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Anarchy

Yesterday's post was my How I Stopped Worrying, and Learned to Give Up on Todd Linden post. It was torture watching him fall behind in every at-bat, but who really thought the team was going to expose him to waivers?  If Roberts were injured, the Giants would only need to call up one additional outfielder. The real decision - Lewis or Linden? - would only have to be made when Roberts came off the DL.

Instead, the Giants weighed two options - stick with Todd Linden, or audition Dan Ortmeier for a month even if it meant losing Linden to waivers - and they chose the latter. That's a bold, bold vote of no-confidence for Linden. Ortmeier is a career .272/.350/.434 hitter in the minors, and he hit .244/.293/.389 last season in AAA. He was hitting .268/.341/.482 in AAA at the time of his call-up. Linden wasn't the answer. But Ortmeier really isn't the answer.

This isn't a lamentation for Lindens gone by. He's likely gone, and the odds of him ever becoming a major league hitter were awful, at least with the Giants. Maybe another organization can straighten him out. All I know is if I were a struggling young hitter, I would want to get as far away from the Giants as I possibly could. This team produces good hitters at the same rate other teams produce good jazz albums.

So another first-round (supplemental) pick down the tubes. Let's revisit the list of Best Position Players Drafted or Developed since Matt Williams (1986 Draft):

C -  Doug Mirabelli
1B - Damon Minor
2B - Deivi Cruz
SS - Royce Clayton
3B - Bill Mueller
LF - Marvin Benard
CF - Chris Singleton
RF - Armando Rios

I was hopeful that Linden eventually would replace Rios. No dice. Can Kevin Frandsen pass up Deivi Cruz? Godspeed, ex-Spartan. Godspeed.

What amazes me is that the past 20 years of development futility haven't been orchestrated by the same group. The keys have been given to a couple of general managers, a bunch of player development types, and scores of minor league instructors and managers. Not one of them could come up with something better than Bill Mueller.

Even with six picks of the first 51 in this year's draft, they'll turn every promising position player into a busted player. They might as well draft six pitchers and try and trade them for talent from other teams.

Bah.

Go Fred Lewis. Ascend higher than the lofty peaks climbed by Marvin Bernard and Chris Singleton! Excelsior!

Open grumpy thread.

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Re: Anarchy
If you're gonna put Benard in left field, couldn't you put Feliz at SS? I mean, for the 25 games or so he played there, he was better than Clayton, right?
David Arnott
Sportszilla -- Kickass Sports Writing
Adopted EME

by David Arnott on May 11, 2007 11:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Taking defense into account, I'd probably rather have Clayton.

by Grant on May 11, 2007 11:21 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Clayton was never a great defensive SS. I look at what the various metrics say (compared to the rest of the world), consider that, subjectively, he was always held in "somewhat better than average" regard, then consider that Pedro is in the conversation with Beltre and Zimmerman as the heir to Rolen's "best fielding 3B" throne, and I conclude that since Pedro has been a better hitter and would likely be equal or better in the field, he deserves the nod over Clayton.
David Arnott
Sportszilla -- Kickass Sports Writing
Adopted EME

by David Arnott on May 11, 2007 9:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Ack. I forgot to link Clayton's defensive numbers.
David Arnott
Sportszilla -- Kickass Sports Writing
Adopted EME

by David Arnott on May 11, 2007 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Through today, Feliz has a career OPS+ of 86. I don't really want to crunch the numbers, but it looks like Clayton was close at the same age. Clayton's overall OPS+ is 77, but that includes his age 32-37 years. I think we can both agree that Feliz isn't exactly going to age like a fine wine.

As far as range factor and zone rating, I'd rather look at Clayton's high Galaga score to interpret his defense. BP has him as consistently above-average from 94-03, not that I'm enamored of BP's numbers, but I trust them more than RF and ZR.

Add in Clayton's speed and the uncertainty of how Pedro would perform at SS for a decade-long span, and I feel comfortable choosing Clayton. Of course, this is like choosing a kick in the taint over a punch in the kidney.

by Grant on May 12, 2007 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Taint Misbehavin'.
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on May 12, 2007 6:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Tainted Love.
Coming to you by proxy (I adopted: Dave Righetti!)

by howtheyscored on May 13, 2007 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
In this contest, there are no winners.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 10:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Time to remove all sharp objects from the desk of Mr. Grant.

by Rude thoughtless little pig on May 11, 2007 11:15 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
BA seems to be down. :(
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
John Manuel knows us pretty well.

