We're going all the way, baby!
This isn't the start of something beautiful. This isn't the start of a legendary divisional comeback. At the very least, though, the Yankees came into San Francisco at .500, and they left under .500. Satisfaction, defined: Putting the Yankees under .500 in June. Overpriced misery loves overpriced company.
The two high spots of the weekend:
- Liking baseball again. There was a part of me that was really scared I'd lose interest in baseball if the Giants were awful for the next five years. That's just not an option. There's always going to be a reason to cheer, even in the 100-loss seasons. Mike Benjamin's consecutive hits streak, Bill Mueller's emergence, pulling out a series-win upset at home...there are always going to be reasons to watch baseball, even in the ugly times.
- I loves me some of that young bullpen. They weren't perfect. Brad Hennessey gave up the homer to Alex Rodriguez, Jack Taschner was touched up for a run yesterday, and Randy Messenger gave up a run in the first game, but it's a bullpen that's hard to complain about. I'm still on the Hennessey-as-closer bandwagon, even after the tough weekend. Vinnie Chulk's ERA is creeping closer to Jeremy Accardo's, which would create a 43% drop in justifiable whining over the next few months. Messenger seems to suffer from Tomkosis -- great 'n' nasty stuff, but where are all the strikeouts? -- and yet all he's doing is getting outs. He'll always be the player to be thanked later in the Benitez deal.
Taschner might be the most frustrating pitcher on the staff, but it's worth noting that he's only allowed an earned run in nine of his 31 appearances. That's not great, but it's not the disaster that you'd expect from a 5.48 ERA. Kevin Correia needs to stop getting grooming tips from Jeff Weaver, but there's no sense in rocking the boat when he's on a roll. I don't cringe when any of the non-Kline pitchers get the call, and even Kline's been pitching well. Very well, actually.
Trust me, I'd love nothing more than to start a "Free Dan Giese!"-campaign and put a Giese-o-meter up on the front page, but there just isn't space in the bullpen. Who'd've thunk it? Hopefully Morris gets traded for something sweet, Kline gets traded for an A-ball player, Jonathan Sanchez moves up to the rotation, and we get to see Giese and Pat Misch.
"The bullpen: It's not just for blaming anymore™".
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69 comments
Comments
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by Aadik on Jun 25, 2007 11:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by Aadik on Jun 25, 2007 11:10 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by someguynamedg on Jun 25, 2007 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by fanofvanlandingham on Jun 25, 2007 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Before being sent down he was getting rocked. His ERA was close to 6 adn his WHIP close to 2. His k/bb ratio was 21/13 in 14.2 innings. Guys were hitting about
Since being recalled in June, he's been lights out. He has a 1.74 ERA, a 0.77 WHIP and a .118 BAA. He's only walked 4 in 10.1 innings (yeah, still a tad higher than premium) and has struck out 13. He's only given up 2 homers in that time, 1 to Manny (he's a HOFer) and 1 to Mark Ellis (Shit happens). Both were in blowout losses. He's a completely different pitcher. I guess they're crediting it to his rediscovery of his changeup. He's looking like the prospect we all thought he was.
He's not just looking great. He's pitching great.
by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 25, 2007 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by rxmeister on Jun 25, 2007 11:40 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Not only does it make watching the game fun, but it also gave the team a real spark at the beginning of what was to become a very solid win. To think that Bonds would bring a youthful, exuberant energy to a game is just astounding. I love it.
by howtheyscored on Jun 25, 2007 12:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
by Natto on Jun 25, 2007 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by rxmeister on Jun 25, 2007 6:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Sanchez is nasty... they better not trade him unless it's for Miguel Cabrera. Correia's been lights out since April (and is still my favorite Giants bullpen pitcher). Chulk is making the Accardo trade hurt less and less every time he pitches. Hennessey is usually dependable (though they need to get him more regular work, "closer" job be damned.) Messenger probably is most prone to a blow up, but he's been solid. Taschner is uneven, but if he's got good command, he's pretty nasty. Kline still sucks, but even he's pitching okay lately.
I like it! It's not the Padres bullpen (yet), but it's young and it's cheap and that's the best part about it. I love that they're giving younger guys a chance at the job now instead of just handing out multi-million dollar deals to old dudes. Hopefully, they'll realize how much better this strategy is (and they won't try to sign Gagne or anyone to a longterm deal this offseason.)
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 12:11 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
I honestly didn't realize Kline's ERA was below 4. But I'm still not exactly optimistic about his future success when he's got a 1.68 WHIP and only 6 strikeouts in 22 innings.
