torn about this trade offer, some wanted it and others were adamantly against it, and some were neutral.
Well if your Sabean what you need to do is review the people that were for it and fire those that might have been wrong the last few times they gave him advice (sign Benitez, trade for AJ, etc.) because no doubt these are the same guys that gave some bad advice in the past.
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 11:43 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I kind of agree with you here
Problem is, Sabean would have to fire himself as well.
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What ifs...
Look, we’d all be falling over each other to jump off the nearest building had the trade gone through, but let’s not knock Sabean for doing his due diligence as a GM. He’d be just as dumb to NOT field offers for ANY of his players if he felt it would improve the team.
You may run like Hayes. but you hit like sh**!
by Orbit1099 on Jun 30, 2008 11:53 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
fielding offers is different from...
saying we’re considering a bad offer and are torn.
A deal like this should have never been considered. Now, if the offer had been Rios and McGowan for Lincecum or something, I can see “considering” that offer because it’s a bit overwhelming, but not a trade where it’s clear which side it favors
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 11:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Funny
my brother in law is a huge A’s fan, and watches a lot more AL ball than I do. He was stunned the Giants didn’t jump all over the trade. He thinks that highly of Rios. Clearly it’s a fine, fine non-trade but that is food for thought for me.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love Alex
I love Alex Rios, and have for some time, but even if Alex were having a very good season, wouldn’t Tim’s development - which is pretty much what I have expected since I first saw him pitch nearly two years ago - this season make it pretty clear that batting injury, that would have been yet another dumb Brian Sabean move?
I would gladly have traded Matt Cain for Rios and top prospect Travis (?) Snider. I doubt very much that deal would have been achievable, but that would have been the MINIMUM I would have considered thinking about for Tim. I said at the time that I would consider it. Then I said I had considered it and wouldn’t have done it.
It appears Dick Tidrow has been Tim’s biggest champion within the organization. It was he who told Brian Sabean not to come look at Tim, so that the Giants wouldn’t wake up any sleeping dogs ahead of them in the draft. I think it was also Tidrow who was most adament that the Giants not mess with Tim’s motion.
Fabulous article on Tim in SI and available at www.si.com. I don’t know if anyone else is having a hard time getting the actual magazine, but I know my local Barnes and Noble is looking into getting it. They (Barnes and Noble) don’t know what the problem is.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
On the day that you were leaving
When I did not stand in your way
The best thing that I ever said
Was the thing I did not say
I might have begged and pleaded
I might have murdered you
So judge me not for what I did
But for what I didn’t do.
(A Peter Blegvad lyric that seems appropriate.)
All-Father Watch: 1.26 ERA, 7 saves, 1.01 WHIP, 36 Ks in 35 2/3 IP
by EliminateMe on Jun 30, 2008 11:59 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Prince, from 1988 (And even a 'Batman' reference for HowTheyScored)
If a man is considered guilty
for what goes on in his mind,
then give me the electric chair
for all my future crimes.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Its moot, but at the time, I would have seriously considered a Cain for Rios & Mcgowan. When talks were only about a one for one swap, thats where the phone call would have ended.
Cain is Able ...
by Norcalfan10 on Jun 30, 2008 12:02 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Funny thing is
Sabean told Barbieri and Tolbert that the Jay have absolutely no interest in Cain.
At the time, I thought it was a strange position to take. I could see preferring Lincecum, but I thought that Cain was still a pretty massive overpay for Rios.
VAE PVTO DEVS FIO
by Bhaakon on Jun 30, 2008 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember it being Sabean saying he wouldn’t trade Cain for Rios but would do Lincecum.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jun 30, 2008 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah but jponry
would you do lincecum? I’ll have to find the Baron and ask her too…
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I knew someone was going to jump on that. I expected nothing less of McC.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jun 30, 2008 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well?
I was THE GREATEST OF ALL TIME (for 3 days in 1995).
by Mike Benjamin Hit King on Jun 30, 2008 3:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is just stupid
We have no idea if/how much the deal was considered. That quote from Sabean could have been nothing more than blowing smoke, which he has been known for in the past. This stuff about the front office being torn is nothing more than rumor. Why waste time thinking about something that didn’t happen and us on the outside really have no idea how close it even came to happening?
by AngelWillSaveUs on Jun 30, 2008 12:03 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
even if it is blowing smoke
How smart is that given that Lincecum is someone we will be trying to extend within the next 6-8 months???
Whatever his true intentions were, it was fairly clear publicly that Sabean was at the very least considering such an offer. Explain to me what possible good it would do anyone by “pretending to the media that he was considering a bad trade?”
Does it
a) suggest that you are doing your job because you are entertaining offers, even bad ones?
b) show that he was aggressively trying to upgrade the bad offense, even with wreckless abandon?
c) show Tim Lincecum that we see him as a player we could trade, not as a centerpiece for our future?
He is a GM and is culpable for everything he says to the media, so what good did Sabean do there? To what purpose?
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
These players have much thicker skins than you give them credit for
It comes with the territory.
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 12:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
definitely true
The money is really all that will matter to Tim, but Tim will be able to get the money from anywhere. Keeping him happy is important to a degree because if he knows if he’s patient he can get his payday from any team and city.
I don’t think this thing bothered him too greatly, but it DEFINITELY is not a positive thing so there is no point for it. The only potential impact it could have had on Lincecum is negative, at least IMO
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Balanced out by playing for a team that has put him in CY contention, and possible AS game starter
Seriously, you don’t think he’s grateful for that 9-1 record? You put his pitching into Cain’s games last year, and his record doesn’t look nearly that good. The team plays with confidence behind him. It’s kind of intangible- but I’m sure he loves being the star.
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
I can think of a few Cy Young winners of recent vintage who were so pleased to be a part of the team that helped them win it they immediately took their hardware out onto the open market (or forced a trade), turned it into $$$ and bad mouthed their former organization all the way to the bank. In Maddux case, he was quite vocal about the fact that he left because they said mean things about him in arbitration hearings. For Pedro, RJ, Clemens and Santana, (and pretty soon CC) I guess the wattage was just to dim out in the hinterlands of the Northwest. And, of course, for everybody, the aforementioned $$$.
My boy ain't fat, he's just big boned. Big bat, too.
by Roger on Jun 30, 2008 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm hoping
I’m hoping Tim will take a leadership role such as Sidney Crosby took with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Tim and Sidney sharer get nicknames, with Tim being “The Franchise” (which apparently he now signs on some autographs) and Sir Sidney being “The Next One” (in response to Wayne Gretzky’s “The Great One).
Sidney told his teammates he would take a 20% discount from what he felt he was worth in order to stay with the Pittsburgh Penguins and build a perpetual Stanley Cup contender if they would also do so. In a less formalized manner, Joe Thornton of the Sharks gave San Jose the hometown discount when he re-signed with them for perhaps a couple of million (or possibly more) than he would have received on the open market.