And I'm still angry we traded Mike Caruso.

by Lyle on May 11, 2007 5:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
You know, when he was just standing there in his uniform, Linden kind of reminded me a little bit of Mickey Mantle.

by Rude thoughtless little pig on May 11, 2007 11:19 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Before he died, right?

by Todd Linden on May 12, 2007 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I cannot find the link, but I believe Tidrow is talking up pitching again for this years draft.  I get kind of tired of it after awhile.  The Giants will probably pick a right handed pitcher with their first pick, as they have done more often than not in recent years.

by ben p on May 11, 2007 11:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Oh man, if it's not a 5:1 or at least a 4:2 split between hitters and pitchers in the draft this year... I don't know what I'll do. I mean I know you can never have enough pitching... but the fact is that we have NO hitting, and you do kind of need some of that.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I believe in taking the best available prospect.  If the Giants can get six pitchers with those first 51 picks and have half of them turn out really well, they will be able to trade for the much-needed bats if necessary.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Yeah, I wasn't really thinking in those terms. Of course, I also have yet to see Sabean really pull off a good pitching for hitting trade (in recent years anyway), so I'm a little skeptical. Of course, he hasn't drafted a good position player either so who knows.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Or actually, ever.

by zenbitz on May 11, 2007 4:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Baseball panik in the year 7
I'm really cranky about this as I've said about two or three other times. The hell with this, the hell with the crappy collusive umpiring, the hell with blowing leads in the 8th and forget all of it. They'll walk Barry till he's 54 to avoid giving him the HR record, the Red Sox players will never STFU about a player they only have to see twice this year and never the rest, and the media will wonder why Barry hates them as they rip him a new one snidely every weekly column (I say this as an erstwhile member of the media). Linden was too good to get cut like that after a stupid play, whatever Bochy says about that not being the reason. Jon Miller sounds depressed at the end of the game and I can't even listen to one more postgame show where the summation is "The Giants failed to capitalize." Because of OPP (Other People's Precipitation) the Giants will lose twice in Philly or Pitt or whatever the hell Smoke Belt city they were going to play in -- the travel schedule assed us out big time there. We can't even beat the Rockies. Stupid fangirls are up in Tim Lincecum's business already and the kid is like 14 (any company reading this is excluded of course). I don't get to go to Giants Photo Day even though I have tickets because I'll be in Denver (hopefully working on a soccer game from the TV truck. Wait, that doesn't belong in a cranky thread).

Well and Omar may be finished offensively, Roberts is out of commission and we may have seen the last of Joel Zumaya's 103. I still miss Tomko. The Rockies are dominant, Arizona is scary and we can't get it to work with either the kids or the ancient ones or a mix of both. Randy Winn cannot steal a base. Matty Mo is going to come back to earth sometime. Russ Ortiz is on the DL with a fake injury. Correiassey is awfully inconsistent as are Sanchez, Capt. Jack and even Mando when he doesn't get the right calls from the umpires.

HAVE I MENTIONED THE UMPIRES?

I'm trying to think of reasons to listen to the Giants now instead of putting on some Goo Goo Dolls every night and moping around in an offseasoneque haze of ennui. What's the point, we're just going to lose in the late innings. Barry will get walked. My Notgardo can't pick off a runner to save his precious life, and I'm afraid he's next on the chopping block while Bochy decides to give someone else a chance. Klesko and Sweeney are underwhelming me. I'm afraid Frandsy is just going to be another NiekroLindenWhateverWhoever. Accardo's closing in Toronto and Chulk seems to have lost whatever he had last year. I'd rather have Gil Meche than Barry Zito. I can't name a single Brewer and yet they're tearing up the entire MLB so the hell with that.

To quote the Baron, vaya con dios, Magellan. End rant.

My Adopted San Francisco Giant: Notgardo Alfonzo

by tk on May 11, 2007 11:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Well said
Except for the part about Klesko underwhelming.  I will not stand for such blasphemy!  
Start Ryan Klesko! He'll grab 15 boards a game and box out Boozer. (320/370/420 as of 5/9/07)

by Goofus on May 11, 2007 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Baseball panik in the year 7
So are you saying the McCoven is allowed to be all up in Lincecum's bidness?

I kid. Thanks for saying all the things I would say if I was provoked. Today I am trying to be zen because if not my forehead veins will pop and it's really hard to clean blood off cubicle walls. You pick up my slack. You rage when I cannot, and when I stomp and rage and yell you're there to be all calm and stuff.

You complete me.

Strikeouts are boring. Besides that, they're fascist. Not boring: Emmanuel Burriss. Not fascist: SF Dugout

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on May 11, 2007 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Baseball panik in the year 7
Indeed, it is a TK off day so it's a Baron on day. It's easier to clean blood off my kitchen floor.

You have first rights on Lincecum, all rights reserved, may not be reproduced, rebroadcast, or rewritten without express permission of BaronVonCurrentEvents and Major League Fake Baseball.