That said, I'm glad to have the ~veteran presence~ as long as he's getting outs.
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
So, actually, he has been very consistent and very effective (only gave up 2 other runs in May).
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Even if you take out those two bad 0 inning appearances, he's still got a WHIP of 1.45. He doesn't have the ability to get a strikeout anymore... it just all adds up to, IMO, a rather ominous future for Steve Kline.
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by rxmeister on Jun 25, 2007 6:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
If he pulls that shit this year, I'm moving his curfew up an hour.
by groug on Jun 25, 2007 12:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
So I'm basing it on a thing I think I heard someone say one time.
by groug on Jun 25, 2007 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
He has -7.2 inherited runs prevented, which means he allowed quite a few inherited runners to score than would be expected (that's one of the highest figures I saw, going through the whole thing.) And 6.1 bequeathed runs prevented is also one of the higher figures I saw (so a higher than expected numbers of his own runners were stranded by other relievers.). If you look there, it says that Kline's Run Average was 4.18, but based on those inherited/bequeathed numbers, it should have been 5.27.
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Still, to his credit, according to BP he hasn't allowed any more inherited runners to score this season then he should be expected to, and he hasn't got a lot of help from the pitchers who have relieved him. Only one Giant has been particularly good with inherited runners (Sanchez) and only one has been particularly helped by the people who relieve him (Correia).
Adjusted runs prevented, per BP:
6.3, Sanchez
5.8, Chulk
5.1, Hennessey
3.4, Kline
3.4, Ortiz
3.0, Taschner
2.0, Messenger (5.5 including Florida)
0.8, Correia
-1.5, Benitez (-0.4 including Florida)
Win Expectation above Replacement (This takes into account how important the game situation was, and is surely very forgiving of Kline being shelled in Oakland when the game was already out of reach. It also takes into account the quality of the batters faced.):
0.893, Kline
0.773, Taschner
0.538, Hennessey
0.419, Sanchez
0.399, Ortiz
0.217, Messenger (0.371 including Florida)
0.117, Chulk
0.066, Correia
-0.180, Benitez (-0.060 including Florida)
I don't know exactly how he's doing it, but Kline is definitely getting the job done.
by Pants Man on Jun 25, 2007 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
He had 10 appearances in which 6 were scoreless. In 3 appearances he allowed 1 run each. He had two bad appearances: the Oak blow out where he got 0 outs, loaded the bases and gave up the slam to Ellis (4 ERs/0 IP). He had another 0IP game in Colo, starting the inning, giving up a hit; then Hennessey came in gave up a BB and 2 hits, an ER for Kline and one of his own). In June, in 11.1 IP he's given up 0 runs.
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Kline is the 57th-best relief pitcher in baseball by this metric (which is a good one, I think).
We have many + relievers, but not ONE who is a stud. If you toss out "leverage" and look at adjusted runs prevented, Dirty Sanchez, at 56th tops the list.
One thing that might depress this is if the relievers are pitching fewer innings than other staffs, but I am too lazy to look this up.
by zenbitz on Jun 25, 2007 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by Pants Man on Jun 25, 2007 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Early in the year, when many posters (including myself) picked Correia as one of the most reliable relievers, you posted a few comments saying that you simply couldn't understand why people could possibly trust a reliever with a 5+ ERA (which, as it happens, is the same argument several people usedas a reason why it was okay to trade Accardo). The answer to why people trusted Correia is the same as why they liked Accardo: peripherals (or as you like to mockingly refer to them, "peripheries"). He was striking out a lot of guys, not walking many, and not getting hit. His poor ERA had more to do with bad luck and poor fielding (by himself and Todd Linden) than it did with his pitching, and the peripherals showed that. With that in mind, it should be no surprise that his ERA has fallen dramatically.
by English Professor on Jun 25, 2007 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
What I go on to say is that he has been remarkably effective this year and that out of all his appearances over the year, he's had only 2 (at most) bad appearances, which have really skewed his numbers. So, I'm going beyond his numbers, beyond ERA, to look at how/what he's done in actual games. And in May, for example, his 'worst' month, his numbers for his 10 or so appearances are skewed by 2 bad appearances - or 1 awful and 1 mediocre.
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by English Professor on Jun 25, 2007 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by English Professor on Jun 25, 2007 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 3:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by jponry on Jun 25, 2007 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 3:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Kline btw has had far more than 2 "bad" appearances. For a reliever, allowing a run is a relatively bad outing, particularly when there is no "inherited runner" situation.
