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How about Hennessey into the rotation as the #5?

He had some excellent outings in 2005 and 2006 as a starter...Esp. vs. St. Louis

and Milwaukee.....Why not another chance as a starter for him, especially now

with Correia and Lowry on the shelf?.....Beats the hell out of seeing more Zito i would

think and nobody at Fresno is really setting the world on fire right now.....I think he prefers

starting anyway, not sure if his stuff matches though....What say you?

 

 

 

 

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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how about mescaline?

"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."

by i did my job on May 2, 2008 7:02 PM PDT reply actions  

I was looking at the pitching probables today and the Giants don’t need another starter until May 10. I was thinking they could go with Hennessey then. or torture us further and stick Zito back into the rotation.

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on May 2, 2008 8:10 PM PDT reply actions  

option "A" please.

I’l even say nice things about you if you use your super hero powers and make it happen.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 2, 2008 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

I could use my magic ice pick stabbing powers to just take care of Zito…

"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on May 2, 2008 9:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I will not critic methods only resaults were the Pasta Arm if concerned.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 2, 2008 9:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

I remember the good start in Milwaukee when he also hit a homerun, but the last St. Louis start I remember he was absolutely torched in a key game for the Giants. It was the first game of an important road trip and it was literally homerun derby. I think Duncan got him twice and everyone else got him once. Hennessey might be the only worse choice on the roster than Zito.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on May 2, 2008 8:50 PM PDT reply actions  

i guess it was 2005

i remember the HR against Milwaukee and him shutting down the cards twice….quite a while ago, but i’d rather see him have a chance than a Yabu or any of the mediocre lot in Fresno

by slojoe on May 2, 2008 10:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

was that the game

Schmidt pussed out on? If so, I think Hennessey may get a little pass on this. If not, then Schmidt’s still a pussy, and Hennessey should be sent down to strech his arm out to start.

by tyrannoman on May 3, 2008 8:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think that if Hennessey’s lost his fastball and command as a reliever, putting him in the rotation is maybe not the best idea right now.

If you like things that are funny, perhaps you will enjoy ChatterBalks Dot Com?

by groug on May 2, 2008 9:08 PM PDT reply actions  

Be logical.

See how far that has gotten us durring the Sabean era Giants.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 2, 2008 9:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

he looks terrible

He’s lucky to get in a full inning thus far, much less going 6. If Zitoooo hadn’t been so terrible and Lowry and/or Correia were ok, he’d be long gone by now.

by natteringnabob on May 2, 2008 10:06 PM PDT reply actions  

Brad

Why didn’t the Giants trade Brad last summer when he was hot? I was certainly recommending they do so at the time.

Either the Giants really don’t see this stuff, or all the other teams DO and make the Giants feel they are lowballing them, when in fact they are perhaps making an accurate offer for Brad’s ability.

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 12:35 AM PDT reply actions  

Rog, you say this alot about alot of different guys. I think we should call the Phillies right now and ask them for Chase Utley. He’s hot, they should trade him!!

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on May 3, 2008 4:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

And when Utley cools down,

he’s still a great player.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 3, 2008 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

You're absolutely right

Yes, Chase probably isn’t as good as he has shown thus far this season. I kind of doubt he’ll hit 60 homers. But as you say, rfloh, even when he cools down he almost certainly will remain arguably the best second baseman in the game.

A year ago Brad got off to a very hot start after, frankly, appearing lucky to put up the numbers he had over his career. After giving up a single run in each of his first two appearances last season, he yielded only three more runs through May 23rd and stayed hot through the end of August.

I said in May of last season that the Giants should traded everyone who was making over a million dollars per season (basically all the veterans) and specificially mentioned Hennessey, Matt Morris and Noah Lowry as pitchers who were pitching over their heads and whose trade value would likely never be higher.

Mark is well aware of this, since he is a regular on the Giants board on which I posted these things. And he makes a good point. Just because you want to trade a player doesn’t mean you can get what you want for him.

But the whole idea is to buy low and sell high. If a player has a chance to help you and is undervalued by his present club, try to acquire him. If you have a player who might be of interest to ANY other team and whose value you believe is as high as it is likely to become, try to deal him.

Now maybe the Giants DID try to trade these guys and just couldn’t get anything. But my problem is that the Giants seem to be sabermetrically challenged and often don’t have a clue as to whether a player is playing below, at or above his true level.

Fortunately the Giants WERE able to deal Matt Morris, who has now been released by the Pirates despite making something akin to $9 million this season. But they were lucky to do so, and it may have been the last deal the Pirates GM Littlefield made before being fired this past winter.

