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Rangers fan with a question.

Over at the rangers site, I suggested trading Young for Cain. I completely made the deal up, and everyone is saying how stupid and bad the deal would be for the Rangers. So I was just wondering what yall would think if this deal happened.

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Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Cain has waaay too much upside to part with, given our depleted stash of starting pitching...though that would be quite tempting

by CandyMaldonado on Nov 13, 2006 5:08 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I doubt the Giants would make this deal because Cain is expected to step up and be the Giants ace for years to come, especially if Schmidt leaves.  I don't know off the top of my head how long under contract Young is, but I think he's a free agent after next season, so Cain straight up for one season of Young is definitely not worth it.  He's a nice player though...

by scotterduder on Nov 13, 2006 5:09 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

not a bad idea
from a Rangers POV.  Cain has all the makings of a stud #1 type power pitcher.  Texas has for years had a lot of offense, and no pitching.  It would make a lot of sense for them to make this type of trade.  For the Giants it would be stupid, getting a big bat right now would be a waste since we won't be good for a while.  Better to let Cain and our other young pitching develop and pick up the offensive studs later.
2002? I'm over it.

by wjackalope on Nov 13, 2006 5:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I know fans are biased toward their team's players, but this made me laugh (from another poster on the Rangers blog):

"Young for Matt Cain?!?  I wouldn't trade Young for Johan Santana.  Sorry, but this trade would rank amongst the worst in the history of the game."

If you whine about Liriano, I will .gif you.

by Fog City Blues on Nov 13, 2006 5:12 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I know the worst trades in the history of the game. I am still suffering from one of the worst trades in the history of the game. You, hypothetical Young-for-Cain, are not one of the worst trades in the history of the game.

Gif away if you must, Dougie.

"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Nov 13, 2006 5:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

IMHO
I believe Young has 1 year left on his contract, and Cain is under control for five more years. This has to be a huge consideration. Additionally, starters are very expensive to acquire. Especially ace starters.

While a great hitter and good defender at 2B, I understand Young to be well below average defender at SS.

If the Giants were one big bat away the World Series, then it would me a fair trade and one the Giants should consider if they had a replacement for Cain. BUT, they aren't close and Cain is a potential ace that will contribute for the years to come. [assuming he is healthy]. It's easy to forget how young Cain really is - he was 21 for the entire season and he still has room to improve.

As a player, Cain's flyball tendecies [near worst in baseball] might not play very well in Arlington, but his high strikeout rate would help mitigate that. He does seem to get a lot of pop-ups.

Why do you think SF would want to make the trade?

Pedro Feliz reminds me of a corvair. The Dodgers are evil.

by irwin on Nov 13, 2006 5:12 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
for who? (and nothing lopsided)

I'm not disagreeing, but I can't think of one player I'd trade Cain for straight up, (or 2 for 1) that would make sense to me.

We'd be pretty good if we didn't suck so bad.

by nostocksjustbonds on Nov 13, 2006 6:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
  1. Albert Pujols
  2. Johan Santana
  3. Vladimir Guerrero
  4. Ichiro Suzuki
  5. In any multi-player deal that would make the Giants better not only today but in future
just off the top of my head. If I gave thought there might be more.

by wilriv21 on Nov 13, 2006 6:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
not ichiro, are you kidding?  Cain's way more valuable.

Honestly i wouldnt trade him for anyone except pujols

"Baseball is life, the rest is just details."

by nick on Nov 13, 2006 9:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
why would you take Cain over Santana? Carlos, I can see but Johan, c'mon.

by wilriv21 on Nov 13, 2006 9:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
I'd do any of those deals except Ichiro, which is just absurd.
DFA Everybody

by JakeS on Nov 13, 2006 11:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
Don't overlook Carlos's veteran savvy.
Waiting for Nate, Marcus, Nick, & Emmanuel

by Lyle on Nov 14, 2006 7:14 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
Not to disagree but you gotta consider the economics of those deals as well as the talent. Cain's 5 more years of relative bargain. Santana I would guess is on the precipice of being a $20 mil man. Suzuki's only got 1 year left on his contract, Vlad's contract is running down as well.

