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Some Giants Draft History

With the draft coming up, I thought I would take a look at the draft history of the Giants from 1985-2003 through three general managers:  Al Rosen, Bob Quinn, and Brian Sabean.

I put together a list of the notable players taken each year, the Giants' first-round draft picks (including sandwich picks), and some notes about the draft and players that we missed out on.  Here we go:

Al Rosen, 1985-1992
1985:
Will Clark (1st Round)
Jeff Brantley (6th)
Trevor Wilson (8th)
Dennis Cook (18th)
First Round:  Will Clark (2nd pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Barry Bonds, Pirates (6th pick)
Notes:  this was a great draft:  Four guys who stayed in the majors, including a superstar.  
1986:
Matt Williams (1st)
Kirt Manwaring (2nd)
First Round:  Matt Williams (3rd pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Gary Sheffield, Brewers (6th pick)
Note:  6 more guys made the majors from this draft, but none had much of a career.  It helps when you draft so high:  Williams was the 3rd overall pick after getting Clark 2nd in 1985.
1987:
Mike Remlinger (1st)
Mike Benjamin (3rd)
Gil Heredia (9th)
First Round:  Mike Remlinger (16th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Ken Griffey Jr, Mariners (1st overall pick) (Honorable Mention:  Craig Biggio, Astros (22nd pick)
Notes:  Remlinger was a good pitcher for a long time, Heredia was a serviceable starter for a while.  Mike Benjamin wasn't great, but he was in the majors for quite some time, which is something.
1988:
First Round:  Royce Clayton (1st, 15th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Robin Ventura, White Sox (10th pick)
Notes:  That's it.  6 more guys made the majors, none were any good.  To be fair, this wasn't a great draft year.
1989:
Pat Rapp (15th)
First Round:  Steve Hosey (14th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Frank Thomas, White Sox (7th pick)
Notes:  terrible draft.  Pat Rapp wasn't even very good.
1990:
Mike Myers (4th) (later lost in Rule 5 draft)
First Round:  Adam Hyzdu (15th pick), Eric Christopherson (19th pick), Marcus Jensen (33rd pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Chipper Jones, Braves (1st overall pick)
Notes:  yet another terrible draft.  Jeromy Burnitz, Mike Mussina, Steve Karsay, and Rondell White were all taken after Hyzdu, all but Burnitz after Christopherson.  You can really see the groundwork being laid for the 1994-1996 struggles.
1991:
William Van Landingham (5th)
First Round:  Steve Whitaker (33rd pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Manny Ramirez, Indians (13th pick)
Worst Player Drafted in First Round:  Brien Taylor, Yankees (1st overall, total bust)
Notes:  with no pick until 33, and no 2nd or 3rd round pick, not much of a chance in this draft.  Giant-killer Bobby Jones was taken 3 picks after Whitaker; Scott Hatteberg was 43rd
1992:
Marvin Benard (50th!!)
Aaron Fultz (6th)
Doug Mirabelli (5th)
First Round:  Calvin Murray (7th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Derek Jeter, Yankees (6th - one pick before Giants)
Notes:  Not bad to get value from lower (and 50th) round picks.  Calvin Murray was taken before first-rounders Preston Wilson, Michael Tucker, Shannon Stewart, Rick Helling, Jason Kendall, Charles Johnson, and Johnny Damon.
Notes:  The last gasp for Al Rosen - despite getting Will Clark and Matt Williams (as 2nd and 3rd overall picks), Rosen didn't draft particularly well, did he?

