1) Bruce Bochy continues the tradition of his immediate predecessors by posting triple-digit victories in his first season as Giants' skipper.

Giants: 101-61
Dodgers: 93-69
Padres: 86-76
Diamondbacks: 86-76
Rockies: 70-92

I thought the most likely of your ten points was probably Tim Lincecum's 100 innings and ERA of 3.50 or less -- and many of your points were fairly reasonable (although perhaps not enough to attain the desired 93 wins).

I would say Pedro Feliz's .300+ OBP and .500+ SLG would be least likely, although hopefully the hard work he did over the winter to change his approach at the plate will pay dividends.  This spring he has hit encouragingly well -- although the last time I looked he had drawn nary a walk.

A couple of points:

First, Armando's career save percentage isn't 89%.  Since save opportunities were kept at mlb.com beginning in 1999 it IS a very respectable 85.3%, however.  Yes, it would help if he could at least equal that percentage.  

But often overlooked in save percentage is the average DIFFICULTY of the saves.  Did you know for instance that teams score two runs or fewer in over 93% of all innings?  That would indicate that if a closer had all three-run, one-inning saves in which he entered at the beginning of the ninth inning, Armando's 85.3% save percentage would be about 8% below what one might expect from an average pitcher?

Teams score one run or fewer in over 86% of their games, so if all of Armando's saves were two-run, one inning saves, he would still be about 1% below an average pitcher.  In one-run situations, the one-inning save would happen from an average pitcher only 71% of the time.  

It is those one-run saves where today's closer earns his money.  With a lead of two or three runs entering the ninth inning, an average pitcher should be able to convert at about the same rate -- actually a little better -- as Armando has converted since the beginning of the 1999 season.

Second, with Barry Bonds apparently now batting third rather than cleanup, it is possible that a .475 OBP from Barry won't be as meaningful as with him batting cleanup.  To illustrate this, let's use Barry's first at bat of the game.

Batting third, it is likely that about 42% of Barry's first plate appearance in games will come with two outs and no one on.  If he starts 130 games, that will be about 55 plate appearances during which the opposition can walk him with relative impunity, since a runner on first base with two outs scores only about 13% of the time -- and Barry's lack of speed on the bases might drop even that percentage.

Let's suppose that Barry gets 500 plate appearances and that he reaches base 238 times (.476). Normally I would agree with you that his being able to do so would indicate a season in which he did quite well.  Last season his OBP was "only" .454.  But let's suppose that the opposition is smart enough to walk Barry in 28 of those 55 plate appearances in which he bats with two outs and no one on in the first inning.  That would mean that in the other 472 plate appearances, Barry would have reached base "only" 210 times, for an OBP when it matters more of "just" .445.

I think if Barry bats third, he will perhaps need to post a .500 or higher OBP to have the effect you desire.  That would mean that he had an OBP of .473 or higher when it matters more, much closer to your .475 target.

Batting Barry third likely isn't the best move Bruce Bochy will make this year.

Diamondbacks: 93-69
Padres: 88-74
Giants: 85-77
Dodgers: 80-82
Rockies: 76-86

Diamondbacks win the pennant.

Padres 99-63
Giants 88-74
D'backs 87-75
Rockies 79-83
Dodgers 74-88

The Dodgers are going to have the players they need to stay healthy (Schmidt, Furcal) get hurt and the players they need to get hurt (Pierre, Gonzalez, Betemit) stay healthy.

88 wins could make the playoffs, right?