My Adopted San Francisco Giant: Notgardo Alfonzo

by tk on May 11, 2007 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Baseball panik in the year 7
You had me at "crappy collusive umpiring."

by Lyle on May 11, 2007 5:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Baseball panik in the year 7
When Barry Bonds is walked with no one out, it is almost always a boon to the Giants chances.  Sometimes it helps them with one out, as well.  With two outs, not likely.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Baseball panik in the year 7
Linden was too good to get cut like that after a stupid play??

hope that wasnt a serious comment...the dude was k'ining almost half the time he was coming to bat...do you honestly think that would improve?

by bacci40 on May 12, 2007 1:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
This goddamn front office better pick a few hitters with their early draft picks, no bullshit like Travis Ishikawa or hitters with no defense and made of porcelain like EME, but real, legitimate hitting prospects. Power guys, I can't take more of this "speed and defense" business, although I do like them I will be sick to my stomach if we have an entire team of Burris's and Richardson's.
I adopted Barry Bonds

by BondsApologist on May 11, 2007 11:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
So you are saying you would have prefered the Giants not pick Lincecum and instead picked, say, Tyler Colvin, Travis Snider, Christopher Marrero, or Matt Antonelli (position guys picked soon after Tim)?

There was slim pickings last year in position players.  Even the guy picked ahead of Lincecum, Drew Stubbs has question marks about his chances of hitting well in the majors.  Only Evan Longoria was a can't miss position pick.  Rowell was picked before and is nice but very young.

Snider, Marrero and Rowell would have been nice, but as high schoolers, it would be years before they contribute anything.

I don't know how loaded prospect-wise, the position players are, but I hope Sabean just picks the best players available, regardless of what position the player plays.

Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Nope. I am not saying that. I am saying that this year I would like them to get some hitters. That is all.
I adopted Barry Bonds

by BondsApologist on May 11, 2007 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
More than anything, this year I would like to see the Giants pick players who turn out to be good ones.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I agree. Perhaps I should clarify my earlier statement, I would like them to get hitters in this draft but not 'reach' so for example if there is the option of taking a hitter or pitcher with the 10th pick and they are both rated equally or the pitcher is clearly not a superior prospect, I want the Giants to go for the hitter.
I adopted Barry Bonds

by BondsApologist on May 11, 2007 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I won't be satisfied unless they pick at least a Hall of Famer and a more than one time All-Star this year. Otherwise, my krabbiness will continue to grow. Of course, bringing back Krazy Krab from forced retirement would exterminate any krabbiness. The choice is yours Giants, draft good players or bring back Krazy Krab...
If I have a son, I want him to grow up to be like Billy Sadler

by MeSoKrabby on May 11, 2007 4:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Nope. I am not saying that. I am saying that this year I would like them to get some hitters. That is all.
I adopted Barry Bonds

by BondsApologist on May 11, 2007 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
If Sabes and friends could/would make a decent trade I wouldn't mind a surplus of pitching. In the hands of a good GM it's trade fodder.

Am I going to get booed off the stage for not being pessimistic?

Strikeouts are boring. Besides that, they're fascist. Not boring: Emmanuel Burriss. Not fascist: SF Dugout

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on May 11, 2007 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
So you are saying you would have prefered the Giants not pick Lincecum and instead picked, say, Tyler Colvin, Travis Snider, Christopher Marrero, or Matt Antonelli (position guys picked soon after Tim)?

There was slim pickings last year in position players.  Even the guy picked ahead of Lincecum, Drew Stubbs has question marks about his chances of hitting well in the majors.  Only Evan Longoria was a can't miss position pick.  Rowell was picked before and is nice but very young.

Snider, Marrero and Rowell would have been nice, but as high schoolers, it would be years before they contribute anything.

I don't know how loaded prospect-wise, the position players are, but I hope Sabean just picks the best players available, regardless of what position the player plays, but with a preference for college players who are further developed and closer to making the majors when skills are close.

Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
How did you double post 10 minutes later?
Steve Kline: He's pretty okay!

by groug on May 11, 2007 4:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
He actually added a line at the end, if I'm not crazy.
Coming to you by proxy (I adopted: Dave Righetti!)

by howtheyscored on May 13, 2007 8:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I thought Ishikawa was a real prospect, and other teams only passed on him because of his signing bonus requests.  Then the Giants scooped him up in something like the 2nd or 3rd round and overpaid relative to what the players around him were getting as bonuses.

So I don't really mind that.  I wish he was better, but I can't fault the decision process.

Steve Kline: He's pretty okay!

by groug on May 11, 2007 4:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
That's mostly right. He had a firm university commitment -- I believe to Oregon St. -- that most teams thought he couldn't be bought out of. The Giants took a late round flyer on him -- he was actually about a 20th round pick and they gave him a huge bonus for that late a pick, something in the range of 900k I think.  Essentially it's very much like what the Dodgers did with Andy LaRoche, although that flyer appears to be paying off better thus far.

by Roger on May 15, 2007 7:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Didn't the Giants trade for Aurilia when he was in like single-A?  Can't that count as developed?
Steve Kline: He's pretty okay!

by groug on May 11, 2007 11:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Rich Aurilia would definitely count as a player who was developed -- but not as a player who was drafted and developed.  The Giants receieved Richie along with Desi Wilson as I recall for John (Charcoal) Burkett.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
The team drafted JD Drew in the 20th round of the 1994 draft, but he didn't sign. I know that doesn't count, but damn.
Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 11:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Thank goodness the Indians didn't sign Tim Linecum when they drafted him 42nd in 2005.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I'm going to take this as a general grumpy thread, because I'm grumpy that I have to turn in anything after my graduation on MOTHER'S DAY, much less almost 40 pages worth of stuff.

