FanPost

Season projections put the Giants as winning the division

http://yankeefan.blogspot.com/2006/12/extremely-early-projections.html

This blogger did 100 trials where he ran season simulations.  57% of the trials had the Giants coming out in first, 22% had the Padres, 15% had the Diamondbacks, and 4.8% called for the Dodgers.  0% had the Rockies winning the West.  The average record for the Giants was projected at around 88 wins and 73 losses.  Runs scored averaged out at 836, good for best in the National League.  

The guy who did this is a Yankee fan who himself claimed to be shocked by the Giants placement in the standing.  This is overwhelmingly optimistic, and I choose to see it as a good sign.  The sportswriters write as off and peg the Dodgers as the division winners, while the statistics say we take it by a substantial margin of percentages.

The projection system used for individual players was derived by another guy who gives the Giants players a little more credit than ZiPS.  

This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.

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