Bob Quinn, 1993-1996
1993:
Bill Mueller (15th round)
Chris Singleton (2nd)
First Round: Steve Soderstrom (6th overall pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Alex Rodriguez, Mariners (1st overall)
Notes:  not a good draft, with the exception of Bill Mueller.  Trot Nixon (7th), Billy Wagner (11th), Derrek Lee (14th), Chris Carpenter (15th), Torii Hunter (20th), Jason Varitek (21st) were all taken after Soderstrom.  So was Scott Rolen in the 2nd round, two picks before Singleton.
1994:
Keith Foulke (9th)
Bobby Howry (5th)
JD Drew (did not sign, 20th)
First Round:  Dante Powell (22nd pick), Jacob Cruz (32nd pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Nomar Garciaparra, Red Sox (12th)
Notes:  Powell and Cruz never panned out, but few players taken after them in the 1st and 2nd round amounted to much.  Jay Payton is the best, as Troy Glaus did not sign after being taken with the third pick of the second round.
1995:
Russ Ortiz (4th)
Joe Nathan (6th)
Toby Hall (did not sign, 24th)
Brad Lidge (did not sign, 42nd)
First Round: Joe Fontenot (16th pick, at least was trade bait - Roy Halladay was the very next pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Todd Helton, Rockies (8th pick)
Notes:  While Russ Ortiz isn't great now, you can't complain about getting a player like that in the 4th round.  Also, to get two quality major-leaguers out of one draft really isn't bad at all.  Carlos Beltran went three picks after the Giants' 2nd round pick, Jason Brester, who went nowhere.
1996:
Mike Caruso (2nd, at least was trade bait)
Ryan Jensen (8th)
First Round: Matt White (7th pick, total bust)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Eric Chavez, Athletics (10th pick)
Notes:  The Giants got nothing from this draft, really.  Also, Quinn did not have a single impact first-round pick while he was GM.  A big 0-5 with first rounders.  He also missed out on Jimmy Rollins from his own back yard, taken 4 picks after Caruso.

Brian Sabean, 1997-Present
1997:
Jason Grilli (1st)
Scott Linebrink (4th)
First Round:  Grilli (4th pick), Dan McKinley (49th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Vernon Wells, Blue Jays (5th pick) or Lance Berkman, Astros (16th pick)
Notes:  Thus starts the Sabean era.  Grilli ended up being good trade fodder, but Wells was taken one pick later.  Berkman and Jon Garland also were taken later.  Linebrink was a nice 2nd rounder.
1998:
Uhhh... Ryan Vogelsong (5th)
First Round:  Tony Torcato (19th pick), Nate Bump (25th pick), Arturo McDowell (29th pick), Chris Jones (38th pick), Jeff Urban (41st pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  JD Drew, Cardinals (5th overall pick)
Notes:  Wow.  Five picks out of the first 41, nine of the first 128, and nothing.  Seven guys from this made the majors.  Unfortunately, those guys were Torcato, Bump, Chris Magruder, Vogelsong, Doug Clark, Cody Ransom, and Erasmo Ramirez.  At least Bump and Vogelsong made for decent trade fodder, and Vogelsong might have been something if he had been able to stay healthy.  CC Sabathia was taken one pick after Torcato; Brad Wilkerson and Aaron Rowand were taken 33rd and 35th.  Adam Dunn and Brandon Inge were taken in the 2nd.  Despite the number of picks, though, there wasn't a ton of talent that slipped past Sabean.  This wasn't the best draft year.
1999:
Kurt Ainsworth (1st)
Jerome Williams (1st)
Jack Taschner (2nd)
First Round:  Ainsworth (24th pick), Williams (39th)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Barry Zito, Athletics (9th pick)
Notes:  Not bad.  Between Williams and Taschner, Brian Roberts (50th pick), Carl Crawford (52nd), and John Lackey (68th) were chosen.  Justin Morneau and Hank Blalock went in the 3rd round; Nate Robertson went in the 5th - a lot of teams missed there.
2000:
Boof Bonser (1st)
Lance Niekro (2nd)
Jason Ellison (22nd)
First Round:  Boof Bonser (21st pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Chase Utley, Phillies (15th)
Notes:  Waiting for Boof, indeed.  Utley, Adrian Gonzalez (1st overall), and, arguably, Rocco Baldelli (6th overall) are the only players better than Boof taken in the 1st round.  Adam Wainwright, Aaron Heilman, and Kelly Johnson were taken later.  Grady Sizemore and Chris Young (the pitcher) were taken in the 3rd.  Ellison may not be that good, but that was a nice 22nd round pick.
2001:
Brad Hennessey (1st)
Noah Lowry (1st)
Todd Linden (1st)
Jesse Foppert (2nd)
Justin Knoedler (5th)
Scott Munter (47th)
First Round:  Hennessey (21st pick), Lowry (30th pick), Linden (41st pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Joe Mauer, Twins (1st overall, one pick before Mark Prior)
Notes:  Nice draft!  OK, so the Giants missed out on David Wright, taken 38th.  But the Giants didn't pick until 21st, and they have a #3 type starter on the team, a solid reliever, now closer, on the team, a guy who looked like a real major-league pitcher before his injuries (Foppert) that they were able to trade with Torrealba for Winn, a 5th rounder who could be a backup C in MLB now, and a guy who has at least had a bit of MLB time in the 47th round.  Not bad.  Linden, unfortunately, looked like a real player.  Maybe he can turn it around.  Dan Haren was taken two picks before Foppert.  Ryan Howard went in the 5th round.
2002:
Matt Cain (1st)
Fred Lewis (2nd)
Dan Ortmeier (3rd)
Kevin Correia (4th)
Clay Hensley (8th)
First Round:  Cain (25th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Prince Fielder, Brewers, (7th pick), or Nick Swisher, Athletics (16th pick), or Cole Hamels, Phillies (17th pick).  Cain is close.
Notes:  Ahh, the famous Moneyball draft.  Hands down, a great draft for the Giants.  Cain is an amazing pick at #25, Fred Lewis is performing well for the big club, as is Ortmeier.  Correia and Hensley were excellent picks.  Misses?  Curtis Granderson went in the 3rd round, but before Ortmeier.  Rich Hill went in the 4th round before Correia.
2003:
David Aardsma (1st)
Nate Schierholtz (3rd)
Billy Sadler (6th)
Pat Misch (7th)
Brian Wilson (24th)
First Round:  Aardsma (22nd pick), Roger Whitaker (34th pick)
Best Player Drafted in First Round:  Rickie Weeks, Brewers (2nd overall pick)
Notes:  We're really getting into "too soon to tell" territory here.  Chad Billingsley was taken 2 picks after Aardsma.  Carlos Quentin, Matt Murton, and Adam Jones were taken after Aardsma as well.  Wilson and Sadler have both been up.  Aardsma wasn't traded for much, but he has had some major-league success.  Misch is close to a callup, as is Schierholtz, who may be the best of the bunch.