I realize such a measure would be unusual - and resisted by the Players’ Union, if not Tim’s agent - but I do think it would be admirable.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too bad Thornton never shows up in the playoffs. Crosby did. Hopefully Lincecum will as well.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 7:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Different defense
Opponents use a different defense against Thornton and the Sharks in the playoffs, taking away time and space. While the Sharks made a nice comeback against Dallas, the Stars really suffocated them with their pressuring defense.
I thought they might give the Wings some troubles (although I expected the Wings to win), but Detroit moves the puck so well they seldom got hemmed in.
My immediate thought after the Sharks lost to Dallas was that they needed to re-sign Brian Campbell and add an additional puck-moving defenseman to the mix.
And regarding the playoffs, I wouldn’t give up on Joe just yet. Don’t forget how prior to 2002 everyone was ragging on Barry Bonds for not showing up in the playoffs, and then he went on to have one of the greatest post-seasons of all time.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That’s still no excuse. You don’t think other teams don’t focus to stop other star players? How is it that Iginla, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Crosby, Malkin, Jagr, Sakic, etc seemingly are able to make an impact in the playoffs? And yet Thornton doesn’t. For all of the crap Marleau has gotten over the years, he’s still had a decent impact in the playoffs, as he’s second only to Iginla in goals scored over the past like 4 or 5 years.
The problem with Joe is that he is so damn passive, he doesn’t attack nearly as much as he should. All of the guys above, you don’t see them sitting along the boards waiting to make a play. They’re moving their feet, and looking to get a shot off or deflect it off someone, or pass it whatever. Of course Ron Wilson’s terrible offensive sets didn’t help much either.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I agree that Joe should adjust to what other teams are doing. When they press, the best way to do that is to move the puck—and of course other teams are TRYING to get the puck off his stick.
During the regular season when teams do give him space, I always yell into the TV for him to go to the net. Just take the puck to the net until they stop you. If they don’t stop you, you are in great position to score yourself. And if they do, you are in fine position to pass.
When they press him, I would suggest he get rid of the puck quickly and go to the net without the puck.
But keep in mind that the did lead the Sharks in playoff scoring with 10 points in 13 games. So while he was frustrating, he wasn’t completely ineffective, either.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But seeing as Joe is one of the top players in the league, I expect more than 10 pts in 13 games. As should he. Not only that but our PP was pathetic. And that’s usually where star players make the biggest impact during the playoffs. Obviously some of that was due to poor scheme. Ron Wilson’s PP sets were TERRIBLE. I’m so excited for this year, now that we have someone who actually has a clue on the PP.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 3:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was not pleased
I was not pleased that the Giants did the trade-floating thing to Tim, although I never received an indication that it bothered him. But, really, how could it not?
The biggest thing the Giants have going for them in retaining Tim is the friendships he builds on the team. If they threaten to make those friendships long-distance by trading him, how can they possibly be generating loyalty from him?
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
most of those freindships are going to end up long distance anway
How many current Giants are going to be on the roster in three years?
Six or seven?
VAE PVTO DEVS FIO
by Bhaakon on Jun 30, 2008 4:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
which would tend to underline the need for the managment side to cultivate his trust him them – no?
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 1, 2008 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You remember he was called “king of the dry hump” in Moneyball right? He’s been doing it for years. Why? Who knows, but its something he’s done consistently. Doesn’t come anywhere close to proving that he was seriously considering such an offer. In fact, based on his history here, the fact that he discussed it publicly makes me think it was NEVER given serious consideration.
As for the impact on Lincecum or any other player, I think by the time they get to the majors they realize trades are apart of the business. I think the effect it has on players is null.
by AngelWillSaveUs on Jun 30, 2008 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great point about Sabes dry humping
Has he ever publicly talked about real deals that happened, prior to the transaction?
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
Brian hasn’t discussed deals before they happened (other than occasionally to say something would happen in a few days when in fact the deal likely was already done, since it would then be announced within 24 hours), and he hasn’t discussed deals that haven’t happened, either.
Brian is almost always very closed-mouthed in such situations.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think the answer was D) By entertaining the offer for Rios he let other GM’s know the bare minimum to start a discussion about Lincecum.
I think part of the problem was that other GM’s looked at our offense and when Sabean tried to call and make trades they always wanted to talk about Lincecum or Cain. Which is BS. So by publicly pondering a Rios deal (that IMO was never really considered) it lets other GM’s know that if you want to call about Lincecum or Cain you had better to start with a position player who’s younger/better than Alex Rios.
by hammystyle on Jun 30, 2008 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
BRAiN SABAEN suXorZ LOl!!!!!!!11!!!
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.
by groug on Jun 30, 2008 12:04 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This is the extent of my contribution to this thread. You’re welcome, planet earth.
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.
by groug on Jun 30, 2008 12:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Man some people really buy into bullshit rumors don’t they?
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 12:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This one was confirmed by the GMs on both sides, though. This wasn’t just Peter Gammons repeating what someone wrote on a bathroom wall.
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
Based on the reporting and comments from both sides, it was certainly, OFFICIALLY, something that was on the table at one point.
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It’s the Winter Meetings. Lots of trades are discussed. The idea that the Giants could trade Lincecum for Alex Rios, is and was ludicrous. Obviously the Giants thought the same or they would have made the trade.
Just because something was discussed at length doesn’t mean it was that close to getting done.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you remember this one, though? The discussion went on for a week. At first Sabean played it down, but finally he was talking openly about it on KNBR. Riccardi was talking about it to the Toronto Star.
There’s a difference between “discussed at length” and “so obviously on the table that GMs are answering questions about it.” Not to mention, there’s a huge difference between “discussed at length” and “bullshit rumors”, which is what I was responding to. Anytime a GM is actively discussing the possibility of a trade, it isn’t exactly a beat writer’s active imagination at work.
The idea that the Giants could trade Lincecum for Alex Rios, is and was ludicrous. Obviously the Giants thought the same or they would have made the trade.
False dichotomy. If the Giants thought the trade was 51% in their favor instead of 49%, they would have made the trade.
I can accept the theory below that Sabean was just PRing his way out of a big acquisition. But that would be a bad play, because when you pretend that Rios is a fair offer, you discourage fair offers.
I don’t think Sabean knows how to evaluate offensive talent, though, so I believe that he thought that Rios (five-tool player with potential to be a star) = Lincecum (young pitcher with potential to be a star).
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never took the trade “talks” very seriously. Since when does Sabean give up details about situations on the radio? Especially before a move has gone down.
The only available player on the market that would have been worth Lincecum in a trade was Cabrera, and seeing as Sabean had already pretty much written that one off, due to the Giants not likely having enough to deal for him, plus him being unlikely to trade both Lincecum and Cain, I didn’t take Rios and the Reds rumors etc very seriously. He kind of almost has to talk to them though when decent players are being discussed. Because its possible that could lead to something, but me thinks he was never that serious about trading Timmy.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never took the trade "talks" very seriously. Since when does Sabean give up details about situations on the radio? Especially before a move has gone down.
There was a slow progression. It went from a whisper to a rumble, and then it seemed like the cat was out of the bag. It was all that KNBR was discussing for a week. At some point, Sabean stopped being coy and started weighing in on it.
