What about.........trading for ARod?
Obviously, the guy needs out of NY. SF, and it's relatively soft media, would be perfect. Would take a big chunk of that $45 mil, but two years later, this would be somewhat on par with the Vlad signing we prayed for. Trade them Morris and Sanchez? Sign a leadoff CF(Pierre, etc), and wahlah:(by the way, there's no science, homework or number crunching, but just off the top of my head, so try not to bury me.....)
Pierre
Vizquel
Hillebrand
Rodriguez
Winn
Linden
Durham/Frandsen
Alfonzo/Matheney
Cain
FA
Lowry
FA
Hennesey
This FanPost is reader-generated, and it does not necessarily reflect the views of McCovey Chronicles. If the author uses filler to achieve the minimum word requirement, a moderator may edit the FanPost for his or her own amusement.
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Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by GiantJim on Oct 9, 2006 9:13 AM PDT reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
I don't know how MLB trades work, but if he is traded again, do the Rangers still owe him the money they agreed to pay? If so, 16 million may be a bargain for A-Rod. Thats at least 2 million a year cheaper than what we'd pay for Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Lee, or Alfonzo Soriano. If the Yankees are willing to throw in 3-4 million on top of it, it realllllly makes him a bargain.
The Yankees are desperate to starting pitching, and I don't know how much value an unproven (and/or inconsistent) Noah Lowry and Jonathan Sanchez will have to the Yankees. Although I would believe that Morris + Lowry may hold more weight than Morris + Sanchez.
We'll have a better chance just trading them players (i.e. Morris + Lowry/Sanchez) and just getting A-Rod and no cash. But I would only do this if Texas is still on the hook for the portion of salary they agreed to pay for the Yankees.
Similar to Sayhey, I have no problem with acquiring A-Rod either. But Cain and Lincecum (even though I think some rule prevents Lincecum from being traded) are off limits.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Oct 9, 2006 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Which they would do, of course, although it is the Yankees's decision.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 10:22 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Lowry + EME. I'd do it.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
That would be manageable, but we aren't talking about historic-level Bonds here. A-Rod had a .914 OPS this year, following his 1.031 in 2005 and .888 in 2004. Go into more advanced metrics if you want, but by no measure is that worth what he makes. His key was that he played SS, and at a GG level. But now he doesn't, and even his 3B defense isn't very good any more. There is talk of his becoming a 1Bman or even OFer in the not-so-distant future.
He is very good, but by no means head and shoulders above the league at 3B. He's no Cabrera, and is in the vicinity of Atkins and Wright, probably below Chipper Jones. At 1B or RF, he becomes even less special. He is still one of the top 25 offensive players in the league, but certainly not worth that contract. Because of his contract, he is far more expendable than one would think.
Remember when Manny Ramirez was put on waivers and no one claimed him? That's just about where we are with A-Rod right now. The Yankees aren't going to get anything like Cain or Lincecum for him. They actually will not be likely to get anything at all for him unless they send Texas's money and more money of their own along with his contract.
Plus, A-Rod's image is at an all-time low in NY with his perceived non-clutch image, his "failure" to bring another WS championship to the Yankees, and his supposed problems with his teammates. Those things will be factors if other teams are considering dealing for him.
Think about this: would you rather have A-Rod for $18m/yr or Aramis Ramirez at $13-14m/yr plus $4-5m/yr for, say, relievers? Unless you are the Yankees, and you can say "A-Rod plus whatever we feel like spending for relievers" then I would assume the former. And yet, even the Yankees have limits.
Granted, this was an off-year for A-Rod. But according to Baseball Prospectus, he was worth 5.4 WARP (Wins Above Replacement Player - replacement player being freely available talent from the scrap heap). [His WARP in 2005 was 10.5, for 2004, 8.0]. Pedro Feliz had a 3.5 WARP, Rich Aurilia 4.2, Aramis Ramirez 5.9. None of these potential FAs are as good as typical A-Rod. But they make so much less than him that the money can be spent elsewhere to improve a team and make up those wins.