It is really too soon to tell for any draft after 2003, but there are some highlights.  Kevin Frandsen has already stuck with the big club after being a 12th round pick in 2004, while Jonathan Sanchez shows great promise after having been taken in the 27th round in the same year.  The Giants had no 1st rounder in 2004, so Eddy Martinez-Esteve was the first pick that year in the 2nd round.

2005 is the infamous draft-pick punting year, and the Giants didn't pick until Benj Copeland in the 4th round.  Sergio Romo in the 28th round may prove to be the best pick for Sabean that year.

2006:
Tim Lincecum (1st)
Best Player Drafted in the First Round:  Tim Lincecum, Giants (10th pick).
Notes:  That's all you need to know.  Burriss?  Tanner?  Bocock?  When you get a player like Lincecum, anything else is gravy.  Great draft.

Thoughts?  How does Sabean stack up against our former GMs?  Al Rosen did draft Will Clark and Matt Williams, but drafting is usually a lot easier when you are picking #2 and #3 overall in a draft.

Poll
Which Giants' GM has drafted better?
Al Rosen
12 votes
Bob Quinn
3 votes
Brian Sabean
41 votes

56 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

0 recs  |  Comment 62 comments

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Re: Some Giants Draft History
Wow.  That is very long.  Perhaps I should have split this up into multiple diaries.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 6:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I made the obvious vote: Sabean was the best of the three. That's actually the bad news - he hasn't been very good, and 2005 was as disturbing as 1999 was frustrating.

Very nice overview, North Side! But, are you telling me that Steve Hosey is never going to be our RF? Just think, our last long-term-solution in RF was Bobby Bonds! Wow, are we cursed in RF?

Your 2012 NL ERA champion: Sergio Romo

by Lyle on Jun 5, 2007 7:08 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Why not count Jack Clark? He was our RF for more years (76/77-84) than Bonds (68-74) was.

by Roger on Jun 5, 2007 8:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Arghh..I forgot Jack. I try to remember as little of those horrible years as I can.
Your 2012 NL ERA champion: Sergio Romo

by Lyle on Jun 5, 2007 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Good stuff North Side. I too had to vote Sabean, though it's still too early to tell. Rosen drafted two impact offensive players, but as you said, did it with high draft picks. I guess I have to give the edge to Sabean for drafting our two aces for the next decade with low picks, a potential number 3 to compliment them, and some nice (I guess) relievers. And that's ignoring the guys he's traded.

He seems to have a good eye for acquiring pitching, but has a hard time identifying the good pitchers he should be keeping. I know it ain't football, but can someone get this man an Offensive Coordinator.

