Liriano sent down to AAA
Francisco Liriano was sent back down to the minors following both Tommy John surgery and an 11.32 ERA start. "He could be there for awhile."
http://www.startribune.com/sports/twins/18220564.html
All of a sudden I'm feeling like the worst trade ever could turn out to be simply a normal just bad one. Nathan and Bonser for Pierzynski doesn't look that horrid given their performances since the trade.
The parts that make it bad are that AJP didn't play that way for *us* and that Nathan's success as a closer had a lot of uncertainty considering he wasn't even tried that way before.
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
0 recs |
81
comments
Comments
We’ll just have to see how Liriano heals up. Some guys make it back from TJ surgery faster than others. You’re right about Nathan and Bonser, however. Nathan was a total experiment that went right. Guardado was slated to be the closer, as I recall. It’s too bad AJ was such a complete dickhead. He could’ve been a good player here.
by tyrannoman on Apr 28, 2008 8:16 AM PDT 0 recs
Nathan had already showed signs
of being a good reliever even with limited pitching exp…..
and though Sabean likes to pretend that Liriano was an absolute surprise, they did give him a $750.000
signing bonus and he was playing against competition 2-3 years older than him when he was at Hagerstown and S.J, so it couldnt have been a total shock….only other recent SF prospect that far ahead was Matt Cain….(and the Big V, of course)
by slojoe on
Apr 28, 2008 9:51 AM PDT
up
0 recs
you’re right, Nathan had shown signs of being a good reliever, but I ddn’t expect him to blossom the way he did. I don’t think Lirano was a complete surprise, but I he did have injury issues before the trade, so I thought it made sense. Until AJ flamed out.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 10:14 AM PDT
up
0 recs
The thing that makes trading Nathan so bad
The team needed a closer heading into 2004. They patched the closer role with Tim Worrell in 2003 and even he was gone heading into 2004. That’s why trading away Nathan was so stupid.
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 11:59 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I have to admit
I thought Herges would step right in and be a solid, if unspectacular closer. He even went all of spring training without giving up a run, and I was excited. Don’t think I’ve ever been that wrong before or since.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 1:16 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I too thought Herges would work in the role
Herges had been a decent pitcher up until that point. However, the Giants didn’t have very many decent pitchers in their bullpen heading into 2004, so trading away someone who had a very good 2003 out of the pen, particularly with how the Giants bullpen had been shaping up that off-season, was just plain stuperific
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 1:55 PM PDT
up
0 recs
They also had a gaping hole behind the plate because they just were not going to squeeze one more year out of Benito. They gave up very good talent to get a good catcher, but he fell flat on his face and F’d it all up.
I do understand what you’re saying, and agree with a lot of it, but if AJ would’ve not been such a jackass the trade wouldn’t look nearly as bad now.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 2:01 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I really think that Torrealba plus a decent platoon partner would have been sufficient
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 2:07 PM PDT
up
0 recs
maybe. I’ve always like Yorvit a little too much, and tend to overvalue him. I guess I’m just saying I understand the motivation behind the trade, but hate the result.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 2:18 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Another factor that people don't really talk about
Sabean should have been dealing from a position of strength. Everybody knew that the Pierzynski was expendable because Mauer was getting the starting job that season.
Instead, it looked like it was Sabean who was desperate instead of his trading partner.
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 2:29 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Torrealba might have cost them a game or two...
...but Nathan closing instead of Herges/Hermanson would have more than made up for it.
Part of the calculation that made Nathan expendable was the belief that Nen was going to return in 2004. Obviously nobody knew for sure that he was done for good, but in hindsight it looks a little bit like resigning your 41-year-old shortstop and assuming that he was going to stay healthy all season and need no credible backup. There seems to be no reasonable contingency planning at all.
