NOOOOOO
The Pirates have not extended a formal contract to free-agent pitcher Jeff Suppan, but they have proposed a two-year deal and are among the handful of teams still in the running for his services. The Giants are thought to be front-runners. The field also includes the Astros and, possibly, the Mets.
-- Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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61 comments
Comments
Re: NOOOOOO
by Aadik on Dec 12, 2006 6:06 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
suppan
by Dan from NM on Dec 12, 2006 6:27 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
"Sabean held a meeting with the agent for Jeff Suppan, but a club source said the Giants don't believe the right-hander will be worth the price. They are looking for a top-of-the-rotation presence and grade Suppan's stuff below that of Matt Morris."
That club source was probably just projecting his own opinion (Anonymous Club Source For GM!), but the memory of this blurb was enough to keep me from screaming "NOOOOOO" when I saw the latest rumor.
by Pants Man on Dec 12, 2006 6:39 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by E Ticket on Dec 12, 2006 6:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by rxmeister on Dec 14, 2006 11:40 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 12, 2006 6:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Two year deal?
by Grant on Dec 12, 2006 6:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: Two year deal?
Suppan's best comp is Mark Gardner. That's gotta be worth something.
by Grant on Dec 12, 2006 6:46 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Two year deal?
/replying to your own posts FTW!
by Grant on Dec 12, 2006 6:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And now for a more eloquent comment
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 12, 2006 6:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
when was stem cell research illegal?
by wilriv21 on Dec 12, 2006 7:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: when was stem cell research illegal?
by zenbitz on Dec 13, 2006 10:16 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: And now for a more eloquent comment
by Shane on Dec 12, 2006 7:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: And now for a more eloquent comment
What's almost as fun as watching that ad (hearing Warner try to say Missourians is pretty funny) is reading the comments left below it. Of note are:
"im no longer a back to the future fan"
and
"This is great! This should be mandatory viewing in all public schools!"
Hot damn people are fools sometimes.
by howtheyscored on Dec 12, 2006 7:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: And now for a more eloquent comment
by rxmeister on Dec 14, 2006 11:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: And now for a more eloquent comment
by howtheyscored on Dec 14, 2006 12:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by W8ingForATitle on Dec 12, 2006 7:31 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
He's not a sexy name, but you could really do a whole lot worse this offseason.
by jponry on Dec 12, 2006 7:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
The problem is that his performance in the playoffs last year seems likely to earn him a deal about the same as Morris's last year, which as we all know was too expensive and too long. Now if he could be had for $9 million a year for two years or less, Sabean could do worse. I still would prefer to overpay Zito, who is actually an above-average pitcher, but that's gonna require taking on a five-year-plus deal. So I'm a bit torn.
I just know this, even though the wise thing might be to just save the salary and take our lumps with the young starters, it isn't going to happen. This is in all likelihood Bonds' last year in SF, and Sabean is going to get another veteran starter. Let's just hope for the least possible long-term damage to the franchise.
by taliesin on Dec 12, 2006 10:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
by wilriv21 on Dec 12, 2006 7:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
by jponry on Dec 12, 2006 7:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not a stathead but ...
I don't, however, think he's worth a lengthy investment. His strikeout rate -- a good indicator of a pitcher's longterm outlook -- is around 4.5 per 9 innings, well below average. Suppan's ERAs are a tick above average, but not great. He pitches around 190 innings a year, which is OK but doesn't make him a workhorse.
Finally, all pitchers are volatile commodities, and I don't think Suppan is worth the risk four or five years out.
by Dan from NM on Dec 12, 2006 8:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
Opponents against Suppan: .272/.336/.432/.768, 1.54 G/F ratio, 5.16 K/9
Opponents against Morris: .270/.321/.441/.763, 1.50 G/F ratio, 5.45 K/9
They each have been pretty level in these categories as well... it's not like they have balanced out one great year with one awful one. Suppan was the same pitcher from 2001-2003 as well, making him about as consistent of a pitcher as you'll ever find:
.273/.329/.443/.772, 1.32 G/F ratio, 4.84 K/9
Morris, on the other hand, was much better:
.260/.312/.382/.694, 1.69 G/F ratio, 7.15 K/9
The chances of Morris becoming that pitcher again aren't great, but even the slightest hope makes him a better bet than Suppan, as he's proven that his down years are right in line with Suppan's average years.
What is "Matt Morris with a low ceiling" worth? I could live with 2/16, I guess, but 3/25 seems like a given at this point.
Either way, I'm starting to feel a little more optimistic about Morris at least.
by Pants Man on Dec 12, 2006 8:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
by howtheyscored on Dec 12, 2006 9:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
But, for whatever reason, Suppan is better where it counts, allowing runs. Suppan has a 3 year 109 OPS+, while morris has a Morrisian 94 OPS+. Also, Suppan is 17-14/yr. in quality starts, Morris, 16-16. If I had to guess, I'd say that Morris is the headcase of the two. Allowing substantially more runs with arguably better stuff and the same OBP and SLG, means he's been giving in, in key situations. How sustainable is that?