Good news: Brian Sabean has left us in position to be in contention by the next century, at least.

by Punch Rockgroin on Jun 5, 2007 7:21 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Good points.  Unfortunately, we aren't just grading Sabean against Quinn and Rosen, as we have to grade Sabean against all of the other GMs in the league on more than just the draft.

Overall, Sabean seems to have done quite a good job identifying talent to draft.  I don't think Sabean can't identify hitters, necessarily, although the organization may be a lot better at identifying pitching talent.  His high picks are almost all on pitchers, which seems to be the organizational philosophy - there are a lot more hitters to be had in free agency than there are pitchers.  That seems to go against the Zito signing, though.

Also, in Sabean's earlier years as GM, pitching was really a much bigger organizational need than hitting, which he has reversed.  Now that pitching is the org's strong point, I will be interested to see whether he goes after hitting or sticks with what has worked - drafting pitching.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 7:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
That's actually the reason I don't want to trade any of our good young pitchers. It's so much harder to obtain a solid pitching staff than it is to produce a good line up. You said it best: it's easier to find offense in the free agent market than good pitching.

And his bad hitting evaluation, at least these days, extends outside of the draft, I'd say. Or do we need to be reminded of two trades that shall not be named and questionable free agent signings.

I hope he does go after hitting. If he wants to shut the Fringe up, drafting and developing good hitting prospects would be a great start.

Good news: Brian Sabean has left us in position to be in contention by the next century, at least.

by Punch Rockgroin on Jun 5, 2007 8:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
That may be a reason to trade our young pitching to get better, actually.  With all the draft picks, Sabean may do well to get the best pitchers to replenish the stock of those he is going to trade to pick up hitters, especially as we have such good pitching at the major-league level.

Unfortunately, most of our pitchers in the minors are in the lower levels, so they are neither ready to replace our MLB pitchers nor as attractive in trade.  Also, it is harder to get top-notch star MLB-ready hitters in trade unless you trade extra pitching, because a star hitter who plays every day is almost always worth more than a star pitcher.

Like most of us, I would like to see Sabean draft a can't-miss Lincecum of hitters that we actually can hang on to for years and on the cheap.  It has been sooooo long since that happened!

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
But there's no guarantee any pitching prospects are going to succeed at the major league level or come close to replacing what we have now, at least in regards to the rotation. Not that we'll need all five guys to be aces, but damn it, I was just getting used to having a kick ass rotation and I don't think I'm ready to give that dream up. It's nice.

You know, being GM is tough and the more I think about, the more I would dread being in Brian Sabean's shoes.

But I'll still keep my sig 'cause I like it.

Good news: Brian Sabean has left us in position to be in contention by the next century, at least.

by Punch Rockgroin on Jun 5, 2007 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Wow. Great post!
Who dat is? That's just Ortmeier's daddy.

by rotorueter on Jun 5, 2007 8:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I second that. An amazing, epic post.

by sularz on Jun 5, 2007 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Thanks a lot, guys.  I got a little carried away with BBref's new draft tool.  It is awesome.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Man, just when I think bb-ref can't get any more awesome... it does!
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jun 5, 2007 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Hmm..it actually seems like Sabean's drafts have been a lot better recently.

by giants92388 on Jun 5, 2007 8:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
It was fun looking at this.

Any easy way to line up the Braves during the same era. A two column comparison perhaps. (I'm too lazy to do this myself, as its some work, and I don't want to break out Excel) Besides your comments are better. I don't follow prospects ahead of time anymore.

Save Matt Morris. Save The Pitchers. Save The World.

by E Ticket on Jun 5, 2007 9:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Thanks E.

I took a quick look at the Braves.  They don't just draft a new superstar every year, although they have done a good job of trading the talent they have for more young talent.  They have definitely been pretty good with the dartboard, getting good players who have stuck in later rounds.

Also, when it rains, it pours for the Braves.  In 2002, they got Francouer (1st), McCann (2nd), and Chuck James (20th).  They got Adam Wainwright, Scott Thorman, and Kelly Johnson all in the 1st round in 2000, and added Zach Miner in the 4th.  In 1993, they got a haul, but all in later rounds:  Kevin Millwood (11th), Jermaine Dye (17th), and John Rocker (18th).  Three All-Stars in those rounds, one draft.  Unbelievable.  That makes up for the years in which they just bombed, like 1999.

