The Prestige
A progression of offseason hopes:
- October 30 - Trade Noah Lowry for a 23-year-old future All Star first baseman and two starting shortstops. Then let the shortstops battle it out in the spring.
- November 17 - Trade Jonathan Sanchez for a young corner infielder, but only if it's a sensible trade.
- November 20 - Put the Lincecum down, and step away from the phone. Hands where I can see them.
- December 13 - Do something. Anything. Freakin' dying of boredom here.
- December 18 - Wait, I take that back. Don't sign anymore center fielders. Please.
- January 15 - Make Dave Roberts disappear.
So now we're left with this last hope: Trade Dave Roberts, eat $10M of the remaining $13M of his contract, and start either Nate Schierholtz or a Rajai Davis/Fred Lewis tandem in left. Please. It'd be a $10M payment towards an installment plan of interesting. The Giants aren't going to contend. So, please, just let us watch young players who might contribute to a contending team of the future. Let us form opinions on these young players. Let us have hopes for them. If they flop, let us realize that we need different young players. Please. Throw a bone to the nerds who are on a baseball site in January, and to Giants fans everywhere.
Roberts's second half (.291/.362/.388) might tempt an outfielder-starved team. I received an e-mail with a fourth-hand rumor that the Padres might be interested. At this point, I'll take any rumor like that I can get. The Red Sox have an opening for their fifth outfielder's slot, and Roberts could rent a little condo on Dave Roberts Way in Boston. If not the Red Sox, then someone will want a free Dave Roberts. Well, Dave Roberts would be free. Then the other team will receive a new veteran every month for just $3M plus shipping. They can cancel at any time, but maybe they'll forget and wake up in July to a team with Roberts, Rich Aurilia, and Ray Durham. We can only hope.
I'm resigned to watching either Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum in a total of 40% of the games this year, and, really, that's a hell of a consolation prize. Most really awful teams don't have anyone worth watching, so the Giants are ahead of the curve. By donating Dave Roberts to the Salvation Army of MLB, the Giants could give us another player or two or three worth watching. Having one of the team's under-30 outfielders in the starting lineup would be the most satisfying part of the offseason.
Please?
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Comments
Re: The Prestige
So yeah, trade Roberts. Or at least be willing to make him the team's fourth/fifth outfielder (lol that would never happen.)
by jponry on Jan 15, 2008 11:37 AM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
Grant, if this is the Prestige, did I miss the Pledge and the Turn already? And I certainly hope you aren't killing a doppelganger with every diary you start. Ick.
by Lyle on
Jan 16, 2008 6:29 AM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Weird, this is like the 3rd time we've had a Prestige Spoiler in the last year...
by howtheyscored on
Jan 16, 2008 12:41 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Well, I guess THAT'S coming off the queue....
by howtheyscored on
Jan 20, 2008 1:35 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by Aadik on Jan 15, 2008 11:48 AM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
Or get a two-year extension.
In which case it wouldn't really be a silver lining but more like a silver kick to my balls.
by Woody Wins on
Jan 15, 2008 1:21 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
depressing and sad, but funny.
by The Gene Hackman on
Jan 15, 2008 6:47 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Amen.
by victor frankenstein on
Jan 15, 2008 7:34 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by someguynamedg on Jan 15, 2008 11:51 AM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
What about Velez and Burris?.. Lets give them a shot too.
Imagine a lineup with Davis, Velez and Burris. I'd love to see those guys go wild on the base pads.
Hey while were at it, why don't we deal Molina.. I love the guy, but he slows down our lineup and his ability to throw runners out has declined substantially. Plus we got two decent backups.
I hear the Reds are looking for a productive bat behind the plate.. Molina could hit 25 to 30 homers in that park.
Lets pull a billy beane here Sabes!! Do it!!
by justinohan on Jan 15, 2008 11:51 AM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
"Besides, the Giants need him in left field, since the other leading outfield candidates -- Rajai Davis, Fred Lewis and Nate Schierholtz -- are virtually rookies and lack a track record."
