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The Case Against....

According to this article, the Blue Jays and Giants are talking about Alex Rios for half of Caincecum, though the Jays would prefer Cain. Sabean has referred to the potential deal as "interesting."

The case against the insanity, now with bullet points:

  • With Alex Rios, the Giants would still have a below-average offense, and their rotation wouldn't be as likely to be a strength as it would be with Lincecum. Ground gained: zero.
  • The Giants would have Rios under control for three years, though he's just now entering his arbitration years. In a best-case scenario, he becomes a star, but the Giants wouldn't get him at a bargain price for the last two years he's under contract in that scenario. So the Giants would trade a five-year window of Lincecum or Cain for a three-year window with Rios, but still have multiple lineup holes that would hurt their chances to compete. I just don't understand what that accomplishes other than closing a window of fiscal maneuverability.

    Another thing I don't understand: how is Rios still under contract for three more seasons, as the Chronicle is reporting? He's had more than 400 at-bats in four seasons, and he was already eligible for arbitration last season. By my admittedly amateur understanding, that would make him eligible for just two more arbitration years.

  • Rios is good, no question. He's young, and his power numbers are trending upward. He's an excellent athlete and a good baserunner. He is not, however, the building block of a franchise, and he isn't that close. Rios just isn't good enough to make that needle-off-the-record screech that the Giants should need to trade Lincecum or Cain. A 26-year-old hitting .297/.354/.498 just isn't that special. It's impressive, sure, and the Giants sure don't have anything that can sniff that, but it isn't as impressive as a 22-year-old striking out over a batter an inning in the majors after just 63 minor league innings, or a 22-year-old cracking the top ten in his league's ERA.
  • Rios is a corner outfielder. The Giants don't have very many interesting young players, but two of the interesting young players they do have are corner outfielders. The difference between a) Lewis/Schierholtz with Lincecum and b) Rios without Lincecum isn't worth the risk.

The Blue Jays are the wrong trade partner. Back away, Brian. Don't make any sudden movements, and get the hell out. And, as an aside, what is this crap:

There was talk that the Blue Jays spoke with the Giants about Lincecum, offering Lind instead of Rios. The Blue Jays would probably need to offer more, but the Giants have no interest in taking on third baseman Troy Glaus.

Adam Lind for Lincecum. We are officially through the looking glass. I would probably trade Nate Schierholtz for Lind. I'd think about it, discuss it with scouts, and probably decide that Lind's power potential makes up for his horrible defensive reputation. Adam Lind for Lincecum? If another GM offered that to me, I'm not sure if I would pat him on the head or kick him in the crotch. The Jays-don't-like-Lincecum angle also sets this up:

The Giants could sweeten a Lincecum package with other players (for Rios) or agree to surrender Cain.

Oh, so it's Lincecum plus other players for Rios. As long as we're in fantasy land, maybe we can build some mud golems, use some sort of witchery to breath life into their shapeless bodies, teach them how to play baseball, and include them in a deal once they're at an All-Star level. It's only fair, as the Blue Jays can't just get Lincecum as a return for Alex Rios. The Giants will also throw twelve griffins into the deal. They have the head of an eagle, you know.

I can't take these rumors seriously, even if they come from a local paper. I just wish they'd stop.

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Re: The Case Against....
I like Rios but everything you said Grant is right on. He will be 27 years old on opening day if i'm not mistaken and his numbers are very good but not worth Lincecum or Cain on his own.

by hollywoodlarry on Dec 4, 2007 10:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Well said Grant.  Just walk away Sabean.  If these rumors had any truth to them, meaning that the if J.P. Ricciardi approached Sabean with a Lind for Lincecum or Cain & Lincecum for Rios trade I'd tell him to piss off and end all cumminication with him for the rest of the week.

And yeah Rios has played 4 seasons in the majors, so unless I'm mistaken he'd only be under contract for two more seasons.

by Cainer on Dec 4, 2007 11:02 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Lincecum + now for Rios? Oh. My. God.

by Mr Scruff on Dec 4, 2007 11:02 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
The Lind offer cant be true surely. Its laughable.

by Mr Scruff on Dec 4, 2007 11:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
What the actual fuck? No, Brian, these are NOT the droids you're looking for.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 4, 2007 11:09 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Well, the article doesn't really have any quotes from Sabean at all except for "Not intriguing enough to pull the trigger."

But really, this shouldn't be all that intriguing at all. Rios is good but he's not that good. He's not good enough that his addition to the offense would make up for the massive downgrade in the rotation! And Adam Lind? What the hell is that?

Ugh, I thought I was going to have to stop WSAL;JEA;LWJ;LALing at stupid Lincecum/Cain rumors. Just stop it.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 4, 2007 11:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think it's intriguing if we read it in the light that the Jays have offered Rios for Lincecum, and Sabes likes Rios' value as a starting point, but needs another good young player/prospect to pull the trigger.  If that's what's up, then go Sabes, do what you gotta do.  But that other part had better be something legitimately valuable if this deal is to go down.

In another thread,  said that in exchange for Timmy or Matt, I thought two Joey Votto players would be about right (though I think it should take a little more to pry Cain away from us than Lincecum).  Rios, in my mind, counts as a bit more than a Joey Votto, which means the other guy could be a bit less, but not that much.

Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...

by Smoke on the Water on Dec 5, 2007 9:14 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
My fear is that if he considers trading Cain for Rios as a starting point, what's to stop him from trading Lincecum for soemthing else?  I mean, we haven't moved anyone else in favor of something decent, and if the only two names people are asking about are Cain and Tim, then we need to pray to the god of skinny punks that Sabean isn't feeling THAT bold this offseason.

Again, I just don't want to see Tim and Matt go, for practically anything.  That's not based on stats or anything else, just that I want to root for these two kids for years to come.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Dec 5, 2007 9:28 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
2:06 p.m., from Buster Olney
* Aaron Boone is drawing interest from the Giants, Nationals and Brewers. The key question is what kind of role will he play.

1:57 p.m., from Jayson Stark
* The Giants and Blue Jays have a deal on the table that would send outfielder Alex Rios to San Francisco for pitcher Tim Lincecum. But the Blue Jays appear to be more motivated to make that trade than the Giants. Two baseball men who spoke with the Giants describe them as being "indecisive" about whether they really want to move Lincecum for a big bat and, if they do, about whom they should get for him. Toronto has decided its best strategy to survive in the loaded AL East is to stockpile as many power arms as possible. So the Blue Jays would sacrifice offense if they could pick up an arm like Lincecum.

Seriously? and Aaron Boone? Same old Sabes...

lincecum, cain, lowry, sanchez for jeff kent

by lincysgiants on Dec 5, 2007 11:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I'm at work and just read the same report. Sabean (or someone) is trying to scare the crap out of us. What's next Ricky Ledee?

Stop withthe Boone's and Lind's of the world. If teams are going to approach us about Timmy (don't even bother with Matt), then they better come with Rios + certifiable quality. Certainly NOT the other way around!

Don't believe everything you think.

by wcovington on Dec 5, 2007 4:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I wouldn't trade either Cain or Lincecum for the entire Blue Jays roster. What a joke.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 4, 2007 11:14 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think it's past time Sabean started walking around Nashville with a cardboard, hand-painted sign reading: "No your stupid team can't have Cain or Lincecum.  Especially for the rediculous crap you are offering."

It's a big piece of cardboard.

Only 972 games until the end of Zito's contract.

by thehavenot on Dec 4, 2007 11:29 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 4, 2007 11:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
What about Matt Cain? :(
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 4, 2007 11:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I made this after the Ringolsby rumors that Tim could be moved for a decent bat. I'll have to make one for Matt now!
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 7:14 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

So, I guess he couldn't find a piece of cardboard
Only 972 games until the end of Zito's contract.

by thehavenot on Dec 5, 2007 9:55 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
email to JP Ricciardi, please
you will suffer humiliation when the sports team from my area defeats the sports team from your area

by nick on Dec 4, 2007 11:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You asking about Lincecum?  Well we might have to lynchecum you.

Do I win for worst joke ever on the MCC?

Only 972 games until the end of Zito's contract.

by thehavenot on Dec 4, 2007 11:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Close, but second only to groug.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 12:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You can do better, havenot.  You gotta want it!
Steve Kline: How okay is he, really? I would say he is pretty okay.

by groug on Dec 5, 2007 12:16 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Is better the right word, here?
Only 972 games until the end of Zito's contract.

by thehavenot on Dec 5, 2007 12:19 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Oh man.  I missed that one the first time around.  I laughed but now I feel bad.
"natto is just weird and gross in smell, texture, and taste" - BVCE

by SF Pete on Dec 5, 2007 8:45 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I do feel guilty about it, but groug's comment cracked me up.

by Scottsdale on Dec 5, 2007 1:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Hey Blue Jays we already have a Adam Lind in our organization, his name is John Bowker.  Both were born in July of 1983, both bat left handed and throw left handed.  Maybe Lind has an edge on Bowker because he's already played in the bigs, but that might only be because the Jays rushed him up there.

by Cainer on Dec 4, 2007 11:33 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Grant:

To answer your questions.  Rios has not had 4 full years of major league sevice as he did not start the 2004 season in the majors.  This is important as a player can not become Free Agent Eligable until after he has achieved 6 or more years of major league service.  Alex's first year of arbitration eligability was actually last year as he qualified as a super two.  Alex thus has three more years of arbitration before he can become a free agent.