Maybe it was all a charade towards an unknown end. But I’ll have to go with “the simplest explanation is most likely the correct one.” Sabean was talking about the trade, so I’ll have to assume he was seriously considering the trade.
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 5:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
...because ludicrous trades are something that Brian Sabean steers far far away from
and clearly has a track record of not-seriously contemplating or pulling the trigger on.
by ExcuseMeSwing on Jun 30, 2008 4:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He’s won far more trades than he’s lost. I can count on one hand the number of “bad” trades. And even those weren’t so horrendous that they fucked us over or anything.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 5:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um, I think you’re missing a big one.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jun 30, 2008 5:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What ludicrous trades has he made?
Let me guess…Pierzynski? He traded away a fat ass with terrible work ethic in Bonser, a extremely talented but also extremely injury prone P in Liriano, and a talented set up man in Nathan for a mid 20s Catcher, with playoff experience and with a good bat at a premium position. At the time they gave up a bit, but had Pierzynski meshed well, the trade wouldn’t look nearly as bad as it does now. And its looking less worse all the time as Liriano and Bonser both continue to struggle. Nathan turned into one of the best closers in the Majors, but if anyone had thought he could become that at the time he was traded they would have been laughed at.
The Hillenbrand trade? I was against this one I must say, but given the position the Giants had in the standings, I can understand why such a move was made, even if I thought it was a stupid one. Luckily (as with almost all Giants trades, Accardo has gotten injured and its possible he’ll never return to the form he showed last year)
Other than those two, what has he done that’s been a ludicrous, terrible trade?
Aardsma? He sucked with us, and with both Chicago teams. He’s just now starting to look decent on his 4th team in 5 years.
He’s won far more trades than he’s lost. Livan, Schmidt, Galaragga twice, Kent, Burks, Hamilton, Winn, Brian Johnson, Nen, Joe Carter, Charlie Hayes, J.T. Snow, Felix Rodriguez, Tim Worrell, Rueter, Lofton.
I’m sure there’s others were we got some guys who helped out the year they were acquired. Other than Joe Nathan, I can’t think of a single player the Giants have traded away were 2 or 3 years later I had something to cry about with them having had success elsewhere. Probably because it hasn’t happened.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 8:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
First off, Joe Carter? Charlie Hayes? Brian Johnson? Padding your case a bit?
Second off, Sabean has many good trades. But when was the last one? I’m thinking he’s either lost his touch or the other GM’s have gotten better at this game, while Brian hasn’t.
Third off, the Pierzynski trade was horrible at the time, was horrible a year later and is still horrible despite Liriano’s injury problems. Think about the repercussions of that trade. Think about who was in the closers role in 2004. Think about who Sabean signed to fill the closers role for 7 mil. a year. Think about a bullpen with Nathan, Accardo, Wilson, Hinshaw, Taschner and whoever’s healthy/pitching well out of Valdez, Walker, Sadler. Think about how the Giants had a decent catcher that could have filled the role just fine in Yorvit Torrealba. Think about Sabean releasing Pierzynski just one year later.
Only 891 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jun 30, 2008 8:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sabean made a good trade last year when he got Pittsburgh to take Morris and his contract.
I still understand the AJ trade.
2008 Giants: Scrappy! Scrappy! Joy! Joy!
by Goofus on Jun 30, 2008 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
no points
for Morris—should never have been signed in the first place.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN
by zenbitz on Jul 1, 2008 8:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah the Morris deal didn’t actually have a positive benefit to us going forward it just allowed us to escape a previous horrible misstep. And it was such a pennies from heaven boondoggle that it ended the career (I’m guessing pretty pemanently) of the guy who suggested it. Which I only bring up because it really limits the degree of careful consideration and critical acumen that Sabes needed to say “yes” to the prosed deal. Giving him credit for that as a good trade is like me saying I make good choices for a healthy lifestyle by continuing to breathe (while overlooking that lunch trip I just made to Wendys).
My boy ain't fat, he's just big boned. Big bat, too.
by Roger on Jul 1, 2008 8:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matt Morris
I decried the Matt Morris signing when it was made, but when Matt got off to a VERY good start to the 2007 season, the Giants seemingly had the chance to trade him for something of value. Naturally the Giants paid just as much attention to my cries for them to trade him over a year ago as they did to my cries when they signed him.
And they were darn lucky to trade him at all. The Pittsburgh GM sort of took a flier in hopes that Matt would get hot again (like THAT was going to happen!) and save his job. Matt didn’t get hot, and the GM didn’t retain his job.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m not sure the Giants’ wern’t trying like mad to trade Morris before he cooled off. I just don’t think there was a deal out there to be made. There were tons of rumors from good writers (Ken Rosenthal being #1), and they were all saying the Giants were looking to move Morris.
by tyrannoman on Jul 2, 2008 8:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
One would hope
One would hope the Giants were trying to trade Matt Morris a year ago. About 11 1/2 months ago it looked like it was even possible Matt might start the All-Star game for the National League, given that his ERA was mid-two’s and the game would be in his home park.
Could the Giants have been holding out for too much? Or were they just unlucky in their effort?
by sharksrog on Jul 2, 2008 6:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
First off, Joe Carter? Charlie Hayes? Brian Johnson? Padding your case a bit?
Carter helped provide a spark for the team down the stretch. A team that would have made the playoffs if not for a Neifi Perez walk off on the last day of the year at Coors. Hayes was good the his first year he was acquired. Johnson also provided a spark and some offense at C the year he was acquired. Not so great in his 2nd year. Not to mention provided one of the best moments in SF Giants history with his walkoff HR against the Dodgers in September.
Second off, Sabean has many good trades. But when was the last one? I’m thinking he’s either lost his touch or the other GM’s have gotten better at this game, while Brian hasn’t.
Morris. Winn. Those obviously aren’t THAT recent. As most recent acquisitions have been via FA. Plus the trade market in recent years has been mostly dead. That’s counting both the Deadline and Winter markets.
Third off, the Pierzynski trade was horrible at the time, was horrible a year later and is still horrible despite Liriano’s injury problems. Think about the repercussions of that trade. Think about who was in the closers role in 2004. Think about who Sabean signed to fill the closers role for 7 mil. a year. Think about a bullpen with Nathan, Accardo, Wilson, Hinshaw, Taschner and whoever’s healthy/pitching well out of Valdez, Walker, Sadler. Think about how the Giants had a decent catcher that could have filled the role just fine in Yorvit Torrealba. Think about Sabean releasing Pierzynski just one year later.
Horrible to pick up a young C (a premium position) who had proven success in the playoffs, was a young leader for a Twins team, and who could hit and provide decent defense? A position the Giants had failed to really fill with a young talent in a long time. Bonser is still a porky fat ass who doesn’t work hard on his craft. Hence he still sucks. Liriano still has injury problems. Yes, the trade is still a failure because Nathan turned into an All-Star closer. But it’s not looking nearly as bad as it did 2 years ago. But me thinks it wouldn’t have looked as bad had Pierzynski meshed with the team and still been here as the everyday C. I agree it was a mistake to let him walk. But given the shit he got from fans that year, I doubt it would have been received well had he been brought back too.