After this year especially, the Yankees are desperate for pitching. I don't think they would want Matt Morris, but they would likely jump out of their chairs if you offered Lowry and Sanchez for A-Rod. They would probably send along not only the Texas money, but probably a few million more of their own.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 10:20 AM PDT reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
New York agreed to pay:
$112 of the remaining $179M in salary, due 2004-10
The Yankees get a $25M/year player for $16M/year.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
But even I would have never signed him for 10 years @ 250+ million, Texas lost their mind before that winter.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
I also agree that he isn't the BEST at what he does, but the "out-of-pocket" money whomever will be paying him once he is acquired should (and probably will be) worth it, even if it is at 16-18 million a year.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
I think the Yankees could justify dumping A-Rod in the eyes of the fan base, though, because they think that he isn't a "True Yankee" and other such nonsense.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
With NY media and fans all over him, the Yankees aren't in much of a bargaining position. I doubt there are that many teams in a position to take on $16-18 mil a year in salary like the Giants are.
Time for Schmidt to play hardball and pull a deal like the one that brought us Schmidt.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Cain is more valuable than A-Rod. It isn't because Cain is better than A-Rod, and it isn't because Cain would make more than A-Rod if they were both FAs. It is because Cain is super cheap. His value stems from his intrinsic player value to the team AND the fact that he costs virtually nothing, which allows the team to spend that money elsewhere.
This is especially true for Cain because he is now a proven quantity. Teams are willing to give up prospects because they may not pan out, or because there is someone better on the team blocking them. But Cain is now, more or less, a pretty sure thing and past the uncertainty of a prospect.
How much do you think Cain would get on the FA market? All that money is available to the Giants to put into the rest of the team. If the Yankees were to trade A-Rod for Cain, then they can go out and get Aramis Ramirez, say, and still come out ahead financially. If the Giants trade Cain for A-Rod, where are they going to get another Cain?
With prospects, you are trading risk. Take Jonathan Sanchez, for example. How good will he be? Are you sure? There is still some risk involved. You hear teams ask for major-league ready players all the time, but how often do they actually get someone who has already proven to be good?
Not often. Usually this happens when the prospect is blocked by someone really good or has performed well in but a small sample size. Occasionally, you see a team trade a sure thing because they desperately need pitching, for example, or because they are willing to trade the future for the marginal increase in quality because they are trying to get over the top for the WS.
We don't know how good Lincecum will be, but the potential reward seems vastly to outweigh the risk. I would consider trading Sanchez, though. Brian Wilson too.
Oh, and BTW: the Twins don't belong on that list.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions
Everyone is tradeable at the right price
Re: Everyone is tradeable at the right price
I just don't see the Twins trading for A-Rod. They might be inclined to if the Yankees threw in enough money, but it doesn't look like A-Rod has the capability of playing SS anymore, especially on turf.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Everyone is tradeable at the right price
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
How do the Padres afford him, are some big ticket guys coming off the roster? Don't know what's shaking out there.
I can see the Angels doing it, imagine having Vlad AND A-Rod.
Cubs don't really have much to trade, do they?
Houston, I could see happening, with Bagwell's salary coming off, and they have a number of nice prospects they could trade off.
Baltimore, I don't see the Yanks trading within the division, just for the potential PR disaster of A-Rod returning regularly and destroying the Yankees with his hitting.
But to me, most of these teams don't really have a 3B to trade back, other than Angels who are filled with 1B/3B types in their farm system.
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Oct 9, 2006 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
And as I noted in the other diary, the salaries of players already on board could be escalating higher, like Johan Santana, and Morneau could be eligible for arbitration under that Super-2 rule after his great season (but the technical details of that escapes me so I may be wrong).
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Oct 9, 2006 5:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
$16 million is certainly a much better story than $25 million. As North Side pointed out, A-Rod is a long way from the Bonds of 2000-2004, but an elite player none-the-less, probably worth $16 million.
The production we would get from 700 PA of A-Rod would only be somewhat better than the preduction we got from Bonds and his reserves last season, when we only won 76 games. But I would proably take A-rod at $16 million over Ramirez at $13-14 million, although it's fairly close.
The question is, would you rather have A-Rod or Ramirez, $2.5 million (which could turn out to be Aurilia or a good reliever) and Lowry. I would take the latter.
by GiantJim on Oct 9, 2006 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
So I vote nay, and I'll stand by that, mostly.