Likewise, Lincecum is actually 6 years (not 5) away from Free Agency (but Cain is only 4). Tim is also on pace to be a super two after 2009 and thus will have four years of arbitration from 2010 thru 2013.

With regards to the rumored trade.  If the Rumors are true that the suggested deal is Lincecum or Cain plus sweetners for Rios this is indeed insane for the Giants.  But, we don't know that these rumors are true.  If the Facts are that the deal is Rios plus sweetners for Lincecum or Cain then it all depends on the sweetners.  If say Glaus, Accardo, and an A prospect infielder close to major league ready are the sweetners then this is a fair deal for both teams and I would do the deal.

by giantsrainman on Dec 4, 2007 11:39 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I love me my Vitamin K(tm) but Rios, Glaus, Accardo and a "A" prospect for either Lincecum or Cain is not a fair deal for Toronto.
Only 972 games until the end of Zito's contract.

by thehavenot on Dec 4, 2007 11:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You sir are over valuing 3 years of Rios and undervaluing 6 years of Lincecum or 5 years of Cain.  This many years of Lincecum or Cain are worth more then the combined 4 years of Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis.  This many years of Lincecum or Cain are worth more then 3 years of Haren or Bedard.  This many years of Lincecum or Cain are worth more then 1 year of Santana.  

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 12:05 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Opps, ment 4 years of Cain not 5.

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 12:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If I awake on Wednesday morning to find out Sabes pulled the trigger on this horrible trade (i.e., any part of Caincecum for Rios), I'm getting on the next plane to Nashville, grabbing our GM at gunpoint, and whisking him away to Dollywood, where he'll be forced to spend the rest of his life kicking the tires on Scott Rolen while strapped to the VeggieTales Sideshow Spin.
Lon Simmons' adopted dad.

by Kitspool on Dec 4, 2007 11:41 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think Sabean feels Rios is an interesing player to acquire, but NOT for Lincecum and Cain.

Maybe the writer meant Lowry+ for Rios? While that type of deal would greatly favor the Giants, it's a bit more realistic in my view (not that either would be realistic)

Grant pretty much nailed it, nothing to see here. Hopefully just stupid journo BS.

As for Lincecum, I'm pretty sure he is 5 years away from FA, not 6. I don't think you need 6+ actual years of service time for FA, I think 5.55+ is enough. Don't quote me though, I just don't think Lincecum has six years left til FA. He should get his super two (if he does get it) after next year and get 4 years of arb from 2009-12

Frandsen for 3B (til July 08)

by NeifiChicken on Dec 4, 2007 11:51 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Sorry but it does indeed that 6 years or more of major league service time (not almost 6 years) to qualify for free agency.

Per Cots Baseball Contracts Transactions Glossary

Free Agency Eligibility
A player with at least 6 years of Major League service time and no contract for the next season is eligible to file for free agency and negotiate with any club.

http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/2003/01/transactions-glossary.html

by giantsrainman on Dec 4, 2007 11:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Damm my typos.  I ment "indeed take" not indeed that".

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 12:10 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I certainly hope you are right, I guess Dontrelle Willis is the true test since he got called up in near similar circumstances to Lincecum's.

If he's not a free agent after 2008 then yep, you're right. I'm just skeptical that 27 starts doesn't equal a year of service time, but I'll be happy to be wrong

Frandsen for 3B (til July 08)

by NeifiChicken on Dec 5, 2007 12:13 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Both Dontrelle Willis and Miguel Cabrera are eligible for free agency after the 2009 season -- not 2008.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 12:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Rainman, I think you have too much time on your hands, if you're looking all this stuff up.  Either that or you work for the Giants.  In which case, keep doing your job.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Dec 5, 2007 10:44 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
52 going on 53, divorced with all kids college and beyond, and already retired except for investment management on the web,  gives me plenty of time for women, golf, travel, softball, and obviously my passion for taking about my love for baseball and the Giants.

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 1:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Better deal
http://www.mercurynews.com/giants/ci_7637196

 "It's intriguing, but not enough to pull the trigger," Sabean said. "There are things we've shut off and things we've kept alive. That's something we've kept alive."

Sabean met with Blue Jays officials again Tuesday to refine the structure of a deal. While Toronto is pushing to include infielder Troy Glaus and his unattractive contract, the Giants told the Blue Jays they aren't interested.

The Giants are seeking an improved proposal, and catching prospect Robinzon Diaz, catcher/first baseman Curtis Thigpen and right-hander Brett Cecil among the quality pieces the Blue Jays might agree to move. Cecil, a hard-throwing reliever, was a 2007 draftee and would be included as a player to be named.

The Giants are far from committed to getting something done, though. They are conflicted because they  understand the value of quality pitching, especially in the National League West with its low-scoring games and generously sized ballparks.

But they also place a high value on Rios, a five-tool talent who won't be a free agent until 2010. The 26-year-old has been an All-Star the past two seasons; he hit .297 with 24 home runs and 85 RBIs while playing in 161 games. He has a terrific arm, plays an athletic right field and runs the bases well.

Giants Manager Bruce Bochy managed Rios on an exhibition tour of Japan last year and is said to be enamored with the player.

As a right-handed power hitter, he would be ideal for the middle of the Giants lineup; if the club acquired Rios and made a successful run at free-agent center fielder Andruw Jones, the offense would be transformed both for the short and long term.

Sabean confirmed that he met with Jones' agent, Scott Boras, on Tuesday but described talks as broad. Sabean said the club has not made any offers for free agents, but he was complimentary when asked about Jones, a 10-time Gold Glove winner who hit just .222 last season.

by wilriv21 on Dec 4, 2007 11:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some player info
These are not the quality sweetners that make this deal worth while.  If Sabean can't get the quality sweetners Lincecum or Cain deserve he needs to say thanks but no thanks and just walk away.

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 12:15 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Some player info
exactly my thoughts, not sure they are willing to part with what I consider the right caliber of sweetener either (see my post below)

by Mr Scruff on Dec 5, 2007 12:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
The Blue Jays system is worse than ours in my opinion. Snider is the only guy I really want and I doubt they'd give up him. Arencibia and Ahrens, their 1st round picks in this years draft, I'd also like but they arn't helping this team anytime soon, and again I doubt the Jays would do it anyway.

by Mr Scruff on Dec 5, 2007 12:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
What about Accardo and Lind?  Not prospects anymore but still young and talented.

by giantsrainman on Dec 5, 2007 12:41 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
True, and I'd take Accardo certainly. I wouldn't exactly say no to Lind either, but I'm with Grant on thinking he's a similar level to Nate, different type of player granted, more power, much less defense, but similar level nonetheless, and we already have Nate. Indeed we already have 5 OFs (not including Ort) Rios would make it 6, hopefully dump Roberts, back to 5, and theres still Bowker beyond that too. What Im saying is do we really need Lind in this deal? Unless we can put him at 1st, I'm not sure we do, so I'd rather something else.

by Mr Scruff on Dec 5, 2007 5:25 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
My favorite part of this column was that Sabean has been "shocked" by the low ball offers he's received for Noah Lowry.

Really, Brian?  You're shocked that no one is drooling over a guy who can't throw strikes or miss bats in the B league?  Gee, what a shock.

by KCE on Dec 5, 2007 6:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
A guy who won 14 games on a last place team...

by ololo3 on Dec 5, 2007 12:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
Thank you, Baggarly, again. At least we get some indication that Sabes is looking for more than just Rios. I haven't looked at these guys yet, but I highly doubt that one of them would suffice on his own. Rosenthal is reporting that they are not willing to give up any major-league pitching, so that strikes my idea that Rios+Marcum might work.

On the (admittedly still dim) bright side, Rios can flat out track 'em down in the outfield. Not only that, but apparently he can play a mean CF, where he would be worth more with those offensive numbers. Defense sometimes gets left out of these equations, so I add it here as a reminder.

That said: Noooooo!

by BigO on Dec 5, 2007 9:43 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
Other interesting parts to that article: no interest in Lowry, and KEEPING DURHAM????  I mean, I guess if no one wants any part of his salary and Frandsen is able to play 3B that's okay, but in no way should he stay if he's somehow going to block Franny.
Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...

by Smoke on the Water on Dec 5, 2007 9:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
Peter Gammons and the Toronto papers indicate that the Jays' GM Riccardi will be leaving the meetings today if no deal is done, which is exactly what I would be doing if I wanted to pressure Sabean to jump.  

Of the three, there is no reason to take another team's mediocrity at catcher or 1B, but Cecil is the steal here.  As a sophomore in 2006 at Maryland, he averaged almost a strikeout an inning, has at least two solid pitches, is considered to be intimidating at 6'2", and has the stamina to be a starter.  In other words, they could replace Lincecum within a year with this kid.

