Streakin'
It's only about 100 days until the Winter Meetings, and here we are without a rebuilding plan. What else is there to talk about? An actual winning streak? Bah. Just because they're going to come around with the frequency of a comet for the next few years, doesn't mean winning streaks are automatically newsworthy.
There will be time for about 400 variations on this theme in the offseason, but here's a first crack at a Rebuilding Manifesto:
- Other than Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum, anyone can be traded. But in an offseason where Livan Hernandez and a broken Bartolo Colon might be the best free agent starters, the Giants had better get some insane value for Noah Lowry. No matter how wary Lowry's declining K/BB might make you, he's still likely to be one of baseball's better bets for cost certainty for the next couple of seasons, and giving him away for a single position-player prospect would be a mistake, with only a few exceptions.
- The Giants have a glut of interesting young outfielders. Fred Lewis, Nate Schierholtz, and Rajai Davis should all get significant playing time. Dan Ortmeier, Clay Timpner, John Bowker, Brian Horwitz, and Eugenio Velez aren't a horrible batch of fall back plans. Out of those eight players, the Giants wouldn't be nuts to expect two capable players who could be part of a rebuilding team.
- This means the biggest expenditure for the offseason shouldn't be a free agent, it should be to make Dave Roberts and Randy Winn go away. Maybe a mostly-free Roberts or Winn could bring back a young player to throw on the pile, but that would be only a side benefit.
- The free agent market of 2007/2008 is an inbox filled with offers of hidden Nigerian fortune. Stay away. The only players worth any kind of pursuit are outfielders, and they all come with red flags, so refer back to points #2 and 3. This includes guys with needed power, like Andruw Jones and Kosuke Fukudome. Mike Lowell on a two-year deal -- maybe a three-year deal -- is the only plausible upgrade worth pursuing.
- Not only will Barry Bonds be the best available hitter, his two-days-on, two-days-off schedule would be perfect for a rebuilding team looking to break in a gaggle of young outfielders while trying to score runs for a young pitching staff. Plus, he's my roster blankie. I'm just not ready to give up my blankie.
- The presence of Kevin Franchise should not prevent the Giants from acquiring another young second baseman if the opportunity were to arise. If Howie Kendrick is part of a Lowry deal...sorry, Kev. If Howie Long is part of a minor deal, he might also sneak ahead of Frandsen on the depth chart.
- The Giants aren't going to get Alex Rodriguez. Even if they could, it would be insane for a franchise to commit $50M to Barry Zito and Alex Rodriguez for several seasons.
- The preferred order of how infield spots should be filled, if possible: a. Blocked prospects via trade (Asdrubal Cabrera, Steven Pearce), b. Out-of-favor prospects (Andy Marte, Dallas McPherson) c. Unwanted players with unwanted contracts via trade (Pat Burrell, Richie Sexson), d. Busted players young enough to hope for 80% of their past production (Brad Wilkerson, Nick Johnson).
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Comments
Re: Streakin'
- hell yes
- yep
- preach on, brother
- lol
- think he'll take a significant pay cut? me neither. :(
- no comment
- amen
- shrug
by delorean on Aug 20, 2007 2:30 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
Suppose they sign Bonds, there should be enough headroom for eating salary of incoming trade players. With Morris' money already freed, it'd probably cover most (if not any) of those expenses for a year or two. This is not including the possible departures of Vizquel, Feliz, Klesko, and Winn/Roberts (if they're traded). Doesn't Mattheny finally come off the books too?
by sfgfan on
Aug 20, 2007 2:51 PM PDT
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huh?
by delorean on
Aug 20, 2007 3:11 PM PDT
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Re: huh?
by sfgfan on
Aug 20, 2007 3:13 PM PDT
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Re: huh?
I'm not saying NOT to sign Barry if he insists on $15M next year -- far from it. But you can't argue that an extra $6M in freed-up payroll money isn't a good thing.
by delorean on
Aug 20, 2007 3:16 PM PDT
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Re: huh?
All I'm saying is that re-signing (or even overpaying) for Bonds next year shouldn't hurt the team in the short or long-term. This is because (in my opinion), the team shouldn't be looking for quick fixes and really shouldn't be signing 30-somethings to long-term deals.
