AZL Top 20 Prospects
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/features/264877.html
- Angel Villalona, 3b, Giants
- Nick Noonan, 2b, Giants
- Wilmer Font, rhp, Giants
- Wilber Bucardo, rhp, Giants
- Charlie Culberson, 2b/ss, Giants
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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73 comments
Comments
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by KCE on Sep 21, 2007 9:19 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by wilriv21 on Sep 21, 2007 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by jponry on Sep 21, 2007 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by jponry on Sep 21, 2007 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I'm really glad to see Culberson getting props. I liked him on draft day, and I like him now.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by EliminateMe on Sep 21, 2007 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
But he's better off than Olmeda Saenz's little brother. Nobody likes Comic Saenz.
by multiphasic on Sep 21, 2007 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by howtheyscored on Sep 21, 2007 11:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by leftymalo on Sep 21, 2007 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by multiphasic on Sep 21, 2007 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hate Comic Saenz
by Natto on Sep 21, 2007 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: I hate Comic Saenz
by jponry on Sep 21, 2007 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by sharksrog on Sep 21, 2007 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right On!
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Right On!
by Woody Wins on Sep 21, 2007 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Right On!
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wilber Bucardo
by xanthan on Sep 21, 2007 9:31 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by jponry on Sep 21, 2007 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
I wonder where he'll start next year?
by xanthan on Sep 21, 2007 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by BruteSentiment on Sep 21, 2007 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by howtheyscored on Sep 21, 2007 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Wilber Bucardo
by slojoe on Sep 22, 2007 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Band Name Alert!!
by Lyle on Sep 22, 2007 5:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 9:59 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Look at the top 20 list. Who's at #20? Jacob Wild, the guy who pitched in the championship game and won the game for the Mariners. Some posters here pointed out that Wild was old for the league, at 22. He'd just been drafted after two years at UOP. I didn't have a problem with him in the AZL.
But, if D'alessio is too old at 22 and excluded from the list despite the same conditions as Wild, being drafted in 07 out of college, why is Wild on the list? Wild is also a few weeks older than D'alessio. Wild was born 8-18-84 and Andy was born 9-23.
BA, you fail. Do some research next time.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 10:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I feel like BA is leading the rage in raising expectations on the kid like they did a few years ago with some pitcher named Foppert.
by BruteSentiment on Sep 21, 2007 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
At least D'alessio got props in the article, if he didn't make the list.
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
We'll see if he answers.
by BruteSentiment on Sep 21, 2007 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Not sure about the timing of this post and the chat, as I was late to notice all of this, but John explained well in his chat why there were mitigating factors with Wild's age that are not there with D'alessio. He also acknowledged that in retrospect, he would have bumped another player onto the list ahead of Wild.
by steve S on Sep 21, 2007 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I certainly wouldn't go that far, but I think if one graphed performance on one axis and age on another, he could get an idea from the slope of the lines between two players as to which one might be the better prospect.
Angel definitely had some difficulties (primarily a high strikeout rate), but I don't have a problem with his being ranked #1. I like Nick Noonan a LOT, but I would certainly still rank Angel above Nick.
If Angel ISN'T truly the best prospect in the organization, the Giants are dead for longer than I think -- and I'm definitely looking into the next decade.
by sharksrog on Sep 21, 2007 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
That's a #1 prospect scouting report?
I'm sorry, but to put it bluntly: For BA, they see a younger age as being more years to improve. I see it as more years for a player to get derailed. (And people call me the unfathomable optimist)
The truth is invariably somewhere inbetween, but this is becoming a hype machine of ridiculous performances.
I'm not saying I'd make D'Alessio the #1. Maybe I wouldn't even list him, either. What the comment is more about is that the age bias that has run rampant through BA is really showing through.
Some may have written that age is more important than performance: Manuel pretty much did that. I'd say experience is more important than age.
I'll say this for D'Alessio. He was put below what his level should have been. But he did exactly what he should have. He dominated the level. He had more than double the home runs of any other player at the level, barring one. And he continued to do well when promoted.
Steve made an interesting comment in the '08 minor league preview piece I did: Does Pill not deserve the chance to be the starter at first in San Jose, rather than being in Augusta again in favor of D'Alessio? While I would agree that Pill's performance deserves a promotion, I'd have to counter, what about D'Alessio's performance makes him a lesser choice?
Bottom line: I think BA is wildly overrating Villalona, and hyping him so that any actual performance will be a disappointment.
by BruteSentiment on Sep 21, 2007 11:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
But I'm guessing Angel is the only guy in the Arizona league who has the potential to be a superstar, although it sounds as if Alderson might indeed have star potential, and I think Noonan has above-average potential.