2008: My previous assessment may have been overly optimistic.
by EliminateMe on
Apr 28, 2008 3:32 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Just speculation, but I really don’t thank Nathan would’ve matured into the closer role here. I think the change of scenery was as good for Nathan as it was bad for AJ. I remember thinking at the time that it was an okay trade, and I really liked Nathan and hated that Alou jerked him out of the playoff game against Florida.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 29, 2008 12:11 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Dickhead?
I’m not sure what you mean when you say that AJP was the above. I could never understand how the G-Men could
give up so much for the guy and then send him on his way for NOTHING. It must have been pretty bad but I don’t
really know how bad. Seemed to me that he had a pretty decent bat when he was here. Can you enlighten me?
by lettinitfly on Apr 28, 2008 9:05 AM PDT 0 recs
His actions and maturity in the clubhouse left a lot to be desired, according to a lot of folks in close contact with the team. He and Tomko had it out because AJ wanted to play cards rather than go over the opposing lineup, he kneed former trainer Stan Conte in the gonadial area after he took a shot from a foul ball. I think it was Henry Schulman from the chron who made the comment that the first time a player gets traded, some don’t handle it well and AJ was one of those (I’m paraphrasing0. The fact the Giants’ cut bait on him so quickly shows how poorly he reacted.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 9:27 AM PDT
up
0 recs
He also hit into a billion double plays that year, causing some early-season booing which he didn’t react well to.
I was THE GREATEST OF ALL TIME (for 3 days in 1995).
by Mike Benjamin Hit King on
Apr 28, 2008 9:28 AM PDT
up
0 recs
good point. I remember hearing him complaining about the boos on Rome’s show one day.. AJ talks a lot better than he plays baseball.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 9:37 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Waitwaitwait…
He kneed Stan Conte – current Dodgers head trainer – in the groin, and fought with the pissy little bitch known as Brett Tomko… Am I the only one who doesn’t have a problem with either of these actions? Granted at the time, Conte was an okay guy, but I only judge by current transgressions.
Really, it was the constant double-plays that made me irritable with him. But in a “what have you done for me lately” kind of way, I no longer really care, so I’ve come to peace with AJ.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 28, 2008 10:19 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I think
those are just examples of what appears to be a shitty attitude overall. I’m hardly a Tomko fan, but when the starting catcher does not want to put in the time to go over lineups with a…high strung starter, it bugs me. That’s the kind of guy AJ should’ve handled with kid gloves.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 10:22 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I kid, really. He seemed like a total douche while here, but it later turned out that Tomko was at least twice the douche that AJ was. But he’s not here anymore, so it just doesn’t matter as much to me.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 28, 2008 10:43 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Didn’t Conte also go before the Mitchell Commission and toss Sabean and Magowan under the bus? And from what I’ve read, part of the reason Sabean didn’t do anything was because he told Conte if he acted on it, Bonds and his crew would know that Conte ratted him out. I’m sure most of it was the fact that he wanted to keep Barry around hitting homeruns, but part of it might have been protecting Conte.
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on
Apr 28, 2008 10:52 AM PDT
up
0 recs
If by “toss Sabean and Magowan under the bus”, you mean “told the truth under penalty of perjury,” then yes, that’s what Conte did. And Sabean didn’t do anything because Bonds was hitting home runs and being an offensive superjesus. Don’t kid yourself about any altruistic motives on his part; this was all about ignoring something he knew was going on so that the Giants could score a shitload more runs.
If you like things that are funny, perhaps you will enjoy ChatterBalks Dot Com?
by groug on
Apr 28, 2008 12:10 PM PDT
up
0 recs
still shitty
"he walked 18; new league record! Struck out 18, another new league record! He also hit the sportswriter, the PA announcer, the bull mascot twice..."
by i did my job on Apr 28, 2008 9:16 AM PDT 0 recs
knee to the groin
and rather play cards than prep for the game, GIDP machine…good riddance
by slojoe on Apr 28, 2008 9:42 AM PDT 0 recs
no doubt that Sabean lucked out with the arm problems that Liriano has had. The worst trade in the history of mankind is now just a stupid trade. Sabean pointed to Liriano’s injury history with the Giants as one of the reasons he was willing to trade him in the first place, and it has now turned out to be valid. Liriano will probably never be the same, because even if he regains full velocity he will never be able to snap off that unhittable slider again without fear of reinjury. Boof Bonser is at best a serviceable starter, and although Nathan is an elite closer, it now looks like Brian Wilson has all the tools to become one as well.