That sentence is so depressing. It exemplifies everything that is wrong with the Giants mindset.
by FavoriteSpring on Jan 15, 2008 11:55 AM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
by jponry on
Jan 15, 2008 11:58 AM PST
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Re: The Prestige
sorry.
by jponry on
Jan 15, 2008 11:58 AM PST
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oh Haft
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on
Jan 15, 2008 12:15 PM PST
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Re: oh Haft
by justinohan on
Jan 15, 2008 12:18 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
It doesn't exemplify the Giants mindset, it is the Giants mindset. Chris Haft has spent a year now hanging around the masterminds of this organization and apparently he's been talked into their specious arguments. There's a term for this type of identifying with your captors: it's called the Stockholm Syndrome.
by Kitspool on
Jan 15, 2008 1:00 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
I CAN'T!
by lrs77 on
Jan 15, 2008 1:00 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by Evan on Jan 15, 2008 12:45 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
- Dave Roberts to the WhiteSox for Joe Crede without any dollars changing hands.
- Dave Roberts and Rich Aurilia to the Tigers for Branden Inge without any dollars changing hands.
Is time to also reconsider Ray Durham to the Mariners for Richie Sexson and Cash to balance the contracts?
by giantsrainman on Jan 15, 2008 12:53 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
3) Dave Roberts to the Padres for three Rubio's fish tacos. Man those suckers are good; Thighler could probably handle ten or so.
by oooreebay on
Jan 15, 2008 2:37 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
I grew up in San Diego,now I'm stuck in the desert with nary a fish taco to be found. Edible ones anyway. Mmmmmm......Rubios.
by nvsfg on
Jan 15, 2008 3:51 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by oooreebay on
Jan 16, 2008 2:27 PM PST
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WShat about...
by victor frankenstein on
Jan 15, 2008 7:39 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
1) No major injuries to Cain, Tim or Wilson. Moderate or better progression in harnessing their talent.
2)Add significant value to 4 (or more) position players under team control post Sept, `09. Significant being defined as players that Sabean & Co. would be comfortable handing a role to confirmed by most other teams in MLB would be willing to give a role to the same player is they had him
Is this too much to ask?
by daveinexile on Jan 15, 2008 1:00 PM PST 0 recs
Currently Pounding Head Against Wall
This is a year that has seen blue chip prospects change hands (i.e. Dukes, Milledge, Delmon Young, Hamilton) as well as solid young players (all of Detroit's system, most of the D'Bags) and even some vets who I would have considered taking to fill a corner (Rolen, Glaus, fuck it...even Broussard) and all of that really pisses me off.
What pisses me off more, however, is that in the Giants doing of nothing we still have Roberts, Aurilia, and Ray Ray blocking what little young in house talent we have. Schierholtz played well enough last year in limited time to earn a shot. Frandsen started slow and then hit the crap out of the ball the last month and a half. I know I'm not saying anything new, but does Brian Sabean really want an empty phonebooth that they still owe a shitload of money on? I think they might...
Furthermore, we are really getting to the end of the hot stove action and I would like to ask some questions, is Andy LaRoche at all available? Could we trade a reliever like Kline to the Astros for Darin Erstad? I think I might like Erstad, at least he could play first on a speed and defense team. I want a lot, let's make something happen... please?
by lincysgiants on Jan 15, 2008 1:09 PM PST 0 recs
Erstad?
by groug on
Jan 15, 2008 1:25 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by groug on
Jan 15, 2008 1:25 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by Evan on
Jan 15, 2008 1:32 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by oooreebay on
Jan 15, 2008 2:39 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by victor frankenstein on
Jan 15, 2008 7:40 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
I would like to take a flier on a guy like Shelton as much as the next guy, but be realistic... you know Sabes will sign a veteran to "push" Ortmeier. And do we want two unproven commodities at first?
by lincysgiants on
Jan 15, 2008 11:40 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
.645, .605, .696
There is absolutely without a doubt indisputably 100% for sure in the absolute most certain way possible no reason in the world to sign him to any team at all, period, no doubt, do not think there are any positives here. At this point a random 27 year old career minor leaguer would probably outhit him.
Darin Erstad is an awful awful awful awful baseball player. I don't have any jokes to go here. He's terrible.
by groug on
Jan 16, 2008 12:20 AM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by howtheyscored on
Jan 16, 2008 1:32 AM PST
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Re: Erstad?
