Benitez to DL
you all probably saw this, but just in case: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2006/04/01/sports/s164144S48.DTL Guess Walker won't be traded after all.
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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Re: Benitez to DL
Re: Benitez to DL
by Josh from Hollywood on Apr 1, 2006 5:20 PM PST reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
by orangeandblackattack on Apr 1, 2006 5:56 PM PST reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
And if you believe the knee story, ive got a bridge by the bay to sell ya.
Benitez is another expensive sabean mistake.
At least this time he scored some backup.
and it looks like accardo and walker will start the year off with the team.
Re: Benitez to DL
Well, he did get a cortisone shot not too long ago...unless you're thinking that was part of the ruse.
Their saying that it really hurt when he tried to pitch on consecutive days, which would seem to make sense to me.
What exactly is bursitis?
Re: Benitez to DL
I don't remember the mcc community frothing in anger when he was signed. If you lash out at Sabean for everything that goes wrong then it takes some of the teeth out of the times he truly deserves the beating.
by keithr on Apr 2, 2006 7:30 AM PST up reply actions
Signing...
Re: Signing...
Re: Signing...
Yes, give the job to Tyler Walker - or close by comittee. Yes, he/they will blow some saves, and the media will cruxify you... so what.
Spend the 7M on a first baseman who can hit. In the end, this will be worth more wins than those blown by a closer.
Re: Signing...
Re: Signing...
The Giants needed a closer and Benitez was the best available. It hasn't worked out, but I'd much rather Sabean go for it then sit back and watch another season melt away at the end because we didn't address a glaring need when it was within our ability to address it.
Even if Benitez was aging or expected to decline from his 1.29 era it doesn't mean he was set to pop a hammy or drop off a cliff. Assume his k-rate and era was going to go down again from 2004. So, maybe he's at 1.80-2.00 era with a 7-8k/9 rate instead. That's pretty solid.
Getting Benitez was the best option at the time. Tell me someone you would have rather had?
by keithr on Apr 2, 2006 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Signing...
I would say that the whole bullpen was overused due to the lack of set-up men; or at least the lack of set-up guys without ugly platoon splits. Sure, maybe Brad Lidge would have solved the problem, but I doubt it.
I don't recall what other closers were free agents. Trades are also an option. Say, someone like Scott Shields or Juan Rincon.
Or Huston Street would have been nice. But we had Michael Tucker instead. Yay!
Benitez is just not the type of pitcher you expect to age well - lousy control, lousy conditioning, and near total reliance on being able to throw 96-98. That is why 21 mil for an average closer is very risky.
Re: Signing...
A closer pitches, what, 50 innings. Highly leveraged, to be sure. 50 out of 1500.
Tell me how that's worth 1/10th of the budget.
Re: Signing...
2005 - Hemanson (34 saves)
2004 - Foulke (32 saves)
2003 - Looper (28 saves)
2002 - Percival (40 saves)
2001 - Kim (19 saves)
2000 - Rivera (36 saves)
1999 - Rivera (45 saves)
1998 - Rivera (36 saves)
1997 - Nen (35 saves)
1996 - Wetteland (43 saves)
1995 - Wohlers (25 saves)
1994 - no series
1993 - Ward (45 saves)
1992 - Henke (34 saves)
1991 - Agulera (42 saves)
1990 - Myers (31 saves)
1989 - Eckersley (33 saves)
1988 - Howell (21 saves)
1987 - Reardon (31 saves)
1986 - McDowell (22 saves)
1985 - Quisenberry (37 saves)
Re: Signing...
How many saves would a league-average reliever garner in those situations?
Re: Signing...
Re: Signing...
Having good relivers is a good thing.
Havine good 1 inning relivers is a fine thing as well.
Paying them out of proportion to their value is dumb. It's dumb even if every team in baseball does it.
Also your remarks about the failure of 'closer by committee' is unknown. Before LaRussa Eckified the 9th inning... no body had a closer. Since then, everyone has one. A few terrible teams have tried it, with predictable results.
Finally, your list of world series winners and number of saves is totally meaningless. Plenty of half decent teams have 35-40 save guys... you don't even mention if the championship teams led their league in saves (which would be somewhat less meaningless)
The answer you actually wanted to post was showing that winning or playoff teams have a higher SAVE% (SV/BS) than losing teams.