Another thing is that all of those guys are HS guys except James and Dye, who were JC guys.  They seem to be able to identify HS talent pretty well, and a lot of those guys have turned out to be good-to-star quality.  I think they also just have a good organization set up so that these guys do learn and develop well within the system, which HS guys really need.  The Braves have gotten a lot of talent out of later rounds.  It isn't just first and second round guys.

They stick with their younger guys, too.  Even though many of their draft picks have ended up as spare parts-type relievers, they plug them in at the major-league level, so they always have that extra pen guy out of their system.  Getting a star every once in a while out of the draft is great, but there is a real advantage when you can fill a couple bullpen spots and put a decent position player or two out there on the cheap.  The Braves have done very well there.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
The other thing to note about the Braves is that most of the players you listed are from Georgia. They focus on scouting the surrounding area, and obviously their scouts know what they're doing. This undoubtedly helps them with signability problems as well.

by Evan on Jun 5, 2007 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
No doubt.  Although given that the Giants are in California, shouldn't we do an even better job?

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Possibly, but not necessarily.  In the Southeast, who do the Braves have to compete with for prospects in terms of sign-ability?  If you were being scouted by Florida, Tampa Bay, or Atlanta, and any of the three took you first, who would you rather sign with?

Conversely, in California theres the A's, Giants, Padres, and Bums.  As much as it pains me to say it, I'm sure a lot of SoCal talent would LOVE (or prefer) to play for the Dodgers or even the Padres.  

This is just a rudimentary look at the overall picture.  There was really no deep thought process, so my suggestion/argument may (or quite possibly IS) be flawed.  

by sfgfan on Jun 5, 2007 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I agree.  Plus, everybody scouts California heavily, even the Angels, which you left off your California team list.  That's ok though, they are just that forgettable.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Five years of conditioning have finally paid off.  Thanks to you though, I'm going to have to start over now.

by sfgfan on Jun 5, 2007 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
You also can't forget about Andruw Rudolf Jones, signed in 1993 as a 16 year old amateur free agent.
Never tell me the odds.

by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 5, 2007 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
First:  Great post North Side!

Braves tend to draft from their region and focus on high schoolers.  I think a narrow focus like this helps, particularly since there are no teams close to their area to easily poach from their region, unlike the Giants with the A's in the area.  In addition, with high schoolers, you get big rewards for big risks:  they are harder to project but if you get a hit, you get a pretty good player.

I did a similar comparison to the above but only for about a 6-8 year period, comparing the Giants against the A's, Yankees, and Braves for picks that they all had in the 21-30 overall pick range, which is where your pick is if you are competitive for or in the playoffs.  The teams were all comparable at that time (I think I did it in late 2004, maybe early 2005) and arguably the Giants were better, since they had Ainsworth, Williams, Foppert, Cain at that time.  

Your study shows how important time is when comparing and evaluating draft results.

"No batboy can throw a ball like that." - Randy Winn, when someone noted that Lincecum look like a teenage batboy

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jun 5, 2007 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
The Giants have a very likely ace (Lincecum) and a quite possible ace (Cain) locked up. If you are thinking of any of the other three Giants starters as aces, I believe you may find a joker instead.

by sharksrog on Jun 5, 2007 6:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
wow, really nice work.  fun to read, and makes me think sabes has been better than i give him credit for.  
question:  so, is this going to be a year like 98, where we have a bunch of high picks bu not a lot of talent to choose from?  might just be me but it seems like i've read that this year's crop isn't stellar, at least in the college ranks....is that true?

by vivalancellotti on Jun 5, 2007 11:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Thanks for the compliment!

I can certainly go back and look at the drafts and how they turned out, and I track minor league numbers, but I don't keep up on scouting the new guys.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
College hitters aren't believed to be strong, but most scouts seem to consider the HS hitters crop to be once in a generation strong, the HS pitchers to be close to the same, and the college pitchers to have some very high upside. In general it's viewed as an all around strong draft class.