Grrr.

Coming to you by proxy (I adopted: Dave Righetti!)

by howtheyscored on May 11, 2007 12:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
"They might as well draft six pitchers and try and trade them for talent from other teams."

Now you're getting the idea!  I've been writing this for a few years now, but pitching is the way to go.  11-13 positions on every team is made up of pitchers.   Everyone needs pitching or would love an upgrade on pitching.  Middle rotation starters (historically - Lilly and Meche pitching great this season) like Vicente Padilla, Gil Meche, and Ted Lilly got $10-11M per year in the last off-season, horribly expensive for middle of rotation.  

The Giants need to fill their cup first and they are nearly done, their pitching staff is almost all homegrown and I like them as a group, particularly the starting rotation.  Once the cup is full, then for each better guy we develop and promote, we now have a pitcher pushed out that we can trade to another team.  

Look at how San Diego traded pitching to get A-Gon.  Toronto traded pitching to get Overbay, nothing great, but better than anything we've had at 1B recently.  The Nationals got Kearns AND Lopez for a couple of good relievers.  Tampa Bay has position players coming out of their pores but they need pitching.  

We just need to be patient with the pitching staff that we have, make do with what we have in the starting lineup, and real soon, we will have a surplus in pitching that can be traded for young position players.  

Hopefully some more pitchers continue to develop this season - like Misch, Sadler, Wilson, Begg, Anderson, Pereira, Griffin, Matos, McKae, Oseguera,  Cowart, Synder, Pucetas - and we can trade off either people on the major league roster that these prospects can replace or these prospects specifically, to get better position prospects, particularly corner infielders right now, which is a weak (relatively; they are all weak in any case) position for us right now in the farm system looking forward (and Villalona is at least 3-4 years away from making the majors, if not 6-8, he's only 16 after all.

Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 12:01 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Agreed.  If top hitters are available, then by all means draft them, but if better pitchers are available, then draft them.  Pitching is always at a premium and can be traded for hitters.

Besides, it appears that it isn't just that the Giants draft more pitchers, it is also that they may just be a lot better at identifying pitching talent than hitting talent.  Whether the team drafts pitching or hitting, young, cheap talent will have solid trade potential.  It was the punting draft picks that got them into such a mess.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
The punting of draft picks didn't get them into such a mess.  My study showed that each of those picks were around 11% chance (or 9 to 1 odds) of becoming a good starting player.  Assuming those odds, there was only about a 25% chance that they would have picked up a good player, about 75% chance that the player either never makes the majors or just comes up for a little bit but not a long term starter.

The Giants problem, or rather Sabean's era problem, is that the scouts here were not good at evaluating any prospect, position or pitching, until in recent years.  I don't know what the change was, perhaps Tidrow just needed a few years under his belt before he could get things going, but things didn't get better until 2001 when we picked Lowry and Hennessey in the first round, Linden in the supplemental first, and Foppert in the 2nd.

Though I guess that's not entirely fair.  1999 saw the draft of Ainsworth and Jerome Williams in the first round, Taschner in the 2nd.  And 2000 saw Bonser and Neikro drafted early, plus Ellison and Burres later on.  

But 2001's is the first that had a significant impact on our roster.  Then it improved in 2002 with Cain, Fred Lewis, Ortmeier, Hensley (now with SD), and Ishikawa.  

The rest are still works in progress as it takes prospects 4-6 years typically to make a major league impact.  2003 had Aardsma, Schierholtz, Sadler, Misch, Sanders, Coutlangus, and Wilson.  2004 had EME, Bowker, Timpner, Hedrick, Frandsen, Jon Sanchez, maybe Dave McKae, and the DFE bust thus far, Jeremiah Luster.  2005, with the first pick in the 4th round, has less top picks, but there's Griffin, Pereira, Joe Martinez, Brian Anderson, Maroul, Antoan Richardson, and Thomas Neal.  Last but certainly not least, 2006 with Lincecum, Burris, Tanner, Snyder, McBryde, Rohlinger, Pill, Bocock, Oseguera, Pucetas, and Cowart, though I'm probably missing one or two, last year was a blur for me.