by Roger on Nov 14, 2006 5:31 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: In the RIGHT deal Cain can be had
  1. Probably not
  2. Probably not
  3. No
  4. No
David Wright, Joe Mauer, Grady Sizemore. The list ends there for me, though I'd be tempted by Felix Hernandez still. I'm stubborn.
Saving countless runs with my defense

by lyricalkiller on Nov 14, 2006 10:26 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I would imagine that fans of both teams would be upset with this trade, which is probably a good sign that it's a fair one. The Giants have a whole lot of holes to fill on offense, and the Rangers can always use more pitching.

Cain was dominant for a 2-3 month stretch last year and was a beacon of hope for the future on a sad, old team. He's younger and will be under a team's control for another five years or so, but you always have to worry about injuries with a young pitcher. I'm sure most Ranger fans have loved watching Young play every day, and the guy can rake (858 hits over the last four years? wow), but there would be some concern about how well he would do in a more pitcher-friendly home ballpark.

"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Nov 13, 2006 5:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Young would be able to hit anywhere, although some of those homers to right center field might turn into doubles and triples whith your deep right center field wall.

by madyp on Nov 13, 2006 5:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I would think a line-drive hitter like Young could hit anywhere too, but I was surprised to see that he has hit .325 at home in his career and .276 on the road. Either that's a fluke split, or maybe he likes the warm weather or something.
"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Nov 13, 2006 5:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
he actually hit .290 on the road last year, so up from his career #'s, and just look at what happened to alfonso soriano, he hit .216 on the road in 05, got traded to the worst hitters park in baseball, and raised his avg. and OBP.
I think Young would stay a .300+ hitter anywhere.

by madyp on Nov 13, 2006 5:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I would guess that you're right... that guy can hit. And I'm not just saying that because he's a fellow UCSB graduate.
"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Nov 13, 2006 6:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I was just making up a deal, kind of just an example of what I'd want for Young and the type of deal I'd want to make. I guess this deal wouldn't make sense for yall, I also thought Vizquel was a FA, but I checked and he isn't. Young is actually a FA after the 08 season. He is a great defensive 2B, and an average SS with one of the top arms at the posistion, but he'd definentley be a downgrade from Vizquel.

by madyp on Nov 13, 2006 5:20 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I just bet a guy, no money involved, that Cain would be one of the top ten pitchers in the game within 3 years, was this a good bet?

by madyp on Nov 13, 2006 5:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Obviously, we would like to think so, but with young pitchers you never know how their arms are going to turn out with regular turns in the rotation.  The good news is he got through his first year with no physical problems, but he did have right elbow stress problems that limited his first pro season, so that will be a question mark.

I think it's a good bet though.

Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 13, 2006 5:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I think because of Cain's rapid development, early success, and permanent record free of any worrisome injury indicators, he's as good a bet as you're going to find in the league.
Coming to you by proxy

by howtheyscored on Nov 13, 2006 5:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I like his answer much better, can I change it?
Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 13, 2006 9:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I think if you have the chance to trade a pitcher who only plays 33 games a year for an everyday player like Young, you make that deal..

I can see where Ranger fans would be against the deal.

by Sinister Dick on Nov 13, 2006 5:35 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
If you were a Ranger fan, you would know that it doesn't matter if you hit 260 homers in a year if you don't have the pitching, you'll still only win 78 games.

by madyp on Nov 13, 2006 5:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
So you would have traded Schmidt for Young?  Or Clemens?  Dontrelle Willis?  Johan Santana?  Brandon Webb?  etc....
Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 13, 2006 9:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
i would trade him for willis or santana, but there's no chance of that happening

by madyp on Nov 14, 2006 5:13 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
No, I'm saying that if that poster had these pitchers, he would trade that pitcher for Young.  