I am happy
Well, there's going to be a sequel to Anchorman.
Second, the Yankees flamed out again, and A-Rod did too, which means they'll probably trade him.
Third, these are the Yankees, so they pretty much have to pay some of A-Rod's contract as part of any trade. Why? They're the Yankees, and they have all the money. How can they refuse to pay part of it? For them, it's just a free concession, nothing worth stalling a deal over. So I could see a team getting A-Rod for $12-15 million a year, which is a good deal if he's having his usual season.
On the other hand, the Giants will be competing with maybe 10 other teams, trying to get this guy.
On the third hand, Sabean is a master of the pre-emptive first-strike, and he has roots in the Yankee organization.
Fourth, if we have A-Rod, we don't need Pedro Feliz anymore.
Fifth, in 10 years we can see A-Rod beat Barry Bonds' all-time HR record, as a Giant. Wouldn't that just kick ass?
Like it
Re: Like it
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by jfucsd10 @ McCovey Chronicles on Oct 9, 2006 12:16 PM PDT reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by lyricalkiller on Oct 9, 2006 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
It would take Cain (and more) to get A-Rod. Buster Olney suggested the Angels would offer Ervin Santana, Figgins and a B+ prospect. My guess is that prospect would have to be pretty close to the majors. We can't match that, and it doesn't make sense for us to trade Cain.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
My hunch is that the ARod haul will fall short of Ervin/Figgins/B+, but will still be much more than the Giants can compete with.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
But most importantly is that IF Steinbrener does pull the trigger on Torre it is most likely he will order Cashman to disolve a lot of the team, including A-Rod.
Though I would love to see A-Rod play in SF and have not qualms about paying 16 mil a year for him till 2010, if I were Sabean I would refuse to barter with our best pitching prospects, ie Lincecum, Sanchez, Cain or even Corriea. For A-Rod I would offer up, Morris, Hennessey, Lowry, Perriera, etc.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Correia might become a good starter, but it isn't set in stone that it will happen.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Other teams might have more to offer, but might also be expecting the Yankees to eat some of Arod's salary.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
I wanna believe he may actually want to be in SF more than he would want to be in LA, and that can only help the Giants' cause.
He's wants out and will waive the clause
A-Rod would waive his clause for any contending team that doesn't have Derek Jeter on it, and any team that gives him a shot at being the shortstop.
The Giants can do that, especially in year two. The Dodgers, with Furcal, cannot.
Magowan has got to make a play. Got to.
Re: He's wants out and will waive the clause
by positiveuphemism on Oct 9, 2006 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: He's wants out and will waive the clause
But they make kissy-face for the New York press when they have to.
Re: He's wants out and will waive the clause
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by positiveuphemism on Oct 9, 2006 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Irrational love for Sanchez?
-- Had fairly miserable ratios at the big club, even when he was had the great ERA, even when he was in the pen;
-- Was moderately successful at Fresno, with a very strong K rate, but also a higher walk rate;
-- Was dominant at double-A, but in just 30 innings;
-- Doesn't have anything exceptional besides an apparently deceptive delivery that makes his fastball seem faster than it is. I would expect that to be the sort of thing that would lose effectiveness a few times through the league or through a lineup.
I'm happy about him, but I can't see him as a guy who projects to be anywhere near untouchable. But I'm probably wrong. Anybody feel strongly the other way?
Re: Irrational love for Sanchez?
Lastly throw in that his numbers in the majors is currently skewed by the "problem" that I heard Krukow saying Sanchez had while up here: while he had good stuff and great fastball, he didn't throw to his strengths while up here, thinking that he has to out-think the hitters up here, he didn't have enough confidence in his pitches, causing him to try to bite corners.
So I would be hesitant to trade him in a deal for A-Rod. Not because I don't think A-Rod isn't worth it, but I think the team needs to focus on creating a killer rotation and A-Rod on the offense won't make the offense great by himself and we are missing offense parts to make A-Rod more valuable. I think if we can get away with trading away players who had good to great years in A-ball but who the Giants don't think much of (like Shairon Martis in the Stanton deal), that would be the best way to go.