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on Apr 28, 2008 9:51 AM PDT 0 recs
Sabean points to the injury history as a reason
for trading Liriano long after the fact and i dont really believe him…..he got fleeced by Ryan, its just a convenient excuse now…...and its still early for everyone who wants to claim Liriano will never be the same again…
by slojoe on
Apr 28, 2008 9:58 AM PDT
up
0 recs
While it might be a “convenient excuse” for Sabean, it’s still very much a valid one.
Proud adoptive parent of Tim Alderson.
by Anticon23 on
Apr 28, 2008 10:14 AM PDT
up
0 recs
+1
It’s not a convenient excuse… If it’s true.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 28, 2008 10:21 AM PDT
up
0 recs
If Sabean said it NOW it would be disingenous, but Sabean always has said that this was the reason he was willing to part with Liriano and he said this before Liriano had this serious career threatening injury. Remember in those days Sabean was unloading alot of pitchers that he thought would have arm problems in the future due to their mechanics. Vogelsong and Linebrink were others he traded that he thought would break down in the future, and both did, although Linebrink recovered and has had a nice career.
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on
Apr 28, 2008 10:55 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I never heard him say it until after the injury.
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 12:02 PM PDT
up
0 recs
He did say it not to long after the trade, before Liranio was even called up.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 1:09 PM PDT
up
0 recs
i doubt he had to say a damn thing to
anyone in the media about Liriano until the middle of 2005 when it became clear the Nathan trade was going to get worse….Im not a big critic of Sabean, but on this issue he’s
lying….I think it was late 2006 on his GM show, he was still pretending like he knew very little about Liriano despite the $750,000 SB….Liriano was a converted outfielder with little pitching experience…To have the kind of success he did, facing players 2-3 yrs. older and not really know how to pitch….if they had a prospect like that now hed be Top 5 in the organization
by slojoe on
Apr 28, 2008 9:38 PM PDT
up
0 recs
It's funny...
Maybe Sabes has something against converted position players—Liriano was an OF, and both Nathan and Accardo were SS’s.
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK
by Josh from Hollywood on
Apr 29, 2008 12:42 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Look out Brad Hennessey and Nick Pereira!
"While conservatives tell you 'leave things alone and no one will lose,' and liberals tell you 'interfere a lot and no one will lose,' baseball says 'someone will lose.' Not only says it - but insists upon it! ... Democracy is lovely, but baseball's more mature." BVCE supports SF Dugout and Manny Burriss.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on
Apr 29, 2008 8:24 AM PDT
up
0 recs
someone is doing a good job there
i give Bob Stanley some credit for Accardo, B. Wilson, Taschner, and J. Sanchez…..i’ve got nothing to base it on though….maybe its just the ballpark, pitchers just seem to break out there….
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 9:33 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I’m not going to look up any sources, because I don’t have that kind of time… But I recall hearing this long before Liriano got injured.
It was still a bad idea to trade someone who started out as good as Liriano did, and to only include him as a throw-in… But if Ifs and Buts were candy and nuts, we’d all have a Merry Christmas, right?
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 28, 2008 1:30 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Okay, I'll take youse guys's word for it
I was just saying that I only heard it after the injury.
