Parallel Drawin'
The problem: One of the worst teams in baseball.
The solution: Like, get a less worse team. De-worst it, if you will.
The template: The 2006 Detroit Tigers
The 2003 Tigers were in much, much worse shape than the 2007 Giants. Think about that one for a while. The 2003 Tigers lost 119 games. Their offense was as about as bad as the Giants' non-Bonds offense, but a pitching staff full of 12 Russ Ortizes wouldn't have made the team worse. And I'm talking Russ Ortiz right now -- post-Tommy John surgery.
There were a lot of articles on the turnaround of the 2006 Tigers, with the best one from Baseball Prospectus here and here. Long story short:
- The Tigers picked up a bunch of free talent. (Marcus Thames, Chris Shelton, Craig Monroe)
- They developed a good outfielder (Curtis Granderson) and an average third baseman (Brandon Inge).
- They scored an undervalued position player for cheap. (Placido Polanco)
- They had a pitching staff built with two homegrown flamethrowers, a homegrown league-average lefty, a free-agent lefty, and assorted fifth-starters.
- They spent big money on two free agents when it seemed like there was no reason for a non-contending team to do so. (Magglio Ordonez and Pudge Rodriguez)
...exactly what we're hoping the Giants won't do.
And, yes, I'm well aware of the fact that, if we're talking SAT analogies, "Dave Dombrowski" is to "Brian Sabean" as "watching Casablanca with a loved one" is to "your pants full of bees." I'm just riffing here. But is there something to the idea of signing good players without worrying too much about the current state of the team?
Of course, "good players" is the key point. I'd include Andruw Jones, current wretched season notwithstanding, and Alex Rodriguez from this free-agent class, but there are some interesting folks for 2008.
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Re: Parallel Drawin'
by Mike Benjamin Hit King on Sep 28, 2007 1:39 PM PDT reply actions
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Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
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by nostocksjustbonds on Sep 28, 2007 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions
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Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
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For this he got $15 million. On a runs-per-dollar basis, he didn't help the team on their great run last season -- he was dragging them down.
Obviously he's worth every penny this season, but that seems peripheral to the deworstification question at hand.
Re: Parallel Drawin'
by Stoned Slacker on Sep 28, 2007 3:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Not just a knee injury
You're forgetting attendance
Magglio was paid $6M in 2005, $15M in 2006. Was Magglio overpaid in his first two years? Yes. Not really overpaid in 2005, very overpaid in 2006. His year-by-year OPS+ with Detroit: 113, 113, 168. League average or very slightly above league average in his 1st 2 years. Defensively, by metrics, he appears to be above average. Yes, overpaid. But in totality, just looking at production, he was still above average. $21M /2 for and above average player. An overpaid above average player, is till an above average player.
Also, it isn't as if he was blocking any uber or even semi-decent prospect. Did Detroit have any players in-house who could have duplicated Magglio's performance?
Could they have spent the money in a better manner? Yes, they could have signed Vlad. They did trade for Carlos Guillen, so signing Tejada would not have been money better spent.
Pudge's contract: 04:$7M, 05:$8M, 06:$11M. Pudge's OPS+ detroit: 135, 94, 98, 86. Bengie in the same period: 86, 110, 98, 86. Also, Bengie was not an FA in the same year as Pudge. Pudge gave them one MVP calibre year, one good year, one decent year, and in the last year of the contract a poor year. A great investment? No. But take a look around MLB, at the catchers playing. An OPS+ in the 90s is pretty good.
Similar to the Ordonez situation, Detroit didn't have an in-house solutions that were as good or better than Pudge.
Note, I'm not saying that Magglio and Pudge were not overpaid, though less so in Pudge's case. What I'm disagreeing with is the idea that the 2 big FA signing didn't really help them. Yes, they were overpaid. But they also helped.
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Three True Outcomes.
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I just hate him with a passion.
To this day, I go into fits of rage at certain stimuli, such as the number 7, bakeries, died hair, monkies, Reggie Sanders and Disneyland. All the hype surrounding Halo 3 recently had me going crazy.
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by Stoned Slacker on Sep 28, 2007 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions
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When has he hit 15 HRs
Polanco's OPS+
His years with Detroit: 127, 81, 123. Polanco's career OPS+ is 100.
Izturis' career HIGH OPS+ is 88. Most of the time, he is in the 60s. Career average of 67. Neifi Perez career OPS+: 63.
Re: Polanco's OPS+
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I like that.
I would like to also hear Matt Holiday thrown into the mix at some point.
Re: Parallel Drawin'
by howtheyscored on Sep 28, 2007 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions
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Holiday = .338.403/.606 with 36 knocks.
Ort = .276/.307/.476
help me out here.
