Sabean on KNBR
Not too much to say, so far, except...
- TOR not interested in Cain
-in discussing Tim L. for Rios, he suggested that they were "looking for ways to REPLACE Lincecum"...
- doesn't think can get Rios without Lincecum going.
ugh.
Tom asked: what about the people who say: keep both Tim and Cain, do what you can otherwise, see what happens in the next year, and panic some other time?
Sabean said: yes, but we want to get at least one and preferably two position players, either by trade or by free agency [Ed: no, he didn't really answer]... and then held that it's easier to get an impact pitcher immediately in the draft (cf. Lincecum).
Ralph asks: how rate Davis, Lewis, Frandsen, Schierholz?
Sabean: Frandsen will get a look at 3rd. Schierholz looked good in fall. Uncertain re Ortmeier because of injury in fall league.
Ralph: Davis looks very good in the field and basepaths, can't you teach him to hit?
Sabeene: Is still learning, seemed ignored in Pitt, but unsure how well will do at top of lineup/OBP aspect.
Ralph: What about free agents?
Brain: kicked tires on Rowand, but Guillen's K will screw that up. No good idea at 3rd.
Ralph ended with mock shout "Get Rios!"
Sorry for the scrambled nature... ignored much
"tire-kicking" and Brain Subbene mumbling.
BB
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
But he made the ridiculous comment about how the Giants were actually better last year without Bonds in the lineup... I don't know what he's talking about. Maybe there are numbers to support it, but the sample size would have to be small, and the idea that Bonds wasn't one of the most productive hitters in the league (and isn't irreplaceable) last year made me scratch my head.
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Tons of baseball people, media and fans have looked at players' small-sample size post-season records and made all kinds of judgements.
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
As much as Bonds' bat is missed, I'm not convinced that there's at least a little offsetting effect from:
- better defense
- better speed on the bases
- players not waiting around for Bonds to do something
Re: Sabean on KNBR
But obviously, if you believe the -20 runs on BB defense that hurts the team win (but doesn't really hurt their scoring).
If "speed" had anything to do with it, wouldn't having Bengie Molina out there hurt the offense more?
I simply do not believe there is some psychological effect. What, it only happened in the year he breaks the record? Giants hitters too star struck - but only when he's in the lineup?
Re: Sabean on KNBR
The Giants were 8th in SB last season and 6th in SB%. They were, for all intents and purposes, a speedy team. It got them nowhere.
Re: Sabean on KNBR
They scored 683 (real) runs. EQA predicts that they "should" have scored 679. So actually, they did better (slightly) than you would expect.
This type of analysis also predicts they should have won 77-78 games instead of 71. So, they are alot closer to a .500 team then they appeared. Of course, they have to replace Bonds just to get back to ~.500...
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
I'd say at a maximum it is interesting. And if we're two hitters away from a solid lineup, Bonds is one of them, and maybe Rios is the other. But that's without career-worst years from Durham/Vizquel/Aurilia/Roberts (first half).
I understand the Giants also performed better when Lowry started than when Cain started. Sabean isn't a liar, but I think he's reaching for some hope here (which we're all bound to do looking at next year's lineup), although we're probably overanalyzing his statements a bit. But to keep overanalyzing, he said that Bonds' year wasn't Hall of Fame production... if he had last year's performance over 20 years, he'd hit 560 home runs! And how many players slugged .565 over a lenghthy career and didn't make the HoF? What about the 132 walks over 20 years?
I think we all just want something to happen soon. OK, we don't just want something to happen soon, we want something to happen soon that we like. The suspense is killing me....
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by Smoke on the Water on Dec 7, 2007 5:06 PM PST up reply actions
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Not saying it's realistic but imagine the current poster with a Pujols/Howard at 1B and Ramirez/Cabrera at 3B.
I'd buy that for a dollar!
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by nick @ McCovey Chronicles on Dec 7, 2007 6:28 PM PST up reply actions
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plus we can beat him if he's signed.
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The draft
He obviously is talking about the overall fifth pick in the 2008 draft.
Re: The draft
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Re: The draft
I like this "drafting pitchers" idea. I think it'll lead to a good team.
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Any Word on Whether Feliz Accepted Arb??
Re: Sabean on KNBR
This freakin guy.
by Armz Dealer on Dec 7, 2007 4:57 PM PST reply actions
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Of course, he chose not to draft Porcello...
I guess it's time to start looking at which pitcher the Giants will draft with the number 5 pick next year. huzzah.
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by Armz Dealer on Dec 7, 2007 5:16 PM PST up reply actions
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Of course it would be extremely silly to draft a pitcher with number 5 next season. But the Giants are nothing if not silly.