Where every other character became a parody of him or herself, Chandler actually became a character with depth where he had not been one before. He was, in essence, the only redeeming factor of the last 3-5 years of that show.
Also contrary to that joke, I will not buy any of the seasons of Friends, as though I find it mildly amusing, I don't make a habit of buying hundreds of hours of being occassionally entertained.
Also, the series finale was teh uberlame. Yeah, I said it.
by howtheyscored on
Jan 16, 2008 1:40 AM PST
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Re: Erstad?
Yes, I guess it has.
by thehavenot on
Jan 16, 2008 11:49 AM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by oldrips on
Jan 16, 2008 1:24 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by howtheyscored on
Jan 16, 2008 1:42 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
Besides, everyone knows I'm just coasting off my earlier success. I haven't made any good jokes since early 2006, and even that one was an accident.
by groug on
Jan 16, 2008 1:39 PM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by Evan on
Jan 16, 2008 7:59 AM PST
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Re: Erstad?
by groug on
Jan 16, 2008 1:40 PM PST
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Re: Currently Pounding Head Against Wall
by jasomack on
Jan 15, 2008 3:32 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
i feel like its the day before xmas, im on the gottschalks santas lap, hes smelling of wild turkey and garlic, and he isnt listening to a thing im asking for. im from a poor family so i know not to ask for too much, and hes ignoring me anyway. i dont want a toy train santa, ive had a toy train. it cant hit curveballs, santa. i want a nintendo...its older and may be broken and everyone else has playstations and xboxes, but it still might be good for some fun. and it sure as hell is an upgrade from the same old toy train and socks ive been getting the last few years. hey santa, go to ebay and get me that nintendo cheap!
by son of riles on Jan 15, 2008 1:36 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
by daveinexile on
Jan 15, 2008 1:39 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by Giant Escape on Jan 15, 2008 2:38 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
by BigO on
Jan 15, 2008 8:48 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by ramirez415 on Jan 15, 2008 2:49 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
by ResDog on Jan 15, 2008 2:59 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
by SloIsLonelyForTheOrange on
Jan 15, 2008 11:01 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by KCDrummer82 on
Jan 16, 2008 12:39 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by oldrips on
Jan 16, 2008 1:25 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
I'd also like to see Winn gone. One position isn't enough to get all these kids into games. And his value is about as strong as its going to be. And I think Lewis could be a comparable player, based on his MiLB numbers and what little he's done in the bigs.
Schierholtz, Davis and Lewis NEED TO PLAY NOW. Velez and Ortmeier need looks as well. Rebuilding teams are supposed to play their young players.
by jasomack on Jan 15, 2008 3:21 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
Rebuilding teams do things like "trade veterans for prospects." Which would apparently, if you ask Sabean, cause all their fans to go away, or become A's fans, or something.
It's utterly ridiculous-- in a year in which Oakland managed to turn JASON KENDALL AND MARK KOTSAY (combined VORP last season: -23 runs) into two promising relief pitchers, a backup catcher and a potential fifth starter, the Giants have done NOTHING to try to get any value out of the sub-zero VORP guys on their roster.
Oakland's gotten rid of every negative-VORP player from last season except for the pitchers and Bobby Crosby. The only move the Giants have made with their FOUR sub-zero VORP guys (Durham, Feliz, Aurilia and Vizquel) has been to re-sign one and try to re-sign a second.
by PaulThomas on
Jan 15, 2008 5:35 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Roberts has never been durable. He'll give Davis and Lewis their share of ABs all year.
Winn, Molina, Vizquel could very possibly have solid years and be a trading chip for a prospect in August Giving more ABs to Velez, Frandsen, Lewis, Scherholtz and Davis.
Lowry and Sanchez might have solid Spring trainings that increase their trade values. Especially if Lowry can prove to be healthy.
Once we see what kind of talent these kids have, we'll know what we need from the free agent pool in '09 and if its worth trading Linccumm or Cain. They'll be worth twice as much next year - think Bedard.
by justinohan on Jan 15, 2008 4:00 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
As for the kids getting playing time, it's true-- all the veterans will have significant time on the DL, thus giving the kids a chance to play. HOWEVER, considering the need is to focus on THE FUTURE with this team, we shouldn't have to wait for old man Roberts to bust his hip, or crotchety Durham to pull a hammy in order to see the kids get their due time. They should be the starters and the veterans should be coming off the bench as pinch-hitters and substitutes.
