McCovey Chronicles: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Spencer Hall's Sports Meme Power Rankings

The Zitoenix! Kind of!

The headline:

Giants like Zito's look in return

The first sentence:

Barry Zito returned to the Giants' rotation Wednesday, and for the first time in weeks he looked like he belonged there.

Am I delusional for buying into the optimism? Because I kind of did, even before I read this story. The curve was snappy, and the fastball was in the 85-87 range. He set up hitters well, though his changeup did get walloped around a bit.

But I know that I shouldn't buy into the optimism. That would taint my international reputation as one of the finest baseball minds alive. I have to stay strong.

What if, though? What if? What if Zito tinkered with his mechanics over the last two weeks to give him a mile on his fastball and the missing snap from his curve? What if, instead of the love child of Jaime Navarro and Dave Matthews, Zito becomes a decent end-of-the-rotation guy? That's not too greedy, right?

Now that I've filled my rhetorical question quota for the week, I can come back to reality. Zito did have a quality start, yes. He actually got a few hitters to swing through his pitches. But he'll never have perfect command. He'll never have a strong enough fastball to challenge hitters. The best realistic scenario is for Zito to sprinkle a few of these starts into this bag of awful.

Did you see that curve, though? It's been a while since we've seen it. Dare I say that a he made a hitter or two look foolish?

I was going to close with yet another allusion to The Shawshank Redemption and bring up the final "hope" speech that Red gives as a voiceover once he reaches the beach in Mexico. But no one here really things there's a Zihuatanejo beach at the end of this tale. It'd be a better analogy if the hope speech were given as a montage over video clips of Andy Dufresne beating Super Metroid. Like, wow, that's neat that he was able to make the best of a reprehensible situation. Hooray for hope! Kind of!

Comment starter: What would it take to not feel completely hopeless regarding the Zito situation? A month of quality pitching? A half-season? One more start?

0 recs  |  Comment 53 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

It's all relative

Barry Zito has improved dramatically from his horrible start. Willing to have him pitch like an end of the rotation guy for another couple of weeks as he gets comfortable. Eventually want him to start earning some “W”s and money.

by wilriv21 on May 13, 2008 11:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Comment starter: What would it take to not feel completely hopeless regarding the Zito situation?

Not to be a downer, but nothing is going to make me feel better about Zito. He’s thrown “well” over these last two starts but how sad is it that we’re grasping for positive straws after just 11 innings of baseball?

The loss of velocity, command, and seemingly pitch quality make me think that whatever Zito gives us, is what we’ll get. Regardless of how good or bad it is.

by xanthan on May 13, 2008 11:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with xanthan

To not feel completely hopeless, Brian Sabean would have to be fired. Then I would at least have the hope, even if it’s misplaced, that we’d never do such a foolish thing again.

Your 2011 SF Giants: the 2008 Augusta Greenjackets!

by Lyle on May 13, 2008 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

At this point, I’m just hoping Zito can be a solid #5 starter for a few years. So last night was very encouraging.

by Evan on May 13, 2008 12:02 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If Zito can actually pitch into the 7th inning at least twice this season (remember, he was partially signed to be an “innings eater”), I’ll move back from the narrow ledge and onto the slightly wider ledge.

Eagerly awaiting Crazy Crab Bobblehead Night on 7/18.

by Kitspool on May 13, 2008 12:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

About 2-3 months of constantly showing he has learned how to pitch in the slow lane ( ala Jamie Moyer or Rich Reushel) then I might reconsider.

Big speed differentials between pitches without tipping too much which pitch is coming. Constant control enough to routinely spot the batting practice fastball. That kind of stuff. Tell then he is strictly canon fodder/reclamation project.

" Their still Shitty" - Major Leagues the movie.
I am a Giants fan. Thus I enjoy my pain. Currently enjoying it more then usual.

by daveinexile on May 13, 2008 12:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think

I don’t think it was EVER hopeless with Barry. He’s a bright, if sensitive guy.

When the Giants signed Barry I believed it might not be long before he was only their #4 starter (behind Lincecum, Cain and perhaps Sanchez). Even now I believe he could return to the form of being a #3 (meaning an ERA between 4.00 and 4.50).

As for when we could have begun to take encouragement, I would think it was with his first start back. His 5/2 K/BB ratio was easily his best of the season. Now he has followed it up with a modest 2/1 ratio last night. But given that before he was skipped for one start his K/BB ratio was an horrendous 11/15, I would say his 7/3 ratio since his return is encouraging.