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#1 David Price, no professional record
#4 Daniel Moskos, A- minors
#6 Ross Detwiler, 1 game/1 IP in 2007 ( A+ minors )
2006
#1 Luke Hochevar, 4 games/12.1 IP in 2007
#2 Greg Reynolds, A+ minors
#4 Brad Lincoln, A minors
#5 Brandon Morrow, 60 games/63.1 IP in 2007
#6 Andrew Miller, 13 games/64 IP in 2007
#10 Tim Lincecum
2005
#6 Ricky Romero, AA minors
2004
#2 Justin Verlander, 2 games/11.1 IP in 2005 also played entire 2006 season
#3 Philip Humber, 3 games/7 IP in 2007
#4 Jeff Niemann, AAA minors
#5 Mark Rogers, A+ minors ( drafted out of HS )
#6 Jeremy Sowers, 13 games/67.1 IP in 2007
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
lhp Brian Matusz a 6-4 170 lbs. lefty who has three good pitches, the best being his change.
rhp Aaron Crow a 6-2 200 lbs. right hander who's touched 99mph
Smoak and Mirrors
Re: Sabean on KNBR
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Some more fast movers
#41 Joba Chamberlain
2005 - much better lower in draft
#25 Matt Garza
#26 Craig Hansen
#42 Clay Buchholz
#73 Kevin Slowey
#83 Micah Owings - man can he hit
2004
#12 Jered Weaver
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Dec 7, 2007 8:39 PM PST up reply actions
Re: Sabean on KNBR
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http://media.knbr.com/knbr/1207sabean.mp3
Thanks
Re: Thanks
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Keep Tim and grab Smoak!
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by nick @ McCovey Chronicles on Dec 7, 2007 6:29 PM PST reply actions
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by KCE on Dec 7, 2007 7:02 PM PST up reply actions
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Really, except for punting Tucker's pick, they have been like any other team drafting and picking prospects, the problem is that when you are winning, you get crappy picks in the back of the first round where the odds of you finding anything good is pretty low (about 10%), so their focus on pitching seems to me to be a good strategy for eventually landing a good pitcher or two with the draft (they got Cain, Lowry, and Hennessey with those picks).
If they had drafted position players, then you are just randomly filling a spot in your roster, I think it was very smart, when you are dealing with low odds of success to focus on a particular ability, particularly one that you think you can promote faster to the majors, quicker ROI that way.
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Dec 7, 2007 8:45 PM PST up reply actions
Re: Sabean on KNBR
The one thing that really bothered me from the show, and I can't remember if Sabean said it someone else, but it was essentially that the Giants previously were win now and screw the future and now they've changed gears to build a new winner. Well guess what, it's not an either/or proposition. That's doesn't necessarily mean that you'll be successfull at both simultaneously, but it does mean that there's no excuse not to make a serious attempt, and punting picks and all but ignoring international amatuers is not trying.
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The Giants sort of hit a drafting and development drought between 1986 and 2006.
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Also, many, MANY solid ML players are not drafted in the first round. So, I don't really take great issue with the choice to draft pitchers in the early rounds (that seems to be at least strategic), but you still have to develop some average players.
It's not the lack of Ryan Howards or Delmon Youngs that irks me, it's the total lack of anyone resembling a decent hitter.
Re: Sabean on KNBR
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 7, 2007 7:52 PM PST up reply actions
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That pretty much told me everything I needed to know about Damon Bruce.
by KCE on Dec 7, 2007 9:00 PM PST up reply actions
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BB
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How does he translate to MLB? Better than Ichiro? Better than Godzilla? Better than Shinjo? Is he so taguchi?
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by Mark carry on on Dec 7, 2007 8:27 PM PST up reply actions
Re: Really?
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Quite a plan there.
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Re: Sabean on KNBR
by KCE on Dec 7, 2007 9:01 PM PST up reply actions
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"On which positions Fukudome could play:
Fukudome would be an excellent Red Sox outfielder, and he'd hit a million doubles in that park. His days as an infielder are finished, but I think he could play any of the outfield positions. He's best in right though. Center would be an option, but not the most attractive one from a defensive standpoint."
Re: Sabean on KNBR
by KCE on Dec 7, 2007 9:17 PM PST up reply actions
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Nah, just him
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Trade, I mean. Implying that the trade would be OK if the Giants ended up with a "comparable" pitcher.
Since we already have Zito, I can only assume he means MattyMo!
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Re: Sabean on KNBR
I truly hope this horrible hole Brian Sabean and Giants management have dug doesn't cause them to do something foolish.

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