As for Torrealba, as much as I liked him, I don’t think he’s exactly starting C material. In fact the only reason he started last year for Colorado was because Chris Ianetta failed so miserably as a rookie at the plate. And Torrealba still only put up an OPS of .699. Ianetta’s was .680. This year its .913. Torrealba is .678. AJ > Torrealba.
As for the closer’s role, I blame that more on Alou than Sabean. Scott Eyre should have closed, but Alou obviously couldn’t evaluate guys with closer stuff much anymore. As he pretty much said he never saw Nathan as a closer either.
I don’t see what repercussions that trade caused. Yes we lost Nathan. That sucks. But do you really think having him in 04 would have made a difference. We don’t even know if he would have been given an opportunity to close. Or what else might have happened etc. It’s all purely speculative and trying to live in hindsight.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 9:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You really think that the difference between closing in Minnesota and closing in San Francisco would be the difference between Nathan being good and not good?
And that team’s biggest weakness was its bullpen. Herges was blowing saves left and right that year and he wasn’t replaced until June or July as the closer. The Giants finished 2 games behind the Dodgers in the division (after a blown save to them in the second-to-last game of the year) and 1 game behind the Astros for the wild card. So yes, having Nathan instead of Herges/Hermanson as the closer would have been huge that year.
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.
by groug on Jun 30, 2008 10:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes it DOES look just as bad! I looked at the WARP numbers from the trade a few months ago and the Twins (so far) have gotten something like 8 times as much value out of their players than the Giants did out of Pierzynski. Liriano in that one season ALONE was more valuable than Pierzynski was in his one season for the Giants. Bonser has provided more value. Nathan has provided A TON more value. There’s no way you can look at that trade and say it “wasn’t that bad”.
And the fact that the Giants didn’t look at how great Nathan’s numbers were after 2003 and kept shitting themselves over his one bad outing in the playoffs that year shouldn’t be a point in their favor.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jul 1, 2008 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m sure you’re going to call me on the WARP thing, but it’s in the archives on here somewhere and I’m not sure how I can find it. I suppose I could just add it all up again.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jul 1, 2008 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I find it interesting that you extol the virtues of Brian Johnson but then poo-poo Yorvit Torrealba. Brian Johnson had 179 at bats in 1997 and then had an OPS+ of 89 in 1998. Game-winning home-run aside, that’s just not very valuable. As for Joe Carter, he did a lot better than I remembered in 98 for us. But I find it difficult to credit that to Sabean considering he was 38 and had an OBP of .297 when we traded for him. Charlie Hayes had an OPS+ of 107 his first year and 57 his second year with us. I wouldn’t call them failed trades but I also wouldn’t call them successes, either.
The trade market has been dead. Or maybe GM’s across baseball have gotten tougher as far as trading goes. GM’s are understanding the value of the farm system more and more and are therefore valuing their prospects more and more. Like I said, I think the rest of the league has been moving ahead while Sabean has stayed stuck in his ways. With that being said, he certainly could have made good trades for both Schmidt and Durham in ‘06, as many people were hoping he would.
The hatred of the Pierzynski trade isn’t hindsight. At least, it isn’t for me. I hated the trade at the time. I had many reasons for it, at the time. These reasons included 1) our need for a closer 2) the general thinness of the bullpen 3) the fact that, while I agree that Pierzynski > Torrealba, he’s not that much better 4) the fact that most of Pierzysnki’s value came from batting average and so wasn’t that great offensively 5) the fact that Pierzynski was a lefty and our ballpark kills lefties, generally
You notice I didn’t even talk about Liriano or Bonser? I thought it would have been a bad trade had it just been Nathan for Pierzynski…at the time.
So you add in the fact that Pierzynski had one very mediocre season (a season that Torrealba could have probably put up), and you add in the fact that he was a complete jack-ass while here, and you add in that Sabean released him after one season, and you add in the one half season of dominance Liriano provided, and you add in the possibility of Liriano being very good again in the future, and you add in Boof Bonser’s production (or trade value), and you add in the repurcussions…
Well, you get one really, really, really bad trade.
As for repurcussions, you’re kidding right? 1) Yes, having Nathan would have made a difference in 04. We blew a lot of freakin’ saves that year. Had Nathan been the closer like he should have been, there would have been many less blown saves. 2) It directly led to the Armando Benitez deal. I assume I do not have to elaborate as to why this was bad. 3) It led to the Mike Matheny deal. 4) If Sabean is telling the truth and he saw red flags about Liriano’s health, then he could have used him in a trade for something that could have actually helped us, like…oh I don’t know…someone to replace Jeff Kent in the lineup? 5) There’s more but I need to stop here, gotta go.
Had we just let Torrealba play catcher, we could have had resources (money and talent) that could have been spent in much better ways. Yes, Torrealba isn’t great. But he’s obviously good enough to start for another organization, one that, mediocre or not, went to the world series last year.
Only 891 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you’re right about the trade market being dead. Unless a team is willing to give up All Star caliber talent (Haren, Santana) then there is just no interest. I personally think that teams are overvalueing their prospects right now. Think how much better then Angles would be right now if they had delt away two or more of thier “can’t miss” prospects for high quality MLB talent over the last two or three years. Same is true of the Dodgers. IMO. I have to agree with Dave Dumbrowski’s comments after the Cabrera trade this year.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Would the Angels really be better off?
To use one example, they agreed a trade with the Orioles for Tejada, in return for Ervin Santana and Erick Aybar, around the 2006 deadline. The trade got nixed by Peter Angelos at the last minute.
Ervin Santana is finally fulfilling the potential that he has, his ERA+ is great, his K / bb rate is great. The Angels control him for the next 4 years at a cheap price. Tejada was still great in 2006, and then declined in 2007 and this year. Tejada is still a useful player, if all he is costing you is his salary.
Sure, maybe the Angels could have gotten some useful stuff for if they had been setting lower prices on their prospects, OTOH, they would also have lost guys like Santana, or maybe Jered Weaver or Joe Saunders.
As for teams only willing to trade for the likes of Haren and Johan Santana, the Mariners blew a boatload of talent on Eric Bedard. Bedard is certainly very talented, he’s also damn fragile.
But, even if you put Bedard in the Santana / Haren group, what of guys like Nick Swisher, Brad Lidge, Tejada. All 3 were traded for prospects. What of Ryan Church? He was also traded for a prospect. What about Edgar Renteria?
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
by rfloh on Jul 1, 2008 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
With that being said, he certainly could have made good trades for both Schmidt and Durham in ‘06, as many people were hoping he would.
I’m glad he didn’t trade Schmidt for Brandon McCarthy. I’m much happier with the prospects of Tim Alderson. Thank You.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You think that's the only trade he could have made for Schmidt?
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It’s one of the few that were ever mentioned for Schmidt. He was already starting to break down and I don’t think there was THAT large of a market for him. And I’d still take Alderson over whatever other crap was probably out there in 06.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brandon McCarthey was a very good prospect. To just dismiss him is hindsight. Something that you criticized earlier in this thread. Further, we really don’t know what Brian Sabean was offered. But, judging from your McCarthey example, I bet he was offered some decent packages.