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 1:52 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Of course I could be wrong, but I think what people are referring to were the general sentiments of Liriano even before the trade. He was signed for what was our highest Latin signing bonus and had a great start, then got injured. Many prospect watchers were really excited about Liriano and were just waiting for him to come back from injury. When the trade happened, the only explanation prospect watchers had for Sabean trading him was the speculation that Liriano was injury prone, but I don’t ever remember Sabean directly addressing that, but the sentiment, I agree, was out there. So I really don’t buy this excuse. If Sabean was really concerned about his arm action leading to injury, why did they sign him in the first place. He just got taken by Ryan.
Uribe to Thompson to Clark: Don't tinker ever with chance
by tellusfrank on
Apr 28, 2008 3:20 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I'm having a helluva time with this point...
I mean, if Sabean wasn’t concerned about his arm action, why didn’t he try to get more for Liriano alone? And that should be the real question, is why didn’t we get more in return for Liriano? I’m okay with them trading an injury prone pitcher, but I think everyone can agree that he should have been valued higher than he was. And THAT was Sabean’s fault.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 28, 2008 3:37 PM PDT
up
0 recs
100% Sabean’s fault here. They sign a guy to $750,000 bonus, unprecedented for the Giants, and he wows everyone with all-world stuff. Then he gets injured. What’s the most sensible thing to do? You wait until he recovers so he can regain his value. Instead, Sabean trades him when his value is at its lowest. Was it because he thought Liriano would never recover? Then he really does make his decisions based on astrology or whatever because no one can predict something like that, at least you don’t make trades based on the assumption that a pitcher will never recover from an injury. Especially an 18 year old.
Uribe to Thompson to Clark: Don't tinker ever with chance
by tellusfrank on
Apr 28, 2008 3:48 PM PDT
up
0 recs
If Sabes was doing his job right, he wouldn’t have offered Liriano in that trade, and if the Twins asked for him additionally he should have laughed until he cried.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on
Apr 29, 2008 9:42 AM PDT
up
0 recs
+1
who in the media is going to question Sabean about a low minors guy in a trade back then? no one…outside of Villalona and maybe a few #1 picks
they dont follow that stuff….it was only after Liriano was IL -ROY in 2005,
any SF media would have even been tipped off about him, even then unlikely…
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 9:46 AM PDT
up
0 recs
its not valid because
it wasnt the factor at the time…..revisionist history to CYA for Sabean…...
who’s the equivalent pitcher in giants farm system now? $750,000 signing bonus around 2000,
whats that in todays $$??
what is that abour Fairley’s SB equivalent, $990,000? Alderson got $1.2 mil…
say Alderson puts up Liriano’s #’s up to that point and then gets hurt – do you throw him into that trade and pretend like he’s nothing?
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 10:48 AM PDT
up
0 recs
AJ Pierzynski was worth 3.5 WARP3 as a Giant.
Joe Nathan has been worth 36.2 WARP3 as a Twin.
Francisco Liriano was worth 8 WARP3 in his first two years as a Twin (-1.7 this year, but I feel like you have to give him a bit of a mulligan with the rushed return from TJ. If it continues, then you can take it into account.)
Boof Bonser has been worth 8.5 WARP 3 as a Twin.
Giants total WARP3: 3.5
Twins total WARP3: 52.7
that’s not a godawful, all-time bad trade? What? The Twins have gotten 15 times more value out of Bonser, Liriano and Nathan than the Giants got out of AJP. even if Liriano never pitches another inning for the Twins again, they’ll still have gotten twice as much value out of him alone than the Giants got out of Pierzynski.
not to mention that trading Nathan led to MATT HERGES: CLOSER and the Benitez signing.
Come on, I don’t want to beat a dead horse here, but this trade was godawful horrible for the Giants and always will be.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on Apr 28, 2008 9:56 AM PDT 2 recs
Horrible trade
but I think you have to throw a lot of the blame on AJ, as well. The guy just totally fell apart here, and he was a good player before (and after).