We might not want to forget that after he pitched an inning in relief last August, Barry was something like 3.26 the rest of the way last season.

I don’t think we should be getting overly excited about an averagish pitcher. But I don’t think we should give up on him, either.

Who knows, maybe he will pitch well enough for the Giants to trade him! :)

by sharksrog on May 13, 2008 12:20 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

+1

Zito looked very encouraing last night, and gives me hope.

I was hopeless until his last start. Now, after last night – I am cautiously hopeful.

If it wasn’t for Berkman, Zito very easily pitches 7 shutout innings last night. He was doing pretty well.

Or, 7 innings one 1 run baseball.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on May 13, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My name is Hairball

And I approve of this message.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on May 13, 2008 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

As Kitspool says above, if Zito starts being an actual innings eater, I thing I would be OK with it. We can’t have the bullpen coming in early for all of his games.

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 13, 2008 12:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

On a somewhat unrelated note, Shawn Estes is making his first start in two years for the Pads, as if they couldn’t fall any further.

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 13, 2008 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My wife is a passionate Pads fan

Our house is gloomy when they play.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on May 13, 2008 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well there's your problem.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on May 13, 2008 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zito to the Padres?

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on May 13, 2008 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think they soured on "Uncle Barry" a while back

But he is from that area, and before the suckage started, they all wanted him.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on May 13, 2008 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

AND HE WON THE GAME

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on May 14, 2008 2:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also, he should only pitch in May.

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 13, 2008 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And only against the Twins.

Delaying the disappointment: I adopt Hector Sanchez because he's only 17.

by tedfordfan on May 13, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He needs his command

He has no out pitch. He got ahead of a lot of hitters before working the count full because he can’t get them out when they’re hitting to protect.

When his command was on (earlier in the game) he was inducing a lot of ground balls with the curveball and change-up and the hitters looked off balance. Once his command was gone he couldn’t put hitters away and they’d foul balls off until he made a mistake.

by fwoty oz on May 13, 2008 1:15 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I should mention...

I still have faith. He’s notoriously a slow starter and I do believe if he can find consistent command he can be league average if not slightly above.

by fwoty oz on May 13, 2008 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zito is not Matt Morris

He may have the awful record, but I still think he’s got potential to be alright (see sharksrog comment above).

I hated the last stretch with Matt Morris. Just like I hate, hate, hated it with Armando. With Zito, I feel like he can get back on track. I try not to think about the money, because I’m not a fan of the San Francisco Business Transactions, I’m a fan of Giants baseball.

You know how with Matt Cain, when he struggles (as he’s done this year), we all pull for him anyway, and we kind of don’t mind as much, because we know he’s got the skills to pay the bills? Well, somehow, at least today (admittedly, I wouldn’t always be so sunny about this), I feel just a teeny bit of that with Zito. I think he’s in the process right now of earning all our trust. He’s struggling through it, and if he emerges positively, he’ll have made fans out of a number of people. That is, to me, the silver lining of this situation.

Remember: he’s young, he’s got a crazy curveball and at least he doesn’t historically have the same BB problems that Lowry and even Cain have had. He can be a different kind of good than Caincecum, and sandwiched between them, a decent Zito slowballer could be a lot for other teams to handle.

{/irrational optimism}

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on May 13, 2008 1:18 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Remember: he’s young, he’s got a crazy curveball and at least he doesn’t historically have the same BB problems that Lowry and even Cain have had

Well, he turned 30 today, I’m not sure how young you can say he is. He’s not ancient for sure but young? And historically, Zito has always had worse than league average control when looking by BB% and it’s been slightly trending upward.

I’m not trying to single you out or anything, but when Matt Cain struggles he’s got upside that Zito doesn’t have anymore. Even when struggling, Cain is doing pretty much everything better than Zito with the added bonus that he might get better.

With Zito, we have to hope that he can turn himself into Greg Maddux - which every pitcher in the history of the game wishes he could do - or he’s going to have a really hard time succeeding in the bigs. It’s almost like saying if only I could hit 500ft dingers I might make it in the majors when I don’t have the tools to do so. I don’t know, I just can’t see Zito legitimately turning it around anytime soon. He’s thrown “well” over the last 11 innings but I’m still not sold.

Skeptical of me? Maybe, but I’d like to also think I’m realistic. You guys can agree or disagree with the latter.

by xanthan on May 13, 2008 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also,

I’m loving the only 1 walk. 8 baserunners in 6 innings is very decent.