Might the Giants not have been able to get a little more than a player they themselves would release this April had they dealt Matt when his ERA was below 3.00 instead of waiting until it exceeded 4.00? Given Lowry’s problems later in 2007 and now this season, wouldn’t they have been well-served to deal him before the trade deadline? Hennessey had a pretty good season in 2007, particularly up until September. But not he no longer looks like a major leaguer (although I’m sure he will improve from his present 11.00+ ERA). Wouldn’t the Giants have been ahead of the game had they traded him a year ago?

So, really, is it more a problem that the Giants are sabermetrically or planning-challenged or that the other teams are becoming sabermetrically savvy? I’ve got to believe there are at least a FEW teams out there that remain as ignorant as the Giants. It isn’t likely that the Giants are the dumbest team in baseball.

If one made a realistic evaluation of the 2007 Giants prior to the season, as many of us did, he realized that most of the Giants’ hitters would have to have near-career seasons in order for them to hit well enough to be serious contenders for the NL West. When they got off to a slow start teamwise, it didn’t take a rocket scientist to realize 2007 wasn’t their year and that it was time to accelerate the transition from veteran to young team.

The Giants were able to trade Morris and Mark Sweeney, but what about the other half dozen or so players who should have been gone? Steve Kline wasn’t paid much. Couldn’t the Giants have gotten SOMETHING for him before the deadline, providing an opening for a guy like Pat Misch and saving salary? Dave Roberts bounced back well from injury last season. With Freddie Lewis, Nate Schierholtz, John Bowker, Dan Ortmeier and later Rajai Davis looking for playing time, couldn’t the Giants have eaten some of Dave’s salary and trade him to a team looking for a fourth outfielder who could step into the starting lineup if needed?

The Giants don’t seem to realize that the (sometimes ridiculous) salaries they commit to are sunk costs. Yes, if the player performs as well as the Giants expected when they signed him, that player could be traded at full salary. But if the player were performing as well as they expected, they likely wouldn’t be looking to trade him anyway—especially if their other signees were playing to the (perhaps unrealistic) expectations the Giants had upon making the signings.

If the player bombs out, his salary commitments become fixed costs. The way one gets rich is to ride his winners and cut his losses. The Giants seem to have little idea of this concept, which becomes truly important when they also have a hard time evaluating which players to sign and what amount they should be willing to pay.

Let’s put it this way: If the Giants were a publicly traded stock, would you have bought them anytime in the past three or four years? Perhaps if you were looking for a write off, something the Giants appear to be looking for when they sign some of these guys but which they seems to refuse to acknowledge later when their decisions turns out to be - dare I say it - Zitoish? :)

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Interesting thought

Why would you choose the only pitcher on the roster who might be worse than Zito as the one who ought to get his start?

by taliesin on May 3, 2008 1:30 AM PDT reply actions  

You know

You know, it seems counterintuitive, but as crazy as it seemed when I first read it, I believe I WOULD give Brad a start - on May 10th. The Giants sent Barry Zito to the bullpen not only to get him out of the rotation, but more importantly to try go get him straightened out. Why not extend his stay in the pen for another week or so by allowing Hennessey to try to straighten himself with a start? Change can be a GOOD thing - just ask Kevin Correia.

I’m not suggesting the Giants leave Brad as a starter long term, but since the Giants need a starter on May 10th, since Kevin Correia won’t yet be off the disabled list and since the Giants might want to give Zito more of a break from starting than essentially merely missing one start, why not give Brad a shot at getting himself in order?

Remember, if Brad gets hot again, maybe the Giants can trade him as they should have done in 2007. :)

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

I was just looking at Hennessey’s stats on Baseball Reference and noticed that he gave up 31 hits in 13 innings. I thought it might’ve been a mistake so I checked ESPN. Nope, it’s correct. Holy crap.

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 3, 2008 1:49 AM PDT reply actions  

It’s all BABIP.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on May 3, 2008 1:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

where can one find BABIP?

Adopted papa of a bouncing new waiver wire 27 year old. Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on May 3, 2008 7:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3720&position=P

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on May 3, 2008 7:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

googling I also found "firstinning"

the number are a little different there. funky.

http://firstinning.com/players/Brad-Hennessey-a/?trend=era

Adopted papa of a bouncing new waiver wire 27 year old. Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on May 3, 2008 7:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

That’s weird. Anyway, in both sites his BABIP is beyond crazy.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on May 3, 2008 8:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I know

I’m pretty confident that Hennessey can bounce back to decency. It’s just a crazy number. Plus it’s a palindrome!