If I am Sabean, I tell Riccardi that if he wants Lincecum, it will cost him both Rios and Cecil.  If Riccardi balks, then fine.  We'll keep the kids we have and trade Lowry for what we can get to fill a hole and the sign a FA to fill another.

by Buck Henry on Dec 5, 2007 11:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Believe Toronto has offered more than Rios
When Sabean said he was intrigued it meant to me that Toronto was offering up more than one player. Brett Cecil was selected in the supplemental first round in 2007 draft, 38th overall (Nick Noonan went 32nd overall). While Cecil was a college closer, he has been a starter for Toronto minor league affiliate.

http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=33961

http://firstinning.com/players/Brett-Cecil-a/

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 12:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Better deal
My guess is that Cecil might be able to take Tim Lincecum's place in the rotation, but not that he would be able to replace him.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 12:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
No. Lowry + Hennessey is not fair at all to Toronto, but Rios is not elite - not worth dealing either of them. Brian - back away slowly, and say thanks but no thanks.

Rios is a talented player, but I'd rather have Cain/Lincecum even if the service time was the same. Keep in mind that Cain is signed for 3 more years at middle-reliever money. As Rotoworld put it, we better be getting back something very good to make this work. The fact that the idiot serving as our GM sounds interested is not a good sign.

Jonathan Sanchez. He's left-handed, like Barry Zito. His fastball breaks 80, unlike Zito.

by Aadik on Dec 5, 2007 12:09 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I would argue that Lowry  and + ( Hennessy/ Correia/ Sanchez)   = Rios  is not fair to the Giant's.  

  It's not like I thing  Lowry  is anything super special and I am not completely in love with the Giants corner outfield options ( but for the short term they will do)  but trading a couple young controllable pitchers that have shown they can stay at the big league level better at least  fill a couple  gapping holes ( think 2, 3, 5 & 6 spots on the score card)   in your roster for the next 3+ year  ( with a little left over)  or many more roster roles if for a less amount of time other what the Freak is the point?

by daveinexile on Dec 5, 2007 11:39 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I would trade Lowry plus the Blue Jays' choice of Hennessey, Correia or Sanchez for Alex Rios.  If I were the Blue Jays, I would choose Sanchez, which would give me at least a chance to have made a good trade.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 1:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Rios is nothing the sneeze at talent wise. If weighting talent in a vacuum without other roster considerations I would do that move as well.  But we are not.  I just don't see how using a couple of the few decent trading chip to fill a position that is not in  desperate need,  weakens a strength, and ignores large weaknesses helps the  Giants enough to make that move worth while. I see any trade with  2 big league pitching talents needing to better fit team  needs.

If a GM is not thrilled  with the current Free Agent  Stating Pitching crop were do they go from there? Considering Willis  is traded  after Santana  what other pitchers are out there to be traded for? Maybe the  White Sox float Garland or Vazquez?  The O's might  listen to big offers on Bedard?  A's for  one of their 3 starters?    So that makes 5 out of 32 teams  the are open to trading starting pitching.  A Santana, Berdard or an A's trade will require a lot of prospects leaving  the other organization. The Giants can  get a better fitting trade then this.

by daveinexile on Dec 5, 2007 3:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
He's quite good, we all agree.  Not a star, but an above-average corner OF with good speed and defense.  If he can play center, he'd be even more interesting.

For that, you'd being asked to give up a potential star.  Sure, his arm might fall off at any moment, but he might also reel off a couple of Cys in his early 20s.

That's the definition of selling low.

Selling low is stupid.  Is Rios available?  I'd trade Lowry and any other non-Cain/Lincecum pitcher for him, straight up.  They're fungible.  Potential aces aren't.

by wcw on Dec 5, 2007 4:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Dude, Garland was already traded by the White Sox to the Angels for SS Orlando Cabrera like a week or two ago.

by jwirt19 on Dec 5, 2007 5:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Missed that trade. I stand corrected.

So that still means  the Whites Sox could listen to offers on  Vazquez or the White Sox are no longer shopping starters.  The later then reduces the field to 4 teams willing to shop starters. That mean the Giants  bargaining position just got stronger.

by daveinexile on Dec 6, 2007 11:14 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
FYI,
If your cousin's favorite aunt's mother in law is married to Brian Sabean/Peter Magowan / Larry Baer, its time to start calling in chits now - us "fans" don't want to see the idiocy continue. If you wouldn't give up Lincecum for Delmon Young who was at a comparable service time (and which I sort of agree with), giving him for Rios is idiocy. They trade Lincecum/Cain, and I become an A's fan.
Jonathan Sanchez. He's left-handed, like Barry Zito. His fastball breaks 80, unlike Zito.

by Aadik on Dec 5, 2007 12:18 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
if it really is rios+sweeteners (and it would have to be at least 2 more pretty good prospects) it wouldnt be the worst deal ever.  i love timmy, but i dont think i can watch a roberts, winn, durham, inge/rolen/feliz/encarnacion/someone-else's-trash-3b, bengie, aurilia, lewis/raj/nate, omar lineup next year.  it would make it all the more painful to see matty and timmy throwing 3-hit 1-run gems and get slapped with L's every time out.

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 12:37 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
i would trade both cain and lincecum for the following:

pay off the debt on the belle...the money frees up tons of caishe to be used on the open market

give us 2 quality, mlb ready prospects...one if and one of

give us your first born children to sacrifice to the gods who are still so angry at us, we havent won a ws in 50 years

outside of that...its....have a nice day

sabean really said that rios of cain is "interesting"??? why the fuck was this retard given an extension?

by bacci40 on Dec 5, 2007 2:59 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You forgot whirled peas.
"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 7:01 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
So due to extreme depression over what the Giants are going to be like for the next few years I haven't been logging on here recently. It just makes me more depressed. But after reading that Chronicle article, I just had to come and see what everyone was saying about it.

Thank you everyone. Sabean may be insane, but the MCoven are not, and it was good to read your comments. I shall have to return to my daily browsing and occasional commenting.

Lincecum + for Rios? Plus??????????????????

My head still hurts from reading that crap.

Merkin Valdez career SO/9: 10.8

by Poe on Dec 5, 2007 8:01 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
The Cain/Lincecum for Rios story is starting to make it's rounds now on the rumor mill (Rosenthal, ESPN, MLBTR). Not that it adds any credibility to it, but it's annoying to read the proposed offers for Haren and Santana and contrast them with the paltry offering of Rios alone.

I realize Sabean doesn't control what's written, but this isn't exactly great marketing for two of the most valuable trade chips in baseball.

by mxmob33 on Dec 5, 2007 8:30 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
To simplify my point, whatever Beane is asking for Haren, Sabean should demand more for Cain. He's four years younger, signed cheaply through his arbitration years, has more upside and has already thrown 437 big league innings with better numbers than Haren.

by mxmob33 on Dec 5, 2007 8:40 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
This from Peter Gammons' blog on ESPN:

* The Blue Jays are not going to trade A.J. Burnett, Alex Rios or Troy Glaus -- for now. Toronto GM J.P. Ricciardi will probably head home today.

I trust Gammo rumors above all else so hopefully we can breath easy now.

Thank God that's over.

by southcitysteve on Dec 5, 2007 9:38 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Actually I sort of glazed over the "for now" part so nevermind, Sabes now has too much time to think.
Thank God that's over.

by southcitysteve on Dec 5, 2007 9:39 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Are like of faith in Sabean is just funny. We all feel the same way like or poor little slow-witted Sabes is going to get taken for a ride by someone. I find myself getting excited about the deals he hasn't made, LOL
Your 2010 NL rookie of the year,... Andy D'alessio

by ramirez415 on Dec 5, 2007 10:23 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I meant our lack of faith.
Your 2010 NL rookie of the year,... Andy D'alessio

by ramirez415 on Dec 5, 2007 10:25 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If Sabean doesn't make the Rios-for-Lincecum deal this week, he won't be making it at all.  By the time they get back to SF, he will be subjected to a public pounding for even thinking about trading one of them away for Rios, so it won't happen later.

by Buck Henry on Dec 5, 2007 9:54 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
On a random note, how many years has it been since Gammons broke a story?  Great, great writer, but he's been surpassed by the Rosenthals and Olneys of the world.

by KCE on Dec 5, 2007 10:00 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Isn't funny how fans always overvalue their own teams players while undervaluing another teams in hopes of a trade.  I bet there is some guy in Toronto saying, No way Rios for Lincecum straight up, they should throw in Cain just to start the discussion!!!  That's if anybody really cared about the Blue Jays in Toronto.
Please don't trade Cain or Lincecum!

by BondOrBust on Dec 5, 2007 9:48 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
as the jays need pitching to compete in the east...i think your assumption is debatable

rios has potential...but he will be 27 come next season....i dont get excited by guys with potential at 27

he was an allstar by default

24 hrs in the al is nothing to write home about

the fact is, fans from all across the nation drool at the prospect of getting either cain or timmy...and they all believe that sabean is stupid enough to deal at least one of them

by bacci40 on Dec 5, 2007 11:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Rios is a superb player. Don't confuse your distaste (and mine)for an even deal for Timmy. It would be grotesque, but not because Rios isn't a valuable player.
Don't believe everything you think.

by wcovington on Dec 5, 2007 4:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

holy shit
willis and cabrera to the TIGERS.
now that lineup is something I would look fwd to watching.
"cynical yet whimsical giants related signature"

by The Gene Hackman on Dec 5, 2007 10:28 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
In other news, Boston won the World Series.

by mxmob33 on Dec 5, 2007 10:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
i guess so.
pardon the anachronism.
you may return to worry about Rios
"cynical yet whimsical giants related signature"

by The Gene Hackman on Dec 5, 2007 10:36 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
First I have to worry about what anachronism means.

by mxmob33 on Dec 5, 2007 10:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
I looked it up for you:
anachronism (  É™-ˈna-krÉ™-ËŒni-zÉ™m ) n. See Julio Franco
All your signature are belong to us.

by EliminateMe on Dec 5, 2007 11:05 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
Jerome Williams was on the A's!!!
Nattowear | comics | Durham? I hardly know 'im!

by Natto on Dec 5, 2007 11:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
Roger Clemens joke.
Steve Kline: How okay is he, really? I would say he is pretty okay.

by groug on Dec 5, 2007 12:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That one..
That one made me laugh.