Mostly, though, it’s the fact that instead of selling like he should have in 2006, he traded away a very good bullpen arm for a rental of a player that wasn’t very good to try and get a team that wasn’t very good into the playoffs.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never liked McCarthy. They may sound like hindsight, but he never impressed me much in 05 with the White Sox. For how highly touted he was, I failed to see how he had the kind of dominant stuff that would hold up to the lofty expectations placed on his ceiling.
I agree that we should have been sellers that year, however. That team was going nowhere.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fabulous opportunity
The Giants had a fabulous opportunity after the 2004 season to sign “the world’s greatest backup catcher” to share time with Yorvit Torrealba. Gregg Zaun was available on the cheap, and as a good-hitting catcher who batted left-handed (switch-hitting), he would have made nearly the perfect complement to Yorvit’s fine glove.
A couple of people suggested such a move, but of course the Giants didn’t do so, deciding instead to pay for the intangibles of Mike Matheny, whether those intangibles had a big impact or not.
Incidentally, it would have seemed that after the 2006 season the move would have been to sign Russell Branyan, who instead signed a minor league contract with the Rays or someone and was traded in September to the Padres, whom he helped make the playoffs in 2007. Russ has plenty of flaws, but he would have made a wonderful lefty-hitting complement to Pedro Feliz, whom the Giants instead ran into the ground that year because they didn’t have anyone who to replace him who could hit well enough to make resting him feasible.
The Giants wound up falling far short that season, of course, but they were in the hunt until September 15th, when they replaced the injured Jason Schmidt with Brad Hennessey, and Hennessey got bombed, sending the entire staff into a tailspin.
Had the Giants signed Branyan for say $500,000 instead of the doomed move of signing Jose (Can you see how to get on base?) Vizcaino for $1.2 million, they might have been in first place on September 15th, rather than chasing. And who knows, perhaps they would have called up Tim Lincecum, who had pitched seven very good playoff innings just six days earlier for San Jose, only to see San Jose get eliminated on the 13th.
Meanwhile, Vizcaino predictably played poorly and was released in August, while Feliz started strongly then faded when the Giants were reluctant to use Viz to rest him.
When Brian Sabean said after trading Matt Williams, “I am not an idiot,” I agreed with him. In retrospect, my comment should have been, “Not yet. Give it time.”
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sweeney for Denker will turn out to be a terrific trade, even if Travis leves off as a utility player.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
That was a good trade, if a minor one.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and I ment “levels off”, not that bit of crap I actually wrote
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I take your general point, and we have certainly discussed these at length... but Nathan, man.
But I think there were a LOT of people (self included) who thought at the time that getting rid of Nathan was a really bad move. Especially since it was done for the dumbest possible reason: Felipe Alou’s pique at Nathan, and Nathan’s semi-obvious reciprocated pique. (I have no opinion on the chicken&egg question of whose pique came first and prompted the other’s.) It was obvious at the time that Nathan was talented, was getting better, and was developing the mind and the mindset to be an excellent late-game reliever, headed toward the Closer role.
I don’t play the hindsight card to slam anyone making any decision. I slam peoples’ moronic decisions based on what was known at the time of the decision. Nothing else is intellectually honest, and I ain’t gonna endanger my standing with the ladies, because the ladies love intellectual honesty. (I can’t hit home runs, or I would do that instead.)
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 9:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought Nathan’s shoulder was being held together with pixie dust and marmalade. My biggest regret about liking that deal is that I didn’t give Yorvit enough credit. The difference between Yorvit and A.J. wasn’t worth the only trade package of the offseason. They should have targeted a first baseman with those players.
Like the Edgardo Alfonzo signing, I don’t begrudge anyone who liked the Pierzynski deal at the time.
by Grant on Jun 30, 2008 10:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A big switch in the results
Through the end of the 2002 season Brian Sabean did a MARVELOUS job with his trades. They, along with the previous signing of Barry Bonds, were the primary factor in the Giants’ being competitive during Brian’s first seven seasons as Giants GM.
But his luck ran out after coming oh, so close to winning the World Series.
After 2002, he got little for Russ Ortiz and Livan Hernandez, even eating all but the minimum of Livan’s salary for 2003. Russ won 20 games in 2003 before declining quickly, and Livan was one of the top ten starters in the NL over the next three years before declining to about fifth starter status.
Trading for A.J. was bad enough, but he allowed him to walk after one year, leaving him after that one year with NOTHING for the three pitchers. And if anyone goes to www.baseballmusings.com and looks at Joe Nathan’s 2002 season outing by outing, he will pretty strong evidence that a very fine relief pitcher was emerging, if indeed he hadn’t already emerged.
Since then he really hasn’t done too much trading, although in acquiring Hillenbrand hopefully he learned the lesson that if you’re not willing to offer arbitration to a guy, you’re probably better off not trading for him.
Brian used to be a BRILLIANT trader, which makes his overall record average or better. But since the end of the 2002 season, which is now 5 1/2 years past, he has been AWFUL.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree re obviousness of Nathan's high value AT THE TIME.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jul 1, 2008 12:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I totally forgot
I totally forgot about the incredibly bizarre Ortiz trade. Right smack in the middle of trying to win, he trades one of our veteran, good pieces away for young talent. I really don’t think people quite appreciate how much of an anomoly that was.
And all he got was Damian Moss and Merkin Valez…
Only 891 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Ortiz trade
was a pure salry dump, and if you remember Merkin was the best prospect in the Braves’ system at the time. The buzz around him was incredible. Moss was just filler.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember Moss being really hyped up at the time actually; he won something like 13 games as a rookie, albeit with horrible walk numbers. (Of course, anyone at the time could have looked at his stuff and statistical profile and realized he wasn’t very good.) I don’t think Merkin would have been ranked over Andy Marte or Jeff Francouer in the Braves system at the time… I don’t remember a whole lot of talk about him at the time of the trade (of course, IIRC, his name was Manuel Mateo at the time.) It was all “OMG Damian Moss threw a (7 inning) no hitter (with 8 walks) last year!!!”
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jul 1, 2008 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even if it was a pure salary dump
That would still make it an anomoly.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
Actually, Brian got Damian Moss and the player literally to be named. I believe Merkin Valdez was going by Manuel Mateo at the time of the trade.
Hopefully perkin’ Merkin will ultimately work out as well as the previous player to be named that the Giants received. A guy named Jose Gonzalez who went on to become known as Jose Uribe.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Through the end of the 2002 season Brian Sabean did a MARVELOUS job with his trades. They, along with the previous signing of Barry Bonds, were the primary factor in the Giants’ being competitive during Brian’s first seven seasons as Giants GM.But his luck ran out after coming oh, so close to winning the World Series.
You mean like how the Giants luck ran out with developing All-Stars via homegrown talent after the likes of Mays, McCovey, Alou, Cepeda, Davenport, Haller, Bonds..? Or after Will Clark, Robby Thompson, Matt Williams?