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 3, 2008 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bingo!

Bingo, Natto. I agree with you that if Brad were throwing BATTING PRACTICE, he wouldn’t be giving up this many hits. He WILL get better (perhaps quickly if the Giants give him that start the other poster suggested). But just as it is predictable that he will get better now, it was predictable in 2007 that he was going to get worse. Isn’t that PRECISELY when you want to trade a guy—right when you feel his value is at its highest?

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

I seem to recall

more than one inning where he couldn’t even pitch an entire inning. Those add up in the stats. If anything, he’s looked worse than the numbers- I remember being surprised his ERA was so low last time I saw it; I bet a lot of his runs are buried in some of the others’ numbers.

by natteringnabob on May 3, 2008 6:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’d rather they bring up some kid than give Hennessey a shot. He simply doesn’t deserve it. You get rewarded for being bombed all year by being moved into the rotation??

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on May 3, 2008 4:49 AM PDT reply actions  

Don't

Don’t move Brad into the rotation. Just give him that May 10th start so he can change his psychology and gear up for it, hopefully breaking out of his present pattern. How much could it hurt? Remember, Brad actually had 19 saves last season, so it’s not as if he has never accomplished anything.

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

You Only Do It If

You are a believer that once a season the Baseball Gods do something truly improbable for you and you are willing to take a peek at whether this might be it - bullpen bust to starting stud despite lack of stuff would certainly qualify as truly improbable

by NearestNorwich on May 3, 2008 5:21 AM PDT reply actions  

BABIP of 512

and a K/9 of 6.19. BB/9 3.29. K/BB 2.

The dude has been UNLUCKY.

He dun hees job.

Adopted papa of a bouncing new waiver wire 27 year old. Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on May 3, 2008 7:52 AM PDT reply actions  

I’m kind of old fashioned when it comes to stats. If I’m watching the game and he’s being smacked around the yard, and his ERA is as high as Cheech and Chong in those old movies, I generally don’t place alot of stock in any stat that tells me he’s good, but he’s been “unlucky.” Does this BABIP take into consideration how hard the balls are being hit that he’s throwing?? It would seem to me that if guys are hitting over .500 on balls put into play that’s because they’re hitting them over outfielder’s heads and into gaps. I don’t mean to knock all these new stats that have come out in recent years, because some of them are truly remarkable, but I still believe that nothing tops actually watching the game and drawing conclusions that are seen with your own eyes.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on May 3, 2008 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

my impression from a few of innings was that every hanging breaking ball was smacked. he never “got away with one”. but he still is getting some strikeouts, and a time he hasn’t “had his stuff.”

but indeed he has got 13 IP, and 12 doubles. that would seem to indicate some gap shots. but i do remember a few luck shots and dying quails in there. in any case 13 innings pitched is also a small sample. especially for a guy like Henn that I consider a streaky piticher. two good starts, two blowups. 17 straight saves, 5 straight BS.

BABIP doesn’t count how HR and BBs, so it can cover some other deficiencies. but he hasn’t been walking everyone, and allowed only one HR. but i should note that he has been UNLUCKY and SUCKY. combined it looks ATROCIOUS. but atrocious is unfair, imo.

Hennessey has certainly been smacked around, and his ERA reflects it, and our memories recall it. but he’s also been unlucky. i think he has a better chance to turn it around quickly than Zito. if there is a spot start between now and May 10th, I can see a Yabu/Henn colabo. with 3-5 decent innnings between now and then Henn probably does get the start.

Adopted papa of a bouncing new waiver wire 27 year old. Castillo hits doubles.

by kennv on May 3, 2008 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

Unlucky & Sucky? Sounds like the traditional Giants starter from 1970 to arround 2006 to me.

Other then that you both make sound logical points here. Fortunately we should have a couple more weeks for events to unfold before this might have to be made.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 3, 2008 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t mean to knock all these new stats that have come out in recent years, because some of them are truly remarkable, but I still believe that nothing tops actually watching the game and drawing conclusions that are seen with your own eyes.

True. But sometimes your eyes deceive you. The fact is, even the most knowledgeable fan, using only his memory, can’t tell the difference between a guy who hit 144 for 496 and a guy who hit 123 for 519 over the course of a season. The first player hit .290, the second .241.

That’s why we look at stats. You know that, and you just used one: “his ERA is as high as Cheech and Chong in those old movies”. If you agree that we need stats, then why not use as many as possible?