Oh well. C'est la fuck it.
by lrs77 on
Jan 15, 2008 4:36 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
But think of the trade value Linccumm and Cain will have next off season. Unless they get hurt (knock on wood!!) these guys are gonna throw 200 or close to 200 innings and strike outs regardless of their W-L records.
We may be able to pick up a handful of tier 1 position prospects and a quality arm in return. Not to mention, holding onto Sanchez and Lowry would help us maintain depth in the rotation.
The free agent pool doesn't look great next year, but we could consider guys like Furcal and Texeria. Or if Wilson doesnt pan out, we could sign Nathan.
by justinohan on
Jan 15, 2008 4:42 PM PST
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Re:Winn, Molina and Vizquel having solid years...
by chefasaurus on
Jan 15, 2008 5:14 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by KCDrummer82 on
Jan 16, 2008 1:34 PM PST
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Brain Sabean, Steroids
http://mlbfleecefactor.com/2008/01/15/giants-gm-brian-sabean-could-be-in-hot-water/
by ET90210 on Jan 15, 2008 8:44 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
Meanwhile, we dodged a 2006 bullet when Winn returned to his ordinary, average batting line in 2007 (and people were bemoaning Winn and his contract at that time, you know who you are), and nobody thinks anything of keeping him around and tempt the same fates that brought us 2006. And he's horrible stealing bases.
People tout his RF play, but Roberts was an excellent defensive LF when he was at SanD.
Keeping Roberts around would mean Davis gets extended play in LF and Schierholtz gets to start in RF, or at least share it with Lewis. Keeping Winn around instead means platooning Lewis/Davis in LF instead of starting Schierholtz (people seem to forget that he's not a natural OF and haven't played LF, he's barely learned RF). Schierholtz has performed better than any of our position prospects, if anyone deserves a chance to start, it is he.
There's nothing really extraordinary about Winn in any way, which is not a damning thing, you need players like him, but still, he's average; probably his defense is the only thing above average, but offensively he's average or worse in all the categories.
Roberts, at least, is above average in getting on base, a good thing to have when he is the lead-off guy, above average in steals, above average in stealing percentage (Winn is up to 50% CS now if I recall right), and above average in defense in LF. In addition, he costs us $6.5M per season while Winn is costing us $8M. And if he gets injured, our young players will get to play, whereas Winn plays 150+ games a year.
Lastly, I would think Winn would get us a better prospect in return than would Roberts, for mainly the reasons everyone seems to love Winn for.
Meanwhile, everyone loves Davis but what has he done in the minors? He's shown off 4th OF potential, and if you look past his shiny first month with us, in Sept he hit an ugly .241/.305/.241/.546.
People like to roast Bochy for playing vets and not young players, but who was playing a lot in Aug/Sept? Frandsen and Ortmeier. They were basically our regular right side of the infield during that time. And they played well during that time. In fact, Ortmeier played well during the two extended stints he was up in the majors in 2007.
Yet Ortmeier, people scoff at giving him a shot, but bemoan to the seven seas why, why, why don't the Giants give Davis, who was stone cold in Sept after pitchers figured him out, a chance to play? Plus, Davis, being another young'un, played extensively in August when he was playing well.
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jan 15, 2008 10:31 PM PST 0 recs
Re: The Prestige
So as the team currently stands, I'm afraid the best thing for Nate is to just flat out rake at AAA. Freddie becomes the 5th outfielder.
That's why something like a Fred Lewis and a low level pitching prospect for Joe Crede makes sense to me, since someone like Ortmeir can easily fill that 5th outfielder role.
by tellusfrank on
Jan 15, 2008 11:12 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Unfortunately, this isn't true. Randy Winn consistently outperforms Dave Roberts in that he hits for a much higher slugging and adds at least some HRs to the team total. Also, RF defense > LF defense, especially at Mays Field. I don't think Randy is all that spectacular, but he is much much better than Dave Roberts.
One point that can't be stressed enough is the overmphasis and overvaluing of speed in MLB. SB do not add very much to the total offensive output of a player and don't increase his actual value by much. Speed is what leads people to pay 4yr/44mil to Juan Pierre or 2/12 to Dave Roberts.