Of course that could be the alcohol talking a bit, but I think I would have laughed otherwise still.

Man gotta tell you Jimmy Page and Robert Plant in the middle of How Many More Times do pretty good when you're drunk.  No that wasn't random at all.

Coming to you from The Land of Many Beers.

by WalrusMan on Dec 5, 2007 8:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: That one..
I've long been thinking about making a "drunk post" Diary where everybody just makes sure they get drunk at some point and comments in the Diary. I think it would be ridiculously entertaining, but I doubt if it would actually work... probably worth about 10 comments, top....
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 8, 2007 9:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
You deserve to be struck out when your first name's a verb

by Cookyman on Dec 5, 2007 12:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: holy shit
And anyone who's been to Comerica knows Miguel will light up the left field stands. This was a brilliant trade for Detroit!
Don't believe everything you think.

by wcovington on Dec 5, 2007 4:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
FWIW, I just got Will Carroll to respond to the trade scenario on his BP chat. As you'll see, he doesn't equivocate on Tim's value. Here is the transcription:

Dylan (SF): I've seen you write that Tim Lincecum is a "freak" before. I think it mainly refers to the fact that his mechanics are so odd that his longevity and chances of injury are completely unpredictable. Does this mean that you would trade him to the Jays straight up for Alex Rios? To me, the Jays have to add a reasonably talented pitcher to the equation.

Will Carroll: No, he's just a straight freak.

There is no single pitcher that I would trade straight up for Lincecum. There are very, very few players that I would take straight up for him and the ones I would are guys like Cabrera, Pujols, Reyes ...

... so yes, I like Tim Lincecum and would be willing to say that the Giants should never trade him.

by BigO on Dec 5, 2007 10:40 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I realize many think I'm overly enamored with Tim Lincecum.  But I am truly no more enamored of Tim than Will Carroll is.

You should probably take my opinion with a grain of salt.  But not Will's.  Will's book "Saving the Pitcher" is arguably the best study of the effects of mechanics on pitching injuries.  Will's opinion means something.

And whatever rumor the scouts had out about Tim last spring, Will was acutely aware of it.  I asked if he could pass it on to Tim via Tim's dad, and he said a confidentiality agreement prevented him from doing so.

But clearly that rumor didn't change Will's opinion of Tim.  When people take their best shot at someone and can't shake the opinion of one of the best observers of pitching around, I would say the subject of their rumor is pretty darn solid.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 1:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Later in the chat, Carroll also says he wouldn't do a Tim for Votto, Hamilton, and Encarnacion. Says Votto reminds him of Jeff Conine.

by BigO on Dec 5, 2007 1:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I've written before that I didn't think the trade for Rios was worth it for either of our two phenoms. I beginning to think maybe it would be best to put Frandsen at third, Omar @ short, see how Durham and Velez battle for second in the spring and Ortmeier @ 1st.

I know that there maybe some hissing in my direction when I suggest (because I was against it) to sign AJones (I promised never to use those two initials again) for something like 3/50. With Winn in left and Nate in right and call it a day.  

by Buzzword on Dec 5, 2007 10:58 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

CF
FWIW, Ken Rosenthal says the Giants view Rios as a center fielder. That would certainly make the deal a little more palatable.

I still wouldn't do it, though. The key for me is: Five years of Cain/Lincecum are more valuable to a team like the Giants than three years of Rios.

by Dan from NM on Dec 5, 2007 11:14 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
1:57 p.m., from Jayson Stark
* The Giants and Blue Jays have a deal on the table that would send outfielder Alex Rios to San Francisco for pitcher Tim Lincecum. But the Blue Jays appear to be more motivated to make that trade than the Giants. Two baseball men who spoke with the Giants describe them as being "indecisive" about whether they really want to move Lincecum for a big bat -- and, if they do, about whom they should get for him. Toronto has decided its best strategy to survive in the loaded AL East is to stockpile as many power arms as possible. So the Blue Jays would sacrifice offense if they could pick up an arm like Lincecum.

If we're seriously considering this... shouldn't we actually tell other GM's Lincecum's on the market and see what we can truly get for him before we commit to trading him for Rios and Rios alone?  Maybe we can get more somewhere else.  Maybe we should just sit back and wait to see what happens with Santana/Haren/Bedard.  We should be able to get more than the A's get for Haren being that Lincecum is soooo far from free agency.  There should be no sense of urgency on the Giants end to make this deal.... PLEASE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by jwirt19 on Dec 5, 2007 11:29 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
By letting it slip that we're considering Rios for Lincecum we have just set the price for anyone intersted. I'm hoping this is Sabean's way of letting other GM's know where the bidding starts.

by hammystyle on Dec 5, 2007 12:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Was thinking/hoping the same thing; that the "sweetening" Sabean is looking for could come from another team.
"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 2:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Uh oh.
Deal "on the table"??? Doesn't that mean it might seriously actually happen? I'm going to be sick. Jayson Stark says:
The Giants and Blue Jays have a deal on the table that would send outfielder Alex Rios to San Francisco for pitcher Tim Lincecum. But the Blue Jays appear to be more motivated to make that trade than the Giants. Two baseball men who spoke with the Giants describe them as being "indecisive" about whether they really want to move Lincecum for a big bat -- and, if they do, about whom they should get for him. Toronto has decided its best strategy to survive in the loaded AL East is to stockpile as many power arms as possible. So the Blue Jays would sacrifice offense if they could pick up an arm like Lincecum.
Lon Simmons' adopted dad.

by Kitspool on Dec 5, 2007 11:31 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Uh oh.
From reading that blurb, it seems like the Giants are less inclined to trade Lincecum and it's more on the Blue Jays end of things. At least, that's what I keep telling myself.
Nattowear | comics | Durham? I hardly know 'im!

by Natto on Dec 5, 2007 11:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Uh oh.
I'm with you, my brother, but still... this Kool-Aid tastes kinda funny.
"When Jackson Williams thinks of how many times Madison Bumgarner has tried to kill Tyler Walker..."

by multiphasic on Dec 5, 2007 11:59 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Uh oh.
on the bottom right corner of the  ticker on espn news...its listed as breaking news - lincecum for rios is "on the table"...its very nerve racking for me...

by travis j bagdad on Dec 5, 2007 12:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
if the Giants trade Linc for Rios, they seriously risk losing fans. Lincecum is a total stud and this trade would be worse than the AJ Trade.

I made an effort to go out to the yard and see Linc pitch. I'd never do that just to see Rios.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 11:50 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
"".
Jonathan Sanchez. He's left-handed, like Barry Zito. His fastball breaks 80, unlike Zito.

by Aadik on Dec 5, 2007 12:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If Sabean agrees to this trade, after having previously traded Accardo for Hillenbrand, will Riccardi complete the deal by saying, "Sssssssssssssucker!!!"?
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Dec 5, 2007 11:55 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against Fitz & Brooks
they both just said they'd do Linc for Rios straight up. They're on crack. FUCKING CRACK!
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 12:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Jorge Cantu released by Reds
Giants should consider signing him.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 12:12 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Jorge Cantu released by Reds
Don't we have five or ten guys just like that already?

by Evan on Dec 5, 2007 12:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Jorge Cantu released by Reds
I don't think so. He can play 3rd, 2nd, 1st base. Has good power as a right-hander and turns 26 next month.

My thinking is that he'd be pretty cheap with some upside. If he doesn't pan out, so be it, there'd be little risk in signing him.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 12:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Jorge Cantu released by Reds
I couldn't help but think the same when I saw he was cut.  Dude's just shy of 26, in 2005 he hit .286, 28 homers, 117 RBI, although his OBP was only .311.  He struck out 83 times in 598 ABs.  Not bad.  For some reason his numbers basically cut in half in 06 in 413 ABs and he basically fell off the face of the earth last year.  IF, I know, I've already been told in a different post the Giants aren't good at fixing hitters, but if the Giants can even bring him back to respectability, he'd be a great pick up for next to nothing and he can play 2B, 3B, or 1B.

by jwirt19 on Dec 5, 2007 12:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Jorge Cantu released by Reds
He was injured in 2006. last year he had a falling out with the DRays management and they sent him to the minors then they dealt him to the Reds for basically nothing.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 1:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I love that Bochy was "enamored" with Rios. . .this is the same guy who said Klesko was hitting the bedjezus out of the ball in BATTING PRACTICE, convincing sabes that he was worth a 3 mil flier because "he definitely god his stroke back". . .someone put out a memo that Bochy is not allowed to make roster decisions, and please, for the love of god, but a cover sheet on your TPS reports.
For WilltheThrill, this is Jon Miller saying goodnight. . . .

by WilltheThrill on Dec 5, 2007 12:25 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Bruce Bochy thinks you have his stapler.
All your signature are belong to us.

by EliminateMe on Dec 5, 2007 12:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....