That probably is true (I didn't check)... since better teams probably have better closers. But the real question is not "whether closers are useful" but whether they are worth their market value (in AB's case SEVEN MIIIIILION DOLLARS).
Herges was terrible in 2004, is that because he was mentally unsuited to be a closer? Or because he can't pitch any more?
Benitez in 1999 had 22 saves and 6 BS - not much worse than Herges there (of course, his ERA was much, much better), same in 2004 (21/8).
Not sure what you are saying about Brower... he was not really given a chance (or did they give up after 4 blown saves?)
Re: Signing...
As to your assertion that before LaRussa and Eckersley there where no closers, it only shows your confusion about the history of closers. It's true that Eck was one of the first exclusively one-inning closers, but closers such as Gossage, Quisenberry, Sutter, Fingers, McGraw, and our own Lavelle, Minton, and Linzy go back much further. What has really changed though, is not so much the presence of closers, but the use of starters. Gone are the days of expecting starters to go nine innings. Unless you purpose a return to those tactics, you have no real viable solution to the reliance on closers and an expanded role for the bullpen.
As to my list, I admit to shorting it to make a point, but here is an expanded version that shows all WS teams (not just winners) and their closers from 1969 on. I've added the league ranking in saves of each team's closers. I'm a firm believer that there is no one stat that shows baseball reality, and saves certainly are an example of this, but as a start it is a pretty good indication that successful teams, in almost all cases, have successful closers.
2005 White Sox - Hermanson (34- 9th) Astros - Lidge (42 - 3rd)
2004 Red Sox - Foulke (32 - 5th) Cardinals - Isringhausen (47 - 1st)
2003 Marlins - Looper (28 - 8th) Yankees - Rivera (40 - 3rd)
2002 Angels - Percival (40 - 3rd) Giants - Nen (43 - 5th)
2001 Diamondbacks - Kim (19) Yankees - Rivera (50 - 1st)
2000 Yankees - Rivera (36 - 4th) Mets - Benitez (41 - 3rd)
1999 Yankees - Rivera (45 - 1st) Braves - Rocker (38 - 4th)
1998 Yankees - Rivera (36 - 6th) Padres - Hoffman (53 - 1st)
1997 Marlins - Nen (35 - 6th) Indians - Mesa (16)
1996 Yankees - Wetteland (43 - 4th) Braves - Wohlers (39 - 4th)
1995 Braves - Wohlers (25 - 10th) Indians - Mesa (46 - 1st)
1994 No Series
1993 Blue Jays - Ward (45 - 1st) Phillies - Williams (43 - 4th)
1992 Blue Jays - Henke (34 - 5th) Braves - Pena (15)
1991 Twins - Aguilera(42 - 3rd) Braves - Berenguer (17 - 7th)
1990 Reds - Myers (31 - 2nd) Athletics - Eckersley (48 - 2nd)
1989 Athletics - Eckersley (33 - 3rd) Giants - Lefferts (20), Bedrosian (17)
1988 Dodgers - Howell (21 - 8th), Pena (12) Athletics - Eckersley (45 - 1st)
1987 Twins - Reardon (31 - 2nd) Cardinals - Worrell (33 - 3rd)
1986 Mets - McDowell (22 - 8th), Orosco (21 - 10th) Red Sox - Stanley (16 - 10th), Sambito (12)
1985 Royals - Quisenberry (37 - 1st) Cardinals - Lahti (19 - 7th), Dayley (11)
1984 Tigers - Hernandez (32 - 3rd) Padres - Gossage (25 - 5th)
1983 Orioles - Martinez (21 - 7th) Phillies - Holland (25 - 2nd)
1982 Cardinals - Sutter (36 - 1st) Brewers - Fingers (29 - 3rd)
1981 Dodgers - Howe (8) Yankees - Gossage (20 - 5th)
1980 Phillies - McGraw (20 - 7th) Royals - Quisenberry (33 - 1st)
1979 Pirates - Tekulve (31 - 2nd) Orioles - Stanhouse (21 - 3rd)
1978 Yankees - Gossage (27 1st) Dodgers - Forster (22 - 6th)
1977 Yankees - Lyle (26 - 2nd) Dodgers - Hough (22 - 4th)
1976 Reds - Eastwick (26 - 1st) Yankees - Lyle (23 - 1st)
1975 Reds - Eastwick (22 - 1st) Red Sox - Drago (15 - 5th)
1974 Athletics - Fingers (18 - 4th) Dodgers - Marshall (21 - 1st)
1973 Athletics - Fingers (22 - 3rd) Mets - McGraw (25 - 3rd)
1972 Athletics - Fingers (21 - 3rd) Reds - Carrol - (37 - 1st)
1971 Pirates - Giusti (30 - 1st) Orioles - Watt (11 - 10th)
1970 Orioles - Richert (13) Reds - Granger (35 - 1st)*
1969 Mets - Tayor (13 - 7th), McGraw (12 - 8th) Orioles - Watt (16 - 4th), Richert (12 - 9th)
With the Herges and Bower examples, it is clear to anyone who watched them pitch that they wilted under the pressure of the closer role. Both had been important contributors before being thrust into being closers. They are just very painful examples that throwing average bullpen guys into the ninth inning role doesn't work very well.
