FanPost

Risk aversion

If we make minimal moves this offseason it won't be the end of the world, and certainly better than making the numerous bad moves that have been mentioned, but there's on thing that i've found irritating about this offseason & that's managements continual policy of risk aversion.

I don't mean trading Lincecum type risks, that's just being foolhardy, but why does this organisation continually value the ordinary & safe option over the higher potential & more risky option?

It permeates everything they do, in front office selection, in managerial choices, in treatment of young players, in free agency, in trades.

We'd rather resign the incumbent Sabean than look elsewhere. We'd rather sign a safe option like Bochy than an unproven like Acta or Black. We'd rather a mediocre veteran like Aurilia than a young player like Frandsen. We'd rather resign Feliz than take a risk on Iwamura transfering to the US. We'd rather buy high on someone coming off a good year like Rowand than buy low on someone coming off a bad year like Andruw Jones or Sexson. We'd rather the known qualities of Hillenbrand & Chulk over the unproven Accardo.

If we continue this policy we're going to struggle as we have recently, because there are others who won't & will gain the rewards. This is unusually negative for me, but i just thought i'd make the point.

To use a terrible & pointless analogy in Soccer, it's like always settling for the safety of a draw over going for a win. The problem is, if you take a risk, win & lose some, you'll end up with more points than just drawing them all, because it's not a linear progression

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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