He can't have my stapler.

Getting Nuschler Faced in the Phone Booth.

by SoFa King Mike on Dec 5, 2007 1:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
you'd think he'd be "enamored" by Lincecum.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 12:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Wasn't Klesko...
Only 1.5 million?  For a baseball player that's not too bad.
Coming to you from The Land of Many Beers.

by WalrusMan on Dec 5, 2007 8:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

KNBR doesn't know what they're talking about
  • Rios is NOT 24 years old. He will be 27 at the start of next season. That means he's entering his prime and really shouldn't be considered a "young player" anymore.
  • Rios is NOT an on base machine. He had a respectable .354 last year, but has a lifetime .338, not exactly  great.
  • He's not a 3 or 4 hitter. At best he's a 3 spot fill-in, but he'd be best suited as a #5 hitter. Lincecum should not be traded for a #5 hitter.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 12:56 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
#1 - I can't believe that the Blue Jays could even think of getting Caincecum for just Rios. Are those rumors coming only from Toronto? Its maddening to read that crap. Maybe we all overvalue both of our guys? How can people write that crap.

#2 - I agree on Cantu. I think his numbers dropped partially because he played in and got hurt in the WBC. After that, his #'s dropped and he fell out of favor. Good time to buy low since we have no other options.

Toronto wants to trade with us again because they still remember how good it felt to screw us with the Accardo/Shea trade.

by benson11 on Dec 5, 2007 1:06 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Taking a chance on Jorge Cantu would seem to be a low-risk proposition.  I would want to know more about why the Reds flat-out released him though.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 1:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Just a thought/question, do think Sabean is pulling off a Marlin move, ie. a lot of back and forth with the Angels and then in end made their heist with the Tigers?

by Buzzword on Dec 5, 2007 1:14 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
No way , not our Brian. He is incapable of that type of thinking.
Your 2010 NL rookie of the year,... Andy D'alessio

by ramirez415 on Dec 5, 2007 1:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You know the biggest risk in this idea of trading Tim Lincecum is?  I feel Brian Sabean overvalues the concept of filling holes and undervalues the contribution of a true superstar.

For several years Brian divided up his salary money in order to fill holes around Barry Bonds, failing to fully realize that it was the amazing contribution of Bonds himself that allowed Brian the luxury of filling out his roster with mediocre to good players.

Brian may believe that receiving a star and a couple of hole fillers for a potential superstar is a good thing.  Brian is almost certainly wrong if he feels that way.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 1:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

If SF does make this deal.
If Sabean does make this deal I would think that he is thinking 3 transactions ahead as he might have lined up more transactions. Might sign another FA hitter, trade for 3b, sign a pitcher etc

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 1:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
The suspense is killing me.  I just know Sabean is going to do something retarded.  I need a drink...
Hitler was a Dodgers fan.

by The Nick on Dec 5, 2007 1:34 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Check.
THe drink's done for me.  Just bring on the retarded deal.
Coming to you from The Land of Many Beers.

by WalrusMan on Dec 5, 2007 8:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
No Way Rios for half of Caincicum maybe lowry+sanchez+Taschner+minor leaugers for rios

by spartan25 on Dec 5, 2007 1:55 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
at this point do SOMETHING.  i wont be able to  bear to watch a roberts lewis winn durham bengie ortmeir frandsen omar lineup.  we are gonna come out of the winter meetings with nothing then overpay for an andruw jones and bring feliz back...i can see it coming.  

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 2:24 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Contrary to what you say (or many others think), it's quite possible Andruw Jones won't be overpaid for his services.  Naturally, it is also possible he is grossly overpaid, but I would lean toward the former.

Feliz back for a year isn't a bad thing, as long as the Giants don't do anything stupid.  You can't force a trade just for the sake of making a trade.  If you don't think someone is offering enough for Lowry/Cain/Lincecume/WHOEVER, you don't just pull the trigger because you're afraid of what your lineup could look like.  Panicking = no good.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 2:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes but Picnicking = good
Frankly I think overspending for Jones would cripple this team less than trading away any one of the "Lincecum, Cain then pray for rain" duo.
I don't need to adopt anyone. "Your children have touched me and I'm pretty sure I've touched them too."

by camwoody on Dec 5, 2007 3:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Yes but Picnicking = good
You could very well be right.  If this team is looking to rebuild the team the "right" way, by which I mean internally, overspending on 4 years of Andruw Jones shouldn't hurt too badly.  Unless they're giving up a first round pick to get him.  I haven't heard any mention of that, so I'm assuming the Braves aren't offering arbitration?

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 3:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Buster Olney just gave an update on Linc for Rios.  I believe the direct words were "Blue Jays asked about a possible Rios for Lincecum trade, and the Giants said *absolutely not."

He also believes the Giants won't trade either pitcher...

Collective sigh of relief, anyone?

Hitler was a Dodgers fan.

by The Nick on Dec 5, 2007 2:49 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Not until it comes from the horse's mouth that Cain and Lincecum are "no longer available."

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 2:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I dunno -- there are absolutely players out there I'd trade either one for.  Rios doesn't come close to that kind of class, though.

Either or both pitchers arms could fall off next year and not trading for Rios still would have been the right move.

by wcw on Dec 5, 2007 3:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Sabean has pretty much said that other than this one intriguing deal he had no interest in dealing either Cain or Lincecum.

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 3:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I've been listening to KNBR a lot today (against my better judgement) and not once but twice the hosts (Fitz first, now Barbieri) have made veiled allusions to issues with Lincecum. Fitz said something about clubhouse problems, the Razor just hinted at the Marinovich-like relationship of Timmy and his dad, something about Tim missing plane flights, attitude, etc. This is the first I've EVER heard about Lincecum being any sort of problem from a clubhouse perspective.

Is this the Giants FO feeding misinformation to their flagship radio station to defend against angry fans in case they trade their ace pitcher? Is Tim really a malcontent? Do I listen to too much sports talk? (Don't answer that last question, please.)

Lon Simmons' adopted dad.

by Kitspool on Dec 5, 2007 3:14 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I try not to listen to the morons. they don't know jack for the most part.
Your 2010 NL rookie of the year,... Andy D'alessio

by ramirez415 on Dec 5, 2007 3:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I did hear something last year about him missing a team flight. I think he is more of a goofy kid than malcontent.

by mxmob33 on Dec 5, 2007 3:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think you are right here.  Off the field, Tim is just a kid trying to grow up.  On the field, he looks like the batboy but pitches like Nolan Ryan.

Any of these things could be true, of course.  I have no way of knowing for sure.  But I would like to make three comments regarding Tim's relationship with his dad.

First, the two weren't nearly as close after Tim made the majors as most believe.  Tim's dad attended Tim's debuts at both San Jose and in San Francisco, but other than watching Tim pitch when the Fresno Giants played in Tacoma last April, Tim's dad didn't attend any of Tim's games.  They certainly talked on the phone -- but I'm not sure they talked more than any other father and son.

Second, at the end of the 2007 season, Tim's change up might have been his best pitch.  Batters surely swung and missed it a lot.  When I saw Tim pitch in San Jose and Stockton, he threw only his fastball and curve.  Tim learned the change (which is actually an abbreviated split finger) not from Dave Righetti or anyone else in the Giants' system.

Third, what Tim is -- and that's pretty darn good -- was created by Tim and his father.  A Seattle TV guy has said that he saw old footage of Tim's dad pitching, and he couldn't tell the difference between the two pitchers.

And since Tim's dad was clocked at 88 mph at the age of 55, I consider that to be a good thing.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 4:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If any of this is true, it occured within a, what, five month period? This is just basic shithead stuff, definitely not worth getting rid of him over. Maybe if he extended this behavior to five years, then it might be a problem.

Or maybe he threw a bottle of Gatorade at Sabean. I don't know.

Democracy is lovely but baseball is more mature. BVCE supports Manny Burriss and SF Dugout.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 5, 2007 4:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Well, it is my belief that Sabean (and the Giants) screwed him out of one year of free-agent eligibility by sending him to Fresno to start the year.  He may qualify as a super-two, which will start his arbitration years off normally, but he'll still have that one extra year under the Giants' control.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 5:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Supposing for a moment this is all true
Is he sore about getting screwed out of the extra year and thus, that is the basis of his attitude problems?
Democracy is lovely but baseball is more mature. BVCE supports Manny Burriss and SF Dugout.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 5, 2007 5:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Supposing for a moment this is all true
I haven't seen anything indicating Tim felt he was cheated -- although his agent most definitely made him familiar with the concept of the "super two."

I personally felt Tim was ready to open the season with the Giants -- and his 0.29 ERA at Fresno pretty much confirmed it.  Still, the Giants had signed Russ Ortiz with the idea of giving him the #5 spot, and it was better to err on the side of caution with Tim.

Incidentally, Tim struck out eight batters in his first start at Fresno.  Three came on his curve, two on his fastball -- and three on his new change (or abbreviated split).  Tim definitely appeared major league ready that night.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 9:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Supposing for a moment this is all true
Well, yeah. I was fine with him opening the year in AAA for all the reasons you listed. Having Roos in there instead was a point of contention, but even he lasted for a little while.

These allegations about Tim's behavior are really unsettling, probably because I've developed a maternal love for him in the last year and a half. On the other hand, I have low tolerance for bullshit, and I think a lot of this is exactly that.