I'm not suggesting they spend less on payroll next year than they have this year just for the sake of spending less payroll. I'm saying their overall payroll figure should be smaller if they go on with a plan that includes increased playtime for guys like Davis, Ortmeier, Lewis and Frandsen. If they stick with that kind of a plan, the payroll will shrink as a side-effect of it.
by sfgfan on
Aug 20, 2007 3:25 PM PDT
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gotcha
They should give it to me.
by delorean on
Aug 20, 2007 3:28 PM PDT
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Re: gotcha
by rxmeister on
Aug 20, 2007 4:14 PM PDT
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Re: gotcha
by SabeanSupporter on
Aug 21, 2007 10:34 AM PDT
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Re: huh?
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 7:51 AM PDT
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Re: huh?
Actually, the Giants already owe BLB about $8M in 2008.
He's got $5.8M coming from 2007 salary and about $2M in bonus for PA's etc.
So his salary would be 2008 $? + $8M
by nvsfg on
Aug 20, 2007 4:58 PM PDT
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Just on comment on blocked prospects
Also, Nick Johnson while a great player when healthy, is NOT healthy. He is having complications with the leg he broke last season.
by rfloh on Aug 20, 2007 2:37 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Just on comment on blocked prospects
by Roger on
Aug 20, 2007 2:55 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
- Lowry - I agree, but if the Royals offer Mark Teahan and an arm for Lowry, that's exactly the kind of deal we ought to look at - getting a comparable low cost-player in return. Trading Lowry for 3 prospects does nothing now, but I do worry that Lowry will pitch the same, and end up with a 4.75 ERA next year.
by Aadik on Aug 20, 2007 2:38 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 7:53 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
I wish I had a "hack" image for Grant, tehhackmaster.
by howtheyscored on Aug 20, 2007 2:45 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
Goofus to make "typing with one hand"-joke in 3...2...
by Grant on
Aug 20, 2007 2:49 PM PDT
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1!
by Goofus on
Aug 20, 2007 4:13 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
I'd deal Cain for Jose Reyes, but not for David Wright. ;) I imagine Mets fans might feel differently, but Wright is going to be a 1b in a few years.
by Aadik on Aug 20, 2007 2:50 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by howtheyscored on
Aug 20, 2007 2:53 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by jponry on
Aug 20, 2007 2:55 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by Aadik on
Aug 21, 2007 10:16 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by fwoty oz on
Aug 20, 2007 2:56 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by sfgfan on
Aug 20, 2007 2:58 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by rxmeister on
Aug 20, 2007 4:16 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 7:55 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by SabeanSupporter on
Aug 21, 2007 10:39 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
2-3. Next year's OF should be: Lewis, Schierholtz, Davis, and Ortmeier. We all know we're going next year, and I'm in agreement that the kids are alright.
- Dead-on. Why are we all so quick to rid the Giants of Bonds? He's still the best hitter alive and is entertaining as hell to watch. I realize that I didn't include him in the list of OFs above, but I think Grant's idea is perfect of giving him even more time off to implement the kids. Of course, this is all assuming he signs for a 1-year deal at or around $10 million, which is quite unlikely.
- Grant gets it. Why doesn't everyone else? A-Rod is an impossibility on this team. We'd have no money left to give to anyone.
by UnleashTheGore on Aug 20, 2007 2:59 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by thehavenot on
Aug 20, 2007 3:06 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
I wonder if the time to trade cain was after last season, but we missed the timing as usual.
by The Gene Hackman on
Aug 20, 2007 3:27 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by jponry on
Aug 20, 2007 3:30 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
I'm not saying Matt doesn't have upside, and doesn't have the chance to be a great pitcher.
But until we see the return of some actual dominance on his part I wouldn't brand him untouchable. Not like timmy.
Luck is the residue of design and all that, and Matty's designs this year aren't...er... all that.
by The Gene Hackman on
Aug 20, 2007 3:57 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
I'm just saying... you seemed to imply in your first post that you didn't think GMs would be interested in acquiring him anymore. And IMO, they definitely would, and would give up a lot for him.
by jponry on
Aug 20, 2007 4:02 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
So the proposition here is to trade Cain and go into next year with a rotation of Lincecum, Lowry, Zito, Sanchez, and Misch? Or are we proposing the idea of overpaying another FA pitcher? Wow, so we not only have no hitting, but we're going to cripple our pitching staff, AND go heavily lefty! Meanwhile, at least we now have one new bat to shore up our horrid starting lineup. That's like putting chocolate sauce on a pile of poop. Sure, it's still shit, but you didn't have the chocolate sauce before!