In addition, Randy Winn is a local boy who has a full no-trade clause in his contract and likely wouldn't be a fan of moving.
Lastly, Dave Roberts is from Japan and i still don't trust asians, ever since Pearl Harbor.
As far as the young'uns go, Rajai Davis showed, in the short time given, That he halls all the skills (speed) and more (defense, high OBP, even better speed, ability to hit doubles). He also plays for 1/18 what Davey boy plays for.
I think Aurilia and Klesko hitting a combined OPS+ of like 73 kind of influenced the decision to play the young guys in the infield.
Ortmeier, however, didn't do all that well. He couldn't take a walk and struck out in 1/3 of his plate appearances.
by SloIsLonelyForTheOrange on
Jan 15, 2008 11:23 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by howtheyscored on
Jan 16, 2008 1:59 AM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Randy Winn of
3 years/$23.25M (2007-09)
*signed extension 2/06
*$3M signing bonus
*07:$4M, 08:$8M, 09:$8.25M
*full no-trade clause 2006-07
*limited no-trade clause 2008-09 (Winn may block deals to 10 clubs)
by nvsfg on
Jan 16, 2008 8:30 AM PST
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Re: The Prestige
I guess you don't see my point. My point is multi-fold: getting rid of Winn benefits the Giants more - from our viewpoint - than getting rid of Roberts. One, Winn should get more in prospects. Two, we lose more salary that way. Three, it opens up RF for Schierholtz, whereas trading Roberts only gives some ABs to Fred Lewis, who I don't think deserves a chance to start over Schierholtz, and if they really wanted to play Nate in LF, they would have already. Four, our offense is messed up and poor as it is right now, Roberts at .350+ OBP is probably our best hitter in terms of getting on base and then doing something with it when he gets on, Winn is basically about average, whereas Roberts in 2005-2006 was about 30 points above average (about .360 vs. about .330 league average; Winn has basically been about 10 point above league average). Leadoff is a pretty important part of any offense and Roberts is our best leadoff guy, whereas Winn doesn't do anything particularly well so he doesn't fit in at leadoff, cleanup or 5th.
And people point to Lewis, but his MLE OBP for the past two years is .320 and .293, respectively, according to Baseball Forecaster.
Davis hit .241/.305/.241/.546 in Sept once pitchers figured him out. His MLE OBP the past two seasons are .323 and .308, respectively.
No, Aurilia and Klesko didn't force anything, if you kept up with the Bochy era in San Diego, the big thing there was that he would play Vinnie Castillo over some young stud, in spite of how poorly he was playing, so the GM got rid of Castillo to force Bochy to play the young guy.
Ortmeier hit .287/.317/.497/.814 in 2007, averaging 26 AB/HR (a 25+ HR pace if he played a full season). His OPS+ was the second highest on the team for anyone with over 12 AB. I consider that playing well.
Still, I understand it's small sampling, but what I don't understand is he gets scraped on the bottom of people's shoes, but Rajai Davis, who hit worse than Ortmeier and did no better in the minors than Ortmeier, is treated like the second coming. Same too for Lewis. And Ortmeier's OPS+ was better than the other two plus it was at an offensive position, not CF.
The three of them have very similar minor league career numbers. They all probably hit better than they are capable of in the majors, all their BABIP are much above .300. Any issue you want to point out about Ortmeier, I can probably list one for Davis and Lewis as well, none of them are perfect prospects, I've never said Ortmeier is.
However, what Ortmeier has that the others don't have, and frankly our offense don't have, is plenty of slugging. Lewis, Davis, they both have very little power, and it is basically too late for them to be developing much more power, both will be 27 next year. We need power and Ort has it, why not play him? Plus, he has base-stealing savvy, he can regularly steal over 10 bases, so he gives power and SB at 1B.
If you don't like him at 1B, then why not him playing in the OF rather than Davis or Lewis? Or at least in the same mix? No, he's the thing lower than the belly of a caterpiller, whereas Davis and Lewis should be getting starting positions.
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on
Jan 16, 2008 9:57 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
by groug on
Jan 16, 2008 10:19 PM PST
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Re: The Prestige
Also, it seems contradictory to favor Ro

