Projection recap: Ray Durham
Here's the link to the community projection for RayRay. As a group, we mostly underestimated Mr. Durham. To wit:
AVG. OBP SLG HR AB
Ray Durham 2008: .289 .380 .432 6 370
McCoven prediction: .266 .335 .407 12 412
AVG: There wasn't a wide range of expectation; Evan predicted .298, and ChrisHero predicted .214, but they were our clear outliers. Our winner is NeifiChicken with .288. Moggeee came in second with .292, and The Gene Hackman was third with .285.
OBP: ChrisHero was the pessimist here with a .309; top optimist was moggeee with .372. Given Ray actually posted a .380, moggeee is our clear winner. tedfordfan was second closest at .366. Tobias was third with .363.
SLG: Tobias (.465) and walrusman (.463) were the high guesses. Lowest guesses were by Lyle(.367), Animal Mother (.368), and groug (.369). The closest prediction was .425 by allfrank. Second place ended in a tie between Evan (.444) and scotterduder (.420). Just behind in fourth place was the optimistic NeifiChicken's .445.
HR: Our group wisdom foresaw 11.85 HRs from Ray, not the 6 he actually hit. This can be explained by whatever moggeee was smoking just prior to predicting a McCoven-high 30 homers for Durham. Lowest guess was 4 by groug. The winner with an exact prediction of 6 was scottsdale. stutteringjohntamargo came in tied for second with 5, as did ChrisHero with 7. Tied for fourth were groug(4) and Animal Mother(8). Poe predicted 9, and six of us predicted 10.
AB: We predicted 412 ABs, but Durham only managed 370. Lowest guess was groug's 318 (seeing a trend here), and highest guess was moggeee's 546(see above). Poe was our winner with a prediction of 365. Scotterduder came in second with 400, and imovermyhead was next closest at 338.
The highlights were the comments about how Ray's season would go. Grant thought no one would want Ray at the trading deadline. Cynema the Band accurately foresaw that someone would want Ray as a pinch-hitter coming off the bench, but thought Sabean would either hang on to Ray for his "leadership" or trade him for "someone like Livan Hernandez and a PTBNL." Kitspool jokingly suggested Ray would be traded for Jeff Kent at the deadline. I thought he'd hit well enough in the first half to be an attractive trade target, but then get injured and end that possibility. The Gene Hackman accurately predicted "a trade to a contender" and thought Ray would "contribute in a big way" to that contender's playoff run. WilliamVanLandingham foresaw a brilliant first half, followed by a season-ending hamstring injury, leading Sabean to look at the first half numbers and sign Durham to a 3yr/7million contract. Scotterduder figured there would eventually be a Durham injury, imagining a 3-way collision with Rowan and Frandsen as a result of too much hustle.
It's hard to choose an overall winner. I'd lean toward Poe, but I'd like to hear others' opinions.
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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I didnt post it here...
so you can take it with a grain of salt, but everyone within
earshot in section 108 knew I predicted if Ray didnt invite
us over to his crib for a round of golf on his private course,
he would be gone.
Cant say you weren’t warned Ray.
They say some players get out of bed hitting; Pablo Sandoval doesn't wait that long
lol me
All that Matt Cain winningness went totally down the drain with this one!
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com. It's not being updated right now. Hope for more at your own risk.
Wow, I totally forgot I had made a prediction on this. I don’t usually make predictions, and now you can see why – they’re never even remotely accurate.
Anagram of "Giants pitcher Tim Lincecum" = TENSE, CLIMACTIC, TRIUMPHING
by Stuttering John Tamargo on Oct 20, 2008 12:51 PM PDT reply actions
Beautiful predictions are more than skin deep
This proves definitively to me that Moggeee’s got substance.
He’s not just another pretty face.
If there's a pretty part of you , Mogs
I haven’t seen it.
"Ain't got a hope in Hell - that's my belief." - Bon Scott
by victor frankenstein on Oct 20, 2008 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions
My pearly smile became as stiff as a frozen fish
-Raymond Chandler
ahem
“My guess/hope is that Ray gives up on hitting home runs and focuses on driving the ball around the park.” — me
I still gave him too much power and not enough obp, though. Also, I traded him to the Cubs. So close!
Wow..
I made a prediction.
The Basil Fawlty Moderating Strategy:
"We could run a nice blog here if we didn't have all these members getting in the way."
So did I:
Ray Durham
AVG: .253
OBP: .335
SLG: .415
HR: 10
AB: 425
I believe that’s optimistic.
Man, nobody got that punchline back then. But now, you all see how hilarious I was being!
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Oct 20, 2008 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions
clearly
the Gene Hackman predicted the “spirit” of Durham’s season.
I maybe got some of the statz wrong, but otherwise, WORD.
.285
.348
.399
10 hr
AB traded at deadline to a contender. will contribute in big way to contender’s playoff run.
Advantage: TGH
"ever so cynical yet whimsical giants related signature"
by The Gene Hackman on Oct 21, 2008 10:21 AM PDT reply actions
Zips projectsion
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS Ray Durham# 2b 36 .242 .319 .382 120 421 54 102 22 2 11 55 46 61 5 1
Blown. Away.
FIRE BRIAN SABEAN

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