Final comment: In four August starts, Cain has already struck out more batters (28) than any other month this season, and he's only issued five walks during that span.
by JRPhillips on
Aug 21, 2007 2:07 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by SabeanSupporter on
Aug 21, 2007 3:18 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
And, yes, the Giants will be hard-pressed to pay enough veterans enough money to solve their offensive problems.
But the real problem is that there is little available, regardless of cost. The Giants could sign Alex Rodriguez, Torii Hunter and Andruw Jones, and unless that trio and others improved, they would scarcely improve their team OPS (and hence run scoring) unless they also re-sign Barry Bonds. And we're probably talking $70-$80 million per season for just that trio and Barry.
The biggest reason not to sign Alex Rodriguez would be that he will very likely be an old player before the Giants are once again able to contend.
The Giants needed their hitters not to have below-average seasons, but to have near-career years if they were truly going to contend. That would have made them a good team instead of an average one. With many of their hitters having subpar seasons, the Giants have fallen from average to poor.
These days teams either have to be among the very top spenders (see the Yankees and Red Sox) or they need to be able to build at least an inexpensive foundation of young players brought up from within. Heck, the Dodgers are a team that has fallen as far as fourth this season (I'll bet THEY were glad for the Giants when they fell that far, since falling into the cellar would have been even more embarrassing.) -- and they're a team that not only has spent a high amount of money (although not come close to reaching the Yankees/Red Sox level)AND have an abundance of find young young players.
Follow Tim Lincecum, Angel Villalona and the six players the Giants drafted among the first 51 overall picks this season. The future of the Giants began with the 2006 entry draft. Prior to that, they had almost none -- even if they didnt realize it yet.
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 8:06 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
Trade Lowry for hitting, and then acquire several young, but heretofore unsuccessful, pitchers from the AL, and hope a few of them turn into decent starters or relievers (Arroyo, Lilly, Lohse, etc).
Jeremy Affelt, Casey Fossum, Jeff Weaver, Odalis Perez, Bruce Chen are all 30 years old or younger and could likely be had relatively cheaply.
by rotorueter on Aug 20, 2007 3:03 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by thehavenot on
Aug 20, 2007 3:07 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by groug on
Aug 20, 2007 3:11 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by Anticon23 on
Aug 20, 2007 3:26 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by UnleashTheGore on
Aug 20, 2007 3:32 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
Weaver: Already sucked with both the Dodgers and the Cards.
Chen: Already sucked with the Braves, Phillies, Mets, Reds, Expos, and Astros.
Fossum: Sucked with the D-Bags.
Affeldt: 6.20 ERA as a starter for the Rocks last year.
I'd rather start Misch over any of them. At least he still has the chance to surprise, the others you pretty much overpay.
by JRPhillips on
Aug 21, 2007 2:19 PM PDT
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Agreed
Ort should also get a significant amount of time at first, depending on if we keep Klesko or not. If not, platoon him with Richie perhaps? (i'm not sure here).
If we can't get rid of Durham, maybe let Frandsen try for starting SS? Or just give him the lion's share of 2b...bottom line, pick one of the 2 positions and stick with it.
The above point should show that I clearly have no Idea what to do about the infield. I do think Franny should get regular time at one position, if for no other reason than he's cheap and might improve.
Does that mean we have to resign Pedro or omar to 1 year contracts? I just don't know.
But I am solid on my ideas for outfield and 1b. I havea good feeling about Ort at 1b.
If anyone wants to respond to each of these that knows something about whats available in trades/FA, please do.
by Andy from DC on Aug 20, 2007 3:08 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Agreed
by Lyle on
Aug 20, 2007 3:13 PM PDT
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I know who Freddy fender is...
please? :(
by Andy from DC on
Aug 20, 2007 3:17 PM PDT
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Re: Agreed
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 8:08 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
It isn't the first move I'd make, and I'm not sure I'd trade Lowry straight up for him, so I'm not sure who I'd give up (Misch & Sadler? Sanchez & Chulk?). But it might be a step in the right direction.