The mess was created by the lack of any good drafts during the 1990's.  That's on the previous regime's (Bob Quinn's) head and on Sabean's head (he was head of scouting/player personnel for the Giants before he was named GM).  I had previously given Sabean an out because it takes a while to get your people in and to weed out the bad scouts, but he was in charge so he should get the discredit there.

Tidrow has been director of player personnel and overseer of scouting since 1997, when Sabean became GM, so I would give him most of the credit for the turnaround.  I would also give credit to the former Dodger, Ron Perranoski, who appears to have started advising Sabean on scouting and player development in 2000.  Lastly, I would include the late Pat Dobson, who has been with the Giants for a while as scout (and unofficial advisor to Sabean) until his untimely demise.

Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Draft picks don't have to turn into starting players, though.  Even if you can get a reasonably decent bench player, you don't have to pay $5m for Feliz or $4m for Aurilia or a million or two for another reliever.

Also, just having young players with promise gives you trade possibilities.  If you have a decent player in the minors, especially if he was a high draft pick, then he doesn't necessarily have to be that good to bring something back in trade.  Granted, a player with Lance Niekro's minor league numbers isn't going to bring back Miguel Cabrera, but every young player, even those who aren't obviously going to be stars, have the potential of bringing back major-league cheap talent, even in the form of middle relievers and backup OFers.

That 25% chance could mean a trade possibility.  It could mean a star player.  It could also mean that the team isn't scared to trade one prospect because there aren't enough others.

I am with you in that the Giants' problems can't be traced to one draft.  But if you are going to lose out on draft picks and the opportunity for minimum-salary major league talent, then don't make it because you just had to sign Michael Tucker.  The more you draft, the less likely you are to have to sign Michael Tucker-types, and that money can go to Vladimir Guerrero-types.

And yes, you might just strike gold and draft someone Vlad-quality.  A team may be able to sign Bonds or Vlad or Big Papi as a FA, but the only way to end up with multiple star players like that (besides spending huge FA money or trading for big contracts) is to 1) draft them (or sign Latin Americans), or 2) acquire prospects through trade.  This team just hasn't shown any willingness to trade older players for prospects, so we need to trade prospects or young players for prospects.

Teams are just far less likely to trade prospects when they hardly have any.  If we did have more prospects, we could trade one or two and still hope the others pan out.  When you only have one or two legitimate prospects in the whole system, you tend to hang on to them.  Sabean did a better job of trading guys like Grilli and Bump and Joe Fontenot when the system had more prospects.

Also, I think the Yankees drafted in our spot in the 2004 draft and got Philip Hughes.  I am not sure about the spot, but Lincecum and Phil Hughes in the same rotation?  Wow.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You
Get it.
Strikeouts are boring. Besides that, they're fascist. Not boring: Emmanuel Burriss. Not fascist: SF Dugout

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on May 11, 2007 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I can accept this in principle, but god it would be nice to have a good young hitter to root for.

by Evan on May 11, 2007 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why is it mutually exclusive ?
Why can't you draft both pitchers and position players and develop them?  The Twins do it, Oakland is pretty resourceful. Me likey the Braves.

For some reason our SF Giants cannot or do not develop their young hitters. And we know they have no interest in trading for them.

by wilriv21 on May 11, 2007 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Now is really the time that the team can really benefit from drafting more pitchers.  With the starting rotation pretty much on lock for the next 4 to 5 years, anyone they can develop in that time could either step in for fallen stars, pitch from the pen, push people down into the bullpen, replace anyone the team can't afford to re-sign, or more importantly, be parlayed into a potentially useful bat.

With the rotation set, there is no need for more starters, so any starter (or pitcher otherwise) that is developed during this time are more expendable (or make current starters more expendable).  With the recent trend of salary hikes, having young and cheap pitching prospects is a valuable thing.

Of course, if there is a better batting prospect available (than any other pitchers) at the time you pick you take him.  But if there isn't, you shouldn't reach for a bat.  Just take the best pitcher available.  Baseball, unlike football and basketball, have prospects that really don't make an immediate impact.  Reaching to draft a "need" in baseball is ridiculous, as the player will likely not help fill that "need" until 3-4 years down the line.  

Best player available.  That should always be the philosophy.  I know this is an obvious thought, but I'm reading that the team BETTER get some young position players early in the draft.  They don't HAVE to get any particular type of player.  Just take the best that the draft situation presents.

by sfgfan on May 11, 2007 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Pitching isn't necessarily the way to go, but drafting players who turn out well regardless of position certainly is.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Noah Lowry is a better hitter than all those guys.
Saving countless runs with my Brian Horwitz

by lyricalkiller on May 11, 2007 12:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
And I'm still pissed at Pietrus for missing those two free throws after Biedrins nutted up and made both of his.
Start Ryan Klesko! He'll grab 15 boards a game and box out Boozer. (320/370/420 as of 5/9/07)

by Goofus on May 11, 2007 12:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Me too. I still feel like they blew BOTH of those first two games.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Definitely agreed.  The newspapers focused on Baron missing his one shot, but had Pietrus just made one of his two shots, it would have been moot.  Missing one is understandable, but two?!?
Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
they missed 7 in the 4th quarter. had they made just 1 of those, they probably would have won.
Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Exactly!  When are these multi-millionaires ever going to learn how important free throws are!!!