After 2002, he got little for Russ Ortiz and Livan Hernandez, even eating all but the minimum of Livan’s salary for 2003. Russ won 20 games in 2003 before declining quickly, and Livan was one of the top ten starters in the NL over the next three years before declining to about fifth starter status.
Ortiz was not only a salary dump, but his stuff was starting to diminish when he was traded away. Within 2 years he signed one of the worst contracts of recent memory and since then has found his way out of baseball. For him the Giants got a young pitcher with a live arm in Valdez (who unfortunately has had injury problems) and Damian Moss who at the time was talented yet erratic, much like Ortiz. But for a much lower price.
Livan didn’t seem to like SF much by then and had a pretty mediocre year in 2002. He performed much better after being traded, albeit under much less pressure to perform and stay in shape. In fact he even got fatter.
The Giants also had some pretty highly touted pitching prospects on the rise, who were more talented and a lot cheaper than both of these more proven options. Unfortunately they didn’t work out either and all got hurt and then traded away. But at least the Giants didn’t end up overpaying Ortiz and having him breakdown on them. Or Livan, who I doubt would have gotten better in SF, as by then he seemingly needed a change of scenery.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very good points
Very good points, Hobbes. Still, both the Russ and Livan trades turned out badly, as the A.J. Pierzynski deal would fail a year later.
The Giants probably would have re-signed Russ, so in the long run the deal worked out OK. But one would hope that the Giants would have been smart enough to keep him that last year of his contract and either trade him at the deadline or more likely allowed him to leave as a free agent. Of course that was before the Giants seemed to think they could actually draft decent players in the draft.
The Livan deal was horrendous. We have no way of knowing if Livan would have come around had the stayed with the Giants. An Expos/Nationals coach who had coached him in the winter league helped him change his motion, and he went on to become one of the top 10 starters in the NL his first three seasons after the trade.
What we do know, though, is that he was traded for only Jim Brower and a player to be named whose surname appropriately was Blank. And we know that the Giants picked up all hit contract that 2003 season except for the minimum.
So the Giants got very little (although Brower was a horse until Felipe Alou broke him) and saved almost nothing. In actuality, they paid Brower a bit more than they saved on Livan.
Brian traded Livan because if Livan pitched 216 innings in 2003, the option year of his contract would have kicked in. As it was, he pitched so well for the Nationals that they were DELIGHTED to exercise the option and indeed signed him to a long-term deal when it was over.
Didn’t it dawn on Brian that if Livan didn’t pitch well, it would have been easy to justify taking him out of games early enough so that even if completely healthy, he wouldn’t reach 216 innings (which is almost exactly the number of innings he pitched in 2002)? And if he did pitch well, wouldn’t the Giants - as became the case with the Expos/Nationals - be happy to exercise the option?
Personally I think Brian was lucky in his early years and wasn’t as good as he appeared. In his later years, he has been unlucky and hasn’t been as BAD as he has appeared.
I give him kudos for the young players he has acquired beginning with the drafting of Tim Lincecum. But prior to that, he had been a minor league DISASTER—and since 2003, his moves at the major league level have been pretty awful.
I think what irks me the most is that the Giants of recent years have made so many deals that were CLEARLY wrong the moment they made them. If they had asked us here at The McCovey Chronicles, we could have saved them close to $200 million.
I don’t know about anyone else, but personally I consider that a fair amount of money to save—or to waste.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
if you're argument is that he did the best he could to win now
i don’t think you really want to try and reinforce that with the statement that his moves didn’t fuck us over.
the last 4 consecutive years of suckitude suggests otherwise.
by ExcuseMeSwing on Jun 30, 2008 7:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The last 4 years = suck not because of any trades that were made.
We sucked due to a poor team philosophy and poor budgeting towards trying to develop a competitive farm system.
Over the last 2 years we’ve seen a shift in such philosophy and the team has improved dramatically in that area of player development. Of course being a bad team helped too, since it got us higher draft picks.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 7:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would say
I would say the last few years have been disappointing because Barry Bonds got injured, because the Giants had neglected their farm system for nearly two decades, because Brian’s wonderful trading prowess dried up, and because the Giants’ evaluation of free agents was pretty awful overall, although they did fare well with Moises Alou, Ray Durham and Bengie Molina.
But obvious-the-moment-they-were-made bad calls on Neifi Perez, Jose Vizcaino, Matt Morris, Dave Roberts and Barry Zito were inexcusable IMO. Had Brian consulted us, we would have kept him out of trouble.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 11:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno, Jose Vizcanio as a minium salry utility guy didn’t bother me. I was acutally excited (I know, I’m a dumbass) that Morris signed here. I thought the ballpark was big enough to absorb some of his gopher balls. Oops. I will give him credit for helping Matt Cain, however. I’ve heard nothing but praise for Morris taking Cain under his wing.
by tyrannoman on Jul 1, 2008 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I also
Thought that Morris was a good pickup at the time. IMO his decline was very sudden and unexpected.
Eugeniooooooo!!!!
by FairweatherFan on Jul 1, 2008 10:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess I should own up, too
I thought “3 years? That’s not so bad.”
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 1, 2008 10:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
His decline in the second half of 2007 was sudden and surprising but his performance for the first year and a half wasn’t too surprising… 90 ERA+ then 102. Considering his two years before signing, he was at … 90 and 103, it wasn’t too bad.
But yes, his sudden descent into godawfulness was a bit odd.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Jul 1, 2008 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I liked Morris, just not at 9 mill a year. More proof of how dreadfully awful this dried up FA market has become in recent years. Pickings are so slim that even some of the most average players are getting upper tier echelon player money. Which is just flat out ridiculous. Pretty soon 5th starter’s will be making 12 mill a year on average. That’s what a #2 or Ace should be getting.
But his decline wasn’t all that surprising. He had had some significant arm troubles before he left St. Louis.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still get perverse chuckles from Washburn’s contract in Seattle.
" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.
by daveinexile on Jul 2, 2008 6:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look at Matt's peripherals
Look at Matt’s peripherals at www.fangraphs.com - or even just his ERA - and tell me his decline wasn’t already in progress and highly predictable as to existence, if not extent.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Five signings
The five signings that I have been most critical of as soon as they were made were:
Neifi Perez
Matt Morris
Jose Vizcaino
Barry Zito
Dave Roberts
Any person who wasn’t sabermetrically challenged could have told Brian he was likely making a big mistake in each case. And of course Perez and Vizcaino were released before completing the contracts, the Giants were delighted to find a sucker to take Morris off their hands and would now LOVE to find such a sucker for Zito and Roberts.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perez sucked but wasn’t a starter. So I had no problem with that. I had a bigger problem with Deivi Cruz.
Morris, like I said above, liked but not at 9 mill a year. He was already on the decline and had suffered some injures in St. Louis. But he did a good job of mentoring some of the young pitchers, and pitched well at first.
Vizcaino. Meh. Had he ever been good? Dumb.