But the Angels deal looks pretty solid, I don't think we can even put together a package of players to beat that, assuming that is a real deal, without giving up our best young players, whereas they have players like Hendricks, Woods, various corner IF, etc. still percolating upward. But that's the key, is that a real deal or something someone just threw out there? I don't know how reliable a source this ESPN guy is, it could just be the Yankees throwing out a rumor and drum up interest.
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Oct 9, 2006 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Irrational love for Sanchez?
Re: Irrational love for Sanchez?
Those are legitimate fears, though.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Irrational love for Sanchez?
But this won't be a problem. We don't have to the chips to trade for Arod, and I think this is a good thing.
by Punch Rockgroin on Oct 9, 2006 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: Irrational love for Sanchez?
Right now it is Cain and Lowry. Both are proven young cheap starters. I don't get all this Lowry trading that so many of you go on about.
by positiveuphemism on Oct 9, 2006 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
I can understand
Re: I can understand
Except that a "Potential Ace" is like a 4 of Clubs compared to a Perennial MVP Candidate.
A-Rod's stock at a low ebb...Grab him.
A-Rod has the best-looking baseball card in the universe, and comes with the same reputation that Bonds always had -- a supposed choker when it's all on the line.
What garbage. A-Rod is a supremely gifted player, and a genuinely good guy in a funky situation in New York.
A-Rod is still young, still great and is currently at his lowest perceived value because Jeter has trashed him for three years and Steinbrenner and Torre have trashed him during these playoffs.
If A-Rod were a Giant, he would be a cornerstone for the next four years and come at less money than Bonds made during the last four. He's worth more, of course, but his salary is subsidized by that goof owner in Texas.
I would give them Cain and Lowry so fast it would be yesterday when that trade was made.
Re: A-Rod's stock at a low ebb...Grab him.
A-Rod is very good. He isn't irreplaceable. You can spend that money elsewhere. You can't just get a pitcher like Cain who costs you nothing and is under the organization's control for years.
If you trade Cain and Lowry, then you need two more starting pitchers. So you either assume Correia/Hennessey/Sanchez suffice, or you go out and overpay for FA pitching, of which little is available.
It would be very good to get Alex Rodriguez. It would be bad to trade Cain, let alone Cain and Lowry.
by North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan on Oct 9, 2006 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Peter -- Just Do It!
You just DO IT at these subsidized prices and patch a rotation together.
Look at Lowry's numbers. They suggest a middle-of-the-pack starter at best. Cain at times has been fantastic, but is a largely unproven 22-year-old.
History says make the trade if the Yankees think so little of Alex to trade him for a couple young pitchers with potential.
I think the Yankees aren't that stupid, but stranger things have happened.
Re: Peter -- Just Do It!
First off, A-Rod is nothing like the franchise player Bonds was. He's elite but not fantastic. The Giants weren't better than competitve with Bonds; A-Rod will help but he won't turn around the franchise.
Lowry and A-Rod's full Yankeee salary ($16 mil)is a fair offer. Lowry has a career 106 ERA+ and should give a team #3 starting pitching at $2 million a year for the next three seasons. An average #3 would proably garner $6-$7 million/year.
Cain is a plus pitcher (#1-#3) who will be free for the next few years. He might SAVE a team $10 million a year, because of his age.
Getting A-Rod for $16 million AND Cain is not saving you $10 million a year. A plus about getting A-Rod is that his future performance is more guaranteed than Cain or Lowry's.
If the Giants could get Ramirez at $13-$14 milion a year, I would take that over A-Rod, if it meant giving up an extra $2.5 million and Lowry.
by GiantJim on Oct 9, 2006 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions
A premium chance to start over
How often does an A-Rod become available at competitive prices? About as often as a Vlad Guerrero. And A-Rod has no back injury, and has always suited up every day. Solid as a rock. And at his current salary, you can build around him.
You've got to start somewhere. And I would not stop to split hairs between definitions of an elite player and a franchise player.