I'm guessing from your reply that if you had Willis or Santana, you would not trade them for Young.  That's my point, that there are starting pitchers who are worth more than a good offensive SS, but this poster says that any trade of a pitcher for a starting player like Young is a good trade.  I'm saying it's not.

Young is good but he's not elite pitcher good, particularly given his age, contract situation, and his home park.

Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 14, 2006 10:01 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I like Young a lot and hope that after he goes FA the Giants pick him up. I kind of feel he might sign a extension to stay in Texas though.

by xanthan on Nov 13, 2006 5:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I've had Young on my fantasy team for three years and love him as a player but given the absolute necessity of having an ace to go anywhere in the post season and the fact that Cain is the only Giant remotely likely to fill that role, I couldn't pull the trigger on this deal. There's also the issue of how long you control the player mentioned above. And the salary difference. I'd say Texeira is the only Ranger stud who really fills a major hole for us, although Blalock would be a significant upgrade on Feliz.

by NearestNorwich on Nov 13, 2006 5:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I'm really looking forward to having Cain and Lincecum at the top of our rotation in a couple years or so, and for a long time. Cain is the BEST and most promising young pitcher the Giants have had in my baseball watching lifetime (think last 20 years).

Anyway, I wouldn't want to trade him, not just because he is good and getting better, but because I really enjoy watching him pitch and he seems like such a good kid.

We'd be pretty good if we didn't suck so bad.

by nostocksjustbonds on Nov 13, 2006 6:08 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Cain is probably the best and most promising young pitcher since Montefusco busted out in the early 70's.  We always had young guys coming up who had a bunch of hype, like Grant, Remlinger, Downs, Garrelts, Torres, Williams, Ainsworth, Foppert, to name a few but all of them eventually fizzled in AAA or the Majors or didn't quite meet the hype.

To have Lincecum coming up at the same time is incredible, plus Lowry has been pretty good too, in his short time up, so to me, to even think about trading any of the three without upgrading the rotation at the same time would be crazy.  

The Giants future is based solely and squarely on the shoulders of our pitching rotation, we must nurture and develop them, and hopefully soon the cream will rise and whatever sloughs off, like Hennessey and Correia, will make good relief pitchers or good trade bait to get position players.

Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 13, 2006 9:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Young is a great player, beyond his stats.  He's the kind of guy you want to have around to lead a team.  I'd like to see the Giants pick him up but we only have to wait a year or two and then he can replace Vizquel at Short.  

That being said, Cain wouldn't be a good fit for the Rangers.  Y'all pitch in a homer happy park and Cain gives up a lot of deep fly balls, so you wouldn't get the same value out of him that the Giants would since last year AT&T was the hardest yard in MLB to hit dingers out of.  

Wow, people over at your site said it'd be a rip off.  Makes me wonder how GM's ever manage to make any trades if we are so partisan about our own players.  

by orangeandblackattack on Nov 13, 2006 10:41 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I wonder how much those numbers on AT&T are skewed by the unbelievable lack of pop that was the 2006 San Francisco Giants lineup.
Coming to you by proxy

by howtheyscored on Nov 13, 2006 10:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Listening to Fleming when he was sitting in with Ralph a week or so ago, he said that AT&T is not the pitcher's park it was when it opened. Flem says it's playing pretty fair of late.
"I want to dip my balls in it." Louie

by MeSoKrabby on Nov 14, 2006 7:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
That's all the park factor numbers that have been coming out the past few years.  I've been writing about this for a couple of years now, the mystery of the park to opposing players appears to have ceased - recall all the talk by Grissom, Durham, and Alfonzo about learning how to hit here, plus the Giants own struggles, losing their first 6 games there then running off that great home record the rest of the season, that was all home park advantage.  

In addition, pitcher's park in your division affects that as well, and as we all know, Colorado has sudden swung from one of the most extreme offensive to a more fairer park over the past couple of years, which makes our home park appear to be more offensive minded than pitcher friendly, based on how park factors are calculated.  Plus, the addition of the Padres new park, which is much more of a pitcher's park than the park before, that also made the Giants home park more offensive than pitching.