Hennessey does have a very high ERA. But the question is why. By looking at his peripherals (and yes, by watching games) we see that he’s striking out an OK amount of batters. He’s not walking many. He’s not allowing HRs. He’s inducing more ground balls than fly balls. He’s not giving up a large amount of line drives. The only reason his ERA is that high is because of his Batting Average on balls in play.

There have been many discussions about a pitcher’s ability to control BABIP. Some say a pitcher doesn’t have any control over it. Some say he does. Some say he does, but the sample size is large enough only over a few seasons. What I can assure is that over 13.2 innings, BABIP is meaningless. Really:

Lincecum, who, we can all agree, is a much better pitcher this year than he was last year, and is currently one of the best pitchers in the league, has a BABIP of .352, compared to .295 last year, and bad enough for third worst in the majors. Gavin Floyd, a pretty bad pitcher, who has a career BABIP of .293, is currently leading the majors with a BABIP of .170.

It’s not like we’re saying that Hennessey’s “good but just unlucky” . He’s not having a great season, has lost a couple of MPH of his fastball, and frankly, he’s never been that good to begin with.

It’s just that he’s, well, not that bad.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on May 3, 2008 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’m not discounting the use of stats, I’m just saying I discount the ones that contradict the conclusions that I’ve reached watching the games. When it comes to Hennessey, any stat that doesn’t tell me he’s been horrible is not valid.

Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment

by rxmeister on May 3, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, let's judge his horridness

on 13 IP. That is beyond ridiculous.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 3, 2008 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

You and I differ

You and I differ, Mark. When the stats don’t back up what I have observed in games, my learning process truly begins. Is it the stats that are wrong—or is it, could it POSSIBLY be that my judgment is off? You say you discount the stats that don’t support your “scouting.” I embrace them.

Are the stats off?

Is my scouting off?

Does the truth lie in between somewhere?

When my scouting and the stats agree, life is simple. When they don’t agree, it gets both challenging and interesting. I realize the stats are likely more objective than I am. That doesn’t mean they are correct. But it may mean that if I discount them, I am showing an ego that the analysis process usually doesn’t benefit from.

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

So you only use stats that tell you that your first assumption is correct. Then why use any stats at all?

I didn’t even use any Sabermetrics or anything. I’m not talking VORP or QERA. I’m talking about strikeouts and walks and home runs and line drives and ground balls, all things you can notice while watching the games.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on May 4, 2008 5:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

He's allowing 16.7% percent of his balls in play

as line drives. League average in the NL is 19%, team average for the Giants is also 19%. So using line drives allowed as a proxy for being “hit hard’, he’s not being “hit hard”.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 3, 2008 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

The stats

The stats don’t say that Brad is good. They merely say he isn’t as bad as he has shown so far this season—just as last year they showed he wasn’t as GOOD as he appeared to be pitching.

It has been my experience that people who put down stats usually don’t fully understand them. Stats aren’t infallible—but they are a very nice aid to scouting, particularly since most of us aren’t good scouts.

by sharksrog on May 3, 2008 4:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

.

I want to see Merkin soon assuming a SP roll

by ejdacanay on May 3, 2008 8:51 PM PDT reply actions  

Maybe

But only assuming it’s a roll of 16 or higher.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on May 3, 2008 9:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

I roll 20s, sucka.

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 4, 2008 2:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

Heh.

I roll 700s.

700×28 c

Aaron "Swag" Rowand

by victor frankenstein on May 4, 2008 6:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Brad Hennessey

SF organization needs to determine what to do with Hennessey. In this weekend’s series in Philly SF used ever pitcher on the staff but three. One, Jonathan Sanchez was not scheduled to start until Tuesday. Another one, Barry Zito, is under construction. And lastly, Brad Hennessey. All three games were very close and went extra innings however when Bochy went to the pen he called on Taschner 3 games. Yabu, Chulk, Wilson, and Walker each pitched in two games. Valdez pitched in one game. Where was Hennessey? Was he the long man? Then what is Zito doing?

What does SF do when Threets comes off the DL? How about when Correia returns? Does SF have no faith in Hennessey? If SF has no faith in Henny then look to AAA and AA where Hinshaw, Sadler, Matos and Romo are doing well.

by wilriv21 on May 4, 2008 8:31 PM PDT reply actions  

There are a couple baseball myths the I really hate.

The always have a righty / lefty match up in the later innings. And Giving a guy playing time "to increase is trade value." However I look at Hennessy and I would be willing to concede – for now- the later might logically apply. If he is just in a slump of sorts and manages to stop his filling out his application form for his outings becoming an EPA super fund site he could return something rather useful.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 6, 2008 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

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