Re: Parallel Darwin
http://mccoveychronicles.com/story/2007/9/22/33629/9441
Re: Parallel Darwin
by howtheyscored on Sep 28, 2007 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions
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by howtheyscored on Sep 28, 2007 3:50 PM PDT up reply actions
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by howtheyscored on Sep 28, 2007 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions
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Therefore, it can happen.
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by projectmayhem713 on Sep 28, 2007 4:22 PM PDT up reply actions
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by projectmayhem713 on Sep 28, 2007 6:19 PM PDT up reply actions
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The Giants, in the meantime, are stuck in an NL West that features blossoming organizations in Arizona and Colorado, not to mention the Kevin Towers regime in San Diego and the Logan White stud-factory in L.A.
It's looking bleak.
by drelmoraisin on Sep 28, 2007 3:11 PM PDT reply actions
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Now we have a host of teams stumbling to get into the postseason in 2007. I'd put some money on one of the NL teams winning it, if just for this wacky trend of mediocrity to end the year.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 28, 2007 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions
A HORRIBLE AL central?
The THIRD placed team was the reigning WS champions, who won NINETY games. Just because the Indians didn't live up to some peoples' (over)expectations / hype doesn't mean that the division was HORRIBLE.
Re: Parallel Drawin'
There really are some intriguing names there though. Who knows where they'll be a year from now, but as of now, it seems like there are some good reclamation projects, solid vets, and promising youngsters there.
now if we can just get our hands on a legit middle of the lineup hitter in next year's draft...
by Smoke on the Water on Sep 28, 2007 4:08 PM PDT reply actions
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But Baltimore works too. Either way, I just have a hard time seeing him wind up in SF.
by Smoke on the Water on Sep 28, 2007 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions
Please Include Andruw Jones
Andruw Jones' agent Scott Boras told the Atlanta Journal Constitution that Jones won't take a "hometown discount" to remain in Atlanta next season.
"Andruw Jones took a discount to stay in Atlanta last time," Boras said. "He probably took 30 or 40 million less to stay, because he likes Atlanta and enjoys playing in Atlanta. But as he said earlier in the year, he wants his fair market value [this time]." Boras intends to seek a $17-$20 million per year deal despite Jones coming off a career-worst season -- .222 average, 26 homers, 94 RBI.
Andruw Jones at $17-20 million per year deal is fair market monies. He played this season with a very painful hyperextended elbow. Jones will be only 31 years old, would be a nice fit in CF and could bat in 3, 4 or 5 hole for years to come. Sabean should at least call Boras and inquire.
Re: Please Include Andruw Jones
by howtheyscored on Sep 28, 2007 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions
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I think the key thing with the Tigers is that they used just about every means available of acquiring talents. Trades, free agents, farm system.... This is the model approach. Improve the ballclub by any means. Small moves are as good as big moves, sometimes. So long as they improve the club.
A little luck doesn't hurt either. Both Pudge and Magglio were actually bad free agent signings at the time. Ordonez's contract was the rough equivalent to Edgardo's here. Only Mags worked out for the Tigers.
Oh, and another parallel... Young pitching.
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if im not, the giants are already going about it the wrong way
my greatest fear is that this team will look alot like those early 80s and early 90s (pre bonds) teams, albeit with much better starting pitching
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What do you mean "we" kemosabe?
I'm hoping the Giants sign both Jones and Rodriguez. The idea they should stay away from such talent because it would save them a few bucks is crazy in my book. I want to see the very best possible Giants team on the field. I don't care about the cost it takes to put it there. There are no special entries into the playoffs reserved for teams who do really well with low budgets. If Magowan and friends want to own this team they need to spend the money to win.
I do realize there are limitations to what the Giants can pay players, but if you think they have reached that limit with the current payroll I've a great orange bridge I'd like to sell you.
Re: Parallel Drawin'
by Newguy1 on Sep 29, 2007 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions
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LineUp:
Roberts/Davis LF
Frandsen 3B
Winn RF
A-Rod SS
A-Jones CF
Molina C
Durham 2B
Schierholtz/Ortmeier 1B
Bench:
Lewis OF
Davis/Roberts OF
Ortmeier/Schierholtz 1B
Aurilia 1F
Alfonzo or Rodriguez C
Rotation:
Cain
Zito
Lincecum
Lowry
Correia
BullPen:
Wilson
Walker
Hennessey
Chulk
Messenger
2 of Taschner, Sanchez, or Kline
by giantsrainman on Sep 29, 2007 4:38 PM PDT up reply actions
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by giantsrainman on Sep 29, 2007 6:59 PM PDT up reply actions
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Do I think the Giants will do this? Hell no. They've shown no sign they will do what it takes to win. It is what they should do.
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And the Giants haven't signed a top free agent from another team since they signed Barry Bonds on 12/8/92.

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