To look at young, largely unproven Giant pitchers as sacred cows in this delapidated organization is LOONEY. Emotional attachments and dollar savings aside, Cain and Lowry's limited success constitutes our ONLY trade bait to get started again in the right direction.
Besides, it's not what you save that matters in professional sports. It's how well you spend.
Peter, make your play.
It really shouldn't take too much to get
by nostocksjustbonds on Oct 9, 2006 2:00 PM PDT reply actions
Would I lie?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
why does McCoven faithful love Accardo?
Re: why does McCoven faithful love Accardo?
My point is that it was based on potential, but in the end was largely a sentimental love. For all (many) of us.
by howtheyscored on Oct 9, 2006 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
But I'm still rooting for the guy, and that was very nice that he gave a game ball to Howie's girlfriend.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Hard to believe that the management would hire Pinella just to please a player, but I think they know what they've got in Rodriguez for four more years and don't want to let him go. Let's hope they make the wrong move..
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=caple/061009&lpos=spotlight&lid=tab2pos1
by the degenerate on Oct 9, 2006 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Its an interesting situation that should be monitered very closely. If AROD has any shot of landing in SF, that is the ideal circumstance. Couple that with the fact that AROD surely makes the Angels playoff competitors. Im not to sure the Yankees want to take him to an AL team. It makes lot of sense to trade him over to the NL, which also significantly upgrades our chances of a potential trade.
by jfucsd10 @ McCovey Chronicles on Oct 9, 2006 4:32 PM PDT reply actions
So
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by kintetsu on Oct 9, 2006 5:03 PM PDT reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Oct 9, 2006 5:25 PM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by NearestNorwich on Oct 10, 2006 5:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
When would it not be tampering?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
by GiantJim on Oct 10, 2006 8:34 AM PDT up reply actions
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
A-Rod...great player, but...
Concrete example: when he and Griffey were with the Mariners, they were playing in the Kingdome when Safeco Field was being finished up. All the M's walked across the parking lot one day to take the first batting practice ever at Safeco and see how the new place felt. A-Rod & Jr. couldn't regularly clear the fences at Safeco, and started a loud bitching about the fences and that the management had better move the fences in.
Obviously, championship teams come from pitchers' parks, not hitters' parks. This story, to me, illustrates 2 things: one is that players don't necessarily understand their game very well even though they might be masters at their small slice of it. The other is that some guys only care about their own numbers as detached from the purpose of winning a WS, and A-Rod is one of those.
Re: A-Rod...great player, but...
Re: A-Rod...great player, but...
Right or wrong, good or bad, it's a by-product of the increased focus on statistics that's now dominating the game.
Bonds, A-Rod are similar in this
Despite his talk about wanting a ring (which is genuine, but secondary), the league has rarely known a player more focused on his own stats and his own income than Barry Bonds. Even his move to San Francisco was aided by Candlestick's reputation as a lefty hitter's park.
His motivation, as detailed in "Game Of Shadows," to use steroids to an extreme was hardly spurred by his desire to help his team or to win a world championship. He hated that lesser players -- McGwire and Sosa -- were making off with the records, love and money.
Self-focused players, supremely concerned about the printed matter on their own baseball cards, are the rule in MLB.
Some are just a little better than others at hiding this unflattering trait.
Re: What about.........trading for ARod?
Torre is staying + Pinella is speaking to Sabes + Arod loves Pinella = Giants get Arod and Pinella
A-Rod not getting traded
Re: A-Rod not getting traded
Re: A-Rod not getting traded
Re: A-Rod not getting traded
Lowry and any of the Giants' pitching prospects for next season all have miniscule salaries compared to ARod, so picking up ARod for one of them is like signing ARod for 16 million a year and cutting an actual starting pitcher.
Getting even a (decent) number 3 or 4 starter will probably cost the Giants 4-6 million a year, pushing the out-of-pocket money due to the acquisition of ARod to at least 20 million.
20 million is far above what I think Ramirez will require to sign, and even if he DOES want that much: the Giants would be removing a pitching prospect they know and replacing him with a free agent (and the uncertainty that follows).
Maybe just acquiring a free-agent star SHOULD be the route to go?
Re: A-Rod not getting traded
Re: A-Rod not getting traded
Easy peasy.

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