Holy moly I agree with you on something. The world must be ending.

Democracy is lovely but baseball is more mature. BVCE supports Manny Burriss and SF Dugout.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 6, 2007 5:43 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I agree, (check out my big but) BUT, if you were considering trading one of your two stud pitchers and had them ranked even in terms of expectations, who would you be more inclined to move:
  • A guy with potential attitude problems and meddlesome dad...or
  • A guy that showed a crapload of intestinal fortitude in the face of all kinds of adversity beyond his control last season?
I have no idea whether the stuff about Tim is true, but I do know that Cain gave us all great insight as to what kind of teammate and competitor he is.

If it's a coin toss in terms of talent, I keep Cain.

"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 5:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Well if it did come down to my decision, gun to my head, I'd keep Cain. But I don't see a reason to trade either, barring the miraculous, spectacular deal that nets us like half of the Dodgers farm system or something. I especially don't see reason to invent problems or blow problems out of proportion to make one guy look bad so he's easier to kick out the door.

I mean Christ on a raft the team put up with Barry's garbage for years on end, you'd think they'd be able to handle a mild rectal itch like Tim's supposed behavior.

Democracy is lovely but baseball is more mature. BVCE supports Manny Burriss and SF Dugout.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 5, 2007 5:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If we're going to have someone throwing Gatorade bottles at Sabean, we should sign Brett Tomko back and let him risk hurting himself by throwing it at him with a speed in the mid-90s.  We don't want to risk Timmy's arm getting hurt chucking Gatorade bottles... but I do wish someone would throw one at Sabean.

by jwirt19 on Dec 5, 2007 5:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Inside the Mind of Ralph Barbieri...
Any athlete with close relationship with father = Next Todd Marinovich.

Hopefully Matt Cain and his dad aren't speaking.

by tobias on Dec 5, 2007 9:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Because making GIFs is at times therapeutic...
I'm not sure whether this is me showing faith or blatant sarcasm.  I'm leaning heavily towards the latter.  

Hitler was a Dodgers fan.

by The Nick on Dec 5, 2007 3:27 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

You...
didn't hit the "shift" button on one of those "!" and even spelled out the one on another "!".  And you even spelled it "on3".

That's gotta be wrong.

Coming to you from The Land of Many Beers.

by WalrusMan on Dec 5, 2007 8:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: You...
You've been on the intrawebs before, haven't you? ;-)
Hitler was a Dodgers fan.

by The Nick on Dec 6, 2007 8:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
you can say what you want about panicking and giving up linc, but he and cain throwing 2 hitters will be meaningless if the giants trot out the lineup they have now.  i honestly dont believe they can average more than 2 runs a game.  the team batting average would probably hover around .240.  maybe rios isnt the guy we go get, but we cant afford to do nothing.  stop being so scared to take chances on the trade market.  no other is going to value timmy quite as much as everyone on here because they werent in the situation sf fans were last year (timmy's 100mph fastballs were one of the few shining lights)  but face it matty and timmy could turn out to be the next smoltz/maddux and the team would still be horrible 5 years from now becase there are ZERO top hitting prospects even close to making an impact in the system and we cant afford a big FA hitter if we plan to save money for lincecain and pay zito. even without timmy, the staff could be a competitive one.  (id take cain, lowry, zito, correia, misch over what the mets or yanks (assuming neither lands haren or santana) are going to throw out there.  two or three very good hitters makes the lineup competitive.  id rather have a team that you feel might be able to compete every day than a team that pitches fantastically but you know is never going to score enough runs.  BALANCE.

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 3:32 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Saying their two hitters will be meaningless is looking no farther than 2008. When they're both 20 game winners for us in 2010, you'll see.

Anyway, that would be the counterargument to what you're saying.

Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 3:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
where are the sticks coming from?

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 3:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
There's a lot of time between now and 2010. I'm sure they'll show up somewhere in that time from FA, from the system, overseas, or in a deal involving somebody not named Cain or Lincecum. I know saying "they'll come from somewhere" is a bit of a ridiculous thing to say, but how the heck am I supposed to predict the next 3 years? I can barely predict the next few days of my own life, and those are tightly scheduled.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 3:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
how does the mortgage get paid between now and 2010?

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 3:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
With money?
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 3:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
a lot less money without Bonds around and without a decent product.

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 4:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Yes, that was implied in your original question.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sticks
I haven't given up on Schierholtz or Bowker being able to turn into decent hitters.

Villalona could be ready by 2010.  There's also the possibility of getting Smoak or Alonso with our #5 pick in next years draft.  Both could be ready for the bigs in a year or so.

Then there's the unknowns of Noonan and Fairley.

by Cainer on Dec 5, 2007 3:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Sticks
Cainer, they are ALL unknowns

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 4:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Sticks
Don't like prospects, How about targeting possible 2009/10 free agents.  Vladimir Guerrero, Carl Crawford or Mark Teixeira in 2009 & Miguel Cabrera for 2010.  There will be plenty of options to add bats through the free agent market in the next few years.  Expensive options that they are, but at least our pitching staff as a whole will be realitively cheap.

by Cainer on Dec 5, 2007 5:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Sticks
I like home grown prospects. Wish we had more. The long hard trail to success in the MLs is filled with potholes. I would love to see Bowker, Schierholtz, Nooner, Sandoval, Big V make it to The City etc but  because of injury, lack of ML talent etc few, if any, will be a success. Not only for SF but throughout baseball.

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 5:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I know it's "out of the box" thinking in Giants land, but what about DEVELOPING SOME HITTERS? I know, I know. That's crazy talk, you say. Well, I see the Rockies and Indians and Phillies and Mets and other teams seemed to have found a way to do it, so I suspect that we can do it, too.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 4:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Alex Rios will not prevent this team from being bad.  That's why everyone is freaking out.
Steve Kline: How okay is he, really? I would say he is pretty okay.

by groug on Dec 5, 2007 3:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
The Giants can still build through FA.  It's not like the only way they can get bats is through a Lincecain deal.  Sure the FA market might not be THAT great his year as far as hitters are concerned but no one is expecting the Giants to be contenders next year anyways.  Keep Cain and Lincecum and shoot for Andruw Jones or Rowand.  IMHO overpaying for Andruw Jones (who's still only 30) is better than giving up either of the future pitchers.  

Remember this.  The only constant around the Braves amazing run in the playoffs was Maddux, Smoltz, and Glavine.

by Sigualicious on Dec 5, 2007 4:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If I wasn't so cranky, this is roughly how I would have addressed these questions.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
"Remember this.  The only constant around the Braves amazing run in the playoffs was Maddux, Smoltz, and Glavine."

If the "amazing run" you're referring to was the 11 straight post-season appearances between 1995 and 2005, then a little fact-checking is in order.

Maddux's last season with the team was 2003 and Glavine's was 2002, so they weren't are part of the tail end of the run.

A more accurate statement would be that Smoltz and Chipper Jones were the only constants. (Assuming you're just talking about players.)

"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 4:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Oh you only want to go back to 95?  You forget so quickly about 93? And in 94 they were in second place until the strike hit.  And in 91 and 92 they still had Glavine and Smoltz.  

Either way, no matter how you break it down, their success was built around pitching.  The hitters around it were plug and play.  Yes, there have been great hitters.  But saying Chipper and Smoltz were the only constants and reasons why they were successful is silly.  The constant, while maybe not just Maddux Smoltz and Glavine, has been pitching.  

They've had Deion in his prime, Justice, Pendelton, McGriff, Gant (when he was good) all different parts throughout the years and they always were successful because the pitching always gave them a chance.

by Sigualicious on Dec 5, 2007 5:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You forgot Mark Lemke.
"natto is just weird and gross in smell, texture, and taste" - BVCE

by SF Pete on Dec 5, 2007 6:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
So if you include '91 and '92, your oringinal statement is even more wrong since Maddux didn't join the team until '93.

I agree that the Braves success was built around pitching, but saying the only constant was Maddux, Glavine and Smoltz implies that they were all there throughout the run and they weren't.

"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 10:34 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
If Tim and Matt throw two-hitters, they will win plenty of them.

Do you think Alex Rios would make the Giants a good-hitting team?  Alex wouldn't even replace the contribution of Barry Bonds, let alone make the Giants a better-hitting team than the one that scored the third-least runs of any major league team last season.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 4:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
To my best of recollections, which isn't saying much, I can't remember Sabean making a substantial (blockbuster) trade during the winter meetings. I wouldn't be surprised if nothing of substance comes of this either.

by Buzzword on Dec 5, 2007 3:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Didn't "the trade that should not be named" happen during the winter meetings?
You deserve to be struck out when your first name's a verb

by Cookyman on Dec 5, 2007 4:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
how do you plan to win 20 games in 2010?  who is going to drive in the runs for those wins?  are ortmeir and schierholtz suddenly going to become will clark/matt williams?  speaking of williams remember when nobody wanted to trade one of our two big sluggers either?  howd that turn out?  the fans as a whole need to grow some and be willing to take a risk.  best case scenario if we keep them is they both become dominant but in another 2-3 years we have to deal one of them for hitting.  somthing better than we'd get now, yes but i dont think its worth 2 or 3 miserable years or the risk that one or both of them dont pan out.