While Fleming's analysis has gotten much much better this season, I don't think he's at the point yet where he can discern how talent level corresponds to how the park plays.  

Get. Burrell. NOW!

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Nov 14, 2006 10:08 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Fair and Balanced Reporting
To balance things out, I think we need a genuinely snotty answer to a Texas interloper who brings us a PREPOSTEROUS trade idea for the only untouchable on our roster.

But I'm not mean enough. Somebody wake up E and piss him off.

by Moggeee on Nov 14, 2006 2:13 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

This trade is ridiculous
Young is a terrible defensive shortstop. I don't know when it happened, but an awful lot of fans seem to have stopped considering defense. These are his UZR numbers:

05 -24 (per 150)
04 -28
03 -15 (as a 2B)
02 +5 (as a 2B)

Unfortunately I don't have the 2006 numbers but I doubt they're impressive! Young is in all likelihood a worse defensive shortstop than Derek Jeter. I'm going to put him -16 this year on defense, just to be generous - that's 10 runs better than his established performance as a shortstop.

Young had 46.0 VORP this year. Include defense, and that puts him 30.0 above replacement. Vizquel had a 28.0 VORP this year, and was +12 on defense, so that makes him 40.0 runs above replacement. As 10 runs ~ 1 win, that makes Vizquel a full win better than Young as a player. And that's being generous to Young. Young, like Vizquel, is under contract for one more year (and at a similar salary).

I wouldn't even think about trading a stud like Matt Cain for a resolutely ordinary player like Michael Young. I wouldn't trade Noah Lowry for Michael Young. I wouldn't play Michael Young at shortstop, and I'd play Kevin Frandsen at second base ahead of Michael Young. Michael Young would be a below-average third baseman. And so on.

Michael fricking Young???

Visit my blog and die happy.

by Salemicus on Nov 14, 2006 4:44 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: This trade is ridiculous
all those advanced statistic things are crazy, watch young and you'll know that he isn't bad at SS and that he'll win you way more games than vizquel(young is very clutch)

by madyp on Nov 14, 2006 5:16 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: This trade is ridiculous
Young has a cheap team option for 2008, so he's under contract for two more years.
"Robb Nen is going to get you" - Benito Santiago to Chipper Jones, 10/7/02

by Pants Man on Nov 14, 2006 8:58 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: This trade is ridiculous
Chris Dial's numbers do suggest that he improved dramatically with the glove in 2006. He really ought to be a second baseman, though.

by Evan on Nov 14, 2006 9:11 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Mady, you've just offended all the statheads here. They don't believe in clutch, the Easter Bunny, or post-modern expressionism.

In general, Texas and San Francisco would seem to be logical trade partners; you mostly need pitching and we mostly need hitters. However, you've caught us at a time when our cupboard is pretty bare, so I don't think we match up well.

By itself, I wouldn't do the Young/Cain trade, for the reasons NearestNorwich and others mentioned: Cain's youth versus his cost.

What would you give us for a Noah Lowry and a year's supply of garlic fries?

Waiting for Nate, Marcus, Nick, & Emmanuel

by Lyle on Nov 14, 2006 7:52 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I'm guessing Rod Barajas....ooh ouch

by CandyMaldonado on Nov 14, 2006 8:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
Our ballpark is best for lefty pitchers, and lowry is young, so I'd defintley be interested. What are his GB to FB #'s?
What would it take to get him and is he available?

by madyp on Nov 14, 2006 3:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Rangers fan with a question.
I think that Cain would struggle in Arlington. He gives up a lot of flyballs.

by oldjacket on Nov 14, 2006 8:36 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Arlington in Summer: Fresno with Humidity
Cain would also struggle in Hell, where they say the weather is similar.

But this is all an exercise in nonsense. Cain is not going to Texas.

by Moggeee on Nov 14, 2006 12:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

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