Lastly, I don't care about the salary argument. These are self-imposed limits by the owners and much of their arguments are bogus on the face of it. The market rate for hiring a closer is what it is. The real point is, if you have to have one to win then don't complain about paying people what their services are worth. If you can do it on the cheap, fine, but few teams have talented rookies like Oakland's Street who can do the job. It would be great if Valdez turned out to be one for the Giants, but I'm not holding my breath.
Re: Signing...
Re: Signing...
Saves without save percentage is not a "single stat" it's a totally meaningless stat. Saves with save percentage (or Blown Saves) is merely mostly meaningless, because there is no accounting for the difficulty of the save (and some are WAY easier than others, and good teams will have more 3-run leads in the 9th than 1 run leads in the 9th).
Re: Signing...
The problem with the save stat is that it doesn't show the difficulty or importance of the outs the pitcher got in order to get them. A seventh inning set-up guy may have had to face the heart of the other teams order with the bases loaded and receives no save for the effort, while the closer gets out the easiest guys with no one on a gets the credit. That's the trouble with the save stat.
What makes the stat at least marginally meaningful is that a pitcher must record outs without giving up the lead to receive one. That's a contribution to a win, NOT just a meaningless adjunct to a win but a real contribution to one. Now, I certainly don't want to say that save percentage isn't valuable in determining the effectiveness of a closer, but for the purpose of looking at the presence of a quality closer on winning teams, it isn't vital. What is is looking at the teams and the names of the closers and knowing something about the history of the game. Add to that, gross number of saves and league ranking of saves and a picture begins to emerge of good teams having good closers who contribute to their winning ways. Not an amazing conclusion to be sure, but one you don't seem to get. Now, if you want to provide save percentage for all the pitchers listed in my post above, I think it would be an interesting further elucidation of my point. While you're at it, post the WHIP of each over the league average. That would also be interesting, but it still all points out the same conclusion. Want to win, get a good closer.
Re: Signing...
Yes. How many saves will a team that scores zero runs get? Who's starters have an ERA of 19.0?
* Therefore, closers have no roll in the winning of games.
I didn't say that. I said they were over paid for their contribution.
*The fact they must finish the game in order for the win to happen and a save recorded is incidental and any one could do it.
Will an average pitcher get saves? Matt Herges got 23 and he SUCKED.
* Ever watch a game, zenbitz?*
Never, I spend all my time on the internet convincing you that you are wrong. Slightly less pointless than the Devil Rays' season. Slightly more pointless than an ad hominum attack.
You are not painting the picture you think you are.
Re: Signing...
Re: Signing...
I'd rather have a 1st baseman that can hit.
Although that Nierkoolaid is looking mighty tasty after 2 games.
Just to end on a note of agreement - I would love to see the Giants with a Hoffman/Gagne/Rivera/Lidge/Wagner... or vintage Nen.
Benitez is not one of those guys, with the exception of a year or two (including 2004).
Finally - it's hilarious that you asked "ever watch a game" - it's just a classic anti-stat head remark. It would even be funnier if you said "ever get your nose out of your math book and watch a game?"
Re: Signing...