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 3:43 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
For the record, 2010 is a long way away and I have absolutely no idea what the f*ck is going to happen between now and then. Where are the bats going to come from? I don't know! Somewhere? Maybe we sign some guys during the 2009 offseason. Maybe Nate and Frandsen become stalworts in the 2-3 holes for years to come.

I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. The whole premise of the question "what is going to happen in 3 years" is ridiculous to me. A lot can go right, and a lot can go wrong.

For criminy's sake, all I was doing was giving a generic devil's advocate response to what you were saying! I was not trying to speak for myself or anybody else, just a generic template for an argument that makes sense if good things happen over the course of the next 3 years. And I don't feel like getting torn apart for it. I don't have a plan. I don't know the future.

But as far as I am personally concerned: Even if we do chuck one for Rios, the offense is still going to S-U-C-K suck. Where do the rest of the bats come from then? What is your magical solution to a crappy offense that suddenly doesn't have two aces who can give it a chance to win? You still need roughly the same amount of magical unknown things to go right to have a good offense in 2010, except now you don't have one of your aces to boot!

Whatever. I've been on the computer too long and I'm starting to get cranky. Sorry for being so cranky. Alex Rios is NOT the solution. Somebody supe awesome might be, but having Alex Rios instead of one of Cain or Lincecum cannot possibly make us any better in 2010 than we would be without him assuming everything else stays the same. At best, it would be a wash.

Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 3:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I see below that you're not saying anything to do with Rios. Sorry for making that assumption.

I think it remains, though, that for either Cain or Lincecum to be traded this offseason, it HAS to be for somebody super awesome who is controlled long term.

Saying we need to make a trade for somebody super awesome who we can control long term is all well and good, but those players don't exist on the market. Not since Cabrera and A-Rod got their deals. Why do we need to make a trade that doesn't exist?

Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Alex Rios is NOT the solution. Somebody supe awesome might be...

It would take at least pair of "super awesomes" to make up for one "super wonderful."

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I can't imagine the Giants being lucky enough to become a true competitor before 2010.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 4:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Not to mention, Alex Rios would be a free agent after the 2010 season, right?

by jwirt19 on Dec 5, 2007 5:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
in 1996, we still had Bonds in his prime. He was an offensive force to build around. Sabean got several players in return, including a younger bat to replace Williams's bat. Also, Williams was 31 years old and missed a bunch of games the 2 previous years. It's a decent analogy, but it isn't quite the same situation.

I'm not totally opposed to a Lincecum or Cain trade, but we need to get more in return than just one player that doesn't even fill any positional needs.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 5:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
and Sabean also picked up JT Snow that year, too.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 5:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
All i have to say is I am glad none of you are GM. Y'all are way off. Lincecum is Nolan Ryan and Rios is Jaun Uribe. ha ha ha  Crazy.

by S49erfan on Dec 5, 2007 3:51 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I wish I could understand what your point was.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
My point is a pitcher with 7 Major League Starts verse an All star and people are acting like its the worse trade on the planet and people should fire Sabean for even acknowledging the trade is intriguing. The hate for Sabean is crazy. He was the same guy who fleeced quite a few people. Remember the Schmidt trade? Of course not. He made some bad trades but damn. he got us to a World Series. No one liked the Williams trade and Kent became a Hall of famer. Let the man do his job. And when its all said and done, judge him. He has struck out lately. Doesnt mean he cant "kick the tires." We dont know how much Magowan said, "Keep trying to win with Barry" WE DONT KNOW. I just find all these armchair GM's funny. Thats My Point. Rios is a good player. Is it the right trade? WHo knows? Dont know the actual deal. Didnt like the Matt Williams trade, but sure as hell do now.

by S49erfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think most would say I'm more of a Sabean apologist than someone who wants to fry him.  However, the Matt Williams trade is far from being comparable to this one.  Nevermind that hindsight is 20/20, the Matt Williams trade made more sense then than the Lincecum for Rios rumor we're hearing now.

Williams had already played 10 seasons for the Giants.  It could very well be argued that he was on the downward side of his career.  Not a very great measurement, but he went to one All-Star game after he was traded from the Giants.

Lincecum and Cain are still at the very beginning of their upward slopes.  They're at the bottom of the ski-lift waiting to be taken up the slope, while Matt Williams was already a third of the way back down with is snowboard strapped on.  That is why this trade is scaring people

Right now, the deal sounds like a "straight up" trade for Rios.  Judging on that deal alone, it should give ANY Giants fans nightmares.  Rios is no Bonds, so how could he even help this offense?  Couple that with now being one short in what could very well be the NL's best (top-to-bottom) rotation next year, and the Giants would be in a world of hurt.

That is why fans are saying "NO," or at least partially why.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I hear ya. I am not comparing this to Matt Williams. All I am saying is people were up in arms over that and it turned out ok. We dont know what the actual trade is yet yet people want him fired or even worse shot. I mean, come on. Its all rumors. And he still may not even do it. The guy has made some great trades too. So its nit like he is a complete idiot. BUt whatever.

by S49erfan on Dec 5, 2007 8:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Actually, Tim Lincecum has 24 career starts. I'm sure you meant wins, though.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Alex Rios is a lot better than Juan Uribe, but it is also possible Tim Lincecum might turn out even better than Nolan Ryan.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 4:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Wait, what?
Nattowear | comics | Durham? I hardly know 'im!

by Natto on Dec 5, 2007 4:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I will actually cry if the Giants trade Caincecum for Rios.

Does Brian Sabean really want to make jponry cry???

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 3:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
so you are all willing to go into next season without making a trade?  again im not saying rios for lincecum is the deal we should jump on, but clearly they have to do something and ruling out dealing lincecum or cain is ridiculous

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 3:55 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
No. The team doesn't have to make a trade. I'd rather head into next year with what we have than make a stupid trade.

by Dan from NM on Dec 5, 2007 3:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
exactly. It seems the best arguments for a Rios-Linc trade is a "well, we need to do something" argument, which doesn't rest on the merits of the possible trade.

No one is saying that the team doesn't need to do SOMETHING, but that doesn't mean that the something it does should be a bad deal. Signing Zito was "doing something" it was just a stupid something.

If the team is going to deal a frontline starting pitcher who is young, cheap and controllable for years, it needs to get equal to greater value in return. Rios, a good, but not great OF who doesn't fill any positional needs, is less than equal value. IMO, equal value means at least a power-hitting 1b or 3b + something else.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 5:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
IMO, in order to make taking the hit in the rotation that will come from trading Cain or Lincecum, the Giants will need to get two bats who project to be well above average next season (like... two Rios-type bats). Preferably those players would both be either pre-arb or arb-eligible.

That's not likely to happen. So, no, I wouldn't rule it out, but I think it's a waste of time for every trade Sabean tries to make to start with Caincecum. He should just label them untouchable unless we get the kind of offer detailed above and move on with the offseason.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 3:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think a lot of the McCoven would be beyond ecstatic if the Giants came out of the offseason without making a single trade (if the only trades on the table were stupid trades).  "A lot" would also include myself.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I wouldn't rule out trading Matt Cain or especially Tim Lincecum either.  But I would want more than Alex Rios for either.

For Lincecum, there are probably fewer than a half dozen players I would take straight up.  Cain I would be more willing to part with.

Matt's ceiling is likely an All-Star (which is pretty good).  Tim's ceiling is likely a top tier Hall of Famer.

Matt is more proven.  Tim has considerably more potential IMO.

by sharksrog on Dec 5, 2007 4:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
This is no rumor..... thats what sucks
OneFlapDown ...

by GiantsLover on Dec 5, 2007 4:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
From the Toronto Globe and Mail:

Ricciardi still hasn't heard back from the San Francisco Giants, but sources with both teams said there is now just one offer on the table: Alex Rios for Tim Lincecum, even up. No Troy Glaus. No Matt Cain. Nothing else. Ricciardi is ready to make the deal right now. Giants GM Brian Sabean has yet to respond - although he has delayed his daily press briefing with Bay area reporters.

by KCE on Dec 5, 2007 4:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
It's pretty easy, Brian. "No."
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 4:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
"ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDIN' ME?!" would also make a good answer.
You deserve to be struck out when your first name's a verb

by Cookyman on Dec 5, 2007 4:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
please make it go away...

by BigO on Dec 5, 2007 4:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I don't think Sabean knows how to negotiate. It doesn't seem to me that Sabean is asking for very much by leaving this offer open for so long.

He needs to make it clear that a trade involving Linc or Cain has to involve multiple young players with power that are just about mlb-ready. Look what Beane is doing with Haren. He's demanding a ton, and while some people are saying he's asking too much, if and when a deal happens, he'll still likely get a lot.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 5:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
/"I don't think Sabean knows how to negotiate. It doesn't seem to me that Sabean is asking for very much by leaving this offer open for so long.
/"

According to other reports Sabean has flat out rejected the trade.

Since Sabean's track-record of not letting the press in on what he's up to is well-documented, I'd advise against judging his ability to negotiate based on a speculative press.

As others have pointed out, if Sabean leaks anything, it'll be to drive interest up, not give some writer a scoop.

My guess is that he's throwing chum in the water to start a feeding frenzy.  You can't have a bidding war with just one bidder...unless you're the Giants and bidding on Bonds last year.