If you want to look at traditional stats look at his whip. It's not pretty. And as traditional stats go, it's really the only one (in addition to k/bb rate) that should be used for relievers.
by noahthek on Jun 25, 2007 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by Pants Man on Jun 25, 2007 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
And, no, I did not interpret your second paragraph as resurrecting some discussion that took place a month and a half ago
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
peripherals
I propose a terminology-adjustment campaign. Any suggestions?
by Evan on Jun 25, 2007 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
by Roger on Jun 25, 2007 3:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
by Evan on Jun 25, 2007 6:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
by Pants Man on Jun 25, 2007 6:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
No, you're right, it's not a very good use of the word. But it is fairly entrenched; when I hear it I immediately think of K's/BB's/HR's and not "of minor importance."
by Pants Man on Jun 25, 2007 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
I've always thought of peripherals as those stats that go beyond "first glance". Although W-L, SO and ERA might not be the most useful stats, they'll always be what's on the back of the baseball card and the categories they show the leaders in in the sportspage.
by Goofus on Jun 25, 2007 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
And yet nobody ever wonders about that one...
by howtheyscored on Jun 25, 2007 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: peripherals
by Evan on Jun 25, 2007 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by orangeandblackattack on Jun 25, 2007 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
And the most amazing thing is that it was all about how "ok" Steve Kline is.
Haven't we been over this?
by howtheyscored on Jun 25, 2007 5:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
I find this upsetting.
by groug on Jun 25, 2007 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by BawLa on Jun 25, 2007 12:11 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
not on the hennessey-as-closer bandwagon
Grant, you ignorant slut. Since Benitez was unloaded he has as many blown saves as has saves. I'm not saying he doesn't have a chance of working out in the long run, but what is there to be excited about?
by GameSix on Jun 25, 2007 12:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: not on the hennessey-as-closer bandwagon
by GameSix on Jun 25, 2007 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: not on the hennessey-as-closer bandwagon
by Natto on Jun 25, 2007 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hennessey
by orangeandblackattack on Jun 25, 2007 4:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Hennessey
by pme on Jun 25, 2007 5:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Hennessey
I don't know what I think of Henny's long term projections as a closer. As early as the beginning of this year I was skeptical of his short term projections as a player, and he's seriously turned me around on that.
Whatever you say about him, he's done nothing but improve and prove me wrong since he got here. He's got a thing for words that end in p-r-o-v-e, I guess. So we'll see where he goes.
He's already shown velocity, control, and a slider that NOBODY knew he had coming into the year. He might surprise us again.
by howtheyscored on Jun 25, 2007 6:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
Name vs Avg OBP
Sanchez LH 103 239
RH 294 438
Lowry LH 194 271
RH 263 356
Morris LH 263 309
RH 272 341
Cain LH 222 337
RH 227 304
Zito LH 333 411
RH 223 308
Lincecum LH 245 342
RH 220 283
What I think stands out is that he still has major difficulties against RH hitters. Lineups would be stacked with RH hitters, so he could have real problems as a starter, if he doesn't become considerably more effective against them. On balance, I think his numbers look worse than Lincecum's and we know how he's been hit around. I think his numbers look worse than Zito's, particularly considering he'll (Sanchez) see almost exclusively RH hitters. He may not be ready yet.
by allfrank on Jun 25, 2007 12:26 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Sanchez should be starting in Fresno
Very true. Sanchez has pitched just over 100 innings above single A ball. That would even include his ML experience with SF. He needs experience and seasoning. He should be able to get this starting every fifth day with Fresno. This would aid his development and he could refine his craft.
by wilriv21 on Jun 25, 2007 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Sanchez should be starting in Fresno
Does the team really see him as a starter? If they do, he should probably be sent down to AAA to get his stamina up.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Jun 25, 2007 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Sanchez should be starting in Fresno
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jun 25, 2007 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Sanchez should be starting in Fresno
by Evan on Jun 25, 2007 6:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by nostocksjustbonds on Jun 25, 2007 2:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by AndYourBirdCanSing on Jun 25, 2007 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Jun 25, 2007 4:16 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by travis j bagdad on Jun 25, 2007 5:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
OT (and apologies to the Artist)
I happened upon the site , but forgot to jot down the location...I may be in NY in a month and would LOVE to show it off.
by victor frankenstein on Jun 25, 2007 5:48 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by milesntrane on Jun 25, 2007 6:59 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: We're going all the way, baby!
by Grant on Jun 25, 2007 8:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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