We agree that Benitez isn't in the category of the guys you list, but I've still hope he can be a quality closer for the Giants.
We also agree that a classic power hitting first baseman would be nice, but a healthy Barry Bonds makes up for a lot of sins of omission on the part of other players. I just wouldn't give up a quality closer (assuming we have one) to upgrade what we have at first. I sure would like both.
Re: Benitez to DL
Re: Benitez to DL
worrell sure made me breathe a sigh of relief.................
by metzgers thumb on Apr 1, 2006 7:24 PM PST reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
When you can manage that, try to keep them from raking it into the gap for a double.
This guy is quickly becoming an overpaid, overweight version of Felix Rodriguez.
Re: Benitez to DL
Re: Benitez to DL
This guy stinks on ice, and I'm sorry, but I'm just not a fan of him yet. Someone that came into camp so early should't STILL be working on mechanics and trying to shed the 30 pounds of winter tonnage he seeminly put on.
Sorry Lefty, but I just don't see how either the F.Rod or the El Guapo Experiment can produce anything that I'd pay to see when it comes to relief pitching.
Re: Benitez to DL
by Josh from Hollywood on Apr 2, 2006 1:43 AM PST up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
Maybe if we're lucky he'll be out for more than a month. Frankly, I don't think I can cope with him going through the walk/plunk the leadoff guy and next thing you know, the enemy has scored the three runs they need to come back.
I guess I'm hoping that in a closer you have someone who puts fear in the hearts of the poor saps standing at the plate. And honestly, I don't think Mondo's been able to intimidate anyone other than the hot dog vendor for a few seasons now.
by PacBellBoozer on Apr 2, 2006 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
Were you watching the Giants in 2000 and 2001?
Re: Benitez to DL
It comes down to good ol' fashioned hate you see?!?
by PacBellBoozer on Apr 2, 2006 10:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
Re: Benitez to DL
It's a hard thing to argue that both of them have been anywhere near a reflection of their prior selves. I, like a few others on here, consider much of that past success nothing but a fluke. There is clearly a downward trend here, and there's no insult you can throw my way to keep me from thinking otherwise.
My main point in the whole thing is this...Show me a hitter that's terrified of even stepping in the box with his team in desperate need of a rally, and I'll show you a successful and likewise well-paid closer. Spitting fire and blowing guys away, that's what I wanna see when we need 3 up and 3 down in the 9th. I haven't seen it with this guy even once since he signed with us. With the latest developments, I doubt I ever well either.
by PacBellBoozer on Apr 3, 2006 12:08 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
I know F-Rod had some good seasons with us and helped us get into the playoffs, BUT, I never wanted him in the game at crunch time. Never. I always got sick to my stomach when he was in the game. I always felt that when he was pitching in a meaningful game and the situation was tight, we would crumble (and he did). Game 6 in '02 ring a bell? How about Game 2 in '00? Remember that?
Same with Benitez (funny how Benitiez was the closer for the Mets that series and he gave up the homer to Snow, same game that F-Rod blew). I just don't feel comfortable when he's on the mound in tight situations. I think it was the right move at the time when we got him. But that doesn't change the feeling I get when he comes in the game.
Some players you just don't like for some reason. F-Rod was mine. Benitez is becoming one. That said, just like with F-Rod, I hope they prove me wrong.
by danieljgrant on Apr 3, 2006 12:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
by PacBellBoozer on Apr 3, 2006 1:16 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: Benitez to DL
Re: Benitez to DL
2001: 80 G, 9 -1 W-L, 1.68 ERA, 10.2 K/9, 1.00 WHIP
That's called complete dominance, and unparalelled excellence at his position for that season. The problem is, you're remembering him with your heart and not your head.
by Josh from Hollywood on Apr 2, 2006 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions
Rockin' it ollllld school with that one.
by Grant Brisbee on Apr 2, 2006 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: Rockin' it ollllld school with that one.
I don't think EEEEEE! had a beginning. It just always was.
by Grant Brisbee on Apr 2, 2006 10:05 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Rockin' it ollllld school with that one.
And I think I predated EEEEEE on asbsfg... maybe 1991? ... although it was a blog before there was a blog.
Re: Rockin' it ollllld school with that one.
There are plenty of posters in this thread who could be described the same way.

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