Morris's runs allowed have been worse than his corresponding stats, Suppan's have been better. Suppan's advantage is keeping it together. But could Morris turn it around and be Suppan, with 18 quality starts and a 109 OPS+? Absolutely. Two Jeff Suppans/Matt Morris for $9 - $11 million each is an expensive rundency which is no way to building a winning team.
by GiantJim on Dec 13, 2006 7:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
Suppan was tagged by leadoff hitters (.891 OPS) last season, but was much better with men on base (.710) or in scoring position (.696). He was disproportionately good with runners in scoring position in 2003, 2004, and 2005 as well... it's rare to see a pitcher have a run like that. Should he pitch out of the stretch all the time?
by Pants Man on Dec 13, 2006 8:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
Suppan's WHIP, K, BB, OBP, SLG have been as steady as his extemely steady runs allowed. His standard deviation is tiny.
The fact that he has allowed less runs than he should over all of these years, makes it a skill.
His innings are shrinking a little, but they are still good. He should get a little worse over the years, but he's been consistently succesful with a similar K and K/BB rate.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not for signing him, for the reasons above, plus, Noah Lowry could easliy be this good, for 1/4 of the money. But you have to give it up for the guy. His performance history is ten times better than Lily, Meche and these other hacks getting all of this money.
by GiantJim on Dec 14, 2006 10:10 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
Interesting. Has "pitcher clutchiness" ever been studied?
by Goofus on Dec 14, 2006 11:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
by GiantJim on Dec 14, 2006 12:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: What do the Statheads think of Suppan?
The totally biased non-stathead side of me says that he is a Jesus Freak Douchebag a la Russ Ortiz, and I don't want him anywhere near San Francisco.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Dec 13, 2006 8:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by Ghost11 on Dec 12, 2006 7:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by VidaWantsYourCar on Dec 12, 2006 8:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 12, 2006 8:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: C'mon SF can't be THAT liberal
by hometownboy on Dec 12, 2006 9:46 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by VidaWantsYourCar on Dec 12, 2006 8:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by leftymalo on Dec 12, 2006 8:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
I guess it's got to be the right kind of free speech.
by vizqueltofrandsentoniekro on Dec 12, 2006 10:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
Carlos Delgado doesn't want to be on the field for the US national anthem? Denounced. Folks want him tarred and feathered. ESPN runs features about it.
Todd Jones makes anti-homosexual remarks to a newspaper, however, and the MSM treats it as just another drop in the barrell.
by David Arnott on Dec 12, 2006 11:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Bravo, David. Well said.
by Mayor of 311 on Dec 13, 2006 10:05 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
"Fear" that someone would find someone else attractive...there's no physical line crossed , where's the harm of a kept opinion?
by victor frankenstein on Dec 15, 2006 5:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by keithr on Dec 12, 2006 11:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry, that's absurd & cheap
I am not suggesting that you are deliberately perpetrating this, as I don't know you at all, but it is a very common trick of the American right wing to say something like "well, free speech for you but not for anyone who disagrees with you, eh?" whenever someone from the left criticizes something advanced from the right. That is a logical fallacy, and a cheap one. It's changing the subject. NOBODY is saying any such thing. When people advance an opinion in the public marketplace, free speech means that it can be attacked, just no suppressed.
Sheesh. What IS your definition of free speech? People have the right to state their opinions AND have them never be criticized or attacked? Nonsense.
by Mayor of 311 on Dec 13, 2006 10:04 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Sorry, that's absurd & cheap
No one here is suggesting that. We just think Suppan is a total douche.
Very nice post, Mayor.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Dec 13, 2006 8:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Sorry, that's absurd & cheap
by howtheyscored on Dec 13, 2006 9:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Suppan has Sabean written all over him
by wilriv21 on Dec 12, 2006 9:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: Suppan has Sabean written all over him
by hometownboy on Dec 12, 2006 9:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by allfrank on Dec 12, 2006 10:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
I do have to wonder, though, if a bible-thumper like Suppan would really want to come to SF. It seems like a poor fit culturally. Do players have enough interaction in the city they play in that it makes a difference to them whether they play in Tampa or NYC?
by taliesin on Dec 12, 2006 10:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by BaronVonCurrentEvents on Dec 13, 2006 6:39 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
this town thinks you're a bastard - Elvis Costello
by EliminateMe on Dec 13, 2006 10:41 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by keithr on Dec 12, 2006 11:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by E Ticket on Dec 13, 2006 10:14 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
The Giants need to draw their own conclusions about a player's value and not limit themselves to the judgements of other teams and thus doom themselves to never finding a "relative" gem that others have passed on.
by giantsrainman on Dec 13, 2006 2:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Giants scouts LOVE Zito
by wilriv21 on Dec 13, 2006 4:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
It could be argued that Zito's situation is entirely about the money. If it weren't, why would he have switched agents? He wants to be paid while he still has the leverage on the rest of the world.
Suppan, on the other hand, falls into what E describes. The Cardnals, of all teams, would be willing to spend money on someone if they actually wanted to keep them. The Cards went after Springer and Wells, signing the both of them to a total of 6+M/yr. That's not that far off from anything that Suppan will receive, which I think will be around 9M/yr. Why go after two middling (arguably below-average) pitchers if you could have had someone who is "better" at only 3M/yr more? Sabean and the Giants should be wary about Suppan. Giving him any contract beyond two years is risky and detrimental to the already minimal work toward a better future for the club.
by sfgfan on Dec 13, 2006 4:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by victor frankenstein on Dec 15, 2006 5:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by rxmeister on Dec 14, 2006 11:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: NOOOOOO
by victor frankenstein on Dec 15, 2006 5:54 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

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