FanPost

Projection recap: Brian Wilson

Brian's actual 2008 stats:

ERA: 4.62    IP: 62.1    K: 67    BB: 28    HRA: 7    Saves: 41

On March 19, Grant asked us for predictions about Brian Wilson's 2008 season. I thought I'd see how we did.

Twenty-one McCovenites gave their predictions; our average prediction was as follows (with Wilson's actual stats in bold):

ERA: 2.90   4.62

IP:   67.1    62.1

K:   65     67

BB:  28   28

Saves:  35     41

Other than ERA, I'd say Brian slightly outperformed our expectations.

Individually, we all guessed much lower on Wilson's ERA; xanthan came the closest with his prediction of 3.70, followed by jasomack with 3.65.

Innings pitched guesses ranged from 45 (EliminateMe) to 78 (jasomack), with rock n jock correctly predicting 62.1.  Honorable mention goes to Grant and Scottsdale with 62 each, and groug with 63.

Strikeouts ranged from 83 (daveinexile) to 45 (EliminateMe), with BaronVonCurrentEvents correctly foreseeing 67.

Walk predictions went from a low of 15 (JRPhillips) to a high of 83 (daveinexile). Our only exact prognosticator was redseal with 28 - although note that we all averaged a correct guess of 28. Grant, Little Napolean, and rock n jock all guessed 29.

Home runs allowed varied from a low of 1 (zenbitz) to a high of 8 (daveinexile, EliminateMe, rock n jock).  Scottsdale and NeifiChicken both correctly guessed 7.

Not everyone guessed a save chances total, so I'll list only guesses for actual saves; they ranged from a low of 6 (JRPhillips, who didn't think this team would have many save opportunities) to a high of 70 (zenbitz, possibly with tongue firming planted in typing finger??).  Baron's 40 and Lyle's 42 came closest to the actual total of 41.

Overall, just eyeballing the guesses, I'd say that Baron, Lyle, redseal, and rock n jock came the closest overall.  Again, we all widely underestimated the ERA.

Please feel free to brag away!  If anyone finds this at all interesting, let me know - maybe I'll do some more of these as we count down the long, dark days until we hear those four magical words: "Pitchers and catchers report."

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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