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 10:15 AM PDT
up
0 recs
yeah, it wasn’t just that we got one year of AJ… we got one really bad year of AJ.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on
Apr 28, 2008 10:21 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Exactly. I think you have to consider A.J.’s post-Giant performance in terms of deciding if the value proposition was fair.
It’s unfortunate the the personalities didn’t work out with the Giants, but I hold the GM more responsible for the valuations than the chemistry.
by achiappanza on
Apr 28, 2008 12:47 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Well, I do think that part of what made the trade so very unspeakably awful was the fact that we cut bait on AJ after one year.
That said, taking his White Sox years into account, he’s been worth 23.1 WARP3 since 2004, so the Twins still make out like bandits.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on
Apr 28, 2008 12:55 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I blame AJ, myself. To me, he acted like a baby. I know he played in the same organization for years, and grew up with the same group of players through the Twins minor league and was probably hurt and angry he got traded, but his actions were not those of an adult. I think he was lucky to catch on with the White Sox, and he knows it. I believe that helped him grow up quite a bit.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 1:11 PM PDT
up
0 recs
+1,000,000
Herges and Hermanson, between them, got 40 saves in 51 chances. (Hermanson was actually pretty decent, 17 of 20; Herges was 23 of 31).
That same season Nathan saved 44 of 47 for the Twins.
This is still a historically bad trade. In a “win-now” trade you expect to sacrifice possible future performance for a short term gain. This was a “win-now” trade that actually hurt the team in the short term. If the Giants hadn’t made that trade, they would very likely have gone to the playoffs in 2004.
2008: My previous assessment may have been overly optimistic.
by EliminateMe on
Apr 28, 2008 10:54 AM PDT
up
0 recs
I remember Hermanson being solid
Even the Wayne Franklin game against the Dodgers wasn’t really his fault to me – he’d pitched like 6 days in a row or something and was expected to go more than an inning. That was Felipe being Felipe and destroying the bullpen.
If you like things that are funny, perhaps you will enjoy ChatterBalks Dot Com?
by groug on
Apr 28, 2008 12:13 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I remember
Cody Ransom, being inserted for defensive reasons, blowing that game with an awful error. I don’t blame Hermanson at all for the reasons you so clearly illuminate above.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 1:14 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I dunno, Hermanson still gave up a hit and three walks that inning. I think there’s plenty of blame to go around for that fiasco.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on
Apr 28, 2008 1:30 PM PDT
up
0 recs
True, but like groug pointed out he had pitched a lot of days in a row. I was actually helping my brother in law move and we had the game on the radio. I was shocked that Hermanson could even throw the ball at that point.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 28, 2008 1:36 PM PDT
up
0 recs
i still get dont the abuse of Ransom
so the last guy on the bench, a fringe player player at best, blew the game?? there’s a shocker
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 9:49 AM PDT
up
0 recs
He was in the bigs for his defense, and misplayed a simple ground ball (perhaps a double play, but we’ll never know) into a huge error. That’s what I’m bagging on. All glove no hit guys not fielding thier position galls me. Same reason I can’t let go of my anger towards Jose Cruz Jr.
by tyrannoman on
Apr 29, 2008 12:14 PM PDT
up
0 recs
he's the last guy off the bench
hearing Miller’s call on Ransom over and over again pisses me off…bothered me that
Cruz was run out of town too, but at least he was making some $$$$, has to take some
responsibility….no one’s making errors on purpose…carelessness bothers me….like Durham only getting ready in his contract years, sitting on the bench on the DL with a big ol’ smile on his face when the team is 40 games out….
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 2:26 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Hermanson was okay...
...but he did blow the same number of saves as Nathan did, in fewer than half the chances.