By the way, on the hometown discount deal, the Giants have done some of this as well. Last year both Snyder and Tanner were local boys who are reputed to be strong Giants fans. Schierholtz and Frandsen both are as well.  Threets is from Liverpool.  Foppert and Peireia from USF.  So I wouldn't say they ignore the local angle on their draftboard.

by Roger on Jun 5, 2007 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Threets is actually from Livermore, although it is possible he has visited England.

by sharksrog on Jun 5, 2007 6:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
That's a very interesting typo.  I must have been having that 5th Beatle fantasy again.

by Roger on Jun 6, 2007 5:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Is that the fantasy you get when you drink a fifth?  :)

by sharksrog on Jun 6, 2007 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I think the Giants have changed their draft philosophy recently.  In addition to focusing on pitching, I think they are also focusing on the middle of the field - targeting base-stealing fast, excellent defensive middle IFs and CFs, RFs.  They also seem to do a good job of finding backup Cs.  
  If this perception is true, in addition to trying to fill half the roster (SPs, RPs) from the draft, they are also trying to fill 4 positional player slots, plus some bench slots from the draft (2b, SS, CF, RF + backup C, middle IF and 4th, 5th OF).  If it actually worked, they would then need only target 4 positions in FA, trades, which would be 1b, 3b, LF, C.

by allfrank on Jun 5, 2007 12:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Sabean has been saying for a few years now that he thinks that baseball is swinging back on the pendulum towards a speed-oriented offense, like the Cards of the 80's, and it has manifested itself with all the players in the lower minors who can steal 40-60 bases in a season.
"No batboy can throw a ball like that." - Randy Winn, when someone noted that Lincecum look like a teenage batboy

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Jun 5, 2007 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Sabean absolutely does keep saying and acting on this theory, speed is the next great revolution -- which is one reason I'm a little scared about tomorrow's draft, because it's a decidedly stupid theory! Unless he's gonna start a revolution to get bigger stadiums and astroturf back as well. One of his greatest weaknesses (I've been saying now for years) is a horrible undervaluing of power and it's importance to the game of baseball.

by Roger on Jun 6, 2007 5:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Oh great, something else to worry about during the draft... Somehow I envision a Star Trek scene, with Scotty as Sabean and us as Kirk:

Us: "Sabean/Scotty, we need more power!"

S/S: "I'm givin' it all I got, cap'n"

Us: "You'll just have to focus on power, and not so much on...

Okay, so the analogy breaks down pretty quickly. Even so, we need more power Scotty.

Your 2012 NL ERA champion: Sergio Romo

by Lyle on Jun 6, 2007 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I wouldn't dismiss Sabean entirely.  While Sabean seems not to care much for the sabermetric approach, the organization would be foolish to ignore such tools entirely.

There has been major work done in quantifying defense over the last few years since the Moneyball softball teams that the A's were throwing out there in the early 2000s.  We have a much better handle on the value of defense versus offense now, so we don't have to just say "no way, Adam Dunn is so much better than Randy Winn - look at his bat!"  We can put a number on Winn's contribution and realize that Winn has actually been more valuable this year than Adam Dunn.  That's not the best example, because Winn plays a lot of CF, but you get the gist.

What is interesting is that sabermetric defensive work is validating conventional baseball wisdom in a way that conventional baseball wisdom proponents couldn't do themselves, and doing it better - yes, Dunn both looks bad and is bad in the field, while Jeter looks good but is terrible.  We can now put a run (and thus a win) value on that contribution and measure it against the player's offensive contribution.

I can't read Sabean's mind, and I might be wrong about what he is saying, but speed is a major component of defense.  Now if Sabean is talking about stealing bases and bunts, then no thanks.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 6, 2007 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
There could be something to this.  I guess you could hope that last year was step one in the "rebuilding" process.  They have the pitching, so lets go after some defense and speed.  Now that those two things may be knocked down, it's time to look toward bigger bats at the corners.

Luckily for them, this year seems to have a few prime choices for the first round.

by sfgfan on Jun 5, 2007 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
If the Giants draft philosophy works they will need to fill ONLY four positions via free agency?   :)

by sharksrog on Jun 6, 2007 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
All of you who voted for Rosen and Quinn are clearly blinded by anti-Sabean bias.

Oh wait...almost everyone voted for Sabean. But that would mean...

Proud adoptive father of the All-Father and his 1.99 ERA

by EliminateMe on Jun 5, 2007 12:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Clearly, everyone's blindeder by anti-Rosen-and-Quinn bias.
Steve Kline: He's pretty okay!

by groug on Jun 5, 2007 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Threw up in my mouth a little
Trot Nixon (7th), Billy Wagner (11th), Derrek Lee (14th), Chris Carpenter (15th), Torii Hunter (20th), Jason Varitek (21st) were all taken after

Soderstrom.