Zito, wasn’t Sabean’s call. I just don’t buy it, given that Sabean had never really ever signed a pitcher to a lot of money. He had acquired mostly everyone either via trade or development through the farm system, guys that came cheaply. Pitching is just too volatile a position to logically spend a lot of money on them, for an extended period of time. Plus Magowan supposedly has owned up to this mistake already upon announcing his retirement.
Dave Roberts. Wasn’t happy, but I’d rather make a mistake like Roberts over 3 years at 18 mill was it? Or 15? Instead of Pierre for 5 years 45, or Matthews at something similar. Or Lee at 108 mill or whatever he got from Texas. Or Soriano at 8 years 136 mill or something ridiculous like that. And Roberts, had he stayed healthy would have given the Giants their first legit leadoff hitter since Brett Butler. Its was the least risky of a lot of potentially bad moves. Unfortunately it was coupled with the failure that is Barry Zito at 7 years and 126 million dollars.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Houston, not Texas duh. Same state, wrong name haha.
My biggest gripes with management have been:
Zito.
Hillenbrand trade. Trying to contend when they should trying to rebuild. Big mistake. But I understand why they did it, but it doesn’t mean I agreed.
Not rebuilding after 2003. Bonds while great, was getting older and gimpier by the day. Our highly touted pitching prospects were already starting to breakdown. Foppert, Williams…and we had a bunch of aging positional pieces who had been valuable but were no longer, in Snow, Aurilia, and other stopgaps like Grissom, Santiago etc. Not only that but with nothing on the horizon out of the farm system, there really should have been a firm commitment made sooner to retooling the scouting staff and overall budgeting and development of the farm system. This occurred about 4 years too late. Further pushing back the inevitable rebuild and timetable towards becoming a contender again.
But I guess there was just too much of a desire to milk Bonds for as long as possible and make as much profit as possible. Understandable I guess from a business standpoint, but you would think that an owner who is a “fan” would want to win for a long time, and you would THINK that building a consistent winner = money. Although given the MLB state back then, and lack of profits at the time, it makes sense that they did what they did. Funny how quickly the overall profits and payroll allocations and revenue has increased since the last CBA.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Deivi was signed to be Neifi’s backup. And that’s what he was until August of ‘04 when the Giants released Neifi and made Deivi the starter, which is when he proceeded to not embarrass himself. He wasn’t anything special, but he wasn’t bad and he was a lot better than Neifi for a lot less money.
Sabean tried to sign Pierre and Matthews for very similar contracts to what they ended up getting. He got lucky that they went to the LA teams. And they probably would have given Soriano the money he wanted, but he signed the deal with the Cubs before the Giants could make a counteroffer.
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com and on it I make jokes about things.
by groug on Jul 1, 2008 5:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m well aware they tried to get Pierre, Matthews, Soriano and Lee. They were trying to make a big splash. Which is a terrible way to try to conduct business. Especially when your team is old, terrible and leaves little to be desired on the future front in terms of credible prospects. Thanks Magowan for Zito.
I guess we should be thankful we only made 1 big financial mistake that summer and not 2 or 3.
by Hobbes2d on Jul 1, 2008 5:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd still rather have Soriano's huge contract than Zito's huge contract.
Only 890 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jul 2, 2008 12:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
hindsight is 20/20
I’ve been saying that alot lately, it’s finally replaced my usual phrase “Dont respect you? I gave you the hand towel didn’t i?”
by Giant Voodoo on Jun 30, 2008 12:18 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed...
What if Rios was putting up numbers many thought he was capable of .300 30HR 100RBI? We’d be having the same debates as Cincy/Texas about the Volquez/Hamilton trade.
I’d still rather have Lincecum than almost any position player in baseball, but to say stuff like “Sabean should have been fired for considering it” is absurd.
You may run like Hayes. but you hit like sh**!
by Orbit1099 on Jun 30, 2008 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
this shouldn't be about Rios's one poor month
..though I grant, this post is. In April and June, he was .306/.386/.449 and .333/.375/.479, and he plays very good defense. Rios is a good player, and I do not blame the team for at least listening to the offer.
That said, the trade would have been bad the day it was made. Lincecum was already a good pitcher and threatening to be a star. Rios was a toolsy guy finally made good who was going to give you that above-average bat and great defense for a few years, but probably not going to turn into a star. You never know, but it’s unusual for hitters who break out and reach their expected upside to break out again in their late twenties. So, that’s a poor swap of talent and potential right off the, er, bat, trading the already-good-might-be-great for the above-average-probably-won’t. Add to that the fact that you trade contracts, not players. Lincecum was going to be a lot cheaper.
Now, I’d have traded for Rios. I’d still trade for Rios, especially now that he’s reasonably priced and his market value likely is on the low side, as long as there are GMs who look just at headline current stats like our intrepid poster here. I just wouldn’t swap Lincecum for him, now or back then.
by wcw on Jun 30, 2008 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
This is an excellent summation of Rios’ value vs. Lincecum, imho. Well done!
Your 2011 SF Giants: the 2008 Augusta Greenjackets!
by Lyle on Jun 30, 2008 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know, Rios looks more and more like a young Randy Winn to me
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good assessment
Rios is a good player and I think he’s going to finish this year strong. He’s just not the kind of impact player Lincecum had (and is already showing) a chance to be. Lincecum should be an all-star this year and has a chance to be at that level for the next 8-10 season (which conceivably we could lock him up for).
We could have something real special in 4 years if we lock up Lincecum and Cain, because by then Bumgarner and Alderson could be making MLB contributions, our young offensive prospects (Posey, Gillespie, Fairley, Noonan, ANgel) will have a chance to contribute at the MLB level and hopefully the emerging Jonathan Sanchez will have such good value that we could trade him for two legitimate young offensive players
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 12:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Leaving room for Big Z to be the lefty specialist
Kline, with a uniform woven from 24K gold.
¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!
by hairball on Jun 30, 2008 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
well said wcw
couldnt have said it better. Rios is a great player but not worth Timmy. Sabean is, at least in theory, a GM that takes care of business and part of that is listening to offers.
Who knows, he could have been trying to pry their top prospect with Rios for Tim and didnt want to shoot them down right out of the shoot. I’ve done that in sales and it works well. I don’t know, i like to think he doesnt just pick his nose and try to figure out which seinfeld episode is best. Then again I’ve had a few bloody marys this morning.
by Giant Voodoo on Jun 30, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Would you trade Lincecum for Nick Swisher?
Swisher and Rios are pretty damn similar players in terms of production. Swisher has the more favourable contract.
Beane didn’t get anything close to a Lincecum type talent for Swisher. Why would you give up Lincecum for Rios?
Any GM should have been fired for considering trading Tim Lincecum for Alex Rios.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
by rfloh on Jun 30, 2008 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd take Rios over Swisher
but your point is valid nonetheless, they are certainly comparable players in terms of value
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No.