2008: My previous assessment may have been overly optimistic.
by EliminateMe on
Apr 28, 2008 3:19 PM PDT
up
0 recs
agree with that
Hermanson was picked up off the scrap heap…i think he made $1-$2 mil and he had potential bonuses that he could have reached by remaining a starter, gave up for the good of the team…he pitched way over his head all year and then supposedly Sabean welched on promise to rework his contract to make up for the missed $$$
and Felipe Alou, i think he hates relief pitchers or something….i saw somethng about Felipe on PBS, seems to be an angry egotist…its too bad
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 9:58 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Boof Bonser is not a valid inclusion here. Your only argument with Bonser is that perhaps he could have done better in a trade than AJ Pierzynski, but there is no room in the Giants’ rotation for Boof Bonser. Barry Zito’s problems notwithstanding, the Giants have five starters better than Bonser with more on the way. Perhaps there is room for him in the Giants’ bullpen, but he would not be an important part of it. You can’t exactly rue the loss of his career 16-22 record and 4.73 ERA. (5.10 last year)
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on
Apr 28, 2008 11:02 AM PDT
up
0 recs
What? That makes no sense. The Twins still got more value out of Bonser than the Giants got out of Pierzynski. That’s all that matters.
And fine, take out Bonser and you get 44.2 WARP3 for the Twins. So they only get 12.6 times more value than the Giants did. Yeah, that makes it even.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on
Apr 28, 2008 11:06 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Holy misquote, Batman!!
wow, you totally twisted around what I said to make your point. Where did I say this trade was even?? The only point I was trying to make was that this was simply a bad trade, and no longer ranks up there as one of the worst of all time. Nathan is one of the best closers in the game, but Liriano is now a health question mark, and Boof Bonser is simply not very good, and his numbers bear this out. You can also make the case that this trade was made worse by Sabean giving up on AJ after one season, because AJ has been a decent player for the White Sox. If you check his production for the White Sox the last few years, could you really say that Boof Bonser is a better player than AJ is??
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on
Apr 28, 2008 11:50 AM PDT
up
0 recs
it doesn’t matter what AJ has done with the White Sox. All that matters is what the GIANTS got out of the trade. The Giants don’t benefit at all from having AJ Pierzynski play all right for the White Sox the last few years. The Giants got almost zero value out of this deal. The Twins got a lot of value.
Do I have to say it again? The Twins already got fifteen times more value out of the trade than the Giants did. I don’t think Liriano is done, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he adds to that in the coming years (and obviously Nathan is still a very useful player for them). How is that not one of the worst trades of all time? The result has been so utterly lopsided towards the Twins.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.
by jponry on
Apr 28, 2008 11:58 AM PDT
up
0 recs
AJ for Nathan straight up would've been historically bad by itself...
...anything that Bonser and Liriano contribute is just icing on the cake.
2008: My previous assessment may have been overly optimistic.
by EliminateMe on
Apr 28, 2008 3:21 PM PDT
up
0 recs
My sentiments exactly.
And it’s not just hindsight. I thought this at the time.
Only 946 games until the end of Zito's contract
by thehavenot on
Apr 28, 2008 3:30 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Just to clarify...
...in my case it is just hindsight. I didn’t know enough about AJ to judge at the time, though I was disappointed to lose Nathan. My attitude was more like “Okay, but he better be damn good.”
2008: My previous assessment may have been overly optimistic.
by EliminateMe on
Apr 28, 2008 3:35 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I remember telling anyone who could put up with me at the time of the trade that this has got to be the stupidest move ever, for many reasons, all of which have been mentioned before and are scattered all over this thread.
But just to sum up, here is what I thought at the time: That Sabean is not astute enough to realize that the game of baseball is changing and that any serious playoff contender has to have a solid bullpen. This means (aside from a few “elite” closers) that while closers are overrated, the quality of the entire bullpen is KEY. For that reason, you have to place a great value on a guy who just gave you a season like Nathan. In hindsight, this observation has proved to be true-GMs now know to place almost as equal value on 8th inning guys like Joba, Betancourt, Broxton, Zumaya, Soriano-guys who have great stuff and the peripherals to back it up and have to ability to be closers—as they do closers. So trading away Nathan made NO sense, given that we needed a closer and there was no imminent replacement for Nathan’s 8th inning role. It wasn’t like Sabean was trading Nathan from an area of strength and abundance.