And does anybody think we might be able to unload both Roberts and Winn this winter? I really want to believe we could. Somebody help me believe.
by Lyle on Aug 20, 2007 3:11 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on
Aug 20, 2007 3:13 PM PDT
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I was asking for that
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on
Aug 20, 2007 4:18 PM PDT
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Re: I was asking for that
by E Ticket on
Aug 20, 2007 7:39 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by Anticon23 on
Aug 20, 2007 3:29 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by Lyle on
Aug 20, 2007 3:46 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by travis j bagdad on
Aug 20, 2007 4:35 PM PDT
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Renteria
9M in 2008- + the deal includes an 11M Team Option for 2009 or a 3M buyout - + he receives a 1M bonus if traded- + BOS is responsible for the entire 3M buyout if 2009
So one year 9M or two years 20M. He just turned 32 on August 7 and still is playing well. Could be an option worth looking into since SF needs a SS for 2008 and beyond.
by wilriv21 on
Aug 20, 2007 4:46 PM PDT
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Re: Renteria
by sfgfan on
Aug 20, 2007 4:52 PM PDT
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Re: Renteria
by Anticon23 on
Aug 20, 2007 5:10 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
The Giants could actually man two of their three outfield positions with decent platoons of Rajai Davis/Freddie Lewis and Nate Schierholtz/Dan Ortmeier. Throw in Barry Bonds, and you've got a decent yet fairly young outfield. Throw in a younger outfielder taken back in trade for a chip such as Noah Lowry, and you've got a young outfield that could turn out to be at least average.
by sharksrog on
Aug 21, 2007 8:11 AM PDT
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Are we rebuilding or not?
The only real point I would add to Grant's plan is that if a full budget won't make a good team, then go under budget for a couple of years if we are going to suck anyway. Say if the Giants can save 20 million a year for two years, that's an extra forty million to spend on contracts or development. Now that wouldn't mean that the Giants would have 130 million to spend in 2010 because that extra money would have to be stretched out over the life of whatever contracts they sign.
Then again, I can't help but look at the Tigers.....Brandon Inge and Curtis Granderson were the only position players who were home grown on the 2006 world series team.....
by thehavenot on Aug 20, 2007 3:13 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by Evan on Aug 20, 2007 3:17 PM PDT 0 recs
Re: Streakin'
by rxmeister on
Aug 20, 2007 4:19 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by 27freethrows on
Aug 20, 2007 6:44 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
Stupid keyboard.
by 27freethrows on
Aug 20, 2007 6:46 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
We're not doing him a favor by letting him try to get a championship for another team if he WANTS to play here.
And if he wants to play here, there is no reasonable business reason not to resign him. There is none. Not a single one. Especially if we can unload Roberts and Winn.
by howtheyscored on
Aug 20, 2007 7:30 PM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
It's been fun. We all appreciate everything that he's brought to this team and to SFO. However, we need to part ways if he wants to get a ring before he retires. I was sad when Willie got traded away (he was & still is my all time favorite Giant). Likewise, it will be sad to see Barry go. However, I believe it would be best for both parties. At his age, perhaps a DH role would be best - hopefully any team other than the Yankees (my least favorite AL team).
by Jakespaar on
Aug 21, 2007 11:05 AM PDT
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Re: Streakin'
by reeky on
Aug 21, 2007 8:59 AM PDT
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My proposal, go ahead and rip off my head . . .
Sabean's worked out a few deals with Bill Bavasi before. Seattle's looking to unload Richie Sexson's contract, and we all know that his .209 average is an aberration. We have extra money from the Matt Morris deal, and we need someone with Sexson's power (plus he's in the last year of his contract). Seattle takes a good portion of his remaining $14 million ($6 million, perhaps), and we have a power hitter in our lineup. If the team sinks, we can deal him at the deadline for a few prospects if he's produced like he's capable of. Jeff Clement is blocked by Kenji Johjima, and I'd like to think he'd be a nice fit here. Also throw in a young power arm (Mark Lowe, closer kind of pitcher blocked by J.J. Putz), and I'd make the deal. Hell, I'd throw Kevin Correia in there to help even it out.
Clement's arrival lets us send off Molina and cash to a team like the Mets and get a few prospects in return (Mike Carp, who has had an off year, perhaps Philip Humber as well, who has also had an off year). Everyone knows Minaya covets Molina, and I honestly think we could get something good in return for him given how weak the catching market is. Add in the fact that Molina has playoff experience, is on pace for about 93 RBI, and he's Latin, Minaya has to like him a lot.
Thank God I'm not a GM, I'd probably kill the franchise with those two moves alone.