If they just can't do it their way, go hire Rick Barry to teach them his method.  If you really want to win rather than just collect your paycheck, you would do that.

And it is not like learning how to bunt in baseball, that rarely decides a game, whereas in many losses, if there was one guy who would have learned to shoot free throws at 90% success, his team would have won instead.

Would you rather be embarrassed shooting granny style or would you rather be wearing a championship ring?

Go Giants!!!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on May 11, 2007 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Aside from Beidrins, I believe EVERY Warrior who shot multiple free throws in the fourth quarter Wednesday missed at least one.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Too lazy to dig up the link, but over at Golden State of Mind, theres a link to an article that says he's not even working on his free throws during practice.

Now, I agree that free throws, like most skill, may not be something you can fix overnight.  But you can at least try.  In the same article, I think, Baron, Andris and a few others went straight to the stripe after warmups.  It's not like they're practicing for naught.

Pietrus needs to understand he's got flaws and they only get fixed through admission of fault and work to get better.

by sfgfan on May 11, 2007 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Won't toe the line: Despite missing two free throws that probably would have clinched a victory in the final minute of Game 2, guard Mickael Pietrus refused to go to the free-throw line Thursday.

"If I practice free throws today, I will think about it tomorrow," he said. "If I practice free throws today, I would probably break the rim."

After Davis, who also missed a free throw as Golden State blew a five-point lead in the final 53 seconds of Game 2, finished his media responsibilities, he headed straight for the foul line. Al Harrington and Andris Biedrins did the same. But Pietrus just looked on.

"You would think that I could make at least one, but I missed both of them," he said. "I feel sorry for my teammates, because they played very well. I'm trying not to think about it. It already happened, so there's nothing I can do about it now."

He did have an interesting recovery plan, however.

"I'm going to go home, play with my puppy, take him to Golden Gate Park and make him happy," Pietrus said.

[Source: SFGate (toward the bottom)]

by sfgfan on May 11, 2007 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I'm actually ok with this.  He's sounds as though he's trying to keep from letting those missed free throws getting him all freaked out.  If he practices while thinking too much about those missed shots, he's likely to get the yips next time they count.

Conversely, I'm hopeful that Biedrins has a new confidnce on the stripe after proving to himself he can do it under pressure Monday night.

Start Ryan Klesko! He'll grab 15 boards a game and box out Boozer. (320/370/420 as of 5/9/07)

by Goofus on May 11, 2007 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Bingo. Once it's in your head, you've lost the battle. Just ask Nick Anderson.

You know, Goofus, you're not nearly as goofy as your screen name would imply. Tell me, did you take it from those old Highlights magazines?

by English Professor on May 11, 2007 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
This should explain everything.
Coming to you by proxy (I adopted: Dave Righetti!)

by howtheyscored on May 13, 2007 9:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I still hate the Rockies.
Mandowear | comics | Sugarman FTW

by Natto on May 11, 2007 12:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
And the Rockies announcers. I really want to see Tim pitch tonight but I'm cringing at the thought of having to listen to those two blowhards speak.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have two words for this problem
... and I bet you know what they are!
My Adopted San Francisco Giant: Notgardo Alfonzo

by tk on May 11, 2007 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: I have two words for this problem
I knoooow but I want to watch!!!
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: I have two words for this problem
Oh, you can't have the gameday audio and the MLB tv on at the same time? NM then, bummer. They need a better system!
My Adopted San Francisco Giant: Notgardo Alfonzo

by tk on May 11, 2007 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: I have two words for this problem
Yeah... I guess I could try Audio in one browser and MLB.tv in another, but I don't know if that would work.

I would just turn the sound down on MLB.tv, but the image goes black/freezes too often.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: I have two words for this problem
I think I've tried that and couldn't get it to work.  Even if you could, there's virtually no way to get them to sync up.

by juanboy on May 11, 2007 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: I have two words for this problem
Vodka Tonic?
Coming to you by proxy (I adopted: Dave Righetti!)

by howtheyscored on May 11, 2007 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
The public address announcer at the park is GREAT though.  If Tim were a Rocky, I think the announcer would have already turned LINCECUM into an art form.

by sharksrog on May 11, 2007 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Circular argument:

Hitting prospects never develop into anything good, so only way to get hitters is FA vets so why bother developing hitting prospects.

by zenbitz on May 11, 2007 12:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Hey, Clayton and Mueller weren't that bad! Even Mirabelli had his good points. The rest just suck. If you want to talk pitching we have a different story altogether. Not great, but much, much better.