In actuality, I'm feeling anywhere from good to really good about all the Giants top six picks except for the catcher, who might have been a bit of a reach from what I gather.
by sharksrog on Sep 22, 2007 12:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Oh, and one more note on Villalona: after posting my thoughts on another board, my friend who monitors the AZL also noted Villalona's handling of umps as very poor, said he developed a bad reputation quickly and would've been ejected more than once if the umps had known how to speak Spanish.
by BruteSentiment on Sep 22, 2007 1:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by Lyle on Sep 22, 2007 6:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Spanish?
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 22, 2007 7:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Spanish?
by BruteSentiment on Sep 22, 2007 9:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Spanish?
I think in your earlier post where you raised the maturity issue, you failed to include BA's comments that V's attitude noticeably improved as the season went on. Remember, he was a 16 yo kid. 16 yo's are fairly well known for their immaturity.
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 23, 2007 7:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I think you're missing the point about the age thing. The level of play in the AZL has always been low, and there was the comment about the average age being even lower than normal this year. It's not about what D'alessio's age is relative to Villalona's, so much as it is about their ages relative to the pitchers they were facing.
I don't see what there is to learn from Andy D'alessio's performance so far. He can hit mistakes from pitchers whose stuff, command and experience mean they are assigned to the lowest level of the minors. So the stats of a four-year college player against them seems fairly meaningless to me in terms of projection. That leaves us with just handful of plate appearances in the NWL, and the sample size there is pretty meaningless. At this point the question about D'alessio's performance is probably about how he performs in spring training against some more advanced pitchers, and we just don't know the answer to that yet. What we basically know is that D'alessio didn't fall on his face in his pro debut.
I don't think BA is wildly overrating Villalona. Of all the comments I have seen, I think the people overrating Villalona are various commenters in this forum. I don't think it is BA. If they were overrating him, wouldn't he have been in their top 100 list last year?
by steve S on Sep 24, 2007 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by Roger on Sep 24, 2007 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I won't get into the age issue because we've debated it enough to know we disagree, but there was an Ask BA last week that gave some incredible anecdotal evidence to the importance of age. It came up as a question about how important it was that Justin Upton was in the show at 19. As an answer, they listed every player who had homered in the major leagues as a teenager since the player draft started in 1965.
The complete list:
Johnny Bench
Oscar Gamble
Caesar Cedeno
Darrel Porter
Robin Yount
Rickey Seilheimer
Juan Gonzalez
Gary Sheffield
Ken Griffey, Jr.
Ivan Rodriguez
Alex Rodriguez
Andruw Jones
Adrian Beltre
Aramis Ramirez
BJ Upton
Justin Upton
As they noted, aside from the one total flop, the second worst player on that list is Oscar Gamble, who played 17 years and hit 200 HRs. Other than that you've got a list full of HOFers, soon to be HOFers, near HOFers, league MVPS, and many multiple appearances All Star players. That's a pretty impressive harbinger of future success tied directly to age relative to league. Hardly definitive, but interesting I thought.
by Roger on Sep 21, 2007 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by UnleashTheGore on Sep 21, 2007 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Oh, and his 62 strikeouts versus only 47 base runners via walk or hit in 48 innings might have had something to do with him. Jacob limited opponents to a .199 batting average, and though as discussed, he was literally born to be Wild, Jacob walked only 14 in those 48 innings.
The guy was born in Stockton. Give him a break! :)
by sharksrog on Sep 21, 2007 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
NOOOOOONAN!
by howtheyscored on Sep 21, 2007 10:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Jose Valdez
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 11:13 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Wow...that's hype.
by BruteSentiment on Sep 21, 2007 11:37 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
I mean, if it came true it'd be super amazingly awesome and cool, but really. Can we refrain from shooting off in our pants about Timmy II at least until he throws a pitch in pro ball?
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by howtheyscored on Sep 21, 2007 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by jponry on Sep 21, 2007 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by sharksrog on Sep 21, 2007 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Sep 21, 2007 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Windup
I remember one year later in his career when Juan Marichal was struggling, they had him pitch exclusively out of the stretch and it seemed to help him.
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by steve S on Sep 21, 2007 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by steve S on Sep 21, 2007 4:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 6:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
The opposite of a LOOGY. A ROOGY is someone who gets out right handed hitters.
by xanthan on Sep 21, 2007 7:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by sharksrog on Sep 22, 2007 12:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Windup
by Natto on Sep 22, 2007 2:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by multiphasic on Sep 21, 2007 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by Evan on Sep 21, 2007 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by southcitysteve on Sep 21, 2007 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
Of course, the guy does throw hard with great control, so how inefficent can his motion be....
by Evan on Sep 21, 2007 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Delivery
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: AZL Top 20 Prospects
by steve S on Sep 21, 2007 3:15 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Yup!
Like I said before, If I had to guess beforehand I would have thought BA would rank Jose Valdez ahead of Bucardo. Don't know if I should be more happy for Bucardo or more disappointed for Valdez.
by DrBGiantsfan on Sep 21, 2007 5:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Yup!
by steve S on Sep 24, 2007 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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