 

"Hillary has that nomination sewn up." - rxmeister 11/9/07

by Goofus on Dec 5, 2007 5:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I think I'm living proof that Sabean doesn't give a frig what writers think. ;)
Democracy is lovely but baseball is more mature. BVCE supports Manny Burriss and SF Dugout.

by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 5, 2007 5:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I haven't seen any reports that the trade was flat-out rejected. If that's the case then I'd withdraw my statement. If it was rejected, though, The Jays would probably let their media people know.
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 6:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
ok well then dont complain when lincecum and cain each go 2-17 with era's in the 3's.

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 4:06 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Dude, adding Rios to this lineup would not improve the offense enough to even get it to the same level as last year.

Cain and Lincecum are going to probably lose 15 games with a 3 ERA whether we trade one of them for Alex Rios or not.

Also: the reply link. Learn it and love it and your conversations will flow much more easily.

Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 4:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Not only adding Rios won't fix the offense.  ANYONE other teams are willing to pawn off in exchange for Tim or Matt will likely not help this team.  This team had one of the league's most effective weapons last year (which I'd dare to say was more valuable than Rios) and couldn't get Matt a winning record.

The team is better off holding onto the two phenoms and keeping the strength that is their rotation where it is, than to weaken it significantly in exchange for a meager "improvement" on the offensive side.

by sfgfan on Dec 5, 2007 4:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Like this?
how is life on the other side on the pond?

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 4:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Like this?
Great! I just got back from seeing Othello starring Chiwetel Ejiofor and Ewan McGregor! It was amazing and I even got to meet Chiwetel after the show! Whoo!
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 4:19 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Like this?
Who does Chiwetel want us to trade, Cain or Lincecum? ;)
Lon Simmons' adopted dad.

by Kitspool on Dec 5, 2007 4:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Like this?
I have it on very good authority that Chiwetel does not want us to trade either one. Not for Alex Rios and a bag of pence, anyway.
Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Like this?
I'm sure that if I had asked him, he would have looked at me like I was insane, clearly showing that he does not want us to trade either Cain or Lincecum.
Matt Cain: He'll save children, but not the Dodger children.

by jponry on Dec 5, 2007 4:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
So what could the Giants possibly trade one of these pitchers for that would actually make the team better? What could we possibly get back? What mystery trade can happen? Cain for Pujols and Duncan? Is that it?

No, the offense will not be better if we don't trade for a bat. But if we do trade for a bat and it isn't some sort of .300/.400/1.290 (yes, that is a very big SLG), how will the offense be good enough to keep the leftover ace from losing 20 games next year anyway?

The offense will suck in 2008 if we do not make a trade. The offense will suck in 2008 if we do make a trade, unless it's some kind of super mystery trade that nets two major league ready heart of the order type bats who are not even on the martket right now.

The thing is, Alex Rios is the best hitter on the market right now, PERIOD, and he is not good enough to make these trades remotely worthwhile. Saying we need to make a trade is fine, but if that difference making trade is sitting somewhere in fantasyland, it becomes nothing more than useless blabber.

Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Teams are not built with one transaction. Sabean is lining up his ducks and thinking this trade plus this signing plus this trade = much better team.

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 4:19 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Ok, but if this trade stands alone as a negative, and then the next trade is a positive and that signing is a positive then we're looking at this sort of equation: -1+1+1 = 1

So why not just screw the negative trade we're looking at and go with the other positive trade and the positive signing and be happy with regular old +1+1 = 2.

Because 2 is greater than 1.

Dave Righetti: You Know You Want It. / Also, my blog. For writers.

by howtheyscored on Dec 5, 2007 4:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Because it is not simple math
It is more like:  Is the sum of the total > with A, B and C or D, E and F

by wilriv21 on Dec 5, 2007 4:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Jeezuz H, there's a way to build a ML offense without starting with trading away a potential future ace.  I don't recall the Rockies trading away anybody spectacular to come up with the best offense in the NL West last year.  It may take a couple of years of sucking, but I guess some of us aren't ready to deal with that.

by ResDog on Dec 5, 2007 7:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/baseball

More recent updates. No No No. This isn't hard.

Jonathan Sanchez. He's left-handed, like Barry Zito. His fastball breaks 80, unlike Zito.

by Aadik on Dec 5, 2007 4:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I honestly have the sinking feeling in my stomach already. If we trade Lincecum for Rios there is a real possibility that I quit watching baseball for at least next season.
Barry Zito: Mike Hampton with a guitar

by JakeS on Dec 5, 2007 6:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
By which I mean a given that I don't watch Giants baseball, a possibility that I just give up on the sport altogether.
Barry Zito: Mike Hampton with a guitar

by JakeS on Dec 5, 2007 6:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
if they dont get a hitter im not sure you can call what the giants will be playing baseball.  and yea sabean has made a couple bad trades, but like someone else pointed out he has also made just as many great ones.  the state of the farm system might be something you can attack him on, but he came damn close to bringing the giants a world series ring.  and yea lets try to gain some perspective-lincecum 7 wins. rios-allstar.  not saying its a fair trade-but its not a no-brainer-dont-do-it.  im sure toronto fans are up in arms that they are about to deal half of their young allstar outfield duo for some young pitcher theyve barely heard of with a funky-injury-inducing-type delivery.  before you rush to judgement see if sabean can put another hitter or two around rios if he even makes the deal. and i love timmy but he will NOT be better than nolan ryan. c'mon.  bottom line: this was one of the worst teams in the league last year, we lost our best (and only) hitter, there are no prospects expected to do much on the way.....and you all want to stand pat?

by sam23 on Dec 5, 2007 6:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
I call him Saint I-Am-Not-An-Idiot because he hasn't made a single great trade.  He's made one lucky trade (for Kent), a bunch of nice ones (like Burks), a bunch of mediocre ones, and one humungous stinker (the Liriano throwin was unforgiveable).

Of course, a non-trade is no help, because he's even worse at free-agent signings.  I can't even list the names (or the draft picks they cost).  It's too depressing.

The one thing he and his team have done well all these years is draft pitchers.  Pitching is risky (injury, flameout, and more injury), but now he's got two pitchers who could be bona-fide stars.  And the press is talking about trading one of them for a nice, athletic, above-average right fielder who hits for average with a little pop.

You always trade a pitcher for the everyday player if they're comparably skilled.  You never trade a potential star for an above-average player.

by wcw on Dec 5, 2007 7:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
How could you forget about Schmidt?  Yeah, he's a Dodger now but Schmidt totally pillaged from the Pirates.

The thing I think that bugs me the most about this trade is that it doesn't really fill any holes.  We have a plethora of outfielders but what we really need is corner infielders.

by Sigualicious on Dec 5, 2007 7:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Schmidt was no pillage.  He was about to get expensive, and he had always been a disappointment given his potential, both in the Atlanta organization that developed him and with Pittsburgh.  And that last year with the Pirates, his peripherals looked punk.  It was a classic buy-low move -- and I loved it at the time.

However, insofar as that 'trade' was essentially a free-agent signing and a buy-low move, I happily put it on the positive side of Sabean's ledger.

Do you really want me to mention the negative names?

by wcw on Dec 5, 2007 7:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Cole Hamels only has 9 career wins and Randy Winn was an all-star.  We should do that trade.
"natto is just weird and gross in smell, texture, and taste" - BVCE

by SF Pete on Dec 5, 2007 7:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
actually I checked out the Blue Jay board yesterday and it was just about unanimous that getting Lincecum for Rios would be a great deal for their team.
SIGN ANDRUW JONES!!

by rxmeister on Dec 5, 2007 7:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
of course they feel that way!
Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 8:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
You have GOT to learn how to click "Reply to this."  Seriously, it would be good for you.

And for me, as I'm enjoying your bizarre arguments.

"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler

by JRPhillips on Dec 6, 2007 12:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Wouldn't Lowry's value rise as other pitchers become signed?

Could Sabean be biding his time to see if Lowry + Hennessy/Correia/Sanchez for Rios becomes more attractive to the Jays?

Rios would be a nice chip to have in place for further building next year and the next, but having a rotation that offers ace-potential pitching 20% of the time for the next five years (or so) just seems smarter.

by sb on Dec 5, 2007 7:13 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
you think that Ricciardi is going to accept quantity over quality?? I doubt it. He has a good pitching staff as it is, he doesn't need a bunch of pitchers who will trouble cracking the rotation and bullpen. He wants one of the crown jewels and will settle for nothing less.
SIGN ANDRUW JONES!!

by rxmeister on Dec 5, 2007 8:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
The Dodgers are desperate:
10:49 p.m., from Enrique Rojas
- The Dodgers have interest in third baseman Pedro Feliz, who are still trying to find a power hitter.

ignore the poor grammar (it's a Dodger story) and then smile.

Bonds stands alone.

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 5, 2007 8:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Well, there's a guaranteed 2 Ks per game extra for the Giants when they play LA...

Hitler was a Dodgers fan.

by The Nick on Dec 5, 2007 8:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: The Case Against....
Dear The Nick:

Thank you for the laughs and for reminding me that  no matter how bad the clowns at AT&T look next year, we won't have Pedrito to kick around anymo-- (ring, ring) What?! Brian sez if we don't accept Brandon Inge, he'll consider bringing Pedrito back!

Wake me, shake me, when it's over!

Don't believe everything you think.

by wcovington on Dec 5, 2007 9:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

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