Now, I'm counting on the Villalona era to begin in the not too distant future and make me forget Minor, Bernard, Rios, and Cruz.

by Sayhey on May 11, 2007 2:02 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

trading pitching for hitting
I don't disagree with the concept, but there's been pretty crappy execution of this strategy by the Giants. In fact, I don't think that's been their strategy at all, and when it's been tried, it has not been terribly successful. When's the last time we got some good position players for young pitching?

Here is a list of major league position players that Sabean has traded young pitching for since 1997 (by transaction dates):

2006
Hillenbrand

2005
Winn

2004
Ricky Ledee

2003
Dustan Mohr
AJ
Eric Young

2002
Bill Mueller (from Cubs)
Kenny Lofton

2001
Shinjo (and Relaford for Estes)
Desi Relaford (later traded for David Bell)
John Vander Wal
Andres Galarraga

1999
Bobby Estalella (in exchange for Chris Brock, not a homegrown talent)

1996
J.T. Snow
Ramon Martinez

As you can see, most of the transactions were for rent-a-bats. Very few lasted more than a season with us. Most of Sabean's successful transactions have been trading young pitching for established pitching (Livan, Nen, a bunch of relievers).

Obviously, the biggest trade of the Sabean era was the Matt Williams trade, which wasn't trading away young pitching for bats. Also, getting Burks for Darryl Hamilton was huge, but it wasn't getting a bat for young pitching.

If anything, we've spent our time trying get bats thru free agency, which we've been moderately successful at until the last few years, when the pickings have been very slim. Relying on that practice puts us at the mercy of the marketplace and we may not fill our needs with good players. A lot of team are locking up their position players before they hit the market.

If our plan has been to trade young pitching for bats, we've done a horrible job at implementing it.

I guess the bottom line is that there are many good position players in the majors. They must have come from somehwere. I'm guessing that nearly all of them were drafted by a major league team. We should try to draft some ourselves instead of relying on other teams to figure that out for us and hoping that one day down the road, other teams have fire sales or let those guys walk as free agents. that means drafting corner infielders and outfielders that have a lot of power potential, not just speedy middle infielders and outfielders that can steal bases but can't hit a double.

Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 2:41 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Yeah, this is my concern with that strategy too. In theory, it sounds nice, but in practice, Sabean hasn't really been able to turn young pitching into the type of hitters we're discussing in this topic.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on May 11, 2007 2:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
How could you forget the immortal Joe Carter?

And I believe we did trade a young pitcher in the Burks deal, although I can't remember the name and I'm too lazy to look it up.

But I agree with you on principle.  Stockpiling pitchers to trade for hitters only makes sense if you make good trades.

Bruce Bochy gets his big head from me.

by Stuttering John Tamargo on May 11, 2007 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Jim Stoops!

A Jim Stoops reference!

Hooray for Jim Stoops!

by Grant on May 11, 2007 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Oh, not one young pitcher but two - Jim Stoops and player-to-be-named-later Jason Brester.  That one turned out well for Sabean.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
That's right. we sent a player without a name to the Rockies and they eventually named him Jason Brester.
Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
You're right. I overlooked Joe Carter, who we got for Darin Blood, a 24 year old AAA pitcher with an era pushing 5 when we dealt him. He ended up coming back to us and was out of pro ball by the end of 2000.

And yes, we did get Burks for Hamilton and a 26-year old single A pitcher named Jim Stoops, but Hamilton was the real trade bait, so I didn't include it...though Stoops did pitch 3 games for the Rockies that year.

Maybe it was a judgement call.

Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 3:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
I couldn't agree more. It's not a bad strategy at all. Unfortunately, Brian Sabean and his gang are the ones evaluating the hitting 'talent' we get in return. I don't think Sabes could tell who was a good or bad hitter if someone didn't tell him in advance.

"That Juan Pierre guy hits .300 and steals bases!"

Sabean: "Cool!!!"

The bright side: Brian Sabean will be out of a job in a few months.

by Punch Rockgroin on May 11, 2007 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
I also forgot the not-so-immortal Chris Jones acquisition for Ricky Pickett in 1998.

NEVERTHELESS, my point stands.

Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Ledee was traded for Felix Rodriguez, who was 31 at the time and not exactly "young pitching."

Granted, Sabean doesn't always identify the best talent for which to trade, but in most of those trades, Sabean has parted with very little, guys who never made the majors for more than a cup of coffee if that.  In return, he did get actual major-league talent (and also Ricky Ledee).

If you want better players in trade, though, you generally are going to have to trade better prospects, and deal with it if they become good (unless AJ Pierzynski is what you get back).  If you can't handle that, then you are just mad that Sabean doesn't fleece the other GMs, and you can't expect that unless every trade is with Jim Bowden or Bill Bavasi.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 3:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Well said.

by English Professor on May 11, 2007 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
again, including Felix for Ledee was a judgment call, but it was included more as an example of what we've been getting.