If he could’ve pitched 1 more inning with the same line otherwise I’d be stoked.

by fwoty oz on May 13, 2008 1:23 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

THIS is what needs to happen.

And really, Grant needs to have a big interview with Paul, write about it here, get KNBR to have him on, and start a campaign to hire him, whether or not that means getting Sabean fired first.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 13, 2008 1:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I would post this on a Diary, or Fanshot, or whatever the hell they are called now, but really, doesn’t that article deserve the main post section? I think it does.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 13, 2008 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We've all read it.

Just because he says it, doesn’t mean he is right.

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on May 13, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, but Sabean’s alternative plan is to decide who has the most gamer-ness or something, because Sabean hates science.

Do I really think that Zito can get a 92 mph fastball? No, I don’t, and neither should you. But these are the kinds of things that the organization should be learning. What they do now is throw their hands up and say stupid shit about “oh, he’s feeling more confidence now,” and “he just needs to hit his spots” blah blah blah.

It isn’t likely, even though Zito once had a better delivery with more velocity, that he could instantly return to throwing like that. But the organization should be aware that these are the kinds of things that can be done in the offseason, spring training, or during DL stints to help improve their players.

This organization seems intent on being deliberately ignorant, and as a consequence, look where the team is now!

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 13, 2008 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What they do now is throw their hands up and say stupid shit about "oh, he’s feeling more confidence now," and "he just needs to hit his spots" blah blah blah.

No, no, no, no! He needs to get “more aggressive in the zone”. Forget that hitters are only swinging and missing at his offerings 9% of the time. What he needs is more aggressiveness!

by xanthan on May 13, 2008 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah. He just needs to blow that 81 mph fastball by hitters.

I think Zito understands that he is falling apart more than the team does. As I understand it, he is the one that actually wanted to change his delivery but was discouraged from doing so by the team.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 13, 2008 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, something has caused him to pick up 2-3 mph in his last 2 starts

Don’t think the FO isn’t looking for any possible way to “fix” Zito. Someone has obviously Identified something that’s helped. They are trying, I assure you.

I don’t want to discredit Newman, and he may very well be right (he does have some credability). But he presents very little actual evidence beyond some still’s from two video clips.

What he is defining as a change in delivery could very well be the difference between Zito’s delivery in the 1st inning and the 7th as opposed to 2000 and 2008. I hope that he has looked at video from hundreds of pitches from each sample set to really identify the changes, because they are so subtle.

That “evidence” he then surrounds with a bunch of intelligent sounding opinion. He may be totally right – but nothing he has presented there proves it. The most solid thing he has there is the mechanical analysis of the linkage, but nothing to really prove that Zito’s arm has somehow become “disconnected”.

It’s an interesting article, but I could sit down with some film and create some still’s and produce something very similar, and I don’t know shit about pitching mechanics.

I hope he’s right…

Eugeniooooooo!!!!

by FairweatherFan on May 13, 2008 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't say he picked up 2-3 mph yet

For 3 reasons:

1) Often you see a guy throw a tiny bit harder on longer than normal rest. They skipped a start of his, so he’s a little more well-rested. Remember when Hennessey first went to the pen and started throwing 94mph all of a sudden? That didn’t last, and Zito’s slightly-increased velocity may not either.

2) Speed guns are notoriously inconsistent, and depending on what channel you’re watching you could get different readings.

3) I saw a bunch of 84’s mixed in there, too. An 87mph fastball every now and again doesn’t really mean that’s how hard he throws, it’s more about where he can be consistently. Until he can repeat that as needed, I see it as more of an abberation or “adrenaline fastball” in a big spot. It’s nice to see (I can’t believe I’m actually saying that about an 87mph fastball), but not evidence that he’s “solved” anything just yet.

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on May 13, 2008 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well..

84-87 is better than 82-84. But I agree with you, I thought in his second start his velocity would be back down, but we’ll have to see with the 3rd start.

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on May 14, 2008 9:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

That’s when I knew this signing would be disastrous and not merely ill-advised—when Zito showed up at Spring Training with a new delivery. Who does that? Who signs a record-breaking contract, then immediately changes the method which brought them the success that got them the contract? I say only a guy who knows he’s on the decline, and is already worried that he can’t give the team what they’re paying for.

He knew he wasn’t throwing hard enough anymore to have the same kind of success he enjoyed in the past, and came up with a new delivery to throw harder. I can only imagine what the team thought when they saw this (“Gee, you couldn’t have mentioned the fact you felt like you needed to completely changing your mechanics before we made the deal?”)