Him?

by awesomer on Jun 5, 2007 1:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Threw up in my mouth a little
Is he funny or something?
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Jun 5, 2007 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I voted for Rosen. He drafted Will Clark. everything else was gravy.
Never tell me the odds.

by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 5, 2007 2:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Yeah, but his choose Will Clark instead of one Barry Lamar Bonds.  This ment we lost the cheapest years of Lamar and two (should have been three) MVP seasons.

by giantsrainman on Jun 5, 2007 11:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Great post!

My only quibble is the 2005 'Draft-Pick Punting' comment.

2004 was the year Sabean punted the first round pick intentionally for Tucker.  In 2005, the three picks that were given up were for:

  • Omar - We needed a shortstop, we got a gold glover with a lot more in the tank than some expected.
  • Matheny - Getting a catcher was key, and he was signed for defense, not offense.  He won the gold glove, and no one could've forseen the 'World's Toughest Man' going down to injury like that.
  • Armando - Yea, he didn't work out, but the Giants needed a closer, and he was the best on the market (by far).
None of those guys would've lasted to the arbitration deadline (Omar was hotly pursued and the first free agent to change teams that year), and a couple of them probably would've gotten arbitration, making that moot.

Sometimes, you need free agents, fact of life.  You can't sign top free agents without giving up picks.

by BruteSentiment on Jun 5, 2007 2:32 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I agree; 2005 didn't have a "what the hell" moment like the Tucker signing. I wasn't crazy about the Matheny signing, but it took place after the arbitration deadline, and since Omar and Benitez were already signed, it only cost us a third round pick. The other two aren't as clear cut in my eyes.

Benitez signed less than a week before the arbitration deadline. It can be assumed that a) he would have broken the bank in arbitration after a 47 save, 1.29 ERA season, and b) the cheap Marlins wanted no part of that.

The Indians had declined Vizquel's option and said their goodbyes. It wouldn't have made sense for them to offer him arbitration where they may have ended up owing him more than the declined option would have paid.

I can accept that both players were hotly pursued, although I remember that after the Tigers signed Percival, the Giants were the only team out there positioned to splurge on a closer. What was the rush? What would have happened if they had told Benitez, "we'll sign this deal in a week?"

Omar's contract is easier to defend, although I always wonder: if you're a free agent who isn't expecting to be offered arbitration, is there value in waiting? Might a team be willing to offer you $6M a year if they get to keep their draft pick, as opposed to $5M a year if they don't? I've always been curious about that.

Anyway, there's no smoking gun here, but also no evidence that Sabean cared much about draft picks either.

"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Jun 5, 2007 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
That's the interesting thing about the arbitration deadline....I see a lot of people (notably, those that attack Sabean) tell Sabean he should treat the arbitration deadline with regards to practically nothing other than how it affects draft picks (Simply put, don't sign anyone not named Vlad before the deadline), but then postulate that other teams offer or don't arbitration without considering draft pick implications (as you're suggesting with Florida).

I would say that only one current GM appears to make decisions at one of those extremes: Towers in San Diego.  They risked taking back Chan Ho Park, Alan Embree and Ryan Klesko for #57 overall, #63 overall, and #64 overall.  I don't know that those are the types of picks that a team should risk on players who may want easy, fairly rich arbitration deals.  And to those who say that the Padres made those moves with 'understandings' that those free agents would move on....I don't think most players would act that way.  I'm suprised they did.

by BruteSentiment on Jun 5, 2007 5:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Good point... now that I think about it Florida probably had good reason to believe they could safely offer Benitez arbitration, particularly once rumors of a Giants deal started flying. I still doubt Sabean cared either way.

The Padres situation was an odd one, and the Todd Walker situation only makes it more confusing. Until then I didn't realize that teams could essentially back out of the arbitrated contract by paying a penalty. If that's the case, it helps explains what San Diego was doing, although it makes them look like a bunch of tools for doing it.

"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Jun 5, 2007 6:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Excellent points Brute.

North Side...thank you for the post.

by Buzzword on Jun 6, 2007 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
My bad, and thanks for pointing that out.  That far into posting the diary, I just blanked on that.

Also, as Martin has written, the volatility of the draft certainly makes the FAs a better risk - it just has to be the right FAs to give up the high potential reward from the draft.