Also, everyone and their prospect-watching grandmothers knew that the the Mauer era was coming to Minnesota and that A.J. was expendable. That should have given all the trading leverage in Sabean’s favor, meaning Sabean calls the shots. And as people pointed out, I was actually looking forward to Yorvit getting a shot at starting. He was, at worst, an adequate catcher and there were about 5 other things that should have been on the “to do” list ahead of trading for a catcher.
Add to that Bonser being a pretty decent prospect, and Liriano being injured and having his value at its lowest and voila, you get the makings of one of the worst trades ever.
For me, this trade is sort of a symbolic case history of Sabean’s incompetence as a GM, his inability to gauge even the most basic things of being a GM like trade dynamics, buy low, sell high valuation, prioritizing, I could go on and on.
But I think what Sabean’s ultimate downfall as a GM is his hubris. He actually thinks he is smarter than all the other GMs and so in this trade we can see him out-thinking himself. What we really needed for 2004 was more offense. Everyone knew that. So instead of getting solid bats, Sabean though he can upgrade the offense with an offensive-minded catcher. This was his contingency plan, that if he couldn’t find a 5 hitter, he would put A.J. there. As we know, this actually came to pass. Our offense stunk and A.J. was put in the 5th hole and it turned out to be a disaster with him and all his rally-killing GIDPs. And lo and behold, we lost the West by two games. What was the main reason? A shaky bullpen.
Since then, what has changed? Not much. Sabean overvaluing closers-overpaying for Benitez-and our catcher batting cleanup. Young guys only getting serious playing time only because the veterans get injured.
Uribe to Thompson to Clark: Don't tinker ever with chance
by tellusfrank on
Apr 28, 2008 4:20 PM PDT
up
0 recs
and while in the ranting like a lunatic mood, i don’t want to forget Sabean’s genius statement that year for why he’s not gonna overpay for vlad, so that we can have money for michael tucker, et al. if we had nathan and vald that year, that might have been our best chance for a WS. Now we have to wait until 2012 to have even a chance of sniffing it, maybe sooner if Sabean’s fired before.
Uribe to Thompson to Clark: Don't tinker ever with chance
by tellusfrank on
Apr 28, 2008 4:38 PM PDT
up
0 recs
he had no leverage with the Twins in this trade. There were rumors all over the place at the time that AJ was about to be traded to the Padres. He overpaid because he was not only trying to get Pierzynski for his team, he was also trying to keep him away from a division rival.
Brian Sabean's new dad: Firm believer in corporal punishment
by rxmeister on
Apr 28, 2008 6:40 PM PDT
up
0 recs
i dont get this "leverage" thing
i keep hearing people say Sabean had Twins over a barrel because of Mauer’s development, now i see you state the opposite case because of Padres’ interest…i dont buy either…if you’re a GM you make a deal that helps your team or you dont make the deal, and you can trade with any team you want to, its free market…...like the Giants now, if Sabean offers a Correia or a Lowry people on here seem to think the other GM’s will think “oh, well they have too many starters, so im going to hold out for a steal”...if im another GM sure i might like the “steal”, but wont happen often, and more likely than not another team will step in and offer a little more and you’ve just lost out….. you may be able to help your club more just by making a decent offer and actually getting the deal done
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 10:21 AM PDT
up
0 recs
Sabean used to say that there
was value in the 7th + 8th inning relievers….he said the market was underpaying those guys on his GM show…..that was few years ago, im not sure he believes it anymore….doesnt matter Giants should be set with good relievers from the minors in the next 2 years…(to go along with Wilson, Tasch, maybe a Valdez,etc)
by slojoe on
Apr 29, 2008 10:06 AM PDT
up
0 recs