If Alex were hitting .300 and on pace for 30 homers with 100 RBI’s we would still be saying - perhaps with slightly less fervor - that we were glad the deal didn’t come down. Alex would be on an All-Star pace. Tim is on a Cy Young pace.
by sharksrog on Jun 30, 2008 6:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course hindsight is 20/20
It’s because everybody loves looking at booty.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Jun 30, 2008 7:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That sound you hear is my head exploding
Couldn’t this whole discussion just have continued the existing “Lincecum for Rios” discussion on the “Sometimes the best moves are the one’s that aren’t made” discussion just six items down the list?
2008 Giants: Scrappy! Scrappy! Joy! Joy!
by Goofus on Jun 30, 2008 12:27 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Yes lets! The next should be imagine if Sabes had traded Lincecum for Edwin Encarnacion and Joey Votto.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 30, 2008 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If that was actually on the table
That would have at least been an interesting deal, albeit, once again once that Sabes would have had to turn down
[url=http://www.wazzel.com] Wazzel [/url] (prove your sports knowledge if you can)
by NeifiChicken on Jun 30, 2008 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
Has it been registered, yet?
Only 891 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on Jun 30, 2008 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Imagine if my aunt had a dick
then she would be my uncle
by FluLikeSymptoms on Jun 30, 2008 10:09 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Mmmm... I am, I am.
I'm adopting a true Giant and an awe-inspring gamer: tk. "Atta babe."
by Mayor of 311 on Jun 30, 2008 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
lincecum for rios
If Sabean had traded Lincecum for Alex Rios, his corpse would be found at the bottom of the McCovey Cove.
Lucky for him, he didn’t.
by lethalfang on Jul 1, 2008 12:46 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Does that mean he's a witch?
Burn him anyway!
My boy ain't fat, he's just big boned. Big bat, too.
by Roger on Jul 1, 2008 8:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What I know as facts
Too much to read here at work, so I’m going on my own riff.
Facts I think I know:- Sabean never discusses rumors in the media, he speaks elliptically about possibilities
- He never acknowledged the Rios-Lincecum deal, but I think he spoke to that general topic by saying that being in the position the Giants were in, they had to listen to offers. Plus, as others noted above, I think this was his way of telling all other GMs, “can you beat this?” And there is no better way to do this, if he goes out and call everyone, then it will make it look like he is shopping Lincecum and that would be infinitely worse that word of that WILL get out. All he said is that “we are so bad we have to listen to everything.” He never said he would jump at the first stupid deal, else he would have took the Jays deal like many here suggested.
- I’m sure there were personnel who thought the Giants shouldn’t select Lincecum in the draft, but I wouldn’t fire them either. Everyone will be on the bad side of a decision if you last long enough anywhere. As much of a no-brainer Lincecum appears today, at least to us, there are still questions about his long-term health that most people in the industry believe. I, we, may think Tim is going to be fine, but that and 4 bucks will get you a venti Mocha Frappaccino at Starbucks. Lincecum going on to a HoF career won’t make any of us “right” any more than some teenage Giants fan who thinks Lincecum will do well because he’s cute. None of us has the background nor information to make such an informed judgement, as much we might think so.
- As much as people like to bitch about Sabean, particularly for the free agents and the Nathan trade, where has he made brilliant decisions? Look at our pitching staff. The only pitchers Sabean has let go who have done better afterward are Foulke, Nathan, Embree, and arguably Livan. All the rest have not had a better career after the Giants let them go, though some might have had a bright point or two afterward but not a long stretch of success clearly better than what they did for the Giants. Accardo, Liriano, and Boof are still up in the air, but the first two are injury prone and Boof hasn’t really done much and his 15 minutes look like it might be up. And if you want to count Grilli, Fultz, Burres, Coutlangus, that’s fine too, but I don’t consider what they have done to be that good, though I can see as arguably better than what they did for the Giants. Do not throw out the baby with the bath water.
- As much as any of us would have chosen Heyward over Bumgarner, thus far, he has shown a lot more ability to dominate than Heyward. In addition, as TINSTAAPP states, once the player knows how to pitch, he is not a prospect anymore, whereas hitters are prospect up to and until he starts hitting in the majors. That’s why the Giants were able to jump both Lincecum and Sanchez to the majors from the low minors, whereas you never see a hitter make that type of jump, hardly ever. He could be in the majors by next year, but Heyward is not so dominating in A-ball that he’s going to leapfrog to the majors next season or even the one after that. Plus, as I noted in my article on pitching and Sabean long ago, you can always fit another starter into the rotation (or into someone else’s) but if you already have a RF, then you have to trade away that RF and hope to find a team that wants or needs a RF (or maybe LF at best) wiling to give you something good in return.
Adoptive parental unit of Kevin "Most Spectacular Pitcher" Pucetas.
"I'm a Giant now... I like watching the ball get up there" - Wendell Fairley
"I'm really proud to be on this team." - Nate Schierholtz
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jul 1, 2008 3:32 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I believe
I believe Brian specifically talked about the offer of Rios for Lincecum and said he would think about it over the weekend. I know I sweated it out over that weekend - even resolving myself to getting mlb.tv and rooting for the Blue Jays as well as the Giants - and was extremely relieved when we got far enough into the next week to be sure the Giants weren’t going to pull the trigger on the deal and commit if not suicide, at least significant damage.
As I pointed out at the time, perhaps Brian was shrewd enough to uncharacteristically be discussing a potential trade that he had no intention of making so that if the Giants again struck out on the free agent market (I would call signing Barry Zito and Dave Roberts the winter before striking out.), he could say something to the effect that “the best move we made was in resisting the temptation to trade either of our two young aces (even if Matt isn’t likely to become a true ace :).”
As I also pointed out at the time, I wasn’t sure he was wise enough to have thought that far in advance. Clearly Brian has seemed to be more reactive than pro-active in recent years.
As for your philosophy on trading, it does indeed make some sense. But my feeling is that if you build up your asset base, you are usually in position to deal with your needs even if all the talent isn’t just where you want it.
The Giants’ problem in recent years hasn’t been in having talent in the wrong positions. It has been having a dearth of talent not named Barry Bonds.
by sharksrog on Jul 1, 2008 4:04 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I wonder
now that Bonds’ has moved on (been moved on?) if you will see the Giants’ become much more proactive. I firmly believe that 99% of the available budget was being poured into the major league roster in hopes that somehow another playoff run could be in the offing, and deal with the concequences later. I will always wonder how different 2005 would’ve been if Bonds would’ve been able to play. Alou had a good year, and Omar was fantastic. Once it was clear that the FA pool had dried up, then the Giants’ started to cut back on MLB payroll, and spend more $$ on player devolpment. I do think if there is any trade out there for Durham, Aurilia, or Winn it will be done, provided it’s not a complete lowball. Everything I see is moving in the right direction for the franchise, especiall if Posey & Gillispe will sign and get to playin’ right away.
by tyrannoman on Jul 2, 2008 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think (and few disagree :)
I don’t think the problem with the Giants was in not having enough money to spend. I think the problem was in how they allocated it and the specific decisions they made in spending it.
The A’s had far less money to spend, yet they pretty much equaled the Giants at the major league level and far outstripped them in the minors.
by sharksrog on Jul 2, 2008 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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