Omar - yes
Matheny - ugh... I don't know if he was really much better than Knoedler, and he certainly was an overcorrection from Pierzynski (who, by the way, is appearing with the IL Sec of State and a White Sox coach to help sign up organ and tissue donors - what a guy!)
Mando - hard to say.  In hindsight, easy to say, but yeah, he sure looked good the previous year.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 5, 2007 6:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
The Giants likely would have fared far better behind the dish if they had signed Gregg Zaun instead of Mike Matheny.  Yorvit Torrealba would have made a fine platoon partner for Zaun, but was a bit redundant with Mike.

by sharksrog on Jun 5, 2007 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Yes, the Giants DID need a lot of free agents after the 2004 season.  Whose fault was that again?  :)

by sharksrog on Jun 6, 2007 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
in 1999, Jose Alberto Pujols was drafted in the 13th round, the 402nd overall pick. THAT was the best player drafted, and perhaps the best pick in the last 25 years
*If you Lince him, he will come*

by smirnoff on Jun 5, 2007 8:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Okay, the Cardinals look like geniuses now, but consider the fact that they passed on Pujols 15 times before finally taking him.
Proud adoptive father of the All-Father and his 1.99 ERA

by EliminateMe on Jun 5, 2007 11:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
your allowed to luck out from time to time, and 29 other teams passed on him 201 times if ur going to put it like that. He played outfield, not very well, and he was skinnier than he was now(im not suggesting anything by that)
*If you Lince him, he will come*

by smirnoff on Jun 5, 2007 11:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
for STL he was a local kid and they'd probably seen him more than other teams. It's possible they thought they could wait to get him.
Never tell me the odds.

by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 6, 2007 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
though, I guess he was a BA top 100 prospect.
Never tell me the odds.

by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 6, 2007 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I realize you are joking here, but it COULD be a valid point.  But it seems to me that part of good drafting is having a handle of how low you can draft a guy.

Clearly if you really think the guy is good, you would be better to err on being two rounds too early rather than one round too late, but presumedly the Cardinals had the opportunity to get at least one pretty good player by waiting to draft Albert that they otherwise might have missed out on.

by sharksrog on Jun 6, 2007 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
Shawn Schumacher, Paul Thames, Kevin Sprague, Aaron Davidson, Brent Spooner. Those were the Cards' round 8-12 picks that year. Obviously they must have thought they had a chance of getting something with Spooner, but it's hard to give them too much credit for deciding that they didn't need to use pick #372 on Pujols and could wait another round.

I was joking, but my underlying points were that (a) sometimes it's better to be lucky than good, and (b) a lot of those later-round picks involve taking a flier on a long-shot chance to work out.

Given Pujols' meteoric one-season rise through the farm system, it's hard in retrospect to figure out why he did drop so low...apparently he was a stud in HS and batted .461 in his one community college season.

The Giants don't deserve to be singled out for passing him up to select folks like Joe Jester, Kevin Vent, Anthony Yacco, since everyone else was passing also, but I do want to point out that the Giants drafted guys named Jester, Vent, and Yacco that year.

Proud adoptive father of the All-Father and his 1.99 ERA

by EliminateMe on Jun 6, 2007 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
its always better to be lucky than good
*If you Lince him, he will come*

by smirnoff on Jun 6, 2007 8:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
What's interesting about this, and about the BB-Ref draft tool in general, is that it illustrates what a crapshoot the baseball draft is.   It's fun to look at who's available and speculate about whether they'll fill a need the Giants have, but looking back it sure seems like nobody really knows how many of these guys are going to turn out.

by Mel Ott on Jun 6, 2007 9:12 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some Giants Draft History
I am with you, and that is why I think the quality of the organization is so important.  There are clearly some guys for whom the light goes on that learn things about approach and mechanics and turn out to be good ballplayers.  It isn't going to happen for some guys no matter how well they are taught, but the organization needs to ensure that the environment is there.

Going back to the Braves:  I think that the Braves definitely have an actual system with which they approach teaching their players.  Some guys aren't going to work in that system, and those seem to be the guys that the Braves deal, even if the guys show a lot of talent.

If the Giants have an actual system, then it certainly hasn't worked with our endless stream of fast, toolsy OFers who don't end up making it, and I have a hard time believing that the Giants are just that bad at identifying the right talent through both the draft and in Latin America.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 6, 2007 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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