But I certainly don't mind trading good pitching for good hitting, but that isn't what has happened. If anything, we've traded a bunch of marginal pitching talent (with a HUGE exception) for marginal hitting (and Ledee). I suppose that's fine if you're trying to fill out a roster and add some depth, but we need core lineup type hitters, which have been lacking.

If our pitching has been good enough to trade for those type of players, how come we haven't seen that happen? If it isn't, then a strategy built upon doing so isn't going to work.

Relying on other organizations to develop position players is not going to be a winning strategy in the long term. Yes, we can sign some free agents and make trades, but that doesn't mean we can't do that AND develop young hitters to replace aging veterans for a cheaper price.

It just boggles the mind that one organization can go so long without developing a single good position player.

Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 4:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
I think part of it is that we haven't had much pitching wealth until recently.  Before, when the team was developing pitching prospects like Estes or Ortiz, they were sorely needed on the big club, because the alternatives were guys like Danny Darwin or Osvaldo Fernandez or Damian Moss or end-of-the-line Rueter.

Now, with FAs Zito and Morris, and homegrown Lowry, Cain, and Lincecum, we have starting pitching to spare.  It is too late to get much of a haul from some of our young guys, but as the wealth of pitching from our lower levels starts to move up, there very well may be a lot of value in trade.

Also, developing pitching doesn't just mean that you have prospects to trade.  You can also trade established guys as the prospects become ready to take their places, and the established guys will really bring back real hitters.

by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on May 11, 2007 4:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
well put.
Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 4:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Well, except I don't think we have what you could call a wealth of talent at lower levels.  We have a small handful of interesting guys, Tanner, Snyder, Oseguera, Wilding, but so far not much to buzz about. And it's a moving target, right, if we draft more good pitchers this year, by the time they're in a ready to give us a return the major league depth could have already been depleted through trade, injury, end of contract.  Outside of Sanchez and conceivably Matos, I don't think there's any great trade bait in the system right now.

by Roger on May 15, 2007 7:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Also in support of your point - the Jason Schmidt trade (Volglesong + Rios for Schmidt, right?)

by zenbitz on May 11, 2007 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
Yeah, we got Vander Wal in that trade, which was the hitter I referred to. Obviously, Schmidt was the big name in that deal.
Tim Lincecum has been freed!

by nostocksjustbonds on May 11, 2007 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: trading pitching for hitting
THANK YOU, nostocks. Even our puported plan is working. Gotta lay that at Sabean's feet.

An Econ professor once quoted "capitalism is the worst economic system in the world - except for all the others." Drafting amateurs isn't necessarily the best way to acquire talent, but it's the world we live in. Learn to do it well. Or get someone who can.

If we draft, say, Andrew Too-Tall Brackman at #10 instead of a power hitter, I'll know there is absolutely no hope for this group. Oh wait, I already knew that. Nevermind.

by Lyle on May 11, 2007 5:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Did I mention that Todd reminded me of Mickey when he was just standin' around with a bat in his hands in on-deck-circle. If only he could have gotten Feliz to give up that #7 jersey...damn that Feliz.

by Rude thoughtless little pig on May 11, 2007 2:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Yeah, Linden so looked like a ballplayer, right up until the point he stepped into the batter's box.
Barry Zito: Mike Hampton with a guitar

by JakeS on May 11, 2007 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Even then, he was okay.  It was when you see him standing still for each of the three strikes it took him to strike out.

by sfgfan on May 11, 2007 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
As the great Ray Bradbury once said, "You must stay drunk on writing so reality cannot destroy you."

Except replace "writing" with "booze", and "reality" with "the Giants".

"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f***ing amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK

by Josh from Hollywood on May 11, 2007 4:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I'm lobbying for a more upbeat outlook from Giants Fans from here on out.  We need some faith in our nation.  We're loyal, but not faithful.
Vizquel for President... of Venezuela.

by milesntrane on May 11, 2007 5:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
Didn't we trade Armando Rios for Jason Schmidt? I think that should qualify Rios as our best home grown prospect in the past 20 years. Especially since he broke his leg less than a week later.
Jack Mustachner

by The Thrill on May 11, 2007 10:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I love that the Padres traded Doug Mirabelli to the red sox for a stud relief pitcher. That makes me feel better about my life.
Jack Mustachner

by The Thrill on May 11, 2007 10:39 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Anarchy
I've decided to be an optimist about the draft and hope the team just takes the best player available. If the Giants draft hitters, then great, we could definitely use some hitting prospects. If the Giants draft pitchers, that's great, too, because the team has shown it can identify and develop young pitchers.

But this brings up an interesting question: Are the Giants just terrible at identifying good, young hitters, or do they pick the right guys in the draft but screw them up in the development process? Or, perhaps, both.

by Dan from NM on May 12, 2007 10:30 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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