FanPost

Even more projections, Giants ZiPS: Pablo "Pudge" Sandoval?

http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2009_zips_projections_san_francisco_giants/

From the title you can see the highlight is Pablo Sandoval, who has a .284/.313/.455 projection with 17 HR. That ISO of .171 would put him in the level right below Soto and McCann in terms of catcher power. This is why it's imperative for Sandoval to stick behind the plate if possible, where his offense projects as "very good" in ZiPS as opposed to "Fair" at 1B and "Average" at 3B.

But you have to love the top comp of Ivan Rodriguez. Now granted a good amount of Pudge's Hall of Fame Career value is tied up in his defense, but he's still a career 110 OPS+ hitter and safe to say if Pablo can replicate that while sticking behind the plate he will have a very nice and long career. His other comp is former Giant Benito Santiago

The rest of the offense is predictably pretty bad, no one else who will play in the infield is even listed at "average' at their position. The OF is average, and the Nate Schierholtz projection is really good (104 OPS+), will he finally get some playing time this year?

The pitching is of course outstanding, but look who slots in listed 4th in the Starter list. These are major league projections, which makes Alderson's projection pretty insane. An above average ERA for a 20 year old? Very promising.

I'm not sure why Romo's HR rate is so high, but that's the main reason his ERA isn't very good/so high compared to last year. I don't really agree with that one, but most of the other bullpen projections look about right.

Any projections anyone have any real problems/agree strongly with?

 

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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