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on May 13, 2008 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 13, 2008 1:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Ha, I’m lazy, I just photoshopped his head on top of where Durham’s was.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 13, 2008 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Horrible Photoshopping FTW!

And that’s not an insult. I do most of my “photoshopping” in MS Paint!

The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."

by WalrusMan on May 13, 2008 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

completely off topic

Just saw a video clip of Frederick’s opposite field RBI double last night off a slow Oswalt curveball on the outside part of the plate. Yowza!

by non sequitur on May 13, 2008 1:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I hate to disagree with Natto, but . . .

I’m not sure if Zito will ever again be an innings-eater. He got through the first four innings last night fairly well, but by the fifth inning he was getting his pitches up. Then in the sixth, it got worse until Berkman put him out of his misery. He escaped, but the damage was done. We could argue whether or not he could have been left in there for the 7th, or even the 6th, but once he starts leaving his junk up in the zone in the middle innings the car accident is about to happen.

It’s possible that Zito may be nothing more than a 5-inning pitcher the rest of this season and beyond, and than assumes he makes it out of the first inning. Since he appears healthy, we have to assume that the problem with his rising pitches isn’t health-related but simply an inability to maintain stuff low in the zone. Sure, the curve can still move a great deal, but it doesn’t seem he can control the rest of his pitches when he gets to the middle innings.

by Buck Henry on May 13, 2008 2:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

He is his own worst enemy, and I do agree with others who want to know whether Zito wants to make changes that aren’t supported by the team.

by Buck Henry on May 13, 2008 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

IIRC, he was already at about 75 pitches in the 6th before he ran off the tracks. Yes, he had a good 2:1 strike-to-ball ratio as he headed into that inning, but he was playing with fire in getting those pitches up, and he got tagged.

by Buck Henry on May 13, 2008 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree. If he’s going to be useful, it’s going to be as a five-inning pitcher. His stuff just isn’t good enough to get him through the lineup more than twice.

by Evan on May 13, 2008 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I never said that he would become one

There’s an if!

SAVE_US.RAY
Nattowear: now featuring new crap!

by Natto on May 13, 2008 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Understood

“If” he ever became an innings-eater, good for 7 innings an outing, even if he gave up three runs a shot, I’d take that for $16-18 million a year as a sunk cost. I agree with you. I’m just doubtful we’ll ever see it.

by Buck Henry on May 13, 2008 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are you saying?

Are you saying that Barry has lost his appetite for innings-eating? Or merely that he’s chewing his innings longer?

by sharksrog on May 14, 2008 9:11 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The curve was snappy

Don't think, it could only hurt the ballclub.

by ResDog on May 13, 2008 2:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I know we are all grasping for something positive

But, realistically, what would make me encouraged is if Zito pitches like he has the last two games for the rest of the year. Otherwise, he’s a bad pitcher. That is the situation right now and it would take months of consistently good pitching to change that.

Only 933 games until the end of Zito's contract

by thehavenot on May 13, 2008 5:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

first pitch strikes?

has he started throwing that cutter yet? slow, straight fastballs get hit. a lot.

Bengie Molina: stretching doubles into singles since 1998.

by jasomack on May 13, 2008 11:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about San Francisco Giants.
Start posting about the Giants »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Affeldt_small
McCovey Chronicles Christmas Cards
Dnw_small
MCC Recipe Swap & Food Talk Jamboree
Small
What I Would Do With the Roster

Recent FanPosts

Img_3997_small
Brett Pill tearing up Venezuela...Bowker apparently scared of the country and going home
Small
Lincecum's Ks - A Very Basic Question on Judgement of Pitching Savvy
Small
Could the Giants get any Compensation Picks?
Shadow_grad_small
We're interested in Uggla...
Lucy-liu_small
Giants add four to 40-man roster
Timmy_avatar_small
Expansion Teams / Relocation Discussion
Howtheyscoredcat_small
Lincecum Arbitration Results Prediction Thread!
Panda_bubble_small
First Baseman of the future
Timmy_avatar_small
Downloadable Game Broadcasts?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SPONSORS


Overlord

174246766_ea2fd78204_small Grant

Minions

Fawlty_small WalrusMan

Dog2_small kenshin1

Lincecum_small Natto

Howtheyscoredcat_small howtheyscored

Goofus_small Goofus

Det_7193_small